• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk-Informed

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Radiological Risk Assessment for $^{99m}Tc$ Generator using Uncertainty Analysis (불확실성 분석을 이용한 $^{99m}Tc$ 발생기 사용의 방사선위험도 평가)

  • Jang, H.K.;Kim, J.Y.;Lee, J.K.
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.129-139
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    • 2004
  • Recently, much attentions are paid to the risk associated with increased uses of medium size radiation sources in medical and industrial fields. In this study, radiation risks to the worker and to the general public due to $^{99m}Tc$ generator were assessed for both normal and accident conditions. Based on the event tree technique, exposure scenarios for various situations were derived. Uncertainty analysis based on the Monte-Carlo technique was applied to the risk assessment for workers and members of the public in the vicinity of the work place. In addition, sensitivity analysis was performed on each of the five independent input parameters to identify importance of the parameters with respect to the resulting risk. Because the frequencies of normal tasks are fat higher than those of accidents, the total risk associated with normal tasks were higher than the accident risk. The annual dose due to normal tasks were $0.6mSv\;y^{-1}$ for workers and $0.014mSv\;y^{-1}$ for public, while in accident conditions $3.96mSv\;y^{-1}\;and\;0.0016mSv\;y^{-1}$, respectively. Uncertainty range of accident risk was higher by 10 times than that of normal risk. Sensitivity analysis revealed that source strength, working distance and working time were crucial factors affecting risk. This risk analysis methodology and its results will contribute to establishment of risk-informed regulation for medium and large radioactive sources.

Safety Assessment for Emergency Diesel Generator(EDG) Allowed Outage Time(AOT) Extension using Risk-informed (리스크정보를 활용한 비상디젤발전기 허용정지시간 연장시 안전성평가)

  • Lim, Hyuk-Soon;Kim, Doo-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.118-122
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    • 2010
  • In order to provide the necessary operation flexibility during the Nuclear power operation, the extension of existing allowed outage time(AOT) is needed. The extension of AOT affects the Nuclear power plant safety. The validity of changed technical specification requirements should be proved by the safety assessments. In this paper, we evaluated the extension of emergency diesel generator AOT for a single inoperable emergency diesel generator(EDG) from 3days to 7days, 10days and 14days. Finally, the AOT extension contributes the NPP performances through decreasing the unexpected plant trips, reinforcing maintenance and avoiding risks due to unnecessary operation mode changes when the NPP is under the surveillance tests or maintenance.

Review of the regulatory periodic inspection system from the viewpoint of defense-in-depth in nuclear safety

  • Lim, Jihan;Kim, Hyungjin;Park, Younwon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.50 no.7
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    • pp.997-1005
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    • 2018
  • The regulatory periodic safety inspection system is one of the most important methods for confirming the safety of nuclear power plants and the defense in depth in nuclear safety is the most important basic means for accident prevention and mitigation. Recently, a new regulatory technology based on risk-informed and safety performance has been developed and used in advanced countries. However, since the domestic periodic inspection system is being used in the same way over 30 years, it is necessary to know how the inspection contributes to the safety confirmation of the nuclear power plants. In this study, the domestic periodic inspection system currently in use was analyzed from the perspective of defense in depth in nuclear safety. In addition, the analysis results were compared to the U.S. NRC's safety inspection system to obtain consistency and lessons in this study. As a result of analysis, the NRC's safety inspections were distributed almost evenly at the all levels of defense in depth, while in the case of domestic inspection, they were heavily focused on the level 1 of defense in depth. Therefore, it appeared urgent to improve the inspection system to strengthen the other levels of defense in depth in nuclear safety.

The Impact of Geopolitical Risk on Financial Conditions of Emerging Economies

  • BAJAJ, Namarta Kumari;AZIZ, Tariq;KUMARI, Sonia;ALENEZI, Marim;MATHKUR, Naif Mansour
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.133-143
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    • 2023
  • The detrimental impacts of financial instability on the world economy during the financial crisis highlighted the requirement to understand the existing financial circumstances. Stability and developments in financial conditions are important for economic prosperity. This study analyses the impact of geopolitical risk on the economic conditions of some specific emerging economies using monthly data from January 1999 to September 2016 by applying a fixed-effects panel data model. The estimation results demonstrated that geopolitical risk has a significant, negative impact on financial conditions. It shows geopolitical risk could be seen as a key factor that contributes towards financial conditions. Further, it implies that negative shocks of high geopolitical risk experienced by emerging economies are one of the primary reasons for the financial conditions' deterioration. The findings provide important insights for governments, policymakers, and investors. For instance, governments and politicians should refrain from expressing or producing tension, economic discomfort, or news that is likely to increase a high geopolitical risk. Maintaining a close eye on geopolitical risk and its sources may also help to stabilize financial conditions and develop a well-functioning financial system. As a result, investors would be better informed about an economy's economic and financial conditions, allowing them to diversify their international portfolios and devise investing strategies during uncertain economic times.

