• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk reduction method

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An Empirical Analysis on the Production and Price Effect by Agricultural Disaster Insurance (농업재해보험의 생산량 및 가격 효과에 관한 실증분석)

  • Han, Sungmin
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.135-169
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    • 2014
  • This study empirically analyzes changes in production patterns of farmers by agricultural disaster insurance. The aim of this project is to achieve stability of farm management by paying insurance in case of a natural disaster. However, it causes farmers to change production patterns in the direction of increasing production, and leads the crop price to drop. This can be explained by producers' risk reduction through the disaster insurance. The empirical analysis is based on IV approach with using two stage least squares method. The first stage estimates by difference-in-differences methodology indicate that the production of insurable crops increases more about 80,000ton on average than that of non-insurable crops. In addition, to solve the endogeneity problem caused by general supply and demand model, I use the first stage estimates and find that the price index of the crops drops about 2.3% according to the production increase by 10,000ton. The credibility of these results is also attained by various robustness checks. These findings suggest that it is necessary for government to analyze the whole economy which consists of producer and consumer welfare when it determines the policy. Besides, it implies that it is essential to develop a new market to cope with the unintended effect.

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Analysis of Traffic Accident Reduction Performance of High-quality and Long-life Pavement Marking Materials (고기능·장수명 차선도료의 교통사고 감소효과 분석)

  • Lee, Myunghwan;Choi, Keechoo;Oh, In Seop;Kim, Junghwa
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.921-929
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    • 2015
  • Road conditions which obstruct the driver from seeing road markings, such as in the evening or in the rain, due to the lack of a light source gives way to increasing the risk of traffic accidents. In order to increase road safety, the Korea Expressway Corporation set up a pilot project which used high-quality materials along a section of the Gyeongbu Expressway between Daejeon and Pangyo. There is little research on high-quality materials in the field of pavement marking. This study introduces high-quality materials used in pavement materials, presents the results of a survey conducted to examine the effect of the pilot project and analyzes traffic accident data from before and after the implementation of the pilot project. The survey results show that 87% of the respondents were highly satisfied with the pilot project. With the goal of evaluating the effect of the pilot project, this study used traffic accident data provided by the Korea Expressway Corporation accident data and performed a before-after study of the number of traffic. The results of data analysis show that there were 62 and 48 traffic accidents before and after the implementation of the pilot project. In addition, the result of Emperical Bayes Method indicates that there is an 41.7% decrease in the number of traffic accidents as an effect of High-quality Pavement Marking Materials.

Assessment factors for the Selection of Priority Soil Contaminants based on the Comparative Analysis of Chemical Ranking and Scoring Systems (국내.외 Chemical Ranking and Scoring 체계 비교분석을 통한 우선순위 토양오염물질 선정을 위한 평가인자 도출)

  • An, Youn-Joo;Jeong, Seung-Woo;Kim, Tae-Seung;Lee, Woo-Mi;Nam, Sun-Hwa;Baek, Yong-Wook
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.62-71
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    • 2008
  • Soil quality standards (SQS) are necessary to protect the human health and soil biota from the exposure to soil pollutants. The current SQS in Korea contain only sixteen substances, and it is scheduled to expand the number of substances. Chemical ranking and scoring (CRS) system is very effective to screen the priority chemicals for the future SQS in terms of their toxicity and exposure potential. In this study, several CRS systems were extensively compared to propose the assessment factors that required for the screening of soil pollutants The CRS systems considered in this study include the CHEMS-1 (Chemical Hazard Evaluation for Management Strategies), SCRAM (Scoring and Ranking Assessment Model), EURAM (European Union Risk Ranking Method), ARET (Accelerated Reduction/Elimination of Toxics), CRSKorea, and other systems. The additional assessment factors of CRS suitable for soil pollutants were suggested. We suggest soil adsorption factor as an appropriate factor of CRS system to consider chemical transport from soil to groundwater. Other factors such as soil emission rate and cases of accident of soil pollutants were included. These results were reflected to screen the priority chemicals in Korea, as a part of the project entitled ‘Setting the Priority of Soil Contaminants'.

