• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk point

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Design Improvement to a Research Reactor for Safety Enhancement using PSA (PSA를 이용한 연구용 원자로 안전성 향상 방안 도출)

  • Lee, Yoon-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.157-163
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    • 2018
  • This paper describes design improvement to a research rector for safety enhancement using Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA). This PSA under reactor design was undertaken to assess the level of safety for the design of a research reactor and to evaluate whether it is probabilistically safe to operate and reliable to use. The scope of the PSA reported here is a Level 1 PSA, which addresses the risks associated with the core damage. The technical objectives of this study were to identify accident sequences leading to core damage and to derive design improvement from the dominant accident sequences through the sensitivity analysis. The AIMS-PSA and FTREX were used for the this PSA of the research reactor. The criterion for inclusion was all sequences with a point estimate frequency greater than a truncation value of 1.0E-14/yr. The final result indicates a point estimate of 6.79E-05/yr for the overall Core Damage Frequency (CDF) attributable to internal initiating events for the research reactor under design. Based on the dominant accident sequences from the PSA, the seven kinds of sensitivity analysis were performed and some design improvement items were derived. When the five methods to improve the safety were all applied to the reactor design and emergency operating procedure, its risk was reduced to about 1.21E-06/yr from 6.79E-05/yr. The contribution of LOCA and LOEP with high CDF were significantly reduced by the sensitivity analysis. The safety of the research reactor was well improved and the risk was reduced than before adapting the design improvement gotten from the sensitivity analysis. The present study indicated that the research reactor has the well-balanced safety in regard to each initiating event contribution to CDF. The PSA methodology is very effective to improve reactor safety in a conceptual design phase and especially, Risk-informed design(RID) is very nice way to find the deficiencies of research reactor under design and to improve the reactor safety by solving them.

Prediction of Exposure and Risks of Environmental Pollutants via Emission Assessment and Multimedia Transport Modeling (배출량산정모델과 다중매질모델링을 이용한 환경오염물질의 노출평가 및 위해도 평가)

  • Kim, Jong Ho;Kwak, Byoung Kyu;Shin, Chee Burm;Jeon, Won Jin;Yi, Jongheop
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.248-257
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, human exposure and risk of environmental pollutants were predicted using an emission assessment model and multimedia fate model. Eight environmental pollutants, acetaldehyde, acrylonitrile, aniline, benzene, carbon tetrachloride, dichloromethane, formaldehyde and vinyl chloride, were selected for the risk assessment in an urban and industrial area in Korea. The emission rate of target pollutants were estimated after considering a variety of point and non-point emission sources including geographical information. A spatially refined multimedia fate model was applied to predict the environmental concentration and fate of pollutants. Hazard data of target materials were obtained from the IRIS(Integrated Risk Information System) database. Using the modeling results with hazard data, the human risks were assessed. Modeling results demonstrate that the considerable risks were observed for several pollutants.

Collision Risk Analysis in Busan Harbour

  • Gug, Seung-Gi;Fukuda, Gen;Cho, A-Ra;Park, Hye-Ri
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.53-57
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    • 2014
  • This thesis, concentrates on marine collision risks of the area divided by cells. Using a gas molecular collision calculation model, a collision risk model is proposed. Collision risk is estimated by relative angle, relative speed, and ship's density in the cell. For one week, Automatic Identification System (AIS) data was collected and analyzed on the Busan North Port area. The results indicate a high-risk area at the sea route connection point in Busan North Port. It also shows that twilight is the time of day when most collisions occur. This means that the area is high risk due to the number of collisions and other dangerous factors related to twilight. Although there is still need to consider other risks such as grounding risks, the results of this study are useful to for plotting a risk map for the port.

A Study on the Quantitative Risk Analysis Using CFD for the Fuel Gas Supply System of Gas Fueled Ship (가스추진선박의 가스연료공급시스템에 대한 CFD를 이용한 정량적 위험도 해석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kipyoung;Kim, Daeheon;Lee, Youngho
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2017
  • LNG has significant advantages in regard to environmental aspects comparing with conventional fuel oil. In fact, it is estimated that NOx and SOx emission can be reduced by about 90% and 100%, respectively in case of using LNG as a fuel. LNG-fuelled ship has been considered to be the best option both from an environmental and an economic point of view. Along with these trends, some major shipyards and Classification Societies have started to carry out the risk-based system design for LNG-fuelled ship such as passenger ship, platform supply vessel and large container vessel etc. However, new conceptual gas fuelled ship has high risk level compared with vessel using traditional crude oil especially in view of gas explosion accident. Therefore safety area where installed fuel gas supply system is required risk based system design with special considerations. On this paper, the entire process necessary for the quantitative risk analysis was explained to meet the satisfactory safety level of gas fuelled ship.

