• Title/Summary/Keyword: SD model

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System Dynamics Approach to Epidemic Compartment Model: Translating SEIR Model for MERS Transmission in South Korea (전염병 구획 모형에 대한 시스템다이내믹스 접근법: 국내 MERS 전염 SEIR 모형의 해석 및 변환)

  • Jung, Jae Un
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.259-265
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    • 2018
  • Compartment models, a type of mathematical model, have been widely applied to characterize the changes in a dynamic system with sequential events or processes, such as the spread of an epidemic disease. A compartment model comprises compartments, and the relations between compartments are depicted as boxes and arrows. This principle is similar to that of the system dynamics (SD) approach to constructing a simulation model with stocks and flows. In addition, both models are structured using differential equations. With this mutual and translatable principle, this study, in terms of SD, translates a reference SEIR model, which was developed in a recent study to characterize the transmission of the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) in South Korea. Compared to the replicated result of the reference SEIR model (Model 1), the translated SEIR model (Model 2) demonstrates the same simulation result (error=0). The results of this study provide insight into the application of SD relative to constructing an epidemic compartment model using schematization and differential equations. The translated SD artifact can be used as a reference model for other epidemic diseases.

Development of HPCI Prediction Model for Concrete Pavement Using Expressway PMS Database (고속도로 PMS D/B를 활용한 콘크리트 포장 상태지수(HPCI) 예측모델 개발 연구)

  • Suh, Young-Chan;Kwon, Sang-Hyun;Jung, Dong-Hyuk;Jeong, Jin-Hoon;Kang, Min-Soo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.83-95
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    • 2017
  • PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to develop a regression model to predict the International Roughness Index(IRI) and Surface Distress(SD) for the estimation of HPCI using Expressway Pavement Management System(PMS). METHODS : To develop an HPCI prediction model, prediction models of IRI and SD were developed in advance. The independent variables considered in the models were pavement age, Annual Average Daily Traffic Volume(AADT), the amount of deicing salt used, the severity of Alkali Silica Reaction(ASR), average temperature, annual temperature difference, number of days of precipitation, number of days of snowfall, number of days below zero temperature, and so on. RESULTS : The present IRI, age, AADT, annual temperature differential, number of days of precipitation and ASR severity were chosen as independent variables for the IRI prediction model. In addition, the present IRI, present SD, amount of deicing chemical used, and annual temperature differential were chosen as independent variables for the SD prediction model. CONCLUSIONS : The models for predicting IRI and SD were developed. The predicted HPCI can be calculated from the HPCI equation using the predicted IRI and SD.

A SD approach to the Efficiency Improvement of Electric Power Industry in Korea -Focused on the Nuclear Industry (국내 전력산업의 효율성 제고모형에 대한 SD 모형 연구 - 원자력산업을 중심으로)

  • Heo, Hoon;Lee, Myung-Ho
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.153-171
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    • 2003
  • In this study, we tried to build a model which can deal with the efficient and effective operation of electric power industry, especially focused on the nuclear industry. Here, SD(system Dynamics) approach is used to visualize the underlying phenomenon of the nuclear power industry. SD is a methodology for studying and managing complex feedback systems, such as one finds in business and other social systems, The span of SD applications has grown extensively and now encompasses work in corporate planning and policy design, public management and policy, biological and medical modeling, energy and the environment. Recently, according to the report from KEPCO(Korea Electric Power Corporation), they are considering delaying a new power plant construction. It may be based upon business fluctuation downsized from Korean economic crisis in 1997 and freezing of construction funds due to unstable foreign exchange rate. At this point, we need desperately a kind of strategic model that would contribute to cope with the current business situation, energy generation, Production, and resulting Pollution. Specifically, this model, using SD approach, starts with the detailed drawing of influence diagram, which describes those relevant key points on nuclear power generation systems in electric power industry of Korea. These include such (actors as the operation of nuclear industry and parameters related to the decision making for business policy. Based upon the above-mentioned influence diagram drawn, we developed SD simulation model to evaluate and analyze strategic management of KBPCO. Based on our analysis, we could demonstrate how simulation model can be applied to the real electric power generation in Korea.

