• Title/Summary/Keyword: Root-Mean Square Error

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Parameter Estimation of Coastal Water Quality Model Using the Inverse Theory (역산이론을 이용한 연안 수질모형의 매개변수 추정)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Cho, Bum-Jun;Jeong, Shin-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.149-157
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    • 2005
  • Typical water quality (WQ) parameters defined in the governing equation of the WQ model are the pollutant loads from atmosphere and watersheds, pollutant release rates from sediment, diffusion coefficient and reaction coefficient etc. The direct measurement of these parameters is very difficult as well as requires high cost. In this study, the pollutant budget equation including these parameters was used to construct the linear simultaneous equations. Based on these equations, the inverse problems were constructed and WQ parameter estimation method minimizing the sum of squared errors between the computed and observed amounts of the mass changes was suggested. WQ parameters, i.e., the atmospheric pollutant loads, sediment release rates, diffusion coefficients and reaction coefficient, were estimated using .this method by utilizing the vertical concentration profile data which has been observed in Cheonsu Bay and Ulsan Port. Values of the estimated parameters show a large temporal variation. However, this technique is persuasive in that the RHS (root mean square) error was less than $5.0\%$ of the observed value ranges and the agreement index was greater than 0.95.

Prediction of Shear Wave Velocity on Sand Using Standard Penetration Test Results : Application of Artificial Neural Network Model (표준관입시험결과를 이용한 사질토 지반의 전단파속도 예측 : 인공신경망 모델의 적용)

  • Kim, Bum-Joo;Ho, Joon-Ki;Hwang, Young-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2014
  • Although shear wave velocity ($V_s$) is an important design factor in seismic design, the measurement is not usually made in typical field investigation due to time and economic limitations. In the present study, an investigation was made to predict sand $V_s$ based on the standard penetration test (SPT) results by using artificial neural network (ANN) model. A total of 650 dataset composed of SPT-N value ($N_{60}$), water content, fine content, specific gravity for input data and $V_s$ for output data was used to build and train the ANN model. The sensitivity analysis was then performed for the trained ANN to examine the effect of the input variables on the $V_s$. Also, the ANN model was compared with seven existing empirical models on the performance. The sensitivity analysis results revealed that the effect of the SPT-N value on $V_s$ is significantly greater compared to other input variables. Also, when compared with the empirical models using Nash-Sutcliffe Model Efficiency Coefficient (NSE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), the ANN model was found to exhibit the highest prediction capability.

Estimating the Spatial Distribution of Rumex acetosella L. on Hill Pasture using UAV Monitoring System and Digital Camera (무인기와 디지털카메라를 이용한 산지초지에서의 애기수영 분포도 제작)

  • Lee, Hyo-Jin;Lee, Hyowon;Go, Han Jong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.365-369
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    • 2016
  • Red sorrel (Rumex acetosella L.), as one of exotic weeds in Korea, was dominated in grassland and reduced the quality of forage. Improving current pasture productivity by precision management requires practical tools to collect site-specific pasture weed data. Recent development in unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) technology has offered cost effective and real time applications for site-specific data collection. To map red sorrel on a hill pasture, we tested the potential use of an UAV system with digital cameras (visible and near-infrared (NIR) camera). Field measurements were conducted on grazing hill pasture at Hanwoo Improvement Office, Seosan City, Chungcheongnam-do Province, Korea on May 17, 2014. Plant samples were obtained at 20 sites. An UAV system was used to obtain aerial photos from a height of approximately 50 m (approximately 30 cm spatial resolution). Normalized digital number values of Red, Green, Blue, and NIR channels were extracted from aerial photos. Multiple linear regression analysis results showed that the correlation coefficient between Rumex content and 4 bands of UAV image was 0.96 with root mean square error of 9.3. Therefore, UAV monitoring system can be a quick and cost effective tool to obtain spatial distribution of red sorrel data for precision management of hilly grazing pasture.

Rice Yield Estimation of South Korea from Year 2003-2016 Using Stacked Sparse AutoEncoder (SSAE 알고리즘을 통한 2003-2016년 남한 전역 쌀 생산량 추정)

  • Ma, Jong Won;Lee, Kyungdo;Choi, Ki-Young;Heo, Joon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.5_2
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    • pp.631-640
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    • 2017
  • The estimation of rice yield affects the income of farmers as well as the fields related to agriculture. Moreover, it has an important effect on the government's policy making including the control of supply demand and the price estimation. Thus, it is necessary to build the crop yield estimation model and from the past, many studies utilizing empirical statistical models or artificial neural network algorithms have been conducted through climatic and satellite data. Presently, scientists have achieved successful results with deep learning algorithms in the field of pattern recognition, computer vision, speech recognition, etc. Among deep learning algorithms, the SSAE (Stacked Sparse AutoEncoder) algorithm has been confirmed to be applicable in the field of forecasting through time series data and in this study, SSAE was utilized to estimate the rice yield in South Korea. The climatic and satellite data were used as the input variables and different types of input data were constructed according to the period of rice growth in South Korea. As a result, the combination of the satellite data from May to September and the climatic data using the 16 day average value showed the best performance with showing average annual %RMSE (percent Root Mean Square Error) and region %RMSE of 7.43% and 7.16% that the applicability of the SSAE algorithm could be proved in the field of rice yield estimation.

