• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk period of damage

검색결과 125건 처리시간 0.029초

일 최대풍속의 추정확률분포에 의한 농작물 강풍 피해 위험도 판정 방법 (Prediction of Wind Damage Risk based on Estimation of Probability Distribution of Daily Maximum Wind Speed)

  • 김수옥
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.130-139
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    • 2017
  • 기상청 동네예보 풍속으로부터 농작물의 강풍피해를 예측하기 위해, 방재기상관측지점 19곳의 2012년 풍속자료를 이용하여 기상청 동네예보의 3시간 간격과 동일한 0000, 0300 ${\cdots}$ 2100 시간대의 풍속과 직전 3시간 동안의 최대풍속 간의 관계를 직선회귀식으로 표현하였다. 매 3시간 마다 추정된 최대풍속 중 가장 큰 값을 일 최대풍속으로 간주하고, 이 때의 추정오차를 정규분포와 Weibull 분포 확률밀도함수로 표현하였다. 또한 일 최대풍속과 작물 피해 임계풍속 간의 편차를 추정오차 기반 확률 분포에 적용하여 확률누적값으로 풍해 '주의보'와 '경보' 단계를 설정하였다. 19지점별 최대풍속 추정 회귀계수(a, b)와 추정오차의 표준편차 및 Weibull 분포의 모수(${\alpha}$, ${\beta}$)는 공간내삽하여 분포도로 작성하고 종관기상관측지점 4곳(순천, 남원, 임실, 장수)의 격자값을 추출하였다. 이를 이용해 2012년의 일 최대풍속을 추정하고, 배 만삼길 품종의 낙과 발생 사례에서 제시된 풍속 10m/s를 낙과 임계풍속으로 간주, 풍해 주의보와 경보를 판정하였다. 그 결과, 최대풍속 추정오차를 Weibull 분포로 표현하여 풍해 위험 정도를 판정하는 것이 정규분포만을 이용하는 것보다 더 현장에 정확한 주의보를 발령할 수 있었다.

장주기 지진동을 고려한 건축물 및 비구조요소의 가속도 응답 증폭비 (A Study on the Acceleration Response Amplification Ratio of Buildings and Non-structural Components Considering Long-Period Ground Motions)

  • 오상훈;김주찬
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2023
  • Structures of high-rise buildings are less prone to earthquake damage. This is because the response acceleration of high-rise buildings appears to be small by generally occurring short-period ground motions. However, due to the increased construction volume of high-rise buildings and concerns about large earthquakes, long-period ground motions have begun to be recognized as a risk factor for high-rise buildings. Ground motion observed on each floor of the building is affected by the eigenmode of the building because the ground motion input to the building is amplified in the frequency range corresponding to the building's natural frequency. In addition, long-period components of ground motion are more easily transmitted to the floor or attached components of the building than short-period components. As such, high-rise buildings and non-structural components pose concerns about long-period ground motion. However, the criteria (ASCE 7-22) underestimate the acceleration response of buildings and non-structural components caused by long-period ground motion. Therefore, the characteristics of buildings' acceleration response amplification ratio and non-structural components were reviewed in this study through shake table tests considering long-period ground motions.

신생아 발작의 발견 및 진단 (Detection and Diagnosis of Neonatal Seizures)

  • 은백린
    • Neonatal Medicine
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2009
  • Seizures are the most common clinical manifestation of a neurologic insult during the neonatal period. Neonatal seizures continue to present a diagnostic and therapeutic challenge to pediatricians because the recognition and classification of neonatal seizures remains problematic, particularly when clinicians rely only on clinical criteria. Neonatal seizures can permanently disrupt neuronal development, induce synaptic reorganization, alter plasticity, and "prime" the brain to increased damage from seizures later in life. Since neonatal seizures, particularly status epilepticus, predict an increased risk for later epilepsy and other neurologic sequelae, accurate diagnoses are needed for aggressive antiepileptic drug use. The present review summarizes the pathophysiology, etiology, and diagnosis of neonatal seizures.

Life Cycle Costing: Maintenance and Repair Costs of Hospital Facilities Using Monte Carlo Simulation

  • Kim, Tae-Hui;Choi, Jong-Soo;Park, Young Jun;Son, Kiyoung
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.541-548
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    • 2013
  • During the administration of a construction project, various types of participants are engaged in the project. From the design phase to the maintenance phase, these participants may confront many risks. To avoid these risks, participants should utilize an insurance company or a bond company. The types of risks and liability that a construction manager may face are listed in the construction law or contract. But there are some arguments related to risk transferring and the content of risks. For this reason, construction managers must carefully consider any possible risks in the contract and the construction law. Therefore, for construction managers to deal with risks appropriately, the introduction of a legal requirement to carry professional liability insurance, a defined compensation range for damages, a method of guarantee in the event of defects, a defined compensation claim period for damage, and a method of damage claim were suggested in this study.

