• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk variables

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Determination of Flood Risk Considering Flood Control Ability and Urban Environment Risk (수방능력 및 재해위험을 고려한 침수위험도 결정)

  • Lee, Eui Hoon;Choi, Hyeon Seok;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.9
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    • pp.757-768
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    • 2015
  • Recently, climate change has affected short time concentrated local rainfall and unexpected heavy rain which is increasingly causing life and property damage. In this research, arithmetic average analysis, weighted average analysis, and principal component analysis are used for predicting flood risk. This research is foundation for application of predicting flood risk based on annals of disaster and status of urban planning. Results obtained by arithmetic average analysis, weighted average analysis, and principal component analysis using many factors affect on flood are compared. In case of arithmetic average analysis, each factor has same weights though it is simple method. In case of weighted average analysis, correlation factors are complex by many variables and multicollinearty problem happen though it has different weights. For solving these problems, principal component analysis (PCA) is used because each factor has different weights and the number of variables is smaller than other methods by combining variables. Finally, flood risk assessment considering flood control ability and urban environment risk in former research is predicted.

A Study on the Effect of Exchange Rate and Exchange Risk about the Import of Korea's Fisheries (환율과 환율변동성의 변화가 수산물 수입에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Kim Ki-Soo;Kim Woo-Kyung
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.37 no.2 s.71
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2006
  • This study analyzes the effect of exchange rate and exchange risk on the import of Korea's fisheries. The estimation models consist of the following contents. The first model consists of one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries$(IMQ_t^{Total})$ and three independent $variables-RP_t^{Total}$, $EX_t\;and\;EXV_t$. The second one-one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries from China$(IMQ_t^{CN})$ and three independent $variables-RP_t^{CN},\;EX_t\;and\;EXV_t$. And the last one is made up of one dependent variable - import quantity of fisheries from $Japan(IMQ_t^{JP})$ and three independent $variables-RP_t^{CN},\;EX_t\;and\;EXV_t$. The estimation results show that all of the independent variables are statistically significant. Especially, the effect of Chinese $RP_t^{CN}$ is grater than Japanese $RP/P_t^{JP}$. However, the effect of Japanese $EX_t$ is grater than Chinese $EX_t$.

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The Effect of Safety-Aisle on the Perception of Safety-Related Variables in the Small Sawmilling Industry (소규모 제재업 사업장에서 안전통로가 안전관련 변인 지각에 미치는 효과: 탐색적 연구)

  • Rhee, Hongsuk;Moon, Kwangsu;Lee, Kyehoon;Lee, Jaehee;Oah, Shezeen
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2016
  • This study examined the effects of safety-aisle on the safety climate, safety leadership, safety behavior, work loading and perceived accident risk in the small sawmilling industry. We distributed a questionnaire that measured various demographic variables, safety related variables by mail to 200 sawmilling companies. Finally 59 managers' and 129 workers' questionnaires were used for data analysis. An independent t-test was conducted to identify significant mean differences of safety related variables between safety-aisle installed and non-installed companies. Results indicated that mean differences of safety climate and safety behavior between safety-aisle installed and non-installed companies were significant. However, mean differences of safety leadership, work loading and perceived risk were not significant at the p < .05 level. Based on these results, the implications of this study and suggestions for future research were discussed.

The conditional risk probability-based seawall height design method

  • Yang, Xing;Hu, Xiaodong;Li, Zhiqing
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.1007-1019
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    • 2015
  • The determination of the required seawall height is usually based on the combination of wind speed (or wave height) and still water level according to a specified return period, e.g., 50-year return period wind speed and 50-year return period still water level. In reality, the two variables are be partially correlated. This may be lead to over-design (costs) of seawall structures. The above-mentioned return period for the design of a seawall depends on economy, society and natural environment in the region. This means a specified risk level of overtopping or damage of a seawall structure is usually allowed. The aim of this paper is to present a conditional risk probability-based seawall height design method which incorporates the correlation of the two variables. For purposes of demonstration, the wind speeds and water levels collected from Jiangsu of China are analyzed. The results show this method can improve seawall height design accuracy.

Exports of SMEs against Risk? Theory and Evidence from Foreign Exchange Risk Insurance Schemes in Korea

  • Lee, Seo-Young
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.87-101
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This paper examines the effectiveness of the foreign exchange risk insurance system in the promotion of SME exports in Korea. The purpose of this study is to analyze the short-term and long-term responses of SME exports to foreign exchange risk insurance support policies. Based on these empirical studies, we would like to present some operational improvements to the operation of the foreign exchange risk insurance system. Design/methodology - In order to analyze the effect of exchange risk insurance on the exports of SMEs, a VAR model consisting of foreign exchange risk insurance underwriting values, export relative price, and domestic demand pressure, including export volume, was established. The study began with tests of the stationarity of time series data. The unit root tests showed that all concerned variables were non-stationary. Accordingly, the results of the cointegration test showed that the tested variables are not cointegrated. Finally, an impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis were conducted to analyze the impulse of foreign exchange risk insurance on exports of SMEs. Findings - As a result of estimating the VAR (1) model, foreign exchange risk insurance was found to be significant at a 1% significance level for SME' export promotion. In the impulse response analysis, SMEs' export response to the impulse of foreign exchange risk insurance showed that exports gradually increased until the third quarter, and then slowed down. However, the impulse did not disappear, and appeared continuously. Originality/value - This study analyzed the effect of foreign exchange insurance on exports of SMEs by applying the VAR model. In particular, this study is the first to analyze the short-term and long-term effects of foreign exchange risk insurance on exports of SMEs. The empirical evidence in the current study have a policy implication for the policy authority to support and promote the foreign exchange risk insurance in the effect of exchange rate volatility on Korea' export SMEs.

