• Title/Summary/Keyword: SVM-NNM

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The Optimal Hydrologic Forecasting System for Abnormal Storm due to Climate Change in the River Basin (하천유역에서 기후변화에 따른 이상호우시의 최적 수문예측시스템)

  • Kim, Seong-Won;Kim, Hyeong-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.2193-2196
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    • 2008
  • In this study, the new methodology such as support vector machines neural networks model (SVM-NNM) using the statistical learning theory is introduced to forecast flood stage in Nakdong river, Republic of Korea. The SVM-NNM in hydrologic time series forecasting is relatively new, and it is more problematic in comparison with classification. And, the multilayer perceptron neural networks model (MLP-NNM) is introduced as the reference neural networks model to compare the performance of SVM-NNM. And, for the performances of the neural networks models, they are composed of training, cross validation, and testing data, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of the SVM-NNM and the MLP-NNM for the forecasting of the hydrologic time series in Nakdong river. Furthermore, we can suggest the new methodology to forecast the flood stage and construct the optimal forecasting system in Nakdong river, Republic of Korea.

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Pan Evaporation Analysis using Nonlinear Disaggregation Model (비선형 분리모형에 의한 증발접시 증발량의 해석)

  • Kim, Seong-Won;Kim, Jeong-Heon;Park, Gi-Beom
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1147-1150
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    • 2008
  • The goal of this research is to apply the neural networks models for the disaggregation of the pan evaporation (PE) data, Republic of Korea. The neural networks models consist of the support vector machines neural networks model (SVM-NNM) and multilayer perceptron neural networks model (MLP-NNM), respectively. The SVM-NNM in time series modeling is relatively new and it is more problematic in comparison with classifications. In this study, The disaggregation means that the yearly PE data divides into the monthly PE data. And, for the performances of the neural networks models, they are composed of training, cross validation, and testing data, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of the SVM-NNM and the MLP-NNM for the disaggregation of the nonlinear time series data. We should, furthermore, construct the credible data of the monthly PE data from the disaggregation of the yearly PE data, and can suggest the methodology for the irrigation and drainage networks system.

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Disaggregation Approach of the Pan Evaporation using SVM-NNM (SVM-NNM을 이용한 증발접시 증발량자료의 분해기법)

  • Kim, Seong-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1560-1563
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    • 2010
  • The goal of this research is to apply the neural networks model for the disaggregation of the pan evaporation (PE) data, Republic of Korea. The neural networks model consists of support vector machine neural networks model (SVM-NNM). The disaggregation means that the yearly PE data divides into the monthly PE data. And, for the performances of the neural networks model, it is composed of training and test performances, respectively. The training and test performances consist of the historic, the generated, and the mixed data, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of SVM-NNM for the disaggregation of the nonlinear time series data. We should, furthermore, construct the credible data of the monthly PE from the disaggregation of the yearly PE data, and can suggest the methodology for the irrigation and drainage networks system.

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Hydrologic Disaggregation Model using Neural Networks Technique (신경망기법을 이용한 수문학적 분해모형)

  • Kim, Sung-Won
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.79-97
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this research is to apply the neural networks models for the hydrologic disaggregation of the yearly pan evaporation(PE) data in Republic of Korea. The neural networks models consist of multilayer perceptron neural networks model(MLP-NNM) and support vector machine neural networks model(SVM-NNM), respectively. And, for the evaluation of the neural networks models, they are composed of training and test performances, respectively. The three types of data such as the historic, the generated, and the mixed data are used for the training performance. The only historic data, however, is used for the testing performance. The application of MLP-NNM and SVM-NNM for the hydrologic disaggregation of nonlinear time series data is evaluated from results of this research. Four kinds of the statistical index for the evaluation are suggested; CC, RMSE, E, and AARE, respectively. Homogeneity test using ANOVA and Mann-Whitney U test, furthermore, is carried out for the observed and calculated monthly PE data. We can construct the credible monthly PE data from the hydrologic disaggregation of the yearly PE data, and the available data for the evaluation of irrigation and drainage networks system can be suggested.

Downscaling Technique of the Monthly Precipitation Data using Support Vector Machine (지지벡터기구를 이용한 월 강우량자료의 Downscaling 기법)

  • Kim, Seong-Won;Kyoung, Min-Soo;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Hyung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.112-115
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    • 2009
  • The research of climate change impact in hydrometeorology often relies on climate change information. In this paper, neural networks models such as support vector machine neural networks model (SVM-NNM) and multilayer perceptron neural networks model (MLP-NNM) are proposed statistical downscaling of the monthly precipitation. The input nodes of neural networks models consist of the atmospheric meteorology and the atmospheric pressure data for 2 grid points including $127.5^{\circ}E/35^{\circ}N$ and $125^{\circ}E/35^{\circ}N$, which produced the best results from the previous study. The output node of neural networks models consist of the monthly precipitation data for Seoul station. For the performances of the neural networks models, they are composed of training and test performances, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of SVM-NNM and MLP-NNM performances for the downscaling of the monthly precipitation data. We should, therefore, construct the credible monthly precipitation data for Seoul station using statistical downscaling method. The proposed methods can be applied to future climate prediction/projection using the various climate change scenarios such as GCMs and RCMs.

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