Enrichment of Lactic Acid Bacteria in Salted Fish, Chromis notatus (유산균 강화 자리젓 제조)

  • Ko, Young-Hwan;Kim, Chang-Yong;Kang, Dong-Sub;Ha, Jin-Hwan;Kim, Soo-Hyun;Kang, Young-Joo;Song, Dae-Jin
    • Microbiology and Biotechnology Letters
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.200-207
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    • 1991
  • Jariieot is a local food prepared by fermentation of salted fish, Chromis notatus. Since its NaC' content is around 20% like other fermented seafoods, reduction NaCl concentration is desirable to minimize the risk of health hazard. Addition of KCl and enrichment of lactic acid fermentation were attempted to solve the problems resulting from low salt concentration. NaCl and KCl were added to a fish, Chromis notatus simultaneously at concentrations of 10 to 4% and 5 to 2%, respectively. Lactic acid bacteria and glucose at final concentration of 2% were also mixed with the above-salt treated fish to prepare jarijeot. The jarijeot was examined periodically for chemical changes during aging and compared with reference jarijeot containing only 20% of NaCl to find out an appropriate method for quality improvement. The content of ATP and its related compounds was not affected by the concentration of NaCl or the presence of lactic acid bacteria. Nearly no difference in contents of free amino nitrogen, trimethylamine oxide, trimethylamine and volatile basic nitrogen was observed between the jarijeot containing 20% of NaCl only and that containing 10% of NaCl, 5% of KCl, 2% of glucose and cells of Pediococcus halophilus. Moreover, sensory evaluation of both kinds of jarijeots revealed almost the same scores. The number of cells of P. halophilus was maintained at concentration of $10^5$cell/ml for 60days' fermentation in the above mentioned jarijeot containing 10% of NaCl. Its pH was dropped down to 4.2. Accordingly it is possible to prepare jarijeot enriched with lactic acid bacteria if KCl and glucose are added at concentration of 5% and 2%, respectively, in addition to NaCl at a final concentration of 10%.

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Recent Advances in Cancer Diagnosis: On an Overview of Diagnostic Cytopathologic Modalities and Ancillary Techniques (세포병리학적 기초에 의한 암진단의 발전: 진단방법과 보조기법)

  • Kim, Ki-Tai;Ham, Eui-Keun
    • The Korean Journal of Cytopathology
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1996
  • From the concepts of cellular pathology and of exfoliative cytology, as elucidated by Virchow and Papanicolaou respectively in the late 19th and early 20th century, have evolved the primary methods for the diagnosis of cancer today. From Papanicolaou's concept of exfoliative cytology developed fine needle aspiration biopsy in the early 1960's, this has become a major diagnostic procedure and has contributed to a significant reduction in open biopsies and, therefore, to medical cost-effectiveness immunobiochemical techniques provided us with a supplement to cancer diagnosis in the 1980's. The immunoperoxidase method, using monoclonal antibodies, is applied primarily as an ancillary measure to elucidate the nature of cancers The availability of specific monoclonal antibodies has greatly facilitated the identification of cell products or surface markers. For example, antibodies directed against intermediate filaments have proved to be of value in determining the histogenesis oi poorly differentiated neoplasms. Tumor markers may serve as biochemical indicators of the presence of a neoplasm. They can be detected In plasma and other body fluids. Their concentration can be applied as a diagnostic test, for monitoring the clinical course of known cancer, and as a screening measure to detect certain cancers in a population at risk. Flow cytometry is a useful tool for distinguishing several cell characteristics, such as the immunophenotype of leukemia-lymphoma cells, the DNA content of neoplastic cells, and cell proliferation rate. Molecular biologic techniques provided a giant step for the management of cancer patients encompassing diagnosis, prognostic evaluation, and therapy. Nucleic acid hybridization techniques are utilized as Southern, Northern, and dot blots and in situ hybridization. Molecular biology and its techniques may bring a blight new horizon for understanding cancer biology and in designing therapy on the basis of gene manipulation.

