• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk assessment technique

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Method for Assessing Landslide Susceptibility Using SMOTE and Classification Algorithms (SMOTE와 분류 기법을 활용한 산사태 위험 지역 결정 방법)

  • Yoon, Hyung-Koo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 2023
  • Proactive assessment of landslide susceptibility is necessary for minimizing casualties. This study proposes a methodology for classifying the landslide safety factor using a classification algorithm based on machine learning techniques. The high-risk area model is adopted to perform the classification and eight geotechnical parameters are adopted as inputs. Four classification algorithms-namely decision tree, k-nearest neighbor, logistic regression, and random forest-are employed for comparing classification accuracy for the safety factors ranging between 1.2 and 2.0. Notably, a high accuracy is demonstrated in the safety factor range of 1.2~1.7, but a relatively low accuracy is obtained in the range of 1.8~2.0. To overcome this issue, the synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) is adopted to generate additional data. The application of SMOTE improves the average accuracy by ~250% in the safety factor range of 1.8~2.0. The results demonstrate that SMOTE algorithm improves the accuracy of classification algorithms when applied to geotechnical data.

The high accurate monitoring technique of land deformation by using satellite image - PSInSAR -

  • Mizuno Toshimi;Kuzuoka Shigeki
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.305-312
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    • 2003
  • Remote sensing can provide invisible information in addition to acquire wide-view image data from space. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) transmits microwave to the earth from a satellite and collects the reflected echo from the surface. Interferometric processing of SAR data can detect the subtle land deformation. The information of the surface movement by SAR is useful to monitor the volcanic activity, extended subsidence of urbanized area and the prediction of the earthquake caused by crustal deformation, and it complements the conventional levelling and GPS technique. PSInSAR (Permanent Scatterers Interferometric SAR) is one of interferometric techniques to be applied to practical projects in Japan. In this paper, the projects of land deformation monitoring are shown after the explanations of the PSInSAR principle. Tokai earthquake risk assessment is the first example. PSInSAR detects the subduction of crustal deformation of the adjacent area of new assumed epicenter region of the Tokai Earthquake. The extended subsidence of the urbanized area was implemented by using Japanese satellite data i.e. JERS that has so much data the surrounding of Japan as the archive. We examine the relationship between the geological structure and settlement at Nohbi basin including Nagoya city.

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Assessment of masonry arch bridges retrofitted by sprayed concrete under in-plane cyclic loading

  • Mahdi Yazdani;Mehrdad Zirakbash
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.57-70
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    • 2024
  • Masonry arch bridges as a vital infrastructure were not designed for seismic loads. Given that masonry arch bridges are made up of various components, their contribution under the seismic actions can be very undetermined and each of these structural components can play a different role in energy dissipation. Iran is known as a high-risk area in terms of seismic excitations and according to the seismic hazard zoning classification of Iran, most of these railway infrastructures are placed in the high and very high seismicity zones or constructed near the major faults. Besides, these ageing structures are deteriorated and thus in recent years, some of these bridges using various retrofitting approaches, including sprayed concrete technique are strengthened. Therefore, investigating the behavior of these restored structures with new characteristics is very significant. The aim of this study is to investigate the cyclic in-plane performance of masonry arch bridges retrofitted by sprayed concrete technique through the finite element simulation. So, by considering the fill-arch interaction, the nonlinear behavior of a bridge has been investigated. Finally, by extracting the hysteresis and enveloping curves of the retrofitted and non-retrofitted bridge, the effect of strengthening on energy absorption and degradation of material has been investigated.

Clinical Importance and Measurement in Thoracic Kyphosis (흉추 후만증에 관한 임상적 중요성과 측정법)

  • Kim, Suhn-Yeop;Jang, Hyun-Jeong
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Orthopedic Manual Physical Therapy
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2012
  • Thoracic kyphosis is occasionally used to describe someone with accentuated thoracic curvature, hyperkyphosis is preferred since kyphosis itself refers to the normal sagittal angle of thoracic curvature. The angle of thoracic kyphosis tends to increase with age resulting in hyperkyphosis in some individuals. The persons who suffer from hyperkyphosis are at increased risk for a variety of adverse health outcomes that include musculoskeletal alteration, physical functional limitations, poor quality of life, falls, and even earlier mortality. Hyperkyphosis may develop from vertebral fractures, degenerative disc disease, either muscle weakness, decreased mobility and sensory deficits. The gold-standard orthopaedic technique for assessment of thoracic kyphosis is standing lateral spine radiographs. Other clinical measures are Debrunner kyphometer, inclinometer, flexicurve ruler, arcometer, flexible electrogoniometer and spinal mouse.

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Development and Evaluation of Human Reliability Analysis Model for the Reduction of Human Errors (인적오류 저감을 위한 인간 신뢰도 분석 체계 및 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Kyung-Hee;Byun, Seong-Nam;Cho, Jai-Rip
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.2048-2051
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    • 2010
  • Almost all companies have paid much attention to the safety management ranging from maintenance to operation even at the stage of designing in order to prevent accidents, but fatal accidents continue to increase throughout the world. In particular, it is essential to systematically prevent such fatal accidents as fire, explosion or leakage of toxic gas at factories in order to not only protect the workers and neighbors but also prevent economic losses and environmental pollution. In addition, HRA may be used to detect the human errors which may cause accidents or trace back to any mistake on the part of workers. Usually, HRA technique is used in association with other risk assessment techniques. Moreover, it can serve to enumerate the human errors which may occur during operation or down-time or correct the existing system to reduce the mistakes. This work focuses on the coincidence of human error and mechanical failure for management of human error, and on some important performance shaping factors to propose a method for improving safety effectively of the process industries.

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A Study on the Quantitative Risk Assessment Technique about Frequency and Severity of Occurrences through Accident Analysis in Laboratories (실험실의 사고분석을 통한 발생빈도 및 강도의 정량적 위험성 평가 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-In;Rie, Dong-Ho;Choi, Soon-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2008
  • In this study, with the objects of 173 institutions of university and research institutions, investigation was carried out through visit investigation ar d questionnaire investigation. Frequency and severity of occurrences was acquired mainly through universities and research institutions which have reported occurrences of accidents to the Ministry of Education, Science, and Technology. Quantitative danger evaluation was conducted through frequency and strength of occurrences. Case study was carried out by selecting bio science laboratory of university and as the result of this study, degree of danger among the inspection objects of bio science laboratories, laboratory work place was evaluated as the most dangerous with the scores of 155.00 and as the result of average danger level, compression gas cylinder was evaluated as the most dangerous with the scores of 6.4000.

Reliability Assessment in Hea-nam Cheju HVDC system using Well-being Method (Well-being기법을 이용한 해남-제주간 HVDC System신뢰도평가)

  • Son, Hyun-Il;Lee, Hyo-Sang;Shin, Dong-Joon;Kim, Jin-O
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11b
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    • pp.227-229
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    • 2004
  • In a new competitive market environment, it is very important to determines how much power can be transferred through the network. It's known as Available Transfer Capability(ATC). This paper presents a technique to evaluate Reliability Assesment and the Available Transfer Capability of Haenam-Cheju HVDC transmission system using Well-being Method which is based on the probabilistic method. The system Well-being is categorized in terms of the system Healthy and Marginal in addition to the conