• Title/Summary/Keyword: SCEM-UA

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Optimization of PRISM parameters using the SCEM-UA algorithm for gridded daily time series precipitation (시계열 강수량 공간화를 위한 SCEM-UA 기반의 PRISM 매개변수 최적화)

  • Kim, Yong-Tak;Park, Moonhyung;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.10
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    • pp.903-915
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    • 2020
  • Long-term high-resolution hydro-meteorological data has been recognized as an essential element in establishing the water resources plan. The increasing demand for spatial precipitation in various areas such as climate, hydrology, geography, ecology, and environment is apparent. However, potential limitations of the existing area-weighted and numerical interpolation methods for interpolating precipitation in high altitude areas remains less explored. The proposed PRISM (Precipitation-Elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) model can produce gridded precipitation that can adequately consider topographic characteristics (e.g., slope and altitude), which are not substantially included in the existing interpolation techniques. In this study, the PRISM model was optimized with SCEM-UA (Shuffled Complex Evolution Metropolis-University of Arizona) to produce daily gridded precipitation. As a result, the minimum impact radius was calculated 9.10 km and the maximum 34.99 km. The altitude of coastal weighted was 681.03 m, the minimum and maximum distances from coastal were 9.85 km and 38.05 km. The distance weighting factor was calculated to be about 0.87, confirming that the PRISM result was very sensitive to distance. The results showed that the proposed PRISM model could reproduce the observed statistical properties reasonably well.

A correlation analysis between state variables of rainfall-runoff model and hydrometeorological variables (강우-유출 모형의 상태변수와 수문기상변량과의 상관성 분석)

  • Shim, Eunjeung;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Lee, Yearin;Moon, Young-Il;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.12
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    • pp.1295-1304
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    • 2021
  • For the efficient use and management of water resources, a reliable rainfall-runoff analysis is necessary. Still, continuous hydrological data and rainfall-runoff data are insufficient to secure through measurements and models. In particular, as part of the reasonable improvement of a rainfall-runoff model in the case of an ungauged watershed, regionalization is being used to transfer the parameters necessary for the model application to the ungauged watershed. In this study, the GR4J model was selected, and the SCEM-UA method was used to optimize parameters. The rainfall-runoff model for the analysis of the correlation between watershed characteristics and parameters obtained through the model was regionalized by the Copula function, and rainfall-runoff analysis with the regionalized parameters was performed on the ungauged watershed. In the process, the intermediate state variables of the rainfall-runoff model were extracted, and the correlation analysis between water level and the ground water level was investigated. Furthermore, in the process of rainfall-runoff analysis, the Standardized State variable Drought Index (SSDI) was calculated by calculating and indexing the state variables of the GR4J model. and the calculated SSDI was compared with the standardized Precipitation index (SPI), and the hydrological suitability evaluation of the drought index was performed to confirm the possibility of drought monitoring and application in the ungauged watershed.

A Study on the Regionalization of Rainfall-Runoff Model Considering the Interrelationship between Parameters and Watershed Characteristics (매개변수와 유역특성인자의 상호연관성을 고려한 강우-유출 모형 지역화에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Guk;Son, Kyung-Hwan;Hong, Sung-Hoon;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.311-311
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    • 2020
  • 가뭄·홍수 등 수재해 대응대책 수립 측면에서 유역의 자연유출량 산정은 가장 핵심적인 사항이라 할 수 있다. 우리나라는 전국적으로 수위-유량관측소를 설치하여 실시간 유출량 모니터링을 통해 수문정보를 수집하며, 주요지점을 제외한 유역에서는 주기적으로 강우-유출모형의 매개변수 최적화를 통해 산정된 장기유출량 결과를 자연유출으로 가정하여 수자원 계획 수립시 활용하고 있다. 그러나 강우-유출모형의 최적 매개변수 추정을 위해 활용되는 관측 수문자료는 상대적으로 자료의 연한이 짧고, 계절·공간적인 특성으로 인해 매우 제한적이며, 유역의 특성을 충분히 고려하지 못해 미계측유역의 매개변수 추정시 모형의 자료에서 기인한 불확실성이 크게 발생한다는 단점이 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 관측자료에 대한 신뢰성이 유의하며, 공간적으로 고르게 분포된 12개 댐 유역을 대상으로 매개변수 지역화 연구를 수행하였다. SCEM-UA기법을 통해 GR4J 강우-유출모형의 매개변수를 최적화 하였으며, 매개변수와의 상관관계 및 선형회귀분석을 통해 유역특성인자를 선별하여 Copula 함수를 통해 지역화된 매개변수를 추정하였다. 최종적으로 본 연구에서 제시된 방법론에 대한 적합성을 평가하기 위하여 매개변수 최적화가 수행된 유역을 미계측 유역으로 가정하여 교차검증 관점에서 적합성을 검토하였으며, 통계적으로 유의한 결과가 도출되는 것을 확인하였다.

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A Development of Hydrological Model Calibration Technique Considering Seasonality via Regional Sensitivity Analysis (지역적 민감도 분석을 이용하여 계절성을 고려한 수문 모형 보정 기법 개발)

  • Lee, Ye-Rin;Yu, Jae-Ung;Kim, Kyungtak;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.337-352
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    • 2023
  • In general, Rainfall-Runoff model parameter set is optimized using the entire data to calculate unique parameter set. However, Korea has a large precipitation deviation according to the season, and it is expected to even worsen due to climate change. Therefore, the need for hydrological data considering seasonal characteristics. In this study, we conducted regional sensitivity analysis(RSA) using the conceptual Rainfall-Runoff model, GR4J aimed at the Soyanggang dam basin, and clustered combining the RSA results with hydrometeorological data using Self-Organizing map(SOM). In order to consider the climate characteristics in parameter estimation, the data was divided based on clustering, and a calibration approach of the Rainfall-Runoff model was developed by comparing the objective functions of the Global Optimization method. The performance of calibration was evaluated by statistical techniques. As a result, it was confirmed that the model performance during the Cold period(November~April) with a relatively low flow rate was improved. This is expected to improve the performance and predictability of the hydrological model for areas that have a large precipitation deviation such as Monsoon climate.