• Title/Summary/Keyword: Root-mean-square-error method

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Design-Based Small Area Estimation for the Korean Economically Active Population Survey (시군구 실업자 총계 추정을 위한 설계기반 간접추정법)

  • 정연수;이계오;이우일
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2003
  • In this study, we suggest the method of small area estimation based on the Economically Active Population Survey (EAPS) data in producing unemployment statistics for the local self-government areas (LSGAs) within large areas. The small area estimators considered are design-based indirect estimators such as the synthetic and composite estimators. The jackknife mean square error was used as a measure of accuracy of such small area estimators. The total unemployed and jackknife mean square errors of the 10 LSGAs within the large area of ChoongBuk region are derived from the estimation procedure suggested in this study, using EAPS data of December 2000. The reliability of small area estimators was assessed using the relative bias values and relative root mean square errors of these estimators. We find that under the current Korean EAPS system, the composite estimator turns out to be much more stable than other estimators.

Development of Solar Power Output Prediction Method using Big Data Processing Technic (태양광 발전량 예측을 위한 빅데이터 처리 방법 개발)

  • Jung, Jae Cheon;Song, Chi Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.58-67
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    • 2020
  • A big data processing method to predict solar power generation using systems engineering approach is developed in this work. For developing analytical method, linear model (LM), support vector machine (SVN), and artificial neural network (ANN) technique are chosen. As evaluation indices, the cross-correlation and the mean square root of prediction error (RMSEP) are used. From multi-variable comparison test, it was found that ANN methodology provides the highest correlation and the lowest RMSEP.

DAWAST Model Considering the Phreatic Evaporation in the Frozen Region (동결기 자유수면 지하수의 모관상승량을 고려한 DAWAST 모형)

  • 김태철;박철동
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.78-84
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    • 2001
  • The daily streamflow in the Yaluhe watershed located in the north-eastern part of China was simulated by DAWAST model and the water balance parameters of the model were calibrated by simplex method. Model verification tests were carried out. The range of root mean square error was 0.34∼1.50mm, that of percent error in volume was -16.9∼-62.0% and that of correlation coefficient was 0.727∼0.920. DAWAST model was revised to consider the phreatic evaporation from the ground water in the frozen soil by adjusting soil moisture content in the unsaturated layer at the end of the melting season. The results of estimation of the daily streamflow by the revised model were statistically improved, that is, the range of root mean square error was 0.31∼1.49mm, that of percent error in volume was -11.7∼-12.1%, and that of correlation coefficient was 0.810∼0.932. The accuracy of DAWAST model was improved and the applicability of DAWAST model was expanded to the frozen region.

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Automatic Calibration of SWAT Model Using LH-OAT Sensitivity Analysis and SCE-UA Optimization Method (LH-OAT 민감도 분석과 SCE-UA 최적화 방법을 이용한 SWAT 모형의 자동보정)

  • Lee Do-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.8 s.169
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    • pp.677-690
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    • 2006
  • The LH-OAT (Latin Hypercube One factor At a Time) method for sensitivity analysis and SCE-UA (Shuffled Complex Evolution at University of Arizona) optimization method were applied for the automatic calibration of SWAT model in Bocheong-cheon watershed. The LH-OAT method which combines the advantages of global and local sensitivity analysis effectively identified the sensitivity ranking for the parameters of SWAT model over feasible parameter space. Use of this information allows us to select the calibrated parameters for the automatic calibration process. The performance of the automatic calibration of SWAT model using SCE-UA method depends on the length of calibration period, the number of calibrated parameters, and the selection of statistical error criteria. The performance of SWAT model in terms of RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), NSEF (Nash-Sutcliffe Model Efficiency), RMAE (Relative Mean Absolute Error), and NMSE (Normalized Mean Square Error) becomes better as the calibration period and the number of parameters defined in the automatic calibration process increase. However, NAE (Normalized Average Error) and SDR (Standard Deviation Ratio) were not improved although the calibration period and the number of calibrated parameters are increased. The result suggests that there are complex interactions among the calibration data, the calibrated parameters, and the model error criteria and a need for further study to understand these complex interactions at various representative watersheds.

