• 제목/요약/키워드: Scenario evaluation

검색결과 634건 처리시간 0.027초

Process Evaluation Model based on Goal-Scenario for Business Activity Monitoring

  • Baek, Su-Jin;Song, Young-Jae
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.379-384
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    • 2011
  • The scope of the problems that could be solved by monitoring and the improvement of the recognition time is directly correlated to the performance of the management function of the business process. However, the current monitoring process of business activities decides whether to apply warnings or not by assuming a fixed environment and showing expressions based on the design rules. Also, warnings are applied by carrying out the measuring process when the event attribute values are inserted at every point. Therefore, there is a limit for distinguishing the range of occurrence and the level of severity in regard to the new external problems occurring in a complicated environment. Such problems cannot be ed. Also, since it is difficult to expand the range of problems which can be possibly evaluated, it is impossible to evaluate any unexpected situation which could occur in the execution period. In this paper, a process-evaluating model based on the goal scenario is suggested to provide constant services through the current monitoring process in regard to the service demands of the new scenario which occurs outside. The new demands based on the outside situation are analyzed according to the goal scenario for the process activities. Also, by using the meta-heuristic algorithm, a similar process model is found and identified by combining similarity and interrelationship. The process can be stopped in advance or adjusted to the wanted direction.

소규모 교전에서의 적시 대응 시나리오 개발 방안 연구 (Development of Timely Counter-scenario on Small Scale Engagements)

  • 안의국;장대순;변재정;권용진;박상철
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2013
  • 미래의 무기체계 개발은 점점 복잡해지고, 많은 비용이 소요된다. 무기체계 개발을 위해 M&S(Modeling & simulation)기술을 사용하는 것에 대한 관심이 점점 높아지고 있다. M&S기술은 훈련, 전략 수립, 교전수칙, 무기체계 획득 등을 하는데 활용된다. 본 논문에서는 교전급 모델의 운용을 위해 소규모 교전 시나리오 생성 방안을 제시 한다. 생성된 시나리오는 지휘관의 훈련, 체계 운용 분석, 전술 검증을 위해 사용된다. 이 연구에서는 FSA(Finite State Automata)이론과 DFS(Depth First Search)알고리즘을 이용해 시나리오를 생성하는 방법론을 제시하였다. 그리고 제안된 방법론을 이용해 공격함과 정찰함이 교전하는 소규모 교전 시나리오 예제에 적용하였으며 이를 Delta3D$^{TM}$로 가시화 하였다.

확률론적 지진재해도를 이용한 시나리오 지진의 결정기법에 관한 연구 (Study on the Scenario Earthquake Determining Methods Based on the Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis)

  • 최인길;중도정인;전영선;연관희
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제8권6호통권40호
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2004
  • 원전 구조물 및 기기의 내진설계를 위한 설계지진의 설정에는 결정론적 방법이나 확률론적 방법이 사용되어 왔다. 최근에는 확률론적 지진재해도 분석이 일반화 되면서 확률론적으로 설계지진 및 평가용 지진의 설정 방법이 합리적인 방법으로서 인식되어 많이 사용되고 있다. 우리나라의 경우 원전부지에 대한 확률론적 지진재해도 분석이 확률론적 지진위험도 평가의 일환으로 대부분 완료되어 있다. 본 연구에서는 확률론적 지진재해도의 재분해를 통하여 확률론적 시나리오 지진을 산정할 수 있는 기법을 확립하고 국내 원전 부지에 대한 확률론적 지진재해도 분석 결과를 이용하여 계산 예를 수행하였다. 이 기법을 사용하면 내진설계 및 내진안전성 평가에 활용할 수 있는 확률론적 시나리오 지진을 설정할 수 있어 매우 유용한 것으로 판단되며 합리적인 시나리오 지진의 산정을 위해서는 합리적인 지진구역도 및 감쇄식의 개발이 필요하다.

