• 제목/요약/키워드: Runoff model

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실시간 물 관리 운영을 위한 유역 유출 모의 모형 개발 (Development of Basin-wide runoff Analysis Model for Integrated Real-time Water Management)

  • 황만하;맹승진;고익환;박정인;류소라
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2003년도 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.507-510
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    • 2003
  • The development of a basin-wide runoff analysis model is to analysis monthly and daily hydrologic runoff components including surface runoff, subsurface runoff, return flow, etc. at key operation station in the targeted basin. A short-term water demand forecasting technology will be developed taking into account the patterns of municipal, industrial and agricultural water uses. For the development and utilization of runoff analysis model, relevant basin information including historical precipitation and river water stage data, geophysical basin characteristics, and water intake and consumptions needs to be collected and stored into the hydrologic database of Integrated Real-time Water Information System. The well-known SSARR model was selected for the basis of continuous daily runoff model for forecasting short and long-term natural flows.

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계절유역 모형을 사용한 유량의 공간적분포 결정 (Areal Distribution of Runoff Volume by Seasonal Watershed Model)

  • 선우중
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.125-131
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    • 1984
  • watershed Model by mathematical formulation is one of the powerful tool to analyze the hydrologic process in a watershed. The seasonal watershed model is one of the mathematial model from which the monthly streamflow can be simulated and forcasted for given precipitaion data. This model also enables us to compute the monthly runoff at each subbgasin when the basin is subdivided into several small subbasins. The computation of runoff volume makes a Prediction of the areal distirbution of runoff volume for a given precipitation data. Several basins in Han River basin were chosen to simulate the monthly runoff and compute the runoff at each subbasin. A simple logarithmic regression were conducted between runoff ratio and area ratio. The correlation was very high and the equation can be used for prediciting flood volume when flood at downstream gaging station is know.

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침투 트렌치로 인한 유출 양상의 실험 연구 (Experimental Study of Runoff Induced by Infiltration Trench)

  • 이상호;조희호;이정민;박재현
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2008
  • Infiltration facilities are effective instruments to mitigate flood and can increase base runoff in urban watersheds. In order to analyze effects of infiltration trenches physical model experiments were conducted. The physical model facility consists of two soil tanks, artificial rainfall generators, tensiometers, and piezometers. The experiment was conducted by nine times and each case differed in rainfall intensity, rainfall duration and the type of ground surface. Measured quantities in the experiments are as follows: surface runoff, subsurface runoff, trench pipe runoff, groundwater level, water content, etc. The following resulted from the model experiment: The volume of subsurface runoff at trench watershed was maximum 78.3% compared with rainfall. This value is bigger than that of ordinary rate of subsurface runoff, and shows a groundwater recharge effect of trench. The time of runoff passing through the trench became earlier and the volume of runoff became larger with the increase of inflow into the trench, while trench exfiltration into ground became relatively smaller. The results of this study presented above show that infiltration trenches are effective instruments to increase base runoff during dry periods.

유역면적과 강우특성변화에 따른 CHICAGO모형 매개변수의 민감도분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Sensitivity Analysis of CHICAGO Model Parameters due to Watershed Area and Rainfall Characteristics)

  • 서규우;송일준
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.74-81
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    • 1999
  • In this study, the hydrological changes due to urbanization were investigated and fundamental theory and characteristics of typical urban runoff model such as CHICAGO Model was studied. Above model was applied for urbanizing Dongsucheon basin, Incheon. The main parameters(CI, CP, CS) which are included in this model depending on runoff results were determined, and dimensionless values such as total runoff ratio($Q_{TR}$), peak runoff ratio($Q_{PR}$), and runoff sensitivity ratio($Q_{SR}=Q_{TR}/Q_{PR}$) were estimated in order to evaluate and compare the characteristics of model based on relative sensitivity analysis. Finally, applied model was proposed based on understanding of work types and established urban runoff models which can simulate well for areal development patterns and urban river basin.

