• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scenario planning

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The Maximum Temperature Distribution and Improvement Plan of Protected Horticulture Planning Area in Saemanguem Using CFD Simulation (CFD를 활용한 새만금 시설원예 예정지 최고온도 분포 및 개선방안)

  • Son, Jinkwan;Choi, Deuggyu;Park, Minjung;Yun, Sungwook;Kong, Minjae;Lee, Seungchul;Kim, Changhyun;Kang, Donghyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.115-128
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    • 2019
  • The A1B scenario predicts that the mean air temperature of South Korea will rise up to $3.8^{\circ}C$ by 2071. However, the effects of ecosystem services are declining because of various environmental problems, including climate change, land use change, stream intensification, non-point pollution, and untreated garbage. Moreover, horticultural sites which have various ecosystem services suffer highly absorbed heat from the heat island phenomenon associated with climate change. Therefore, we analyzed the heat island phenomenon occurring in an protected horticulture estimated area in Saemanguem, South Korea. Using an advanced measurement method, we examined the air temperature change derived from water channels as well as open spaces. The CFD analysis of coverage ratio 85% design showed wind speed of 2.09 m/s and temperature of $38.07^{\circ}C$. At a coverage ratio of 70%, the wind speed was improved to 2.61 m/s and the temperature was improved to $36.89^{\circ}C$. In Alternative 2 with wetlands and trees, the wind speed was 2.71 m/s and the temperature was $35.90^{\circ}C$. When the coverage ratio decreases to 55%, the wind speed increases showing 3.06 m/s and the temperature decreases showing $35.18^{\circ}C$.

Implementation of temporal reasoning services using a domain-independent AI planner (영역-독립적인 인공지능 계획기를 이용한 시간 추론 서비스의 구현)

  • Kim, Hyun-Sik;Park, Chan-Young;Kim, In-Cheol
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2009
  • Household service robots should be able to provide their users with a variety of temporal reasoning services. In this paper, we propose an effective way of developing such temporal reasoning services using a domain-independent AI planner. Developing temporal reasoning services with a domain-independent AI planner, we have to address both the knowledge engineering problem of how to represent various real-world temporal constraints in a planning domain definition language, and the system design problem of how to realize the interface between the AI planner and the service consumer. In this paper, we introduce an example scenario and a set of typical temporal constraints for a household service robot, and then present how to represent them in the standard planning domain definition language. We also explain how to implement a service agent based on an AI planner in order to develop and provide new services efficiently.

A Study on the Techniques of Path Planning and Measure of Effectiveness for the SEAD Mission of an UAV (무인기의 SEAD 임무 수행을 위한 임무 경로 생성 및 효과도 산출 기법 연구)

  • Woo, Ji Won;Park, Sang Yun;Nam, Gyeong Rae;Go, Jeong Hwan;Kim, Jae Kyung
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.304-311
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    • 2022
  • Although the SEAD(suppression to enemy air defenses) mission is a strategically important task in modern warfare, the high risk of direct exposure to enemy air defense assets forces to use of unmanned aerial vehicles. this paper proposes a path planning algorithm for SEAD mission for an unmanned aerial vehicle and a method for calculating the mission effectiveness on the planned path. Based on the RRT-based path planning algorithm, a low-altitude ingress/egress flight path that can consider the enemy's short-range air defense threat was generated. The Dubins path-based Intercept path planning technique was used to generate a path that is the shortest path while avoiding the enemy's short-range anti-aircraft threat as much as possible. The ingress/intercept/egress paths were connected in order. In addition, mission effectiveness consisting of fuel consumption, the survival probability, the time required to perform the mission, and the target destruction probability was calculated based on the generated path. The proposed techniques were verified through a scenario.