화재에 의한 터널구조물 시공재료의 손상 평가 (Evaluation of Fire-induced Damage to Structural Members in Tunnels)

  • 장수호;최순욱;권종욱;배규진
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제26권3C호
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    • pp.219-228
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 화재시나리오에 따른 터널구조물의 시공재료별 단면손실과 폭렬현상을 파악하고자 터널구조물 시공재료별로 시험체를 제작한 후 모의 화재시험을 수행하였다. 시공재료별로 화재시험을 수행한 결과, 모든 시공재료에서 RABT 화재곡선보다 RWS 화재곡선에서 단면손실이 다소 크게 발생하였다. 특히, RWS 화재곡선에서 나타나는 $1,200^{\circ}C$ 이상의 고온으로 인한 융해는 시공재료의 단면손실에 주요한 영향요인으로 작용하였다. 철근 보강 구조물은 무근 구조물에 비해 단면손실이 적은 것으로 나타났다. 숏크리트의 경우 화재 시나리오에 따른 단면손실의 차이가 가장 크게 발생하였다. 가열시험 도중에 가열면을 실시간 관찰한 결과, RABT에서의 재료 손상은 폭렬과 탈락에 의해 발생한 반면 RWS에서는 초기에는 RABT와 유사하나 가열개시후 약 50분 이후의 재료 손상은 폭렬과 탈락이 아닌 융해에 의한 것을 알 수 있었다.

국내 도로환경과 Euro NCAP VRU Test Protocol v3.0.1을 고려한 AEB(V2P) 시험평가 방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Test Evaluation Method of AEB (V2P) Considering the Road Environment in Korea and Euro NCAP Test Protocol v3.0.1)

  • 권병헌;이선봉
    • 자동차안전학회지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.28-38
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    • 2019
  • In the world, traffic accidents and environmental pollution caused by the increase of vehicles are becoming a serious social problem. According to the 2016 data published by the Korea Highway Traffic Authority, Korea owns 49.9 vehicles per 100 people. This is the 28th largest number among the 35 OECD member countries. In addition, the number of deaths from traffic accidents in Korea totaled 4,292, of which 1,714 were caused by traffic accidents involving vehicles and pedestrians. To reduce these human casualties, the automotive industry is constantly working on the development and commercialization of Adaptive Driver Assist System (ADAS). ADAS is the system providing convenience and safeness for drivers. In general, ADAS consists of Autonomous Emergency Braking (AEB), Highway Driving Assist (HDA), Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC), Lane Keeping Assist System (LKAS). Among them, the AEB detects the possibility of collision by the vehicle itself and plays a role of avoiding the collision or reducing the damage through active braking. For such AEB, Euro NCAP has been developing test-evaluation methods for the vulnerable since 2017. Therefore, In this paper analyzes the scenario of Euro NCAP VRU Test Protocol v3.0.1, which will be established in 2020, and proposes test conditions according to the Korean road traffic law. In addition, the reliability of the proposed scenario and test conditions was verified by comparing and analyzing the proposed theoretical evaluation formulas and actual test results.

CA기법과 WSM-AHP 간편법을 이용한 도시확산의 결정론적 최적 모의 (Deterministic Optimal Simulation of Spatial Growth Form for Urbanized Area Using CA Model and Simplified WSM-AHP Techniques)

  • 김대식
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2008
  • This study aims to analyze the sensitivity of WSM(weighted scenario method)-AHP method according to variation of nonlinear exponent for accessibility criteria, which are used to make urbanization potential maps with the optimal weighting value for multiple criteria in grid-based GIS technique. Besides this study tried to develop WSM-AHP2 which is simplified by using rank of the potential value for each scenario. The two methods were applied to the test area, Suwon city located south area of Seoul, with time series land-use maps of 1986 and 1996. The evaluation system of urbanization potential have 7 criteria including 6 accessibility criteria. The results of WSM-AHP2, the optimal weighting values and their corresponding potential maps, have almost similar with those of WSM-AHP. In the application of CA(cellular automata) model for expansion of urbanized area using the three potential maps by WSM-AHP, WSM-AHP2, and specialists's AHP evaluation, it also showed that the accuracy of simulation for actual urban area is the highest in the potential map of WSM-AHP, followed by WSM-AHP2 and specialists's AHP evaluation. From the results of this study, WSM-AHP and simplified WSM-AHP2 will be used to generate the optimal potential maps for land-use planning in urban fringe area.

Development and Evaluation of a Video Discharge Education Program focusing on Mother-infant Interaction for Mothers of Premature Infants

  • Ra, Jin Suk;Lim, Jiyoung
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제42권7호
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    • pp.936-946
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study was done to develop a video discharge education program focusing on mother-infant interaction to facilitate the development of maternal role confidence for mothers of premature infants. Methods: The process of the program was based on the Network-based Instructional System Design suggested by Jung (1999). For the content of the program, needs and concerns of mothers of premature infants found on web sites and existing literature were analyzed. Based on this content, the scenario and the video were developed. Nurses and mothers of premature infants participated in the process of testing the content validity, scenario development, and evaluation of final video production. The final video has two parts and lasts 21 minutes. The first part focuses on mother-premature infant interaction and the second part focuses on health management of infants. Results: Eleven mothers of premature infants participated in the evaluation of the appropriateness of the video as a teaching method and for educational content. They reported that the content on mother-infant interaction, maternal sensitivity, and maternal role confidence was especially beneficial. Conclusion: The findings indicate that video program is effective for education on maternal-premature infant interaction and the use of video in practical settings is strongly recommended.