강우량 증가에 따른 홍수량 변동 및 홍수범람 분석 (Analysis of Flooding Variation and Flood Inundation According to Increasing Rainfall)

  • 강보성;양성기;정우열
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.415-424
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    • 2015
  • As global warming has accelerated to weather in recent years, and The frequent floods are creating heavy rains and typhoons followed by considerable damage in Jeju. This study estimated design flood discharges and flood stage in Jeju, considering climate change in connection with RCP scenario, the 5th IPCC Report recently published. It also analyzed the period which might be subject to the risk of flooding in downstream of Oedo Stream. As a result, it has analyzed that there might be a risk of flooding when there were 80 years or more rainfall events in 35 years that rainfall would have increased by 10%, 69 years that 100 years or more heavy rain and rainfall would have increased by 20%, and 104 years that 100 years or more heavy rain and rainfall would have increased by 20%. It is expected that this study results of rainfall increasing trend caused by climate change will be helpful to minimize the damage of floods which will secure the future of Jeju.

Seismic performance comparison of existing public facilities strengthened with RC jacketing and steel bracing

  • Zu Irfan;Abdullah Abdullah;Azmeri Azmeri;Moch. Afiffuddin;Rifqi Irvansyah
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.43-56
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    • 2023
  • Banda Aceh is one of the areas that sustains the most damage during a natural disaster because it contains so many houses, office buildings, public facilities, and schools. Public structures in coastal areas are highly susceptible to earthquakes, resulting in high casualties and property damage. Several public structures were reconstructed during the reconstruction and rehabilitation period. Because this building is located in an area with a high risk of earthquakes, its capacity must be analyzed initially. Additionally, history indicates that Aceh Province has been struck by numerous earthquakes, including the largest ever recorded in 1983 and the most recent earthquake with a magnitude of 9.3 SR on December 26, 2004. The city of Banda Aceh was devastated by this earthquake, which was followed by a tsunami. The possibility of a large earthquake in Banda Aceh City necessitates that the structures constructed there be resistant to seismic risk. This study's objective was to evaluate the seismic performance of the existing building by applying the method of strengthening the structure in the form of jacketing columns and the addition of steel bracing in order to estimate the performance of the structure using multiple ground motions. Therefore, several public buildings must be analyzed to determine the optimal seismic retrofitting technique.

Lamotrigine Decreased Hippocampal Damage and Improved Vascular Risk Markers in a Rat Model of Pentylenetetrazole Induced Kindling Seizure

  • Haggag, Basma S.;Hasanin, Amany H.;Raafat, Mona H.;Kawy, Hala S. Abdel
    • The Korean Journal of Physiology and Pharmacology
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.269-278
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    • 2014
  • Various antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) especially enzyme-inducing AEDs might be associated with increased vascular risk, through impairment of the endogenous antioxidative ability which may trigger oxygen-dependent tissue injury. Lamotrigine (LTG) a non-enzyme-inducing AED has scarce information regarding its effects on oxidative stress. The present study aimed to study the possible modulation of vascular risk factors of epileptogenesis by LTG, in a rat model of kindling seizure induced by pentylenetetrazole (PTZ). Four groups of male Wister rats were used; vehicle control group, PTZ group (alternate day PTZ, 30 mg/kg, i.p), LTG/PTZ group (LTG 20 mg/kg/day p.o and alternate day PTZ) and LTG group. The study period was 5 weeks. Lipoproteins and total homocysteine (tHcy), malondialdehyde (MDA) and reduced glutathione (GSH) were measured. Aortic endothelial function study and histopathological examination of the rats' brains, aortas and coronaries were conducted. Serum total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), tHcy, MDA, GSH levels were significantly higher in epileptic rats than normal controls rats. A decrease in HDL-cholesterol with high atherosclerotic index was also demonstrated. The administration of LTG improved the PTZ-kindled seizures. It produced a significant decrease in TC, TG and LDL-cholesterol, MDA, aortic GSH and increase in HDL-cholesterol with no significant effect on serum GSH and tHcy levels. LTG improved endothelium-dependent relaxation, decreased hippocampal neurodegenerative changes and atherosclerotic changes of aortas and coronaries. LTG decreased seizures severity, hippocampal damage and improved vascular risk markers in this rat model of kindling seizures.

남한강 유역의 침수예상지역에 대한 홍수범람분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Watershed Analysis of the Expected Flood Inundation Area in South Han River)

