• 제목/요약/키워드: Seasonal trends

검색결과 269건 처리시간 0.021초

남극 세종기지에서 최근 태양 복사, 기온과 운량의 변화 (Recent Changes in Solar Irradiance, Air Temperature and Cloudiness at King Sejong Station, Antarctica)

  • 이방용;조희구;김준;정연진;이윤곤
    • 대기
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.333-342
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    • 2006
  • The long-term trends of global solar irradiance, air temperature, specific humidity and cloudiness measured at King Sejong station, Antarctica, during the period of 1988-2004, have been investigated. A statistically insignificant decrease, -0.21 $Wm^{-2}yr^{-1}$ (-0.26 %$yr^{-1}$, P<0.5) in global solar irradiance was found in an analysis from the time series of the monthly mean values, except for the increasing trends only in two months of January and June. The trends in irradiance are directly and inversely associated with the cloudiness trends in annual and monthly means. The trends in surface air temperature show a slight warming, $0.03^{\circ}Cyr^{-1}$ (1.88 %$yr^{-1}$, P<0.5) on the annual average, with cooling trend in the summer months and the warming in the winter. The exact relationship, if any, between the irradiance and temperature trends is not known. No significant tendency was found in specific humidity for the same periods. Recent (1996-2004) erythermal ultraviolet irradiance shows decreasing trend in annual mean, -0.15 $mWm^{-2}yr^{-1}$ (-1.18 %$yr^{-1}$, P<0.1) which is about five times the trends of global solar irradiance. The ratio of erythermal ultraviolet to global solar irradiance shows remarkable seasonal variations with annual mean value of 0.01 % and a peak in October and November, showing the increase of ultraviolet irradiance resulting from the Antarctic ozone hole. The sensitivity of global solar irradiance to the change in cloudiness is roughly $13%oktas^{-1}$ which is about twice of the value at the South Pole due to the difference in the average surface reflectance between the two stations. Much more sensitive values of $59%oktas^{-1}$ was found for erythermal UV irradiance than for the global solar irradiance.

남강 수질측정망 자료를 이용한 비모수적 장기 수질 추세 분석 (A Nonparametric Long-Term Trend Analysis Using Water Quality Monitoring Data in Nam-River)

  • 정강영;김묘정;송광덕;서권옥;홍성조;조소현;이영재;김경현
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제27권11호
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    • pp.1029-1048
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    • 2018
  • In this study, seasonal Mann - Kendall test method was applied to 12 stations of the water quality measurement network of Nam-River based on data of BOD, COD, TN and TP for 11 years from January 2005 to December 2015 The changes of water quality at each station were examined through linear trends and the tendency of water quality change during the study period was analyzed by applying the locally weighted scatter plot smoother (LOWESS) method. In addition, spatial trends of the whole Nam-River were examined by items. The flow-adjusted seasonal Kendall test was performed to remove the flow at the water quality measurement station. As a result, BOD, COD concentration showed "no trand" and TN and TP concentration showed "down trand" in regional Kendall test throughout the study period. BOD and TP concentration in "no trand", COD, and TN concentration showed an "up trand" tendency in Nam-River dam. LOWESS analysis showed no significant water quality change in most of the analysis items and stations, but water quality fluctuation characteristics were shown at some stations such as NR1 (Kyungho-River 1), NR2 (Kyungho-River 2), NR3 (Nam-River), NR6 (Nam-River 2A). In addition, the flow-adjusted seasonal Kendall results showed that the BOD concentration was "up trand" due to the flow at the NR3 (Nam-River) station. The COD concentration was "up trand" due to the flow at NR1 (Kyungho-River 1) and NR2 (Kyungho-River 2) located upstream of the Nam-River. The effect of influent flow on water quality varies according to each site and analysis item. Therefore, for the effective water quality management in the Nam-River, it is necessary to take measures to improve the water quality at the point where the water quality is continuously "up trand" during the study period.

Experimental Study on Characteristics of Two-Phase Flow through a Bypass Orifice Expansion Device

  • Choi, Jong-Min;Kim, Yong-Chan
    • International Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2001
  • To establish optimum cycle of the inverter-driven heat pump with a variation of frequency, the bypass orifice, which was a short tube haying a bypass hole in the middle, was designed and tested. Flow characteristics of the bypass orifice were measured as a function of orifice geometry and operating conditions. Flow trends with respect to frequency were compared with those of short tube orifices and capillary tubes. Generally, the bypass orifice showed the best flow trends among them. and it would enhance the seasonal energy efficiency ratio of an inverter heat pump system, Based on experimental data, a semi-empirical flow model was developed to predict mass flow rate through bypass orifices. The maximum difference between measured data and model`s prediction was within $\pm$5%.