Experiments of Individual Tree and Crown Width Extraction by Band Combination Using Monthly Drone Images (월별 드론 영상을 이용한 밴드 조합에 따른 수목 개체 및 수관폭 추출 실험)

  • Lim, Ye Seul;Eo, Yang Dam;Jeon, Min Cheol;Lee, Mi Hee;Pyeon, Mu Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2016
  • Drone images with high spatial resolution are emerging as an alternative to previous studies with extraction limits in high density forests. Individual tree in the dense forests were extracted from drone images. To detect the individual tree extracted through the image segmentation process, the image segmentation results were compared between the combination of DSM and all R,G,B band and the combination of DSM and R,G,B band separately. The changes in the tree density of a deciduous forest was experimented by time and image. Especially the image of May when the forests are dense, among the images of March, April, May, the individual tree extraction rate based on the trees surveyed on the site was 50%. The analysis results of the width of crown showed that the RMSE was less than 1.5m, which was the best result. For extraction of the experimental area, the two sizes of medium and small trees were extracted, and the extraction accuracy of the small trees was higher. The forest tree volume and forest biomass could be estimated if the tree height is extracted based on the above data and the DBH(diameter at breast height) is estimated using the relational expression between crown width and DBH.

Applicability Assessment of Hydrological Drought Outlook Using ESP Method (ESP 기법을 이용한 수문학적 가뭄전망의 활용성 평가)

  • Son, Kyung Hwan;Bae, Deg Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.7
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    • pp.581-593
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    • 2015
  • This study constructs the drought outlook system using ESP(Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) method and evaluates its utilization for drought prediction. Historical Runoff(HR) was estimated by employing LSM(Land Surface Model) and the observed meteorological, hydrological and topographical data in South Korea. Also Predicted Runoff(PR) was produced for different lead times(i.e. 1-, 2-, 3-month) using 30-year past meteorological data and the initial soil moisture condition. The HR accuracy was higher during MAM, DJF than JJA, SON, and the prediction accuracy was highly decreased after 1 month outlook. SRI(Standardized Runoff Index) verified for the feasibility of domestic drought analysis was used for drought outlook, and PR_SRI was evaluated. The accuracy of PR_SRI with lead times of 1- and 2-month was highly increased as it considered the accumulated 1- and 2-month HR, respectively. The Correlation Coefficient(CC) was 0.71, 0.48, 0.00, and Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) was 0.46, 0.76, 1.01 for 1-, 2- and 3-month lead times, respectively, and the accuracy was higher in arid season. It is concluded that ESP method is applicable to domestic drought prediction up to 1- and 2-month lead times.

Inter-basin water transfer modeling from Seomjin river to Yeongsan river using SWAT (SWAT을 이용한 섬진강에서 영산강으로의 유역간 물이동 모델링)

  • Kim, Yong Won;Lee, Ji Wan;Woo, So Young;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.57-70
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    • 2020
  • This study is to establish the situation of inter-basin transfer from Seomjin river basin to Yeongsan river basin using SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool). Firstly, the SWAT modeling was conducted for each river basin. After, the inter-basin transfer was established using SWAT reservoir operating parameters WURESN (Water Use Reservoir Withdrawn) and inlet function from Juam dam of Seomjin river basin to Gwangju stream of Yeongsan river basin respectively. Each river basin was calibrated and validated using 13 years (2005~2017) data of Seomjin- Juam dam reservoir storage (JAD), release, transfer and Yeongsan-Mareuk (MR) stream gauge station. The results of root mean square error RMSE, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency NSE, and determination coefficient R2 of JAD were 2.22 mm/day, 0.62 and 0.86 respectively. The RMSE, NSE, and R2 of MR were 1.38 mm/day, 0.69 and 0.84 respectively. To evaluate the downstream effects by the transferred water, the water levels of 2 multi-function weirs (SCW, JSW) in Yeongsan river basin and the Gokseong (GS) and Gurye (GR) stream gauge stations in Seomjin river basin were also calibrated. The RMSE, NSE, and R2 of SCW, JSW, GS and GR were 1.49~2.49 mm/day, 0.45~0.76, 0.81~0.90 respectively.