Risk Assessment Strategy for Decommissioning of Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station

  • Yamaguchi, Akira;Jang, Sunghyon;Hida, Kazuki;Yamanaka, Yasunori;Narumiya, Yoshiyuki
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.442-449
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    • 2017
  • Risk management of the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station decommissioning is a great challenge. In the present study, a risk management framework has been developed for the decommissioning work. It is applied to fuel assembly retrieval from Unit 3 spent fuel pool. Whole retrieval work is divided into three phases: preparation, retrieval, and transportation and storage. First of all, the end point has been established and the success path has been developed. Then, possible threats, which are internal/external and technical/societal/management, are identified and selected. "What can go wrong?" is a question about the failure scenario. The likelihoods and consequences for each scenario are roughly estimated. The whole decommissioning project will continue for several decades, i.e., long-term perspective is important. What should be emphasized is that we do not always have enough knowledge and experience of this kind. It is expected that the decommissioning can make steady and good progress in support of the proposed risk management framework. Thus, risk assessment and management are required, and the process needs to be updated in accordance with the most recent information and knowledge on the decommissioning works.

Economic Effect of The Regional Fishery Product Supply Shortage - Focusing on Fisheries Risk Factors - (지역별 수산물 공급지장의 경제적 파급효과 분석 - 수산업 리스크 요인을 중심으로 -)

  • Um, Kwon-O;Lee, Mu-Hui
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.53 no.3
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    • pp.65-83
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    • 2022
  • In addition to simply providing quality food to the people, the fishery industry must be maintained and developed because it has various functions such as national food security, preservation of natural scenery, protection of national territory, and revitalization of the local economy. However, risk factors such as climate changes and environmental destruction have raised concerns about the sustainable development of the industry. Since these risk factors are becoming larger and more complex over time, it is time to conduct research related to the risk of the fishery industry. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to explore the risk factors facing the fisheries at this point, to analyze the economic ripple effect of regional fishery product supply shortage, and to draw implications. As a result of this study, the economic ripple effect of fishery product shortage per won was highest in Busan, followed by Gangwon, Gyeongnam, and Gyeongbuk. Considering the size of the local fishery industry, Busan had the highest supply shortage per 1% of local fisheries production. It is also necessary to prepare special risk management and countermeasures for these regions since the effect of supply shortage in regions such as Jeonnam, Gyeongnam, and Jeju is large compared to other regions.

A Study on the Time of Passing of Property in the International Sale of Goods (국제물품매매계약상 운송물품의 소유권이전시기에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Jae-Hwan
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.45
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    • pp.3-31
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    • 2010
  • The passing of property in goods affects contractual rights and duties. It is the point on which depend issues as diverse as the seller's entitlement to sue for the price and the incidence of risk of loss of casualty to the goods. The passing of property may also have an incidental effect on the remedies of the parties, including specific performance. But Incoterms do not deal with how the goods should reach the agreed point of delivery. While Incoterms specifically deal with questions of division of risk of loss of or damage to the goods between seller and buyer, they do not deal with property or transfer of title of the goods. Indeed, it was not even possible to agree on uniform rules on these questions in the CISG. Therefore, the parties to a contract of sale should provide for these matters themselves in the contract of sale and closely observe what the applicable law requires for the transfer of ownership to the goods and other property rights.

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Hazard analysis and monitoring for debris flow based on intelligent fuzzy detection

  • Chen, Tim;Kuo, D.;Chen, J.C.Y.
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to develop the fuzzy risk assessment model of the debris flow to verify the accuracy of risk assessment in order to help related organizations reduce losses caused by landslides. In this study, actual cases of landslides that occurred are utilized as the database. The established models help us assess the occurrence of debris flows using computed indicators, and to verify the model errors. In addition, comparisons are made between the models to determine the best one to use in practical applications. The results prove that the risk assessment model systems are quite suitable for debris flow risk assessment. The reproduction consequences of highlight point discovery are shown in highlight guide coordinating toward discover steady and coordinating component focuses and effectively identified utilizing these two systems, by examining the variety in the distinguished highlights and the element coordinating.

DEA와 Worst Practice DEA를 이용한 정보통신기업의 신용위험평가

  • 한국정보시스템학회
    • Proceedings of the Korea Association of Information Systems Conference
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    • 2005.12a
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    • pp.334-346
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this paper is to introduce the concept of worst practice DEA, which aims at identifying worst performers by placing them on the efficient frontier. This is particularly relevant for our application to credit risk evaluation, but this also has general relevance since the worst performers are where the largest improvement potential can be found. The paper also proposes to use a layering technique instead of the traditional cut-off point approach, since this enables incorporation of risk attitudes and risk-based pricing. Finally, it is shown how the use of a combination of normal and worst practice DEA models enable detection of self-identifiers. The results of the empirical application on credit risk evaluation validate the method which is proposed in this paper.

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Analysing the probability of risks by using AIS Data

  • Guk, Seung-Gi;Fukuda, Gen
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2013.06a
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    • pp.169-171
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    • 2013
  • The ships always have had the risk of collision. There are also a number of near-miss situations especially in the congested area such as port entrance, restricted waters and crossing point of the ship's route. In those areas, the navigator might have more stress than other areas. If the collision risk of decided area is calculated, it might be possible to analyse the human factors by using this data. It is also helpful for deciding a position of aids to navigation or any other system for the safety navigation. For this purpose, the model of collision risk with AIS data has been explained in this paper. The calculated result from the proposed model has been examined by using the simulation.

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