• 제목/요약/키워드: S-curve analysis

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Expected Future Market Volume of HTS Equipment in South Korea

  • Yoon, Jae-Young;Lee, Seung-Ryul;Yang, B.;Lee, Seung-Yeup;Won, Young-Jin
    • Journal of Magnetics
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.129-133
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    • 2011
  • This paper shows the entire future market volume of the HTS power industry, one of main smart grid equipment, in the case of the final market penetration ratio reaching 100% in the domestic market (South Korea). In this paper, the market penetration ratio is determined using the judgment method, with the market penetration S-curve induced using the Delphi method and the Product Life Cycle from 2011 (supposed launching year, not realistic physical year), to 2050 (expected final target year). This paper analyzes the HTS market penetration ratio of each stage, apparent innovation, early adapters, and the early/late majority and laggard stage, using the S-curve, thus calculating the total future market volume of HTS equipment in the positive sense. Finally, this paper estimates the quantitative analysis results for the HTS4-items (cable, FCL, transformer, rotation machine) of each year within the domestic market.

A Quantitative Assessment on a Tension of Securing Rope to evade Marine Accidents caused by Improper Cargo-Securing

  • Kim, Young-Du
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.297-302
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    • 2015
  • To prevent cargo accidents by repeated loads, a continuous monitoring for securing rope or additional safety measures are needed, but most of prevention measures have been conducted only by operator's own experience not a quantitative assessment. Hence, the Load-Displacement curve and approximation formula of securing rope were drawn in this research for a quantitative assessment and simplified measurement on a tension of securing rope using a tensiometer. Moreover, a com parison was conducted between m easuring tension and calculated tension on securing rope with portable tensiometer, 'Load-Displacement' approximation formula. The calculated tension of securing rope is obtained 153.3kfg using the formula and that result has not much difference with initial tension 150.0kgf. Lastly, an analysis of the characteristics of various ropes was suggested to enhance the reliability about quantitative assessment of securing rope's tension through further research.

Transition from Conventional to Reduced-Port Laparoscopic Gastrectomy to Treat Gastric Carcinoma: a Single Surgeon's Experience from a Small-Volume Center

  • Kim, Ho Goon;Kim, Dong Yi;Jeong, Oh
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.172-181
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study aimed to evaluate the surgical outcomes and investigate the feasibility of reduced-port laparoscopic gastrectomy using learning curve analysis in a small-volume center. Materials and Methods: We reviewed 269 patients who underwent laparoscopic distal gastrectomy (LDG) for gastric carcinoma between 2012 and 2017. Among them, 159 patients underwent reduced-port laparoscopic gastrectomy. The cumulative sum technique was used for quantitative assessment of the learning curve. Results: There were no statistically significant differences in the baseline characteristics of patients who underwent conventional and reduced-port LDG, and the operative time did not significantly differ between the groups. However, the amount of intraoperative bleeding was significantly lower in the reduced-port laparoscopic gastrectomy group (56.3 vs. 48.2 mL; P<0.001). There were no significant differences between the groups in terms of the first flatus time or length of hospital stay. Neither the incidence nor the severity of the complications significantly differed between the groups. The slope of the cumulative sum curve indicates the trend of learning performance. After 33 operations, the slope gently stabilized, which was regarded as the breakpoint of the learning curve. Conclusions: The surgical outcomes of reduced-port laparoscopic gastrectomy were comparable to those of conventional laparoscopic gastrectomy, suggesting that transition from conventional to reduced-port laparoscopic gastrectomy is feasible and safe, with a relatively short learning curve, in a small-volume center.

