• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rogers' innovation diffusion theory

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Applications of Innovation Adoption and Diffusion Theory to Demand Estimation for Communications and Media Converging (DMB) Services (혁신채택 및 확산이론의 통신방송융합(위성DMB) 서비스 수요추정 응용)

  • Sawng Yeong-Wha;Han Hyun-Soo
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.179-197
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    • 2005
  • This study examines market acceptance for DMB service, one of the touted new business models in Korea's next-generation mobile communications service market, using adoption end diffusion of innovation as the theoretical framework. Market acceptance for DMB service was assessed by predicting the demand for the service using the Bass model, and the demand variability over time was then analyzed by integrating the innovation adoption model proposed by Rogers (2003). In our estimation of the Bass model, we derived the coefficient of innovation and coefficient of imitation, using actual diffusion data from the mobile telephone service market. The maximum number of subscribers was estimated based on the result of a survey on satellite DMB service. Furthermore, to test the difference in diffusion pattern between mobile phone service and satellite DMB service, we reorganized the demand data along the diffusion timeline according to Rogers' innovation adoption model, using the responses by survey subjects concerning their respective projected time of adoption. The comparison of the two demand prediction models revealed that diffusion for both took place forming a classical S-curve. Concerning variability in demand for DMB service, our findings, much in agreement with Rogers' view, indicated that demand was highly variable over time and depending on the adopter group. In distinguishing adopters into different groups by time of adoption of innovation, we found that income and lifestyle (opinion leadership, novelty seeking tendency and independent decision-making) were variables with measurable impact. Among the managerial variables, price of reception device, contents type, subscription fees were the variables resulting in statistically significant differences. This study, as an attempt to measure the market acceptance for satellite DMB service, a leading next-generation mobile communications service product, stands out from related studies in that it estimates the nature and level of acceptance for specific customer categories, using theories of innovation adoption and diffusion and based on the result of a survey conducted through one-to-one interviews. The authors of this paper believe that the theoretical framework elaborated in this study and its findings can be fruitfully reused in future attempts to predict demand for new mobile communications service products.

The Effect of Social Networks on the Diffusion of Innovation (사회네트워크가 혁신확산에 미치는 영향)

  • 이규현;오장균
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.33-47
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    • 2000
  • We focus on the investigations of the effect of social networks on the diffusion of innovations, in order to successfully bring innovations into markets. We begin with consideration of social system from Rogers(1995)' perspective, which includes the fifty-year sequential tradition of diffusion studies, and expand the conceptualization into a framework for thinking about the effect of social networks on the diffusion of innovations. We draw upon basic ideas from the research traditions of social network theory in sociology, and social identity theory in social psychology. Finally, we offer propositions for the future empirical researches. A better understanding of social networks can complement research on the diffusion of innovations and help in the development of a universal model of consumer response to innovations.

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A Study on the Acceptance Intention for Smart Phone by the Innovation Diffusion Theory: Focused on Smart Phone Non-Users (혁신확산이론에 따른 스마트폰 수용의도에 관한 연구: 스마트폰 미사용자를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jeong-Wook;Kim, Seong-Il
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.15-37
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    • 2012
  • This study is progressed for understanding of the acceptance intention differentiated through the view of smart phone non-user's adopting plan. And the research model is proposed in the view of new technology adopting, Innovation Diffusion Theory, Rogers 1995, and Technology Acceptance Model, Davis 1989. In the survey, SPSS 18.0 and AMOS 18.0 are used to analyze the 685 smart phone non-users data. The results of the feasibility analysis and the factor analysis show the measured variables determined in the statistical significant range. Also, 11 hypotheses, among the 16 hypotheses, are adopted by the hypothesis tests through the path analysis, one-way-ANOVA and hierarchial regression analysis. The results indicate variables affect on the non-smart phone user's adopting intention. The primary factor is the perceived usefulness, secondary factor is the social property, and the rest is the playfulness. And, the primary adoption factor is affected to early majority and late majority among each innovation adopters.