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Portfolio Analysis on the New Power Generation Sources of the Sixth Basic Plan for Long Term Electricity Demand and Supply (포트폴리오 이론을 활용한 제6차 전력수급기본계획의 신규전원구성 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Juhan;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.583-615
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    • 2014
  • Including the rolling black out in 2011, Korea has suffered from rapid increase of electricity consumption and demand forecasting failure for last five years. In addition, because of the Fukushima disaster, high fuel prices, and introduction of new generation sources such as renewables, the uncertainty on a power supply strategy increases. Consequently, a stable power supply becomes the new agenda and a revisino of strategy for new power generation sources is needed. In the light of this, we appraises the sixth basic plan for long term electricity demand and supply considering the changes of foreign and domestic conditions. We also simulate a strategy for the new power generation sources using a portfolio analysis method. As results, a diversity of power generation sources will increase and the share of renewable power generation will be surged on the assumptions of a cost reduction of renewable power sources and an increase of fuel costs. Particularly, on the range of a risk level(standard deviation) from 0.06 and 0.09, the efficient frontier has the most various power sources. Besides, the existing power plan is not efficient so that an improvement is needed. Lastly, the development of an electricity storage system and energy management system is necessary to make a stable and efficient power supply condition.

External Fixation of Retaining Ligament in Correction of Facial Disfigurement in Type-1 Neurofibromatosis Patients (유지 인대의 외부 고정을 통한 제1형 신경섬유종증 환자의 안면부 변형 교정)

  • Myung, Yu-Jin;Lee, Yoon-Ho
    • Archives of Plastic Surgery
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.257-262
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: In neurofibromatosis patients, complete surgical excision of the mass is almost impossible and surgical treatment usually consists of multiple serial excisions that only result in a debulking effect. Remnant tumor mass has a gravitational effect on facial soft tissues that leads to sagging of skin and soft tissue, and eventually, facial disfigurement and asymmetry. The purpose of our surgical method is to perform soft tissue lifting with longer lasting effect with less surgical risk of damaging facial nerve and vessels. With external fixation using K-wire or surgical screw, the procedure only called for a short incision length and had additional adhesive properties that enabled anchoring of soft tissue in a lifted position for a longer postoperative period. Methods: A total of 5 neurofibromatosis patients (NF-1) visited our clinic for mass reduction and face lifting. The age of patients ranged from 13 to 42 (mean 28.8 years), and most patients had a long history of multiple excisions in the past. Face lifting was performed in 2 different areas, the periorbital area in 3 patients, and the midface in 2 patients. The materials used in fixation of retaining ligament were K-wire (n=3) and titanium screw (n=2). Results: Follow up period was from 5 month to 3 years and 1 month (mean=2 years and 1 month). All patients conveyed satisfaction with the results and no major complications were reported. The lifting effect lasted for as long as 3 years, and there were no complaints of relapse of soft tissue depression or sagging within the operated area. 1 patient (M/13) needed secondary k-wire insertion and additional mass excision in 1 year and 10 months postoperatively due to tumor growth. In two patients with K-wire fixation, mild dimpling and tenderness were observed in the follow up period, but in about 2 months postoperatively, dimpling was relieved and there was no need for removal of fixating material. Conclusion: Surgical lifting in neurofibromatosis patients can be challenging, for mass excision cannot be done completely and gravitational effect by residual mass can be persistent. External fixation of the retaining ligament in patients with neurofibromatosis can give satisfactory results-for incision length is relatively shorter, and the lifting effect can last longer compared to other various face lifting techniques.

Survival Rate and Prognostic Factors of Esophageal Cancer in East Azerbaijan Province, North-west of Iran

  • Mirinezhad, Seyed Kazem;Somi, Mohammad Hossein;Jangjoo, Amir Ghasemi;Seyednezhad, Farshad;Dastgiri, Saeed;Mohammadzadeh, Mohammad;Naseri, Ali Reza;Nasiri, Behnam
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.3451-3454
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    • 2012
  • Background: Esophageal cancer in Iran is the sixth most common cancer and is particularly important in east Azerbaijan. The aim of this study was to calculate survival rates and define prognostic factors in esophageal cancer patients. Methods: In this study, all patients with esophageal cancer registered in the Radiation Therapy Center, during March 2006 to March 2011, were analyzed and followed up for vital status. Data were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the Cox proportional hazard models. Results: Out of 532 patients, survival information was available for 460, including 205 (44/ 5%) females and 255 (55/4%) males. The mean age was $65.8{\pm}12.2$, ranging from 29 to 90 years at the time of diagnosis. 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rates after diagnosis were 55%, 18% and 12%, respectively, with a median survival time of $13.2{\pm}.7$ (CI 95% =11.8-14.6) months. In the univariate analysis, age (P=0/001), education (P=0/001), smoking status (P= 0/001), surgery (P= 0/001), tumor differentiation (P= 0/003) and tumor stage (P= 0/001) were significant prognostic factors. Tumor morphology, sex, place of residence, tumor histology and tumor location did not show any significant effects on the survival rate. In multivariate analysis, age (P = 0/003), smoking (P= 0/01) and tumor stage (P= 0/001) were significant independent predictors of survival. Conclusion: In summary, prognosis of esophageal cancer in North West of Iran is poor. Therefore, reduction in exposure to risk factors and early detection should be emphasized to improve survival.