An Analysis of the Effects of Fine Dust Reduction Policies on PM10 Concentration and Health Using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 미세먼지 저감 정책이 미세먼지 농도와 건강에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Seho Lee;Jung Eun Kang;Ji-Yoon Lee;Minyeong Park;Ji Yoon Choi
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.318-337
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    • 2023
  • This study utilizes system dynamics to examine the effects of fine dust reduction policies on PM10 concentration and health. System dynamics has the advantage of modeling the dynamic and circular relationship between PM10 emission sources, reduction policies, PM10 concentration, and health effect. The study created policy scenarios for Korea's representative fine dust reduction policies - industrial PM10 emission control, diesel vehicle regulation, expansion of electric vehicles, and expansion of parks and green areas - and compared the results with the 2030 baseline if the current trend is maintained. The analysis showed that the policy of supporting electric vehicles reduced PM10 concentration by 0.21 ㎍/m3 and reduced the number of people with circulatory diseases by 494, and the effect was evenly distributed across the country. The industrial emissions regulation scenario resulted in the highest PM10 concentration reduction of 0.22 ㎍/m3, but had a lower reduction in the number of people affected (358) than the EV support strategy, which could be attributed to the fact that this policy had a particularly high PM10 reduction effect in industrial areas such as Danyang-gun, Chungcheongbuk-do, and Sahagu, Busan. As a policy implication, this study suggests that it is necessary to apply fine dust policies tailored to the characteristics of local emission sources.

Urban Climate Impact Assessment Reflecting Urban Planning Scenarios - Connecting Green Network Across the North and South in Seoul - (서울 도시계획 정책을 적용한 기후영향평가 - 남북녹지축 조성사업을 대상으로 -)

  • Kwon, Hyuk-Gi;Yang, Ho-Jin;Yi, Chaeyeon;Kim, Yeon-Hee;Choi, Young-Jean
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.134-153
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    • 2015
  • When making urban planning, it is important to understand climate effect caused by urban structural changes. Seoul city applies UPIS(Urban Plan Information System) which provides information on urban planning scenario. Technology for analyzing climate effect resulted from urban planning needs to developed by linking urban planning scenario provided by UPIS and climate analysis model, CAS(Climate Analysis Seoul). CAS develops for analyzing urban climate conditions to provide realistic information considering local air temperature and wind flows. Quantitative analyses conducted by CAS for the production, transportation, and stagnation of cold air, wind flow and thermal conditions by incorporating GIS analysis on land cover and elevation and meteorological analysis from MetPhoMod(Meteorology and atmospheric Photochemistry Meso-scale model). In order to reflect land cover and elevation of the latest information, CAS used to highly accurate raster data (1m) sourced from LiDAR survey and KOMPSAT-2(KOrea Multi-Purpose SATellite) satellite image(4m). For more realistic representation of land surface characteristic, DSM(Digital Surface Model) and DTM(Digital Terrain Model) data used as an input data for CFD(Computational Fluid Dynamics) model. Eight inflow directions considered to investigate the change of flow pattern, wind speed according to reconstruction and change of thermal environment by connecting green area formation. Also, MetPhoMod in CAS data used to consider realistic weather condition. The result show that wind corridors change due to reconstruction. As a whole surface temperature around target area decreases due to connecting green area formation. CFD model coupled with CAS is possible to evaluate the wind corridor and heat environment before/after reconstruction and connecting green area formation. In This study, analysis of climate impact before and after created the green area, which is part of 'Connecting green network across the north and south in Seoul' plan, one of the '2020 Seoul master plan'.

A Fundamental Study on the Planning of Classroom Space in the Ubiquitous Environments (유비쿼터스 환경의 교실 공간 계획에 관한 기초적 연구)

  • Cho, Hyun-Ho;Lee, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Educational Facilities
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.4-13
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    • 2007
  • In 21st century, mankind greets an era of ubiquitous computing where physical and virtual space are merged through the innovation of digital and IT(Information Technology), meanwhile ubiquitous computing and network paradigm suggest a new direction which our future educational system should head for. A society where people, computers, and objects can be connected with each other anytime and anywhere, that is, a society of ubiquitous computing where everything in our living space are interconnected by a immense network system may bring a variety of changes into our educational environment in schools. In this study I analysed the forecast of school educational orientation and ubiquitous educational environment and facilities in developed countries, and on the basis of the result, I performed a fundamental work for formation of a ubiquitous classroom environment which is feasible in Korea. In the section of conclusion, I present a model of ubiquitous classroom as a scenario based on ubiquitous computing technology applicable to future classroom environment.