Performance and Root Mean Squared Error of Kernel Relaxation by the Dynamic Change of the Moment (모멘트의 동적 변환에 의한 Kernel Relaxation의 성능과 RMSE)

  • 김은미;이배호
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.788-796
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposes using dynamic momentum for squential learning method. Using The dynamic momentum improves convergence speed and performance by the variable momentum, also can identify it in the RMSE(root mean squared error). The proposed method is reflected using variable momentum according to current state. While static momentum is equally influenced on the whole, dynamic momentum algorithm can control the convergence rate and performance. According to the variable change of momentum by training. Unlike former classification and regression problems, this paper confirms both performance and regression rate of the dynamic momentum. Using RMSE(root mean square error ), which is one of the regression methods. The proposed dynamic momentum has been applied to the kernel adatron and kernel relaxation as the new sequential learning method of support vector machine presented recently. In order to show the efficiency of the proposed algorithm, SONAR data, the neural network classifier standard evaluation data, are used. The simulation result using the dynamic momentum has a better convergence rate, performance and RMSE than those using the static moment, respectively.

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A Missing Value Replacement Method for Agricultural Meteorological Data Using Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Model (농업기상 결측치 보정을 위한 통계적 시공간모형)

  • Park, Dain;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.499-507
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    • 2018
  • Agricultural meteorological information is an important resource that affects farmers' income, food security, and agricultural conditions. Thus, such data are used in various fields that are responsible for planning, enforcing, and evaluating agricultural policies. The meteorological information obtained from automatic weather observation systems operated by rural development agencies contains missing values owing to temporary mechanical or communication deficiencies. It is known that missing values lead to reduction in the reliability and validity of the model. In this study, the hierarchical Bayesian spatio-temporal model suggests replacements for missing values because the meteorological information includes spatio-temporal correlation. The prior distribution is very important in the Bayesian approach. However, we found a problem where the spatial decay parameter was not converged through the trace plot. A suitable spatial decay parameter, estimated on the bias of root-mean-square error (RMSE), which was determined to be the difference between the predicted and observed values. The latitude, longitude, and altitude were considered as covariates. The estimated spatial decay parameters were 0.041 and 0.039, for the spatio-temporal model with latitude and longitude and for latitude, longitude, and altitude, respectively. The posterior distributions were stable after the spatial decay parameter was fixed. root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and bias were calculated for model validation. Finally, the missing values were generated using the independent Gaussian process model.

Lightweight Algorithm for Digital Twin based on Diameter Measurement using Singular-Value-Decomposition (특이값 분해를 이용한 치수측정 기반 디지털 트윈 알고리즘 경량화)

  • Seungmin Lee;Daejin Park
    • IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 2023
  • In the machine vision inspection equipment, diameter measurement is important process in inspection of cylindrical object. However, machine vision inspection equipment requires complex algorithm processing such as camera distortion correction and perspective distortion correction, and the increase in processing time and cost required for precise diameter measurement. In this paper, we proposed the algorithm for diameter measurement of cylindrical object using the laser displacement sensor. In order to fit circle for given four input outer points, grid search algorithms using root-mean-square error and mean-absolute error are applied and compared. To solve the limitations of the grid search algorithm, we finally apply the singular-value-decomposition based circle fitting algorithm. In order to compare the performance of the algorithms, we generated the pseudo data of the outer points of the cylindrical object and applied each algorithm. As a result of the experiment, the grid search using root-mean-square error confirmed stable measurement results, but it was confirmed that real-time processing was difficult as the execution time was 10.8059 second. The execution time of mean-absolute error algorithm was greatly improved as 0.3639 second, but there was no weight according to the distance, so the result of algorithm is abnormal. On the other hand, the singular-value-decomposition method was not affected by the grid and could not only obtain precise detection results, but also confirmed a very good execution time of 0.6 millisecond.