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A SD approach to the Efficiency Improvement of Electric Power Industry in Korea: Focused on the Nuclear Industry (시스템 다이내믹스(SD)에 의한 국내 전력산업의 효율성 제고에 관한 연구: 원자력산업을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Myoung-Ho;Lee, Hee-Sang;Jang, In-Sung;Choi, Bong-Sik;Huh, Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 2001
  • In this study, we tried to build a model which can deal with the efficient and effective operation of electric power industry, especially focused on the nuclear industry. Here, SD (System Dynamics) approach is used to visualize the underlying phenomenon of the nuclear power industry. SD is a methodology for studying and managing complex feedback systems, such as one finds in business and other social systems. The spend of SD applications has grown extensively and now encompasses work in corporate planning and policy design, public management and policy, biological and medical modeling, energy and the environment. Recently, according to the report from KEPCO (Korea Electric Power Corporation), they are considering delaying a new power plant construction. It may be based upon business fluctuation downsized from Korean economic crisis in 1997 and freezing of construction funds due to unstable foreign exchange rate. At this point, we need disparately a kind of strategic model that would contribute to cope with the current business situation, energy generation, production, and resulting pollution. Specifically, this model, using SD approach, starts with the detailed drawing of influence diagram, which describes those relevant key points on nuclear power generation systems in electric power industry of Korea. These include such factors as the operation of nuclear industry and parameters related to the decision making for business policy. Based upon the above-mentioned influence diagram drawn, we developed SD simulation model to evaluate and analyze strategic management of KEPCO. Based on our analysis, we could demonstrate how simulation model can be applied to the real electric power generation in Korea.

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Performance Evaluation of Real-Time Transaction Processing in a Shared Disk Cluster (공유 디스크 클러스터에서 실시간 트랜잭션 처리의 성능 평가)

  • Lee Sangho;Ohn Kyungoh;Cho Haengrae
    • Journal of KIISE:Databases
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.142-150
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    • 2005
  • A shared disks (SD) cluster couples multiple computing nodes, and every node shares a common database at the disk level. A great deal of research indicates that the SD cluster is suitable to high performance transaction processing, but the aggregation of SD cluster with real-time processing has not been investigated at all. A real-time transaction has not only ACID properties of traditional transactions but also time constraints. By adopting cluster technology, the real-time services will be highly available and can exploit inter-node parallelism. In this paper, we first develop an experiment model of an SD-based real-time database system (SD-RTDBS). Then we investigate the feasibility of real-time transaction processing in the SD cluster using the experiment model. We also evaluate the cross effect of real-time transaction processing algorithms and SD cluster algorithms under a wide variety of database workloads.

Effect of Silver sulfadiazine on the Skin Cell Proliferation and Wound Healing Process in Hairless Mouse 2nd degree Burn Model (설파디아진은의 피부세포 증식 및 화상모델에 있어서의 상처치유과정에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Ae-Ri
    • Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.113-117
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    • 2002
  • Cyto-toxic effect of silver sulfadiazine (Ag-SD) on keratinocytes and its implication on wound healing process were investigated in $2^{nd}$ degree bum hairless mouse model. As a dermal model, HaCat (immortalized keratinocytes) monolayer culture in DMEM with 10% FBS was used. Cyto-toxicity of Ag-SD was estimated by measuring the cell viability using neutral red assay after adding the drug. The $2^{nd}$ degree bum was prepared on hairless mouse back skin (1 cm diameter) and dressings with Ag-SD were applied for 96 hr. The process of re-epithelialization and the presence of inflammatory cells were investigated and histology with Hematoxylin-Eosin staining was performed. Ag-SD displayed highly cyto-toxic effect on cultured HaCat cells in a concentration dependent manner $(1-100\;{\mu}g/mL)$. Topical application of Ag-SD (2%) could control the infection: no inflammatory cells were observed in histology. However the cyto-toxic effect of Ag-SD on skin cells induced the impairment in epidermal regeneration.

Hematological Reference Values in the Healthy Adults (건강성인의 혈구 참고치 산정)