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추계학적 모의발생기법을 이용한 월 유출 예측 (The Forecasting of Monthly Runoff using Stocastic Simulation Technique)

  • 안상진;이재경
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구는 낙동강수계인 위천 유역의 최하류 군위 지점에 대해 추계학적 모형인 Box-Jenkin의 승법 ARIMA 모형과 상태공간모형 이론적 토대로 하여 계절별 월 유출량을 모의하였다. 다변량 시계열 모형인 상태공간모형의 입력변수로 월 유효우량과 균등기간의 관측된 월 유출량을 사용하여 군위지점의 월 유출량을 예측한 결과 다변량 시계열 모형인 승법 ARIMA모형에 비하여 표준오차가 작게 나타났으므로, 유효우량과 유출량을 함께 이용하는 상태공간 모형을 이용하여 합리적인 유출량 예측이 가능하도록 하였다. 본 논문은 월 유출량 기록치 및 유효우량 자료를 분석하여 승법 ARIMA 모형 및 상태공간 모형에 적용하였으며, 상태공가 모형의 이론을 적용하여 VAR(P)의 P값을 구하기 위해 시차에 의한 AIC 값을 이용하였다. VARMA 모형은 정준상관계수를 이용한 상태공간 모형을 구하여 구축하였다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 구축된 상태공간 모형을 사용하여 위천유역의 군위 지점에서 장·단기 유출량을 예측하여 수자원의 장·단기전략 수립에 도움을 주기 위함이다.

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SWAT-SWMM 결합모형의 개발 (I) 모형의 개발 (Development of Coupled SWAT-SWMM Model (I) Model Development)

  • 김남원;원유승
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제37권7호
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    • pp.589-598
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    • 2004
  • 장기적 유출 측면에서 유역의 도시화는 불투수면적의 확대로 인한 토지이용변화, 인위적 구조물의 설치여부, 하천 환경의 변화를 유발하며 따라서 도시화되기 이전과 매우 다른 형태의 유출거동 특성을 가진다. 따라서 자연적인 유출 성분변화 특성은 물론 도시화 유역 특성변화요소를 적절히 반영함으로써 지표수, 하천수, 지하수 등의 수문순환 요소를 장기적인 측면에서 정량적으로 평가할 수 있는 유출모의모형이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 준 분포형 장기 유출모형인 SWAT모형과 도시지역의 유출해석에 주로 이용되는 SWMM 모형의 RUNOFF 블록을 결합함으로써 자연유역은 물론 도시유역의 제반 유역특성을 충분히 고려할 수 있는 장기유출모형인 SWAT-SWMM 모형을 개발하였다. SWAT-SWMM 결합모형의 구정방법 및 모형의 한계 그리고 결합모형의 모식을 중심으로 두 모형의 결합상황을 기술하였다.

기상레이더와 분포형 모형을 이용한 실시간 유출해석 시스템 개발 및 평가 (Development and Evaluation of a Real Time Runoff Modelling System using Weather Radar and Distributed Model)

  • 최윤석;김경탁;김주훈
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.385-397
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    • 2012
  • 격자 기반의 물리적 분포형 모형은 유역의 물리적 매개변수와 격자 형식의 공간 및 수문자료를 이용해서 유출해석을 수행한다. 본 연구에서는 격자 기반의 물리적 분포형 강우-유출 모형인 GRM(Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model)의 실시간 유출해석 모듈인 GRM RT(Real Time)를 이용해서 실시간 유출해석 시스템을 개발하였다. 실시간으로 수신되는 기상레이더 자료를 기상청의 실시간 AWS 자료를 이용하여 보정한 후 유출해석에 적용하며, 수위관측소 자료로부터 생성되는 유량자료를 이용해서 유출모형을 실시간 보정한다. 본 연구에서는 실시간 유출해석 시스템 구축을 위해서 필요한 데이터베이스를 설계 및 구현하였으며, 분포형 모형과 레이더 자료를 이용한 실시간 유출해석 절차를 정립하였다. 또한 개발된 시스템의 성능을 평가하고 실시간 모형보정에 대한 적용성을 평가하였다. 소양강댐 상류에 위치한 내린천 수위관측소 유역을 대상으로 실시간 유출해석 시스템을 적용하고 그 결과를 평가하였다.