수위-유량관계곡선의 자동구간분할을 위한 변동계수 활용기법의 개선 (Improvement of the Method using the Coefficient of Variation for Automatic Multi-segmentation Method of a Rating Curve)

  • 김연수;김정엽;안현욱;정관수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제48권10호
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    • pp.807-816
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    • 2015
  • 일반적으로 수위-유량관계 곡선식은 선형성과 등분산성 가정을 기반으로 구축되지만, 측정단면의 형태, 단면 상 하류의 지형요인 등으로 인하여 영향을 받기 때문에 실질적인 수위 및 유량의 관계는 관계식 구축에 이용되는 가정에 위배된다. 이로 인한 오차를 줄이기 위하여 곡선식을 분할하여 이용하고 있으나, 측정단면의 변화를 고려한 관계자의 주관적인 판단이 구간분할의 주요 근거로 이용되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이러한 주관성을 배제하고 관측데이터를 기반으로 객관화된 분할근거를 제시하고자 한다. 곡선식의 구간 분할을 위하여 변동계수를 이용한 기존의 연구를 바탕으로 변동계수가 정규분포를 따르는 것으로 가정하여, 계산된 변동계수가 전 단계에서 계산된 95% 신뢰구간 이내에 존재하지 않는 경우 구간을 분할하였다. 즉, 변동계수를 이용하여 집단 간의 특성을 비교하였으며, 변동계수의 분포를 이용하여 분할을 위한 기준 값을 제시하였다. 방법론의 추정능력 검토를 위하여 가상의 곡선으로부터 생성된 데이터에 제안된 방법론을 적용하였고, 실제유역에 적용성 검토를 위하여 금강에 위치한 무주 및 산계교 수위관측소 지점에 적용하였다. 결과적으로 자동으로 분할된 관계곡선식을 사용하여 추정의 정확도를 높일 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 외삽을 하는 경우 역시 그 정확도를 향상할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 마지막으로 실측값을 활용한 수위-유량관계 곡선식의 구축 시 구간 분할 전 후의 잔차 데이터에 대하여 Shapiro-wilk 정규성 검정을 수행하였으며, 구간분할 후 잔차가 정규성을 갖게 되는 것으로 나타났다.

교란효과와 배수저항을 고려한 연직 배수재의 압밀 거동 (Consolidation Behavior of Vertical Drain in consideration of Smear Effect and Well Resistance)

  • 김태우;강예묵;이달원
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 1998
  • 연직 드레인의 이론식에서 교란효과와 배수저항에 관련된 변수들을 변화시켜 구한 이론곡선과 현장의 실측자료를 쌍곡선, Curve Fitting, Asaoka, Monden방법에 의한 압밀도곡선을 비교 분석하여 다음과 같은 결론을 얻었다. 1. 쌍곡선방법에 의한 압밀도곡선은 Curve Fitting, Asaoka, Monden방법에 의한 압밀도곡선과 비교할 때 압밀도가 과소하게 나타났다. 2. 현장 실측자료로부터 역산한 수평방향 압밀계수($C_h$)와 실내 시험에서 구한 수직 방향 압밀계수($C_v$)의 전체적인 범위는 교란효과와 배수저항을 무시하는 이상적인 경우에서는 $C_h=(0.5{\sim}2.5)C_v$, 교란효과와 배수저항을 고려한 경우에는 $C_h=(2{\sim}3)C_v$의 범위로 나타났다. 3. 역해석에 의한 교란된 지역의 투수계수란된 지역의 투수계수($K_s$)는 비교란지역의 수직투수계수($K_v$)의 1/2로, 교란지역의 직경($d_s$)은 Mendrel직경($d_m$)의 2배일 때 실측침하량에 의한 압밀도 곡선과 유사하게 나타났다. 4. 연직배수재 설계에 따른 배수저항의 영향은 직경감소가 커질수록 압밀이 지연되는 경향을 보였고, 드레인의 투수계수가 작은 경우가 큰 경우 보다 영향이 더 큰 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 감소 직경을 사용하는 설계법은 교란효과와 배수저항의 영향을 고려하는 것이 합리적이다.