  • 홍성수;정다솜;황의호;채효석
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.106-119
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    • 2016
  • 홍수 및 침수 등의 자연재해로부터 예방, 대비, 복구, 대응을 위한 기초자료로 홍수위험지도, 홍수피해지도, 재해정보지도, 침수흔적도 등 지도 제작에 있어서 홍수범람해석이 핵심적인 내용을 수반한다. 본 연구에서는 한강 살리기 사업 이후의 충주댐부터 팔당댐까지의 남한강 구간에 대하여 하도 특성 및 유역특성을 분석하고, 하천기본계획상 계획홍수위를 이용하여 홍수 시나리오를 선정하였다. 하천의 흐름특성을 고려하여 HEC-RAS를 이용한 1차원 부등류 해석, FLUMEN을 이용하여 상습수해지역인 여주, 양평, 충주지구에 대해 2차원 부정류 해석을 실시함으로써 홍수범람해석을 하였다. 남한강 구간에 대해 각 지천별로 100년, 200년, 500년 빈도해석을 하였으며, 침수심 0.5m에 해당되는 100년 빈도는 2,379.8ha, 200년 빈도는 3,155.2ha, 500년 빈도는 3,995.3ha의 홍수피해면적이 산정되었다. 침수흔적도와 비교분석함으로써 하천정비기본계획, 토지이용계획, 홍수방어대책, 치수대책 등의 수립 및 신속한 호우피해 예상지역의 정보 취득으로 대피정보 제공을 위한 재해정보지도 구축의 중요한 의사결정 자료가 될 것으로 사료된다.

봄철 과수 꽃눈 발육 수준에 따른 저온해 위험도 산정 (Estimation of freeze damage risk according to developmental stage of fruit flower buds in spring)

  • 김진희;김대준;김수옥;윤은정;주옥정;박종선;신용순
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2019
  • 기후변화에 따른 이상난동 현상으로 과수 개화시기는 앞당겨지는 추세이며, 이에 따라 발아-개화기를 전후로 갑작스레 출현하는 저온에 의한 피해사례가 증가하고 있다. 특정 과원 내에서 동일한 저온이 발생하더라도 개별 과수의 현재 발육상태에 따라 저온에 견뎌내는 힘은 각각 다르므로 피해정도와 양상은 다르게 나타나는데, 기존 과수 꽃눈의 발육상태별 동사온도 기준만으로는 기온 공간변이가 큰 임의 지역의 저온해를 예상하기에는 한계가 있었다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 한계를 극복하고 조기 대응할 수 있도록 생육추정 모델을 이용해 과수의 생육 수준을 예측하여 봄철 기온 예보자료만으로 저온에 따른 위험수준을 정량적으로 평가할 수 있는 저온해 위험도 함수식을 도출하였다. 저온해 위험 추정식을 2018년을 대상으로 '후지' 사과, '장호원황도' 복숭아, '신고' 배에 적용하여 저온해 발생일과 위험분포의 지리적 양상을 주산지별로 분석한 결과, 4월 8일에 모든 과수에서 저온해가 가장 큰 것으로 나타났다. 대표 주산지로 보면 사과는 거창, 함양, 장수에서, 복숭아는 의성, 청도, 김천, 임실, 남원, 대구에서, 배는 김천, 천안, 아산, 논산, 울산, 경주, 진주 일대에서 피해가 많이 발생했을 것으로 예상되었다. 이 기술은 과수 재배농가의 봄철 저온 피해 경감 및 이상기후에 따른 대응기술 마련에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

The effect of carrot juice, ${\beta}$-carotene supplementation on lymphocyte DNA damage, erythrocyte antioxidant enzymes and plasma lipid profiles in Korean smoker

  • Lee, Hye-Jin;Park, Yoo-Kyoung;Kang, Myung-Hee
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제5권6호
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    • pp.540-547
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    • 2011
  • High consumption of fruits and vegetables has been suggested to provide some protection to smokers who are exposed to an increased risk of numerous cancers and other degenerative diseases. Carrot is the most important source of dietary ${\beta}$-carotene. Therefore, the objective of this study was to investigate whether carrot juice supplementation to smokers can protect against lymphocyte DNA damage and to compare the effect of supplementationof capsules containing purified ${\beta}$-carotene or a placebo (simple lactose). The study was conducted in a randomized and placebo-controlled design. After a depletion period of 14 days, 48 smokers were supplemented with either carrot juice (n = 18), purified ${\beta}$-carotene (n = 16) or placebo (n = 14). Each group was supplemented for 8 weeks with approximately 20.49 mg of ${\beta}$-carotene/day and 1.2 mg of vitamin C/day, as carrot juice (300 ml/day) or purified ${\beta}$-carotene (20.49 mg of ${\beta}$-carotene, 1 capsule/day). Lymphocyte DNA damage was determined using the COMET assay under alkaline conditions and damage was quantified by measuring tail moment (TM), tail length (TL), and% DNA in the tail. Lymphocyte DNA damage was significantly decreased in the carrot juice group in all three measurements. The group that received purified ${\beta}$-carotene also showed a significant decrease in lymphocyte DNA damage in all three measurements. However, no significant changes in DNA damage was observed for the placebo group except TM (P = 0.016). Erythrocyte antioxidant enzyme was not significantly changed after supplementation. Similarly plasma lipid profiles were not different after carrot juice, ${\beta}$-carotene and placebo supplementation. These results suggest that while the placebo group failed to show any protective effect, carrot juice containing beta-carotene or purified ${\beta}$-carotene itself had great antioxidative potential in preventing damage to lymphocyte DNA in smokers.