• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.63-75
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• 2002

To improve the efficiency of the electric power generation, monthly maximum electric power consumptions for a next one year should be forecasted in advance and used as the fundamental input to the yearly electric power-generating master plan, which has a greatly influence upon relevant sub-plans successively. In this paper, we analyze the past 22-year hourly maximum electric load data available from KEPCO(Korea Electric Power Corporation) and select necessary data from the raw data for our model in order to reflect more recent trends and seasonal components, which hopefully result in a better forecasting model in terms of forecasted errors. After analyzing the selected data, we recommend to KEPCO the Winters' multiplicative model with decomposition and exponential smoothing technique among many candidate forecasting models and provide forecasts for the electric power consumptions and their 95% confidence intervals up to December of 1999. It turns out that the relative errors of our forecasts over the twelve actual load data are ranged between 0.1% and 6.6% and that the average relative error is only 3.3%. These results indicate that our model, which was accepted as the first statistical forecasting model for monthly maximum power consumption, is very suitable to KEPCO.

• Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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• 제32권3호
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• pp.135-143
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• 2014

The variability and temporal trends of the annual and seasonal minimum and maximum temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, wind speed, sunshine hours, and runoff were analyzed for 5 major rivers in Korea from 1960 to 2010. A simple regression and non-parametric methods (Mann-Kendall test and Sen's estimator) were used in this study. The analysis results show that the minimum temperature ($T_{min}$) had a higher increasing trend than the maximum temperature ($T_{max}$), and the average temperature increased by about $0.03^{\circ}C\;yr.^{-1}$. The relative humidity and wind speed decreased by $0.02%\;yr^{-1}$ and $0.01m\;s^{-1}yr^{-1}$, respectively. With the exception of the Han River basin, the regression analysis and Mann-Kendall and Sen results failed to detect trends for the runoff and rainfall over the study period. Rapid land use changes were linked to the increase in the runoff in the Han River basin. The sensitivity of the evapotranspiration and ultimately the runoff to the meteorological variables was in the order of relative humidity > sunshine duration > wind speed > $T_{max}$ > $T_{min}$. Future studies should investigate the interaction of the variables analyzed herein, and their relative contributions to the runoff trends.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.243-251
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• 2010

Evapotranspiration and rainfall-runoff are the major components of hydrological cycle and thereby the changes of them can directly affect the wetness/dryness or runoff characteristics of basins. In this study the wetness/dryness in Geum river basin are classified by dint of cumulative probability density function of monthly moisture index and the long term changes of them are analyzed based on climatic water balance concept. The drought events in Geum river basin are selected through evaluation of monthly moisture index and the various hydrological properties of them are investigated in detail. Also the trends of time-series of climatic water balance components are examined by Seasonal Kendall test and the variability of hydrological cycle in Geum river basin during the recent decade is inquired. It is judged that the results of this study can be contributed to establishment of the counter plan against the future drought events as the fundamental information.

• 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한원격탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of ACRS 2003 ISRS
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• pp.1483-1485
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• 2003

Multitemporal approaches using sequential data acquired over multiple years are essential for satisfactory discrimination between many land cover classes whose signatures exhibit seasonal trends. At any particular time, the response of several classes may be indistinguishable. Using the estimates of periodogram which are obtained from sequential images, the periodicity of the process have been incorporates into multitemporal classification. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) was computed for seven-day composites of the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) imagery over the Korean peninsula for 1996 - 2000 using a dynamic technique.

• 한국어병학회지
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.54-58
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• 2001

The seasonal trends of plasma protein and glucose concentrations in marbled soles(Limanda yokohamae) and greenlings(Hexagrammos otakii), and the influence of transport stressor on those levels were investigated. Total plasma protein levels of marbled soles and greenlings in late spring and summer were significantly higher than those in winter(January). Plasma glucose levels were consistently increased according to elevation of water temperature both in marbled soles and greenlings. Transport stressor gave rise to decrease of plasma protein levels and increase of blood glucose levels.