Financial management Behavior and Financial Solidity of Urban Households (도시가계의 재무관리행동과 재무건전성 - 광주광역시를 대상으로 -)

  • 정운영;황덕순
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.115-130
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    • 2002
  • The purposes of this study was to analyze the effects of household characteristics and financial variables on financial management behavior and financial solidity. The major results could be summarized as follows. First, Debt management behavior and risk management behavior reveled a higher score than any other financial management behaviors. The main determinants of financial management behavior were financial communication and financial attitudes. The more positive financial attitudes and the more financial communication were, the better the financial management behavior followed. The set of households characteristics variables accounted for 2% of the variance in the financial management behaviors. But the addition of financial related variables resulted in an R2 change of 33%. Second, the financial solidity by median was 4.10. It means that usuable net asset is four times higher than the total amount of risk. Household head\`s age, financial attitudes and financial management behavior were the variables affecting the financial solidity.

The Differences in Wives' Financial Management Behavior according to Variables Related Employment and Income, and Perceived Economic Instability (고용.소득관련 변수와 경제적 불안에 따른 주부의 재무관리행동)

  • Jeong, Seo-Leen;Jang, Yoon-Ok
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.45 no.10
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate differences in wives' financial management behavior according to variables related employment and income, and perceived economic instability of household. Financial management behaviors were constructed with 4 sub dimensions : investment, income expenditure, risk, and debt management behavior. The subjects of this study were 225 wives. Factor analysis and MANOVA were performed for data analysis. The results of this study were as follows : First, there were signigicant differences in financial management behavior according to variables related employment, i. e. employment state of wives and husbands. Second, there were signigicant differences in financial management behavior according to variables related income, i. e. monthly income, additional income, income stability. Third, there were signigicant differences in financial management behavior according to perceived economic instability of urban household.

The Determinants of Future Bank Stock Returns in Eight Asian Countries

  • An, Jiyoun;Na, Sung-O
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.253-276
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    • 2014
  • We examine which traditional asset pricing variables together with bank-specific accounting variables explain the cross-sectional variation of future bank stock returns, using a firm-level data of eight Asian countries. Our empirical evidence shows that exchange rate risk, firm size, the book-to-market ratio, and the net income ratio are important in explaining future bank stock returns during normal times. However, during the Global Financial Crisis period, different variables such as local market beta, illiquidity risk, equity ratio, and off-balance sheets ratio were statistically significant. Thus, researchers and policy practitioners should monitor these variables during normal times as well as during times of crisis.

Factors Affecting Bankruptcy Risks of Firms: Evidence from Listed Companies on Vietnamese Stock Market

  • TRUONG, Thanh Hang;NGUYEN, La Soa
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.275-283
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to investigate the influence of internal factors on the bankruptcy risk of an enterprise through a sample of 439 companies listed on the Vietnamese stock exchange. The research collected secondary data from annual audited financial statements from 2008 to 2019 of listing companies. Using two different regression models with two dependent variables, six independent and control variables, we discovered that three of the model's six factors, namely return on total assets, current payment rate, and financial leverage, influence the risk of bankruptcy and account for 86.78% of the variations in firm bankruptcy risk. Financial leverage has the opposite effect on the Z-score index, increasing the risk of bankruptcy of listed firms. Return on total assets and current ratio have a positive impact on the Z-score index, reducing the risk of bankruptcy of listed companies. The findings also revealed that there is no evidence that the size of a corporation, its fixed asset investment ratio, or the size of an auditing firm have an impact on the Z-score index. These findings provide crucial evidence for business owners and managers, as well as shareholders making future capital investment decisions. Our findings can be applied to other businesses in Vietnam and similar jurisdictions.

The Impact of Language on Customer Intentions to Use Localized E-Commerce Websites in Arabic Countries: The Mediating Role of Perceived Risk and Trust

  • HERZALLAH, Fadi;AYYASH, Mohannad Moufeed;AHMAD, Kamsuriah
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.273-290
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    • 2022
  • Localization of e-commerce websites is a useful tool for providing the world with business organizations and money-making enterprises. However, studies on e-Commerce website localization within the language domain are still quite limited. Thus, the study aims to investigate the relationship between the Arabic language and a wide range of e-Commerce website intentions, clarifying the indirect effects of the Arabic language on intentions to use e-Commerce websites using perceived risk and trust as mediating variables, and determining whether trust and perceived risk work as mediating variables between the Arabic language and e-Commerce website intentions. Survey data collated from participants totaling up to 264 has been used to test the research framework. The selection of these participants is based on their experiences employing e-Commerce websites. Structural equation modeling (SEM) through partial least square (PLS) software was used for the data analysis. The results show that the Arabic language, trust, and perceived risk play effective roles for e-Commerce websites adoption. More importantly, trust and perceived risk positively mediate the relationship between the Arabic language and intentions to use e-Commerce websites. Implications of the study's findings and suggestions for further research are discussed.