• 제목/요약/키워드: Runoff Error

검색결과 214건 처리시간 0.022초

SWAT과 HSPF의 유출특성 비교 (A Comparative Study on the Runoff Characteristics from Watershed Using SWAT and HSPF)

  • 황하선;윤춘경
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2002년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.457-460
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    • 2002
  • Development and application of nonpoint pollutant source model need pertinent runoff simulation for expecting good simulation result of yield of nonpont pollutant and it's move. this study purpose was compare to runoff height among Observed of Regression, HSPF and SWAT in hukchun basis loacated Gyeonggi province yangpeong-gun in two years($1998{\sim}1999$). Result, runoff height were Regression, SWAT, HSPF is 2578.96, 2526.44, 2547.21mm respectively, Nash-Schutcliff' simulation efficiency, compare to observed, was 70.22, 73.71% respectively so two simulation run off height was pertinent. If Regression method use excess observed arrange, it include error. so it's importance using pertinent arrange of observed runoff height.

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분포형 강우-유출모형의 하도자료 구축을 위한 하폭 및 하상경사 산정공식 개발 (Development of Stream Width and Bed-slope Estimation Equations for Preparing Data for Distributed Storm Runoff Model)

  • 정인균;박종윤;조형경;이지완;김성준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제52권4호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2010
  • In this study, two estimation equations for preparing stream data for distributed storm runoff model were developed by analyzing the nonlinear relation between upstream flow-length and stream width, and between upstream flow-length and stream bed-slope. The equations for stream cell were tested in Chungjudam watershed (6,661 $km^2$) using KIMSTORM. Six storm events occurring between 2003 and 2008 were selected for the model calibration and verification before the test of equations. The average values of the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (ME), the volume conservation index (VCI), the relative error of peak runoff rate (EQp), and the difference of time to peak runoff (DTp) were 0.929, 1.035, 0.037, and -0.406 hr for the calibrated four storm events and 0.956, 0.939, 0.055, and 0.729 hr for the two verified storm events respectively. The estimation equations were tested to the storm events, and compared the flood hydrograph. The test result showed that the estimation equation of stream width reduced the peak runoff and delaying the time to peak runoff, and the estimation equation of stream bed-slope showed the opposite results.

인공신경망 기법을 이용한 논에서의 지표 유출량 산정 (Estimation of Surface Runoff from Paddy Plots using an Artificial Neural Network)

  • 안지현;강문성;송인홍;이경도;송정헌;장정렬
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제54권4호
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this study was to estimate surface runoff from rice paddy plots using an artificial neural network (ANN). A field experiment with three treatment levels was conducted in the NICS saemangum experimental field located in Iksan, Korea. The ANN model with the optimal network architectures, named Paddy1901 with 19 input nodes, 1 hidden layer with 16 neurons nodes, and 1 output node, was adopted to predict surface runoff from the plots. The model consisted of 7 parameters of precipitation, irrigation rate, ponding depth, average temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation on the daily basis. Daily runoff, as the target simulation value, was computed using a water balance equation. The field data collected in 2011 were used for training and validation of the model. The model was trained based on the error back propagation algorithm with sigmoid activation function. Simulation results for the independent training and testing data series showed that the model can perform well in simulating surface runoff from the study plots. The developed model has a main advantage that there is no requirement for any prior assumptions regarding the processes involved. ANN model thus can be a good tool to predict surface runoff from rice paddy fields.

앙상블 예측기법을 통한 유역 월유출 전망 (Forecasting Monthly Runoff Using Ensemble Streamflow Prediction)

  • 이상진;김주철;황만하;맹승진
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제52권1호
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2010
  • In this study the validities of runoff prediction methods are reviewed around ESP (Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) techniques. The improvements of runoff predictions on Yongdam river basin are evaluated by the comparison of different prediction methods including ESP incorporated with qualitative meteorological outlooks provided by meteorological agency as well as the runoff forecasting based on the analysis of the historical rainfall scenarios. As a result it is assessed that runoff predictions with ESP may give rise to more accurate results than the ordinary historical average runoffs. In deed the latter gave the mean of yearly absolute error as to be 60.86 MCM while the errors of the former ones amounted to 44.12 MCM (ESP) and 42.83 MCM (ESP incorporated with qualitative meteorological outlooks) respectively. In addition it is confirmed that ESP incorporated with qualitative meteorological outlooks could improve the accuracy of the results more and more. Especially the degree of improvement of ESP with meteorological outlooks shows rising by 10.8% in flood season and 8% in drought season. Therefore the methods of runoff predictions with ESP can be further used as the basic forecasting information tool for the purpose of the effective watershed management.