XBRL Adoption Process in Malaysia Using Diffusion of Innovation Theory

  • ILIAS, Azleen;GHANI, Erlane K.;AZHAR, Zubir
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.263-271
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    • 2021
  • The study examined the XBRL adoption process of Malaysian Business Reporting System (MBRS) by utilizing Everett Rogers' Diffusion of Innovation (DOI) theory. The study focused on the three phases, namely, knowledge gathering and persuasion phase, decision-making phase, and implementation phase of XBRL adoption process gathered from a government agency in Malaysia. This study employs a qualitative case study that incorporates semi-structured interviews with four members of the regulator. The results reveal that the regulator has realized the advantages, management support, and need to skills development in phase one. On the other hand, in phase two, it finds the way the regulator makes decision related to XBRL taxonomy and submission template, platform, tools and software. Through phase three, the regulator is concerned with the complexity of XBRL taxonomy, resources, external support, promotion, stakeholder involvement, limited trading pressure, critical mass, and professional bodies. The factors from each phase suggest an in-depth understanding on the experience of XBRL through the development of MBRS that provides a success story to the other government agencies and regulators in Malaysia. This study provides several insights on the factors that could contribute to the adoption of XBRL and the Diffusion of Innovation theory adoption process.

A Case Study on the Failure of New Product Development on Consumer Acceptance of Innovative Products (소비자의 혁신제품수용에 대한 신제품개발 실패 사례 연구)

  • Kyeongsik Yoo;Heungsik Kang;In Sue Kim;Taekeun Kim
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.65-79
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    • 2024
  • This study analyzed the failure cases of new products for relative benefits among various factors related to the characteristics of innovation, which is an important factor in the consumer persuasion process among Rogers (1995)'s innovation diffusion theory. This is because relative profits are the most influential factor in consumers' intention to adopt among the characteristics of various innovative products (Holak and Lenmann, 1990). As a result of analyzing the failure cases of new products of six companies, these products lacked relative profits for existing products in common. Relative profits are factors that are measured in the economic sense or are measured by social advantages, convenience, and satisfaction, and are the most important factors compared to other factors such as suitability, complexity, observability, and applicability. In the end, it was found that relative profits compared to existing products are an important success factor in persuading consumers of new products.

Forecasting methodology of future demand market (미래 수요시장의 예측 방법론)

  • Oh, Sang-young
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 2020
  • The method of predicting the future may be predicted by technical characteristics or technical performance. Therefore, technology prediction is used in the field of strategic research that can produce economic and social benefits. In this study, we predicted the future market through the study of how to predict the future with these technical characteristics. The future prediction method was studied through the prediction of the time when the market occupied according to the demand of special product. For forecasting market demand, we proposed the future forecasting model through comparison of representative quantitative analysis methods such as CAGR model, BASS model, Logistic model and Gompertz Growth Curve. This study combines Rogers' theory of innovation diffusion to predict when products will spread to the market. As a result of the research, we developed a methodology to predict when a particular product will mature in the future market through the spread of various factors for the special product to occupy the market. However, there are limitations in reducing errors in expert judgment to predict the market.

A Comparative Study of Korean and British Consumers for the Diffusion of Green Fashion Products (그린패션제품 확산을 위한 한국과 영국 소비자 비교 연구)

  • Lee, Jieun;Sung, Heewon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.36 no.10
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    • pp.1087-1099
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    • 2012
  • This study investigated the purchase intention of green fashion products based on Rogers' Diffusion of Innovation theory and compared the differences between Korean and British consumers. In order to identify the impact of personal characteristics, this study also examined the effects of fashion innovativeness and LOHAS tendency on perceived attributes of innovation and intention to purchase. With a convenience sampling method, a survey questionnaire was distributed at popular fashion streets in each country. A total of 426 data were obtained, 203 from the UK and 223 from Korea. About 52% were females, and 69% were in their twenties. A factor analysis generated two LOHAS factors (health concerns and eco concerns) and four attributes of green fashion products (image improvement, symbolic superiority, observability, and compatibility). Two types of green fashion products (organic cotton t-shirts and organic cotton t-shirts with an environmental message) were provided to measure the purchase intention, respectively. The findings were as follows. British consumers were more likely to show LOHAS tendency and to perceive positive advantages of green products compared to Koreans; in addition, British consumers presented higher mean scores on the purchase intentions of organic cotton products. Fashion innovativeness was significant to predict image improvement and symbolic superiority, while eco concerns were significant in compatibility for both nations. Compatibility was important for both countries in order to explain the intention to adopt two types of organic products. In addition, image improvement was another predictor for purchase intention of organic t-shirts with an environmental message. Managerial implications were provided.

