• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.23-33
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• 2016

This study identified the factors that affect travel time budget by mode for traveler in Seoul using the SUR model. Individual, household and TAZ characteristics were selected as the explanatory variables. Transportation modes are summarized from 18 types to 6 types(walking, personal car, bus, subway, rail and bicycle). The results showed a distinct difference between personal transportation and public transportation. First of all, People who owned a car and driver's licence tend to prefer personal transportation. In addition, we can confirm the relationship between the bus and the subway which are most typical public transportation. Passengers who can available a personal mode preferred the subway than the bus. It is expected to suggest various implications related to the public transportation policy for Seoul metropolitan area.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.72 no.5
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• pp.585-595
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• 2019

Foundations are a vital part of structures. Over time, the foundations can deteriorate due to unforeseen overloads and/or settlements, resulting in the appearance of cracks in the concrete. These cracks produce changes in the static and dynamic behavior of the affected foundation, which alter its load carrying capacity. In this work, non-destructive techniques of relative simplicity of application are presented for the detection, location, and quantification of damage, using numerical models, solved with the finite element method and Power Series. For this, two types of parameters are used: static (displacement and elastic curvature) and dynamics (natural frequencies). In the static analysis, the damage detection is done by means of a finite elements model representing a beam supported on an elastic foundation with a discrete crack that varies in length and location. With regard to dynamic analysis, the governing equations of the model are presented and a method based on Power Series is used to obtain the solution for a data set, which could be the Winkler coefficient, the location of the crack or the frequency. In order to validate the proposed methodologies, these techniques are applied to data obtained from laboratory tests.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.22 no.1_2
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• pp.3-55
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• 2000

본 연구는 세입증가율 예측을 위해 사용되는 각종 세수추계모형의 예측능력을 상호비교하는 데 목적이 있다. 본 연구에서 고려하는 세수추계 방식은 네 가지이다. 첫째는 단순 ECM 모형으로서 오차수정모형(error correction model)을 각각의 세목에 적용하여 세수를 예측하는 것이다. 둘째는 SUR-ECM 모형으로서 단순 ECM 모형의 개별 회귀방정식을 통합하여 SUR(Seemingly Unrelated Regression) 방식으로 추정한 후 이를 이용하여 세수를 예측하는 것이다. 셋째와 넷째는 흔히 사용되는 탄성치 방식으로서, 과거의 연도별 탄성치를 5년간 또는 10년간 평균하여 이를 바탕으로 향후의 세수를 예측하는 것이다. 이러한 모형비교를 통해 얻은 결과는 다음과 같이 요약될 수 있다. 첫째, 단순 ECM 모형과 5년 평균 탄성치 모형은 예측력에 있어 큰 차이가 없다. 둘째, SUR-ECM 모형과 10년 평균 탄성치 모형은 예측력에 있어 큰 차이가 없다. 셋째, 단순 ECM 모형보다는 SUR-ECM 모형의 예측력이 높으며, 5년 평균 탄성치 모형보다는 10년 평균 탄성치 모형의 예측력이 높다. 넷째, 어느 경우에든 예측 오차가 상당히 크고 이러한 오차는 예측시계가 넓어질수록 커진다. 예를 들어, 5년 후의 세수에 대한 예측치는 평균적으로 오차의 절대값이 10% 수준에 이른다. 탄성치 모형이 단순 ECM 모형이나 SUR-ECM 모형에 비해 그리 나쁜 예측결과를 낳지 않는다는 것은 새로운 사실이다. 또한 5년 평균 탄성치보다 10년 평균 탄성치를 사용하는 것이 더 나은 예측치를 낳는다는 것은 세수예측에 있어 최근의 자료만을 사용하는 것보다는 과거 꽤 오랜 기간의 자료를 사용하는 것이 바람직하다는 점을 시사한다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.6
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• pp.991-1002
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• 2014