모자이크기법을 이용한 지표유출모형의 조도계수 리샘플링 (Resampling for Roughness Coefficient of Surface Runoff Model Using Mosaic Scheme)

  • 박상식;강부식
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.93-106
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    • 2011
  • Physically-based resampling scheme for roughness coefficient of surface runoff considering the spatial landuse distribution was suggested for the purpose of effective operational application of recent grid-based distributed rainfall runoff model. Generally grid scale(mother scale) of hydrologic modeling can be greater than the scale (child scale) of original GIS thematic digital map when the objective basin is wide or topographically simple, so the modeler uses large grid scale. The resampled roughness coefficient was estimated and compared using 3 different schemes of Predominant, Composite and Mosaic approaches and total runoff volume and peak streamflow were computed through distributed rainfall-runoff model. For quantitative assessment of biases between computational simulation and observation, runoff responses for the roughness estimated using the 3 different schemes were evaluated using MAPE(Mean Areal Percentage Error), RMSE(Root-Mean Squared Error), and COE(Coefficient of Efficiency). As a result, in the case of 500m scale Mosaic resampling for the natural and urban basin, the distribution of surface runoff roughness coefficient shows biggest difference from that of original scale but surface runoff simulation shows smallest, especially in peakflow rather than total runoff volume.

대청유역 물수지 분석을 위한 장기 유출모의 (Long Term Runoff Simulation for Water Balance at Daecheong Basin)

  • 이상진;김주철;노준우
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제19권10호
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    • pp.1211-1217
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    • 2010
  • For an accurate rainfall-runoff simulation in the river basin, it is important to consider not only evaluation of runoff model but also accurate runoff component. In this study long-term runoffs were simulated by means of watershed runoff model and the amounts of runoff components such as upstream inflow, surface runoff, return flow and dam release were evaluated based on the concept of water budget. SSARR model was applied to Daecheong basin, the upstream region of Geum river basin, and in turn the monthly runoff discharges of main control points in the basin were analyzed. In addition, for the purpose of providing the basic quantified water resources data the conceptual runoff amounts were estimated with water budget analysis and the reliability of the observations and the monthly runoff characteristics were investigated in depth. The yearly runoff ratios were also estimated and compared with the observations. From the results of the main control points, Yongdam, Hotan, Okcheon and Daecheong, the yearly runoff ratios of those points are consistent well with data reported previously.

강우-유출모형의 매개변수 보정을 위한 최적화 기법의 비교분석 (The Comparative Analysis of Optimization Methods for the Parameter Calibration of Rainfall-Runoff Models)

  • 김선주;지용근;김필식
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제47권3호
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 2005
  • The conceptual rainfall-runoff models are used to predict complex hydrological effects of a basin. However, to obtain reliable results, there are some difficulties and problems in choosing optimum model, calibrating, and verifying the chosen model suitable for hydrological characteristics of the basin. In this study, Genetic Algorithm and SCE-UA method as global optimization methods were applied to compare the each optimization technique and to analyze the application for the rainfall-runoff models. Modified TANK model that is used to calculate outflow for watershed management and reservoir operation etc. was optimized as a long term rainfall-runoff model. And storage-function model that is used to predict real-time flood using historical data was optimized as a short term rainfall-runoff model. The optimized models were applied to simulate runoff on Pyeongchang-river watershed and Bocheong-stream watershed in 2001 and 2002. In the historical data study, the Genetic Algorithm and the SCE-UA method showed consistently good results considering statistical values compared with observed data.