AN INTEGRATED APPROACH TO RISK-BASED POST-CLOSURE SAFETY EVALUATION OF COMPLEX RADIATION EXPOSURE SITUATIONS IN RADIOACTIVE WASTE DISPOSAL

  • Seo, Eun-Jin;Jeong, Chan-Woo;Sato, Seichi
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.6-11
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    • 2010
  • Embodying the safety of radioactive waste disposal requires the relevant safety criteria and the corresponding stylized methods to demonstrate its compliance with the criteria. This paper proposes a conceptual model of risk-based safety evaluation for integrating complex potential radiation exposure situations in radioactive waste disposal. For demonstrating compliance with a risk constraint, the approach deals with important exposure scenarios from the viewpoint of the receptor to estimate the resulting risk. For respective exposure situations, it considers the occurrence probabilities of the relevant exposure scenarios as their probability of giving rise to doses to estimate the total risk to a representative person by aggregating the respective risks. In this model, an exposure scenario is simply constructed with three components:radionuclide release, radionuclide migration and environment contamination, and interaction between the contaminated media and the receptor. A set of exposure scenarios and the representative person are established from reasonable combinations of the components, based on a balance of their occurrence probabilities and the consequences. In addition, the probability of an exposure scenario is estimated on the assumption that the initiating external factors influence release mechanisms and transport pathways, and its effect on the interaction between the environment and the receptor may be covered in terms of the representative person. This integrated approach enables a systematic risk assessment for complex exposure situations of radioactive waste disposal and facilitates the evaluation of compliance with risk constraints.

우리나라 글로벌 기업의 실물옵션을 이용한 투자안 평가 실증연구 (An Empirical Study on the Investment Evaluation of Korean Global Companies Using a Real Option Valuation Model)

  • 정의종
    • 플랜트 저널
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.42-48
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    • 2012
  • 전통적 투자안 평가방법인 현금할인법(DCF:discounted cash flow) 모형의 투자안 평가는 경영자가 미래 사업환경의 변화에 능동적 대처를 할 수 없다는 가정이다. 그러나 현실에서는 투자를 수행하는 중에 새로운 정보가 유입되고 불확실성이 클 때 평가 시점에서 예측한 대로 시나리오가 이루어지기 어렵기 때문에 경영의 유연성을 고려하는 실물옵션 방법으로 평가함으로써 이런 난점들을 극복할 수 있다. 실물옵션에는 연기옵션, 단계적 투자옵션, 변경옵션, 포기옵션, 전환옵션 등이 있다. 따라서 사업 변동성이 클 경우 전통적인 DCF보다는 이러한 변동성이 갖는 가치를 적극 이용하여 평가하는 실물옵션 방법이 보다 바람직한 평가방법이라 할 수 있다.

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적응형 슬라이딩 모드 제어를 이용한 위상 궤적 해석 기반 굴삭기의 안전제어 알고리즘 개발 (Phase Portrait Analysis-Based Safety Control for Excavator Using Adaptive Sliding Mode Control Algorithm)

  • 오광석;서자호;이근호
    • 드라이브 ㆍ 컨트롤
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.8-13
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    • 2018
  • This paper presents a phase portrait analysis-based safety control algorithm for excavators, using adaptive sliding mode control. Since working postures and material types cause the excavator's rotational inertia to vary, the rotational inertia was estimated, and this estimation was used to design an adaptive sliding mode controller for collision avoidance of the excavator. In order to estimate the rotational inertia, the recursive least-squares estimation with multiple forgetting was applied with the information of the swing velocity of the excavator. For realistic evaluation, an actual working scenario-based performance evaluation was conducted. Based on the estimated rotational inertia and an analysis of estimation errors, sliding mode control inputs were computed. The actual working scenario-based performance evaluation of the designed safety algorithm was conducted, and the results showed that the developed safety control algorithm can efficiently avoid a collision with an object in consideration of rotational inertia variations.