Assessing Unit Hydrograph Parameters and Peak Runoff Responses from Storm Rainfall Events: A Case Study in Hancheon Basin of Jeju Island

  • Kar, Kanak Kanti;Yang, Sung-Kee;Lee, Jun-Ho
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.437-447
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    • 2015
  • Estimation of runoff peak is needed to assess water availability, in order to support the multifaceted water uses and functions, hence to underscore the modalities for efficient water utilization. The magnitude of storm rainfall acts as a primary input for basin level runoff computation. The rainfall-runoff linkage plays a pivotal role in water resource system management and feasibility level planning for resource distribution. Considering this importance, a case study has been carried out in the Hancheon basin of Jeju Island where distinctive hydrological characteristics are investigated for continuous storm rainfall and high permeable geological features. The study aims to estimate unit hydrograph parameters, peak runoff and peak time of storm rainfalls based on Clark unit hydrograph method. For analyzing observed runoff, five storm rainfall events were selected randomly from recent years' rainfall and HEC-hydrologic modeling system (HMS) model was used for rainfall-runoff data processing. The simulation results showed that the peak runoff varies from 164 to 548 m3/sec and peak time (onset) varies from 8 to 27 hours. A comprehensive relationship between Clark unit hydrograph parameters (time of concentration and storage coefficient) has also been derived in this study. The optimized values of the two parameters were verified by the analysis of variance (ANOVA) and runoff comparison performance were analyzed by root mean square error (RMSE) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) estimation. After statistical analysis of the Clark parameters significance level was found in 5% and runoff performances were found as 3.97 RMSE and 0.99 NSE, respectively. The calibration and validation results indicated strong coherence of unit hydrograph model responses to the actual situation of historical storm runoff events.

DEM의 정확도 분석에 의한 도시 소유역의 유출해석 (Runoff of an Small Urban Area Using DEM Accuracy Analysis)

  • 박진형;이관수;이삼노
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.28-38
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 수치지형자료의 해상도와 보간법의 변화에 따른 정확도 분석을 실시하여 도시소유역의 유출현상을 해석하고자 하였다. 수치자료는 격자크기별로 TIN 보간법을 이용하여 DEM 자료를 생성하고, 정확도 분석은 수치지도의 등고선을 이용하여 결정계수($R^2$)와 회귀식을 도출하였다. 검증된 DEM 자료를 사용하여 소유역구분, 면적, 유역폭, 지면경사도 등의 지형인자를 추출하여 도시유출모형에 적용시켜 여서-문수지구의 도시 소유역에 가장 적합한 유출모형을 알아보고자 한다. 모형의 적용 결과 SWMM의 유출수문곡선이 ILLUDAS의 유출수문곡선보다 실측값에 더 근사하게 나타났고, SWMM의 경우 실측값과 최대 19%, 최소 5%, 평균 13%의 오차를 나타냈다. 본 연구대상지역과 같은 도시소유역은 강우지속시간이 첨두도달시간에 미치는 영향은 미미하게 나타났다. 본 연구의 결과로 SWMM 모형이 여서-문수지역의 도시유출모형으로 적합하며 적용면에서도 더 다양한 기능과 정확성을 나타낸다고 판단된다.