Both Bayesian and maximum likelihood methods are efficient for the estimation of regression coefficients of various Tobit regression models (see. e.g. Chib, 1992; Greene, 1990; Lee and Choi, 2013); however, some researchers recognized that the maximum likelihood method tends to underestimate the disturbance variance, which has implications for the estimation of marginal effects and the asymptotic standard error of estimates. The underestimation of the maximum likelihood estimate in a seemingly unrelated Tobit regression model is examined. A Bayesian method based on an objective noninformative prior is shown to provide proper estimates of the disturbance variance as well as other regression parameters

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.10 no.4
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• pp.414-426
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• 2007

The purpose of this study is to analyze whether the spatial externalities of agglomeration economy of manufacturing has been changed or not, from 1991 to 2005. To find this spatial SUR model was used to consider covariance of each equation and it was estimated by 3SLS. This paper found that spatial externalities has been decreased and there is economy of scale in same sector. As a result, we can conclude that there is industrial specialization in region whereas interregional linkage are weaken. This finding supports the desirability of creating supra-regional agencies promoting interregional linkage because supra-regional agencies can internalize spatial externality of agglomeration economy.

• Korea Trade Review
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• v.44 no.2
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• pp.51-62
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• 2019

This study predicts the future world seaborne trade volume with econometrics methods using 23-year time series data provided by Clarksons. For this purpose, this study uses simple regression analysis, exponential smoothing method and seemingly unrelated regression model (SUR Model). This study is meaningful in that it predicts worldwide total seaborne trade volume and seaborne traffic in four major items (container, bulk, crude oil, and LNG) from 2019 to 2023 as there are few prior studies that predict future seaborne traffic using recent data. It is expected that more useful references can be provided to trade related workers if the analysis period was increased and additional variables could be included in future studies.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.66 no.6
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• pp.703-711
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• 2018

In this paper is studied the effect of considering the theory of Timoshenko in the vibration of AFG beams that support ground masses. As it is known, Timoshenko theory takes into account the shear deformation and the rotational inertia, provides more accurate results in the general study of beams and is mandatory in the case of high frequencies or non-slender beams. The Rayleigh-Ritz Method is employed to obtain approximated solutions of the problem. The accuracy of the procedure is verified through results available in the literature that can be represented by the model under study. The incidence of the Timoshenko theory is analyzed for different cases of beam slenderness, variation of its cross section and compositions of its constituent material, as well as different amounts and positions of the attached masses.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.61 no.5
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• pp.685-691
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• 2017

The free transverse vibrations of axially functionally graded (AFG) cantilever beams with concentrated masses attached at different points are studied in this paper. The material properties of the AFG beam, consisting of metal and ceramic, vary continuously in the axial direction according to an established law form. Approximated solutions for the title problem are obtained by means of the Ritz Method. The influence of the material variation on the natural frequencies of vibration of the functionally graded beam is investigated and compared with the influence of the variation of the cross section. The phenomenon of dynamic stiffening of beams can be observed in various situations. The accuracy of the procedure is verified through results available in the literature that can be represented by the model under study.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.65 no.1
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• pp.1-7
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• 2018

This paper reviews the mechanical effects produced by reinforcement corrosion of prestressed concrete beams. Specifically, modifications in the bonding of the tendon to the concrete that reduce service life and load bearing capacity are studied. Experimental information gathered from previous works has been used for the theoretical analysis. Relationships between bond stress loss and reinforcement penetration in the concrete, and concrete external cracking were established. Also, it was analysed the influence that has the location of the area affected by corrosion on the loss magnitude of the initial prestress.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.231-245
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• 2010

Vibration analysis of rotating beams is a topic of constant interest in mechanical engineering. The differential quadrature method (DQM) is used to obtain the natural frequencies of free transverse vibration of rotating beams. As it is known the DQM offers an accurate and useful method for solution of differential equations. And it is an effective technique for solving this kind of problems as it is shown comparing the obtained results with those available in the open literature and with those obtained by an independent solution using the finite element method. The beam model is based on the Timoshenko beam theory.