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A Logistic Model Including Risk Factors for Lymph Node Metastasis Can Improve the Accuracy of Magnetic Resonance Imaging Diagnosis of Rectal Cancer

  • Ogawa, Shimpei;Itabashi, Michio;Hirosawa, Tomoichiro;Hashimoto, Takuzo;Bamba, Yoshiko;Kameoka, Shingo
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.707-712
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    • 2015
  • Background: To evaluate use of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and a logistic model including risk factors for lymph node metastasis for improved diagnosis. Materials and Methods: The subjects were 176 patients with rectal cancer who underwent preoperative MRI. The longest lymph node diameter was measured and a cut-off value for positive lymph node metastasis was established based on a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. A logistic model was constructed based on MRI findings and risk factors for lymph node metastasis extracted from logistic-regression analysis. The diagnostic capabilities of MRI alone and those of the logistic model were compared using the area under the curve (AUC) of the ROC curve. Results: The cut-off value was a diameter of 5.47 mm. Diagnosis using MRI had an accuracy of 65.9%, sensitivity 73.5%, specificity 61.3%, positive predictive value (PPV) 62.9%, and negative predictive value (NPV) 72.2% [AUC: 0.6739 (95%CI: 0.6016-0.7388)]. Age (<59) (p=0.0163), pT (T3+T4) (p=0.0001), and BMI (<23.5) (p=0.0003) were extracted as independent risk factors for lymph node metastasis. Diagnosis using MRI with the logistic model had an accuracy of 75.0%, sensitivity 72.3%, specificity 77.4%, PPV 74.1%, and NPV 75.8% [AUC: 0.7853 (95%CI: 0.7098-0.8454)], showing a significantly improved diagnostic capacity using the logistic model (p=0.0002). Conclusions: A logistic model including risk factors for lymph node metastasis can improve the accuracy of MRI diagnosis of rectal cancer.

비만하지 않은 성인 남성에서 대사증후군의 대리 표지자로서 감마 글루타밀 전이효소의 임상적 유용성 평가 (Evaluation of Clinical Usefulness of Gamma Glutamyl Transferase as a Surrogate Marker for Metabolic Syndrome in Non Obese Adult Men)

  • 신경아;김은재
    • 융합정보논문지
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    • 제10권12호
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    • pp.146-155
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 대사증후군을 예측하는 대리 표지자로서 감마 글루타밀 전이효소(gamma glutamyl transferase, GGT)의 유용성을 평가하고자 하였다. 20세 이상의 비만하지 않은 남성 7,155명을 연구대상자로 하였다. 대사증후군 진단기준은 NCEP-ATP III (National Cholesterol Education Program - Third Adult Treatment Panel) 기준을 적용하였다. GGT에 따른 대사증후군 발병 위험도는 로지스틱 회귀분석을 적용하였으며, GGT의 대사증후군 위험 예측능력을 확인하기 위해 ROC (receiver operating characteristic) 곡선을 구하였다. 연령과 체질량지수와 무관하게 GGT 1사분위수보다 4사분위수에서 대사증후군 발병위험이 7.09배 높게 나타났다(p<0.001). 대사증후군 진단을 위한 GGT의 곡선아래면적(area under the curve)은 0.715였으며, GGT의 절단값(cut-off value)은 40.0 U/L, 민감도는 65.0%, 특이도 70.2%로 나타났다. 따라서 GGT는 대사증후군을 진단하기 위한 유용한 진단 지표로 판단된다.