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF STATION BLACKOUT ACCIDENT PROGRESSION IN TYPICAL PWR, BWR, AND PHWR

  • Park, Soo-Yong;Ahn, Kwang-Il
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.311-322
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    • 2012
  • Since the crisis at the Fukushima plants, severe accident progression during a station blackout accident in nuclear power plants is recognized as a very important area for accident management and emergency planning. The purpose of this study is to investigate the comparative characteristics of anticipated severe accident progression among the three typical types of nuclear reactors. A station blackout scenario, where all off-site power is lost and the diesel generators fail, is simulated as an initiating event of a severe accident sequence. In this study a comparative analysis was performed for typical pressurized water reactor (PWR), boiling water reactor (BWR), and pressurized heavy water reactor (PHWR). The study includes the summarization of design differences that would impact severe accident progressions, thermal hydraulic/severe accident phenomenological analysis during a station blackout initiated-severe accident; and an investigation of the core damage process, both within the reactor vessel before it fails and in the containment afterwards, and the resultant impact on the containment.

Assessment of electricity demand at domestic level in Balochistan, Pakistan

  • Urooj, Rabail;Ahmad, Sheikh Saeed
    • Advances in Energy Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2017
  • Electricity is basic need for country development. But at the present time proper planning and policy is require at high pace for power generation network extension due to the increasing population growth rate. Present study aimed to analyze the present and future demand for electricity at household level in Province of Balochistan of Pakistan via simulation modeling. Data of year 2004-2005 was used as baseline data for electricity consumption to predict future demand of electricity at both rural and urban domestic level up to subsequent 30 years, with help of LEAP software. Basically three scenarios were created to run software. One scenario was Business-As-Usual and other two were green scenarios i.e., solar and wind energy scenarios. Results predicted that by using alternative energy sources, demand for electricity will be fulfill and will also reduce burden on non-renewable energy sources due to the greater potential for solar and wind energy present in Balochistan.

Analysis of Radio Interference through Ducting for 2.5 GHz WiMAX Service

  • Son, Ho-Kyung;Kim, Jong-Ho;Kim, Che-Young
    • Journal of electromagnetic engineering and science
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.94-100
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    • 2012
  • Radio interference has been occurring in mobile communication services on the southern seashore in Korea. Monitoring the radio interference signal revealed that the main reason for the radio interference was a radio ducting signal coming from the seaside of Japan. In this paper, we have analyzed the effect of interference on WiMAX service using a 2.5 GHz frequency band between Korea and Japan. We focus on the interference scenario from base station to base station and we use the Minimum Coupling Loss (MCL) method for interference analysis and the Advanced Propagation Model (APM) for calculating the propagation loss in ducts. The propagation model is also compared with experimental measurement data. We confirm that the interfering signal strength depends on the antenna height and this result can be applied to deployment planning for each system with an interference impact acceptable to both parties.

Strategic Analysis Evolution: Scenario Planning and Simulation Based on The Methodology of System Dynamics

  • Bassi, Andrea M
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.199-216
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    • 2004
  • The present study is aimed at developing the optimal instruments for dispelling the uncertainty factors during the formulation of strategies for corporate development. The objective is the creation of a complete model of strategic analysis, which encompasses both the environment (internal and external) and the management rational component. This model -built on the analysis of three corporate cases - is concretized by a simulation for testing the strategy by the means of software which enables the users to cope with a dynamic and complex corporate environment. The research questions regard the development of a complete strategic analysis, which covers the entire decision-making process; the concrete assessment of the business strategy on the basis of quantitative data: the identification and enhancement of the critical variables of business administration, in such a complex and dynamic reality as the corporate environment.

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