  • Kim, Young-Jin;Hyun, Myung-Soo;Lee, Hyun-Woo
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.154-165
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    • 1991
  • To establish the hematological reference values in the healthy adults visited our hospitals, following examination were done on 2823 persons by Coulter Counter Model S-plus II ; white blood cell count: (WBC), red blood cell count(RBC), hemoglobin(Hb), hematocrit(Hct), mean corpuscular volume (MCV), mean corpuscular hemoglobin(MCH), mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration(MCHC), red cell distribution width(RDW), platelet, plateletcrit, mean platelet volume(MPV) and platelet distribution width(PDW). The following results are obtained. 1) Male, mean value of WBC ; $6,800{\pm}2,680(2SD)/{\mu}l$ Female, mean value of WBC ; $5,950{\pm}2,380(2SD)/{\mu}l$ 2) Male, mean value of RBC ; $428{\pm}60(2SD){\times}10^4/{\mu}l$ Female, mean value of WBC ; $415{\pm}56(2SD){\times}10^4/{\mu}l$ 3) Male, mean value of Hb ; $15.4{\pm}1.8(2SD)g/dL$ Female, mean value of Hb ; $13.0{\pm}1.6(2SD)g/dL$ 4) Male, mean value of Hct ; $45.3{\pm}5.0(2SD)%$ Female, mean value of Hct ; $38.2{\pm}4.6(2SD)%$ 5) Male, mean value of MCV ; $93.8{\pm}5.8(2SD)fL$ Female, mean value of MCV ; $92.2{\pm}7.4(2SD)fL$ 6) Male, mean value of MCH ; $31.8{\pm}2.2(250)pg$ Female, mean value of MCH ; $31.4{\pm}2.8(2SD)pg$ 7) Male, mean value of MCHC ; $34.0{\pm}1.2(2SD)%$ Female, mean value of MCHC ; $33.9{\pm}1.2(2SD)%$ 8) Male, mean value of RDW ; $12.7{\pm}1.0(2SD)%$ Female, mean value of RDW ; $12.6{\pm}1.4(2SD)%$ 9) Male, mean value of Platelet ; $242.9{\pm}87.8(2SD){\times}10^3/{\mu}l$ Female, mean value of Platelet ; $242.2{\pm}89.0(2SD){\times}10^3/{\mu}l$ 10) Male, mean value of Plateletcrit ; $0.201{\pm}0.076(2SD)%$ Female, mean value of Plateletcrit ; $0.204{\pm}0.076(2SD)%$ 11) Male, mean value of MPV ; $8.20{\pm}1.70(2SD)fl$ Female, mean value of MPV ; $8.36{\pm}1.82(2SD)fl$ 12) Male, mean value of PDW ; $16.1{\pm}0.8(2SD)%$ Female, mean value of PDW ; $16.0{\pm}0.8(2SD)%$.

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Daily change and acoustical characteristics of underwater noise on a submerged sea tunnel in Jinhae Bay, Korea (진해만 침매터널 상부의 수중소음의 일변화 및 음향적 특성)

  • SHIN, Hyeon-Ok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.461-473
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    • 2015
  • Jinhae Bay located in the southern of Korean Peninsular is an important spawning area in Korea. By some preliminary studies it was measured several times that adult Pacific codes (Gadus microcephalus) were passed (swimming layer: 15 to 18 m) over a submerged sea tunnel (sea bottom: about 30 m) rather than another immigration route when the Pacific codes were tagged surgically with an acoustic transmitters and released inside of the Bay. There is a possibility that the Pacific codes and the other fishes use the route on the sea tunnel as an immigration route are affected by a human-generated underwater noise around the sea tunnel due to the sea tunnel traffic. On this study the 25-hour measurements of the underwater noise level by water layer were conducted with a hydrophone attached on a portable CTD and an underwater noise level meter during four seasons, and the acoustical characteristics of the underwater noise was analyzed. The mean traffic volume for one hour at the sea tunnel on the spring was shown the largest value of 1,408 [standard deviation (SD): 855] vehicles among four seasons measurement. The next one was ordered on the autumn [1,145 (SD: 764)], winter [947 (SD: 598)] and summer [931 (SD: 558)] vehicles. Small size vehicle was formed 84.3% of the traffic volume, and ultra-small size, medium size, large size and extra-large size of the vehicle were taken possession of 8.7%, 3.2%, 2.0% and 1.8%, respectively. On the daily change of the noise level in vertical during four seasons the noise level of 5 m-layer was shown the highest value of 121.2 (SD: 3.6) dB (re $1{\mu}Pa$), the next one was 10 m-layer [120.7 (SD: 3.5)], 2 m- and 15 m-layer [120.3 (SD: 3.5 to 3.7)] and 1 m-layer [119.2 (SD: 3.6)] dB (re $1{\mu}Pa$). In relation with the seasonal change of the noise level the average noise level measured during autumn was shown the highest value of 123.9 (SD: 2.6) dB (re $1{\mu}Pa$), the next was during summer [121.4 (SD: 3.2)], spring [118.0 (SD: 3.4)] and winter [116.5 (SD: 5.1)] dB (re $1{\mu}Pa$). In results of eigenray computation when the real bathymetry data (complicate shape of sea bed) was applied the average number of eigenray was 2.68 times (eigenrays: 11.03 rays) higher than those of model bathymetry (flat and slightly sloped sea bottom). When the real bathymetric data toward inside (water depth becomes shallow according to a distance between the source of noise and hydrophone) of the Bay was applied on the eigenrays calculation the number of the eigenray was 1.31 times (eigenrays: 12.49 rays) larger than the real bathymetric data toward outside (water depth becomes deep with respect to the distance). But when the model bathymetric data toward inside of the Bay was applied the number of the eigenray was 1.05 times (eigenrays: 4.21 rays) larger than the model bathymetric data toward outside.