Developement of Soil Moisture Meter using Capacitance Probe (정전용량 탐침을 이용한 토양수분 측정장치 개발)

  • Kim, Ki-Bok;Lee, Nam-Ho;Lee, Jong-Whan;Lee, Seung-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.65-68
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to develop a soil moisture meter using capacitance probe. A parallel cylinder type capacitance probe (C-probe) was fabricated The 5 MHz of crystal oscillator was constructed to detect the capacitance change of the C-probe with moist soil. A third order polynomial regression model for volumetric water content having oscillation frequency changes at 5 MHz as independent variables presented the determination coefficient of 0.979 and root mean square error of $0.031\;cm^{3}cm^{3}$ for all soil samples. A prototype soil moisture meter consisting of the sample container, C-probe, oscillator, frequency counter and related signal procession units presented the correlation coefficient of 0.987 and the root mean square error of $0.032\;cm^{3}cm^{3}$ as compared with the oven drying method for unknown soil samples.

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Mid-infrared (MIR) spectroscopy for the detection of cow's milk in buffalo milk

  • Anna Antonella, Spina;Carlotta, Ceniti;Cristian, Piras;Bruno, Tilocca;Domenico, Britti;Valeria Maria, Morittu
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.64 no.3
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    • pp.531-538
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    • 2022
  • In Italy, buffalo mozzarella is a largely sold and consumed dairy product. The fraudulent adulteration of buffalo milk with cheaper and more available milk of other species is very frequent. In the present study, Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), in combination with multivariate analysis by partial least square (PLS) regression, was applied to quantitatively detect the adulteration of buffalo milk with cow milk by using a fully automatic equipment dedicated to the routine analysis of the milk composition. To enhance the heterogeneity, cow and buffalo bulk milk was collected for a period of over three years from different dairy farms. A total of 119 samples were used for the analysis to generate 17 different concentrations of buffalo-cow milk mixtures. This procedure was used to enhance variability and to properly randomize the trials. The obtained calibration model showed an R2 ≥ 0.99 (R2 cal. = 0.99861; root mean square error of cross-validation [RMSEC] = 2.04; R2 val. = 0.99803; root mean square error of prediction [RMSEP] = 2.84; root mean square error of cross-validation [RMSECV] = 2.44) suggesting that this method could be successfully applied in the routine analysis of buffalo milk composition, providing rapid screening for possible adulteration with cow's milk at no additional cost.

Mean Square Projection Error Gradient-based Variable Forgetting Factor FAPI Algorithm (평균 제곱 투영 오차의 기울기에 기반한 가변 망각 인자 FAPI 알고리즘)

  • Seo, YoungKwang;Shin, Jong-Woo;Seo, Won-Gi;Kim, Hyoung-Nam
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.177-187
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    • 2014
  • This paper proposes a fast subspace tracking methods, which is called GVFF FAPI, based on FAPI (Fast Approximated Power Iteration) method and GVFF RLS (Gradient-based Variable Forgetting Factor Recursive Lease Squares). Since the conventional FAPI uses a constant forgetting factor for estimating covariance matrix of source signals, it has difficulty in applying to non-stationary environments such as continuously changing DOAs of source signals. To overcome the drawback of conventioanl FAPI method, the GVFF FAPI uses the gradient-based variable forgetting factor derived from an improved means square error (MSE) analysis of RLS. In order to achieve the decreased subspace error in non-stationary environments, the GVFF-FAPI algorithm used an improved forgetting factor updating equation that can produce a fast decreasing forgetting factor when the gradient is positive and a slowly increasing forgetting factor when the gradient is negative. Our numerical simulations show that GVFF-FAPI algorithm offers lower subspace error and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) of tracked DOAs of source signals than conventional FAPI based MUSIC (MUltiple SIgnal Classification).