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GIS 기반 농경지 침수모의시스템의 구축 및 적용 (Applications of a GIS-based Paddy Inundation Simulation System)

  • 김상민;박종민;박승우
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제46권5호
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2004
  • A GIS-based paddy inundation simulation system which is capable of simulating temporal and spatial inundation processes was established and applied in this paper. The system is composed of HEC-GeoHMS, and HEC-GeoRAS modules which interface the GIS and flood runoff models, and HEC-HMS, and HEC-RAS models which estimate the flood runoff. It was used to simulate storm runoff and inundation for a small rural watershed, the Baran HP#7, which is 10.69 $km^2$ in size. The simulated peak runoff, time to peak, and total direct runoff for eight storms were compared with the observed data. The results showed that the coefficient of determination ($R^2$) for the observed peak runoff was 0.99 and an error, RMSE, 11.862 $m^3$/s for calibration stages. In the model verification, $R^2$ was 0.99 and RMSE 1.296 $m^3$/s. Paddy inundation for each paddy growing stages in study watershed were estimated using verified inundation simulation system when probability rainfall was applied.

HEC-HMS 모형과 HEC-GeoHMS 모듈을 이용한 농업소유역의 홍수유출 해석 (Flood Runoff Analysis for Agricultural Small Watershed Using HEC-HMS Model and HEC-GeoHMS Module)

  • 김상민;성충현;박승우
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제45권6호
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2003
  • This paper documents recent efforts to validate the GIS-based hydrologic models, HEC-HMS and HEC-GeoHMS by the US Army Corps of Engineers. HMS and Geo-HMS were used to simulate storm runoff from a small rural watershed, the Balan HS#6. The watershed is 3.85 $\textrm{km}^2$ in size. The watershed topographic, soils, and land use data were processed using the GIS tool fur the models. Input parameters were retrieved and calibrated with the field data. The simulated peak runoff, time to peak, and total direct runoff fer twenty three storms were compared with the observed data. The results showed that the coefficient of determination($R^2$) for the observed peak runoff was 0.95 and an error, RMSE, 3.08 $\textrm{m}^3$/s for calibration stages. In the model verifications, $R^2$ was 0.89 and RMSE 6.79 $\textrm{m}^3$/s, which were slightly less accurate than the calibrated data. The simulated flood hydrographs were well compared to the observed. It was concluded that HMS and GeoHMS are applicable to flood analyses for rural watersheds.

WEPP 모형을 이용한 밭포장과 밭유역의 토양 유실량 추정 (Applications of WEPP Model to a Plot and a Small Upland Watershed)

  • 강민구;박승우;손정호;강문성
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제46권1호
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    • pp.87-97
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    • 2004
  • The paper presents the results from the applications of the Water Erosion Prediction Project (WEPP) model to a single plot, and also a small watershed in the Mid Korean Peninsula which is comprised of hillslopes and channels along the water courses. Field monitoring was carried out to obtain total runoff, peak runoff and sediment yield data from research sites. For the plot of 0.63 ha in size, cultivated with com, the relative error of the simulated total runoff, peak runoff rates, and sediment yields using WEPP ranged from -16.6 to 22%, from -15.6 to 6.0%, and from 23.9 to 356.4% compared to the observed data, respectively. The relative errors for the upland watershed of 5.1 ha ranged from -0.7 to 11.1 % for the total runoff, from -6.6 to 35.0 % for the sediment yields. The simulation results seem to justify that WEPP is applicable to the Korean dry croplands if the parameters are correctly defined. The results from WEPP applications showed that the major source areas contributing sediment yield most are downstream parts of the watershed where runoff concentrated. It was suggested that cultural practice be managed in such a way that the soil surface could be fully covered by crop during rainy season to minimize sediment yield. And also, best management practices were recommended based on WEPP simulations.

WEPP 모형을 이용한 경사지 토양유실량 추정 (Estimating of Soil Loss from Hillslope Using WEPP Model)

  • 손정호;박승우;강민구
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2001년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study was to estimate of soil loss form hillslope using WEPP(Water Erosion Prediction Project) model. WEPP model was developed for predicting soil erosion and deposition, fundamentally based on soil erosion prediction technology. The model for predicting sediment yields from single storms was applied to a tested watershed. Surface runoff is calculated by kinematic wave equation and infiltration is based on the Green and Ampt equation. Governing equations for sediment continuity, detachment, deposition, shear stress in rills, and transport capacity are presented. Tested watershed has an area of 0.6ha, where the runoff and sediment data were collected. The relative error between predicted and measured runoff was $-16.6{\sim}2.2%$, peak runoff was $-15.6{\sim}2.2%$ and soil loss was $-23.9{\sim}356.5%$.

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