CONSTRUCTION SCHEDULE DELAY RISK ASSESSMENT BY USING COMBINED AHP-RII METHODOLOGY FOR AN INTERNATIONAL NPP PROJECT

  • HOSSEN, MUHAMMED MUFAZZAL;KANG, SUNKOO;KIM, JONGHYUN
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.362-379
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    • 2015
  • In this study, Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) construction schedule delay risk assessment methodology is developed and the construction delay risk is assessed for turnkey international NPP projects. Three levels of delay factors were selected through literature review and discussions with nuclear industry experts. A questionnaire survey was conducted on the basis of an analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and Relative Importance Index (RII) methods and the schedule delay risk is assessed qualitatively and quantitatively by severity and frequency of occurrence of delay factors. This study assigns four main delay factors to the first level: main contractor, utility, regulatory authority, and financial and country factor. The second and the third levels are designed with 12 sub-factors and 32 sub-sub-factors, respectively. This study finds the top five most important sub-sub-factors, which are as follows: policy changes, political instability and public intervention; uncompromising regulatory criteria and licensing documents conflicting with existing regulations; robust design document review procedures; redesign due to errors in design and design changes; and worldwide shortage of qualified and experienced nuclear specific equipment manufacturers. The proposed combined AHP-RII methodology is capable of assessing delay risk effectively and efficiently. Decision makers can apply risk informed decision making to avoid unexpected construction delays of NPPs.

Bayesian Collision Risk Estimation Algorithm for Efficient Collision Avoidance against Multiple Traffic Vessels (다중 선박에서 효율적인 충돌 회피를 위한 베이지안 충돌 위험도 추정 알고리즘)

  • Song, Byoung-Ho;Lee, Keong-Hyo;Jeong, Min-A;Lee, Sung-Ro
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.36 no.3B
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    • pp.248-253
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    • 2011
  • Collision avoidance algorithm of vessels have been studied to avoid collision and grounding of a vessel due to human error. In this paper, We propose a collision avoidance algorithm using bayesian estimation theory for safety sailing and reduced risk of collision accident. We calculate collision risk for efficient collision avoidance using bayesian algorithm and determined the safest and most effective collision risk is predicted by using re-planned with re-evaluated collision risk in the future(t=t'). Others ship position is assumed to be informed from AIS. Experimental results show that we estimate the safest and most effective collision risk.

Are Primary Health Care Workers Aware of Cervical Cancer Risk?

  • Can, Huseyin;Erdem, Ozgur;Oztekin, Coskun;Celik, Sercan Bulut;Onde, Mete;Celepkolu, Tahsin;Ongel, Kurtulus
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.16
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    • pp.6669-6671
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    • 2014
  • Background: We here examined the awareness of female health employees (doctors, nurses, midwives) working in primary health care service about cervical cancer and its risk factors. Additionally attitude and behavior for gynecologic examination and pap smear screening wwere researched. Materials and Methods: This cross-sectional, descriptive study con cerned female health employees working at primary health care services in two southern cities of Turkey, over a four month period in 2013. Participants were recently or previously sexually active research was explained and verbal informed consent was obtained face to face. The questionnaire consisted of two parts; socio-demographic characteristics and level of knowledge about cervical cancer and its risk factors. Results: The average age of the participants (midwives 43.7%, n=143; nurses 40.4%, n=132; doctors 6.4%, n=21; emergency medical technicians and others, 9.5%, n=31; total, n=327) was $30.9{\pm}6.41$ years. 64.2% (n=210) were working in Diyarbakir and 35.8% (n=117) in Batman. A large proportion reported low knowledge and inadequate screening practice Conclusions: Health employees should be better informed about the importance of screening for cancers, given their preventive roles for the general population.