• Journal of Dairy Science and Biotechnology
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.1-9
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• 2006

Goat milk is digested better than cow milk, because the fat globules in goat milk are smaller and the protein is similar to human milk, and assimilated easily. Goat milk is particularly rich in taurine (4.7mg/100mL) and retinol (40mg/100mL). Therefore, it might be recommened to heal dyspepsia and infants allergy by cow milk. However, during winter, supply of goat milk products are unsteady in Korea, because unbalance of demand and supply is resulted from seasonal breeding. Dairy industry for goat milk will be able to grow much more, if goat milk products can keep steady supply without changing by season. This review includes the physicochemical characteristics of goat milk, domestic production of goat milk, domestic goat milk products and future development.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2012년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.211-212
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• 2012

Over the years, the recovery of the domestic construction market, which does not appear on the reverse, but rather due to a surge of construction materials cost of the construction sector is experiencing greater difficulties. Cement raw materials in the manufacturing process, if some of the waste recycling, cites quality control for products and measures for the thorough management is needed. In this study, three companies of the past four years in the production of cement against doejin physical performance test results conducted yearly and seasonal trends by analyzing changes in the years to review the cement for cement to utilize as a basis for management points is.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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• pp.1640-1644
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• 2010

In this study the wetness/dryness in Geum river basin are classified by dint of cumulative probability density function of monthly moisture index and the long term changes of them are analyzed based on climatic water balance concept. The drought events in Geum river basin are selected through evaluation of monthly moisture index and the various hydrological properties of them are investigated in detail. Also the trends of time-series of climatic water balance components are examined by Seasonal Kendall test and the variability of hydrological cycle in Geum river basin during the recent decade is inquired. It is judged that the results of this study can be contributed to establishment of the counter plan against the future drought events as the fundamental information.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제44권2호
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• pp.179-190
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• 2022

Data missing in optical satellite images caused by natural variations have been a crucial barrier in observing the status of marine surfaces. Although there have been many attempts to fill the gaps of non-observation, there is little research to analyze the ratio of missing grids to overall sea grids and their seasonal patterns. This report introduces the method of quantifying the distribution of missing points and then shows how the missing points have spatial correlation and seasonal trends. Both temporal and spatial integration methods are compared to assess the effectiveness of reducing missing data. The temporal integration shows more outstanding performance than the spatial integration. Moran's I and K-function with statistical hypothesis testing show that missing grids are clustered and there is a non-random distribution from daily integration. The result of the seasonality test for Moran's I through a periodogram shows dependency on full-year, half-year, and quarter-year periods respectively. These analysis results can be used to deduce appropriate integration periods with permissible estimation errors.

• 대기
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.379-390
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• 2014

This study explores the long-term trends of surface air temperatures in 11 KMA stations over the period of 1960~2012. Both linear and nonlinear trends are examined for the $95^{th}$, $50^{th}$, and $5^{th}$ percentiles of daily maximum ($T_{max}$) and minimum temperatures ($T_{min}$) by using quantile regression method. It is found that in most stations linear trends of $T_{max}$ and $T_{min}$ are generally stronger in winter than in summer, and warming trend of the $5^{th}$ percentile temperature (cold extreme) is stronger than that of the $95^{th}$ percentile temperature (warm extreme) in both seasons. The nonlinear trends, which are evaluated by the second order polynomial fitting, show a strong nonlinearity in winter. Specifically, winter temperatures have increased until 2000s but slightly decreased afterward in all percentiles. This contrasts with the $95^{th}$ and $50^{th}$ percentiles of summer $T_{min}$ that show a decreasing trend until 1980s then an increasing trend. While this result is consistent with a seasonal dependence of the recent global warming hiatus, most of the nonlinear trends are statistically insignificant, making a quantitative attribution of nonlinear temperature trends challenging.