Determination of Key Elements Using FTA/FMEA Safety Techniques for Precedent Research Stage of Defense R&D Programs (국방 선행연구단계에서 안전분석 기법 FTA/FMEA의 활용을 통한 핵심요소의 결정)

  • Choi, Se Keun;Kim, Young-Min;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.50-61
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    • 2018
  • A precedent defense project study was carried out in the early stage of the project to support efficient determination of the acquisition method of the determined weapons system. A precedent study in the early stage of the project has been neglected, but lack of performance and increased costs are continuing problems. In a precedent study on a number of items within a limited time frame, expected risks during project implementation were not identified and reduced by failing to review the key review element in depth. Therefore, in this paper, we studied the application of the FTA/FMEA technique used in the system safety analysis process to identify key factors to be considered when carrying out the defense research project. The methodology for the development of the key review items was established through the improvement of the FTA/FMEA technique in order to meet specific conditions and given conditions. Based on the results of this study, we redefined core key factors in the precedent study stage, thereby eliminating unnecessary and anticipated risks that may arise in the future project management aspects of the defense project. It is anticipated that this will reduce costs and time in terms of the lifecycle of the weapon system and promote stable operation of the project through reduction of risk.

Synthesis of Fe3O4-δ Using FeC2O4·2H2O by Thermal Decomposition in N2 Atmosphere (N2분위기에서 FeC2O4·2H2O의 열분해에 의한 Fe3O4-δ합성)

  • Park, Won-Shik;Oh, Kyoung-Hwan;An, Suk-Jin;Suhr, Dong-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Materials Research
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.253-258
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    • 2012
  • Activated magnetite ($Fe_3O_{4-{\delta}}$) was applied to reducing $CO_2$ gas emissions to avoid greenhouse effects. Wet and dry methods were developed as a $CO_2$ removal process. One of the typical dry methods is $CO_2$ decomposition using activated magnetite ($Fe_3O_{4-{\delta}}$). Generally, $Fe_3O_{4-{\delta}}$ is manufactured by reduction of $Fe_3O_4$ by $H_2$ gas. This process has an explosion risk. Therefore, a non-explosive process to make $Fe_3O_{4-{\delta}}$ was studied using $FeC_2O_4{\cdot}2H_2O$ and $N_2$. $FeSO_4{\cdot}7H_2O$ and $(NH_4)_2C_2O_4{\cdot}H_2O$ were used as starting materials. So, ${\alpha}-FeC_2O_4{\cdot}2H_2O$ was synthesized by precipitation method. During the calcination process, $FeC_2O_4{\cdot}2H_2O$ was decomposed to $Fe_3O_4$, CO, and $CO_2$. The specific surface area of the activated magnetite varied with the calcination temperature from 15.43 $m^2/g$ to 9.32 $m^2/g$. The densities of $FeC_2O_4{\cdot}2H_2O$ and $Fe_3O_4$ were 2.28 g/$cm^3$ and 5.2 g/$cm^3$, respectively. Also, the $Fe_3O_4$ was reduced to $Fe_3O_{4-{\delta}}$ by CO. From the TGA results in air of the specimen that was calcined at $450^{\circ}C$ for three hours in $N_2$ atmosphere, the ${\delta}$-value of $Fe_3O_{4-{\delta}}$ was estimated. The ${\delta}$-value of $Fe_3O_{4-{\delta}}$ was 0.3170 when the sample was heat treated at $400^{\circ}C$ for 3 hours and 0.6583 when the sample was heat treated at $450^{\circ}C$ for 3 hours. $Fe_3O_{4-{\delta}}$ was oxidized to $Fe_3O_4$ when $Fe_3O_{4-{\delta}}$ was reacted with $CO_2$ because $CO_2$ is decomposed to C and $O_2$.