The Selection of Optimal Distributions for Distributed Hydrological Models using Multi-criteria Calibration Techniques (다중최적화기법을 이용한 분포형 수문모형의 최적 분포형 선택)

  • Kim, Yonsoo;Kim, Taegyun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate how the degree of distribution influences the calibration of snow and runoff in distributed hydrological models using a multi-criteria calibration method. The Hydrology Laboratory-Research Distributed Hydrologic Model (HL-RDHM) developed by NOAA-National Weather Service (NWS) is employed to estimate optimized parameter sets. We have 3 scenarios depended on the model complexity for estimating best parameter sets: Lumped, Semi-Distributed, and Fully-Distributed. For the case study, the Durango River Basin, Colorado is selected as a study basin to consider both snow and water balance components. This study basin is in the mountainous western U.S. area and consists of 108 Hydrologic Rainfall Analysis Project (HRAP) grid cells. 5 and 13 parameters of snow and water balance models are calibrated with the Multi-Objective Shuffled Complex Evolution Metropolis (MOSCEM) algorithm. Model calibration and validation are conducted on 4km HRAP grids with 5 years (2001-2005) meteorological data and observations. Through case study, we show that snow and streamflow simulations are improved with multiple criteria calibrations without considering model complexity. In particular, we confirm that semi- and fully distributed models are better performances than those of lumped model. In case of lumped model, the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) values improve by 35% on snow average and 42% on runoff from a priori parameter set through multi-criteria calibrations. On the other hand, the RMSE values are improved by 40% and 43% for snow and runoff on semi- and fully-distributed models.

The Verification of a Numerical Simulation of Urban area Flow and Thermal Environment Using Computational Fluid Dynamics Model (전산 유체 역학 모델을 이용한 도시지역 흐름 및 열 환경 수치모의 검증)

  • Kim, Do-Hyoung;Kim, Geun-Hoi;Byon, Jae-Young;Kim, Baek-Jo;Kim, Jae-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.38 no.7
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    • pp.522-534
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to verify urban flow and thermal environment by using the simulated Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) model in the area of Gangnam Seonjeongneung, and then to compare the CFD model simulation results with that of Seonjeongneung-monitoring networks observation data. The CFD model is developed through the collaborative research project between National Institute of Meteorological Sciences and Seoul National University (CFD_NIMR_SNU). The CFD_NIMR_SNU model is simulated using Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Local Data Assimilation Prediction System (LDAPS) wind and potential temperature as initial and boundary conditions from August 4-6, 2015, and that is improved to consider vegetation effect and surface temperature. It is noticed that the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of wind speed decreases from 1.06 to $0.62m\;s^{-1}$ by vegetation effect over the Seonjeongneung area. Although the wind speed is overestimated, RMSE of wind speed decreased in the CFD_NIMR_SNU than LDAPS. The temperature forecast tends to underestimate in the LDAPS, while it is improved by CFD_NIMR_SNU. This study shows that the CFD model can provide detailed and accurate thermal and urban area flow information over the complex urban region. It will contribute to analyze urban environment and planning.

A Study on Analyzing the Validity between the Predicted and Measured Concentrations of VOCs in the Atmosphere Using the CalTOX Model (CalTOX 모델에 의한 휘발성유기화합물의 대기 중 예측 농도와 실측 농도간의 타당성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ok;Lee, Minwoo;Park, Sanghyun;Park, Changyoung;Song, Youngho;Kim, Byeongbin;Choi, Jinha;Lee, Jinheon
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.576-587
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: This study calculated local residents exposures to VOCs (Volatile Organic Compounds) released into the atmosphere using the CalTOX model and carried out uncertainty analysis and sensitivity analysis. The model validity was analyzed by comparing the predicted and the actual atmospheric concentrations. Methods: Uncertainty was parsed by conducting a Monte Carlo simulation. Sensitivity was dissected with the regression (coefficients) method. The model validity was analyzed by applying r2 (coefficient of determination), RMSE (root mean square error), and the Nash-Sutcliffe EI (efficiency index) formula. Results: Among the concentrations in the atmosphere in this study, benzene was the highest and the lifetime average daily dose of benzene and the average daily dose of xylene were high. In terms of the sensitivity analysis outcome, the source term to air, exposure time, indoors resting (ETri), exposure time, outdoors at home (ETao), yearly average wind speed (v_w), contaminated area in ㎡ (Area), active breathing rate (BRa), resting breathing rate (BRr), exposure time, and active indoors (ETai) were elicited as input variables having great influence upon this model. In consequence of inspecting the validity of the model, r2 appeared to be a value close to 1 and RMSE appeared to be a value close to 0, but EI indicated unacceptable model efficiency. To supplement this value, the regression formula was derived for benzene with y=0.002+15.48x, ethylbenzene with y ≡ 0.001+57.240x, styrene with y=0.000+42.249x, toluene with y=0.004+91.588x, and xylene with y=0.000+0.007x. Conclusions: In consequence of inspecting the validity of the model, r2 appeared to be a value close to 1 and RMSE appeared to be a value close to 0, but EI indicated unacceptable model efficiency. This will be able to be used as base data for securing the accuracy and reliability of the model.