A murine periodontitis model using coaggregation between human pathogens and a predominant mouse oral commensal bacterium

  • Liu, Mengmeng;Choi, Youngnim
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.141-154
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: C57BL/6 mice, which are among the most common backgrounds for genetically engineered mice, are resistant to the induction of periodontitis by oral infection with periodontal pathogens. This study aimed to develop a periodontitis model in C57BL/6 mice using coaggregation between human pathogens and the mouse oral commensal Streptococcus danieliae (Sd). Methods: The abilities of Porphyromonas gingivalis ATCC 33277 (Pg33277), P. gingivalis ATCC 49417 (Pg49417), P. gingivalis KUMC-P4 (PgP4), Fusobacterium nucleatum subsp. nucleatum ATCC 25586 (Fnn), and F. nucleatum subsp. animalis KCOM 1280 (Fna) to coaggregate with Sd were tested by a sedimentation assay. The Sd-noncoaggregating Pg33277 and 2 Sd-coaggregating strains, PgP4 and Fna, were chosen for animal experiments. Eighty C57BL/6 mice received oral gavage with Sd once and subsequently received vehicle alone (sham), Fna, Pg33277, PgP4, or Fna+PgP4 6 times at 2-day intervals. Mice were evaluated at 5 or 8 weeks after the first gavage of human strains. Results: Fnn, Fna, and PgP4 efficiently coaggregated with Sd, but Pg33277 and Pg49417 did not. Alveolar bone loss was significantly higher in the PgP4 group at both time points (weeks 5 and 8) and in all experimental groups at week 8 compared with the sham group. The PgP4 group presented greater alveolar bone loss than the other experimental groups at both time points. A higher degree of alveolar bone loss accompanied higher bacterial loads in the oral cavity, the invasion of not only PgP4 but also Sd and Fna, and the serum antibody responses to these bacteria. Conclusions: Periodontitis was successfully induced in C57BL/6 mice by oral infection with a P. gingivalis strain that persists in the oral cavity through coaggregation with a mouse oral commensal bacterium. This new model will be useful for studying the role of human oral bacteria-host interactions in periodontitis using genetically engineered mice.

A System Dynamics Model for Evaluation of Maintenance Cost Policy in Deteriorated School Building (노후 학교건물의 유지관리비용 정책 평가를 위한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델)

  • Kang, Suhyun;Kim, Sangyong
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.35 no.12
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    • pp.181-188
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    • 2019
  • The maintenance of school building is pivotal issue. However, it is difficult to obtain basic analysis data for LCC(Lifecycle Cost) analysis and maintenance planning of school building. Therefore, this study proposed System Dynamics(SD) techniques to make maintenance decisions for school building. The interaction between the major parameters related to the aging of a building, maintenance activities, and cost were expressed in Causal Loop Diagram. Based on this, the formula for the relationship between causal maps was defined and converted to Stock and Flow Diagram. Through the completed SD model the 50-year plan of 214 educational building were tested by considered in account budget, maintainability, and budget allocation opinions. As a result, the integrated SD model demonstrated that it can support strategic decision making by identifying the status class and LCC behavior of school buildings by scenario. According to the scenario analysis, the rehabilitation action of preventive maintenance that primarily repairs the buildings in condition grade C showed the best performance improvement effect relative to the cost. Therefore, if the proposed SD model is expanded to consider the effects of other educational policies, the crucial performance improvement budget can be estimated in the long-term perspective.