TIP 곡선을 이용한 에너지 빈곤구조의 동태적 변화 분석 (Analysis on Dynamic Change in Energy Poverty Structure using TIP curve)

  • 이은솔;송철종
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제22권7호
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    • pp.187-201
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 전체가구, 노인가구, 1인가구의 에너지 빈곤구조의 동태적 변화를 분석하였다. 이를 위해 TIP 곡선을 도출하였으며 에너지 빈곤강도와 빈곤수준의 변화에 집중하였다. 자료는 통계청 가계동향조사의 연료비에 대한 연간자료와 분기자료를 이용하였는데, 4개 분기 중 난방비의 비중이 높아 에너지 빈곤 문제가 두드러질 수 있는 1분기 자료를 이용한 결과를 제시하였다. 분석 결과, 전체 가구를 대상으로 한 분석에서는 시간이 지남에 따른 빈곤강도와 빈곤수준의 개선이 뚜렷하게 나타나지 않았다. 하지만 노인가구와 1인가구를 대상으로 한 분석에서는 시간이 지남에 따라 빈곤강도와 빈곤수준의 개선이 나타났다. 특히, 1분기 자료를 이용한 분석 결과에서 노인가구와 1인가구의 빈곤강도와 빈곤수준이 뚜렷하게 개선되었다. 전체가구에 비해 노인가구와 1인가구의 빈곤강도와 빈곤수준이 크게 나타났으며, 노인가구 보다 1인가구의 에너지 빈곤이 더 심각한 것으로 나타났다.

Analysis of Diethylcarbamazine and Diethylcarbamazine-N-oxide by Gas Chromatography

  • Lee, Suk-Hyang;M.S;Pharm.D
    • Archives of Pharmacal Research
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.475-479
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    • 1996
  • Diethylcarbamazine (DEC, 1-diethylcarbamyl-4-methylpiperazine) is an antiparasitic piperazine derivative used in the treatment of lymphatic filariasis caused by Wuchereria bancrofti, Brugia malayi or grugia timori. DEC-N-oxide is a major metabolite in humans and has antifilarial activity. In carrying out pharmacokinetic studies, gas chromatographic analysis of DEC in plasma can be complicated by the presence of the metabolite, since the thermally unstable DEC-N-oxide is converted back to a material which coelutes with DEC under the conditions of the analysis. We now report a method to separate DEC-N-oxide from DEC in plasma using solid phase extraction with subsequent gas chromatographic analysis using a nitrogen specific detector. One-diethylcarbamyl-4-ethylpiperazine (E-DEC) was the internal standard. The standard curve of DEC was linear in the range of 10 to 200 ng/ml as described by Y=0.0350+0.0128X, $R^2=0.999$. The limit of quantitation was 4 ng/mL. Reproducibility at 10, 100 and 200 ng/mL concentration points of the standard curve gave coefficient variations of 6.1%, 7.8% and 1.6%, respectively. The recovery following solid phase extraction was 99.3% for DEC and 94.8% for the internal standard. This sensitive and specific analytical method is suitable for pharmacokinetic studies of DEC.

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황색종 담배중 전알카로이드와 환원당 분석에 대한 불확도 측정 (Uncertainty of Total Alkaloids and Reducing Sugar Determination in Flue-cured Tobacco)

  • 백순옥;장기철;이운철;한상빈
    • 한국연초학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2001
  • This study was carried out to evaluate the uncertainty in the analysis of total alkaloids and reducing sugar content in flue-cured tobacco. The sources of uncertainty associated with the analysis of total alkaloids and reducing sugar were the weighing of sample, the preparation of extracting solution, the addition of extracting solution into the sample, the preparation of standard solution, the precision of calibration curve for standard solution, the reproducibility of analysis, and the determination of water content in tobacco, etc. For the calculating uncertainties, Type A of uncertainty was evaluated by the statistical analysis of a series of observation, and Type B by the information based on supplier’s catalogue and/or certificated of calibration. It was shown that the main source of uncertainty was caused by the calibration curve of standard solution, the reproducibility of analysis, the volume measurement of 1$m\ell$, and the purity of nicotine reference material in the preparation of standard solution. The uncertainty in the addition of extracting solution, the sample weighing, the volume measurement of 100$m\ell$, and the determination of water content of tobacco contributed relatively little to the overall uncertainty. The expanded uncertainty of total alkaloids and reducing sugar in flue-cured tobacco at 95% level of confidence was $\pm$0.12% and $\pm$0.54%, respectively.

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