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바이패스 오리피스 팽창장치의 유동 특성에 관한 실험적 연구 (Experimental study on characteristics of two-phase flow through a bypass-orifice expansion device)

  • 최종민;김용찬
    • 설비공학논문집
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 1999
  • To establish optimum cycle of the inverter-driven heat pump with a variation of frequency, the bypass orifice, which is a short tube having a bypass hole in the middle, was designed and tested. Flow characteristics of the bypass orifice were measured as a function of orifice geometry and operating conditions. Flow trends with respect to frequency were compared with those of short tube orifices and capillary tubes. Generally, the bypass orifice showed the best flow trends among them, that will enhance the seasonal energy efficiency ratio of an inverter heat pump system. Based on experimental data, the semi-empirical flow model was developed to predict mass flow rate through bypass orifices. The maximum difference between measured data and model's prediction was within ${\pm}5%$.

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광주시 도심지역 시정감쇄현상의 계절적 특성 (Seasonal trends in Visibility Impairment in the Urban Atmosphere on Kwangju)

  • 김경원;오승진;이권호;김영준;김문옥
    • 한국대기환경학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국대기환경학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.80-81
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    • 2000
  • 인위적인 에어로졸의 배출은 현대 산업발전과 급속한 도시화로 인해 가중되었으며, 인체 위해성이 높을 뿐만 아니라, 도시지역의 시정감쇄에도 크게 기여한다. 우리 나라에서 시정(visibility)에 대한 연구가 시작된 것은 지난 1980년 후반이었으며, 최근에 이르러 광학적인 연구가 함께 병행됨으로써 보다 과학적이며 체계적인 연구 성과를 얻고 있다. 시정감쇄 현상은 대기오염을 가시적으로 확인할 수 있는 지표중 하나로서 대기질의 광화학적 및 기상학적 변화에 따라 크게 영향을 받는다. (중략)

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군산지역 부유분진의 계절적 농도변화와 화학특성 (Chemical Characteristic and seasonal trends of airbone particles at Kunsan)

  • 오진만;김득수
    • 한국대기환경학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국대기환경학회 2001년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.261-262
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    • 2001
  • 도서지역의 경제산업 활동으로 인한 에너지 소비와 교통량의 지속적인 증가는 공해방지와 환경개선 등을 위한 노력에도 불구하고 도시 대기질을 보다 심각한 상태로 오염시키고 있다. 이러한 대기오염물질 중 입자상 오염물질의 경우 그 입자의 크기는 100$\mu\textrm{m}$보다 큰 것에서부터 0.01$\mu\textrm{m}$ 정도까지 다양한 크기로서 대기내에 존재하며, 2.5~10 $\mu\textrm{m}$이하의 미세분진은 태양광의 산란 등을 통해 시정을 감소시키고, 태양복사에도 영향을 주어 지구와 대기간의 복사평형에도 변화를 초래한다(김필수 등, 1991; 문길주 등, 1994). (중략)

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계절 맨-켄달 기법을 이용한 금호강 본류 BOD의 장기 경향 분석 및 탐색적 자료 분석 (Long-Term Trend Analysis and Exploratory Data Analysis of Geumho River based on Seasonal Mann-Kendall Test)

  • 정강영;이인정;이경락;천세억;홍준영;안정민
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.217-229
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    • 2016
  • The government has conducted a plan of total maximum daily loads(TMDL), which divides with unit watershed, for management of stable water quality target by setting the permitted total amount of the pollutant. In this study, BOD concentration trends over the last 10 years from 2005 to 2014 were analyzed in the Geumho river. Improvement effect of water quality throughout the implementation period of TMDL was evaluated using the seasonal Mann-Kendall test and a LOWESS(locally weighted scatter plot smoother) smooth. As a study result of the seasonal Mann-Kendall test and the LOWESS smooth, BOD concentration in the Geumho river appeared to have been reduced or held at a constant. As a result of quantitatively analysis for BOD concentration with exploratory data analysis(EDA), the mean and the median of BOD concentration appeared in the order of GH8 > GH7 > GH6 > GH5 > GH4 > GH3 > GH2 > GH1. The monthly average concentration of BOD appeared in the order of Apr > Mar > Feb >May > Jun > Jul > Jan > Aug > Sep > Dec > Nov > Oct. As a result of the outlier, its value was the most frequent in February, which is estimated 1.5 times more than July, and was smallest frequent in July. The outlier in terms of water quality management is necessary in order to establish a management plan for the contaminants in watershed.