Effect of perceptions of attributes of Cyber Education on the adoption decision (사이버학습 속성인식이 학습참여결정에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Suh, Soon-shik
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2002
  • By entering the information society, the trend of increasing use of the cyber education to deliver high-Quality educational programs is likely to continue. For instance, supported by the government agencies, central officials training institute is expending vast amounts of money for the installation of cyber education programs. However, much of the research that has been done concerns the discrepancy between the potential and the actual use of technology in the field of education and training. The intent of this study was to identify the decision of the adoption of cyber education among national officials who had just peceived the existence the cyber education programs which would be used for their professional training and development, and to investigate the relationships between the Rogers' five attributes of innovation (relative advantage, compatibility, easy of use, observability, trialiability) and their decision of adoption. The results of the study generally concurred with Rogers diffusion of innovation theory revealing that perceived compatibility, easy of use, and observability of cyber education are significant predictors of decision to participate in cyber education.

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Trends in Sex Ratio at Birth according to Parental Social Positions: Results from Vital Statistics Birth, 1981-2004 in Korea (부모의 사회경제적 위치에 따른 자녀의 출생 성비 추이: 1981년부터 2004년까지)

  • Chun, Hee-Ran;Kim, Il-Ho;Khang, Young-Ho
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2009
  • Objectives : South Korea has experienced unprecedented ups and downs in the sex ratio at birth(SRB), which has been a unique phenomenon in the last two decades. However, little is known about socioeconomic factors that influence the SRB. Employing the diffusion theory by Rogers, this study was undertaken to examine the trends in social variations in the SRB from 1981 to 2004 in Korea. Methods : The data was taken from Vital Birth Statistics for the period from 1981-2004. We computed the annual male proportion of live births according to the parental education(university, middle/high school, primary) and occupation(non-manual, manual, others). Logistic regression analysis was employed to estimate the odds ratios of male birth according to social position for the equidistant three time periods(1981-1984, 1991-1994, and 2001-2004). Results : An increased SRB was detected among parents with higher social position before the mid 1980s. Since then, however, a greater SRB was found for the less educated and manual jobholders. The inverse social gradient for the SRB was most prominent in early 1990s, but the gap has narrowed since the late 1990s. The mother's socioeconomic position could be a sensitive indicator of the social variations in the sex ratio at birth. Conclusions : Changes in the relationship of parental social position with the SRB were detected during the 1980-2004 in Korea. This Korean experience may well be explained by diffusion theory, suggesting there have been socioeconomic differences in the adoption and spread of sex-detection technology.

A Study on Influencing factors and strategic market segmentation for diffusing ATCA based network equipments (ATCA 기반 통신 장비의 수요 요인 분석 및 도입 전략에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo Jae-heung;Ha Im-sook;Choi Mun-kee
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.30 no.7B
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    • pp.450-463
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    • 2005
  • This paper aims to find influencing factors for firms to adopt network equipments which based on Advanced Telecom Computing Architecture (ATCA). ATCA suggests a standardized specification for telecom equipments design. This new paradigm of developing network equipment provides benefits for network equipment manufacturers by reducing development time for new equipments with lower CapEx and OpEx. It also deliver oportunities for telecom services providers to exploit or test new services by replacing or upgrading part of total system with modular based network equipments. The research model basically depends on various researches based on Rogers' Innovation and Diffusion theory and it is verified through an empirical study for ninety-one domestic forms. Binary logistic regression was conducted to find the relationship between purchase intention and factors affecting new technology adoption. As a result, two factors such as scalability and cost/benefit effectiveness of the new system were statistically significant. Cluster analysis followed with those two variables. This helps TEMs (Telecom Equipments Manufacturers) get some implications on timing and target customers for diffusing the ATCA based technologies in the market.