Seasonal-Trend Decomposition과 시계열 상관관계 분석을 통한 비정상 이벤트 탐지 시각적 분석 시스템 (Visual Analytics for Abnormal Event detection using Seasonal-Trend Decomposition and Serial-Correlation)

  • 연한별;장윤
    • 정보과학회 논문지
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    • 제41권12호
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    • pp.1066-1074
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    • 2014
  • 본 논문에서는 시공간 정보를 포함하는 트윗 스트림에서 비정상적인 이벤트에 대한 상관관계를 사용자에게 시각적으로 분석하는 방법을 다양한 실험을 통하여 제안한다. 제안하는 방법으로는 트윗에서 토픽 모델링을 수행한 다음 계절요인과 추세요인을 반영한 시계열 분석 기법을 이용하여 비정상적인 이벤트 후보군을 추출한다. 추출된 토픽이 포함되어 있는 데이터를 대상으로 다시 한 번 토픽을 추출하여 시계열 분석을 수행한 다음 앞서 추출한 토픽과의 상관관계를 분석하여 비정상적인 이벤트를 탐지할 수 있도록 하였다. 비정상 이벤트를 탐지하는 모든 과정에 시각적 분석 방법을 이용하여 단순한 수치 정보가 아닌 시각적 패턴 형태로 나타냄으로써 사용자는 직관적으로 비정상 이벤트의 동향과 주기적인 패턴을 분석할 수 있도록 하였다. 실험은 2014년 1월 1일부터 2014년 6월 30일까지 국내에서 발생한 트윗을 대상으로 2개의 사건[경주 마우나 리조트 붕괴 사건(2014.02.17.), 진도 여객선 침몰 사건(2014.04.16.)]에 대해 시각적 분석 시스템을 적용하여 사용자는 쉽게 데이터를 분석하고 이해할 수 있음을 보였다.

서울과 부산지역 기상의 영향을 제거한 오존농도 추세 (Meteorologically Adjusted Ozone Trends in the Seoul and Susan Metropolitan Areas)

  • 김유근;오인보;황미경
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.561-568
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    • 2003
  • Surface ozone concentrations are highly sensitive to meteorological variability. Therefore, in order to reveal the long-term changes in ozone due to the changes in precursor emissions, we need to remove the effects of meteorological fluctuations on the annual distribution of surface ozone. In this paper, the meteorologically adjusted trends of daily maximum surface ozone concentrations in two major Korean cities (Seoul and Busan) are investigated based on ozone data from 11 (Seoul) and 6 (Busan) sites over the period 1992 ∼ 2000. The original time series consisting of the logarithm of daily maximum ozone concentrations are splitted into long-term, seasonal and short-term component using Kolmogorov-Zurbenko (KZ) filter. Meteorological effects are removed from filtered ozone series using multiple linear regression based on meteorologcial variables. The long-term evolution of ozone forming capability due to changes in precursor emission can be obtained applying the KZ filter to the residuals of the regression. The results indicated that meteorologically adjusted long-term daily maximum ozone concentrations had a significant upward trend (Seoul: + 3.02% yr$^{-1}$ , Busan: + 3.45% yr$^{-1}$ ). These changes of meteorologically adjusted ozone concentrations represent the effects of changing background ozone concentrations as well as the more localized changes in emissions.

Changes in $SO_{2}$ Concentration from Major Cities and Provinces in Korea: A Case Study from 1998 to 2003

  • Nguyen Hang Thi;Kim Ki-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • 제21권E3호
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2005
  • The concentrations of sulfur dioxide ($SO_{2}$) were measured from seven major cities and nine provinces in Korea for the period covering 1998 to 2003. Its concentration data were analyzed to explore the possible influences of spatial and temporal factors on the $SO_{2}$ distribution characteristics. Examination of spatial trends of $SO_{2}$ distribution and behavior indicated several interesting features. Although its annual trends appeared to be affected by the changes in the surrounding environmental conditions (e.g., regulation on the use of S-containing fuels), the seasonal trends indicated a cyclic and systematic pattern that may be characterized as: a gradual decrease in concentrations across winter, spring, fall, and summer. The results showed the generally enhanced mean concentrations of $SO_{2}$ from Ulsan, Busan, and Daegu with 12.8, 10.1, and 8.80 ppb, respectively. On the other hand, notably reduced $SO_{2}$ concentrations were seen from Gwangju and Jeju sites with its mean values of 5.43 and 3.88 ppb, respectively. The overall results of our study indicate that a decrease in $SO_{2}$ concentration levels continued through time, while its spatial distribution appears to be affected most sensitively by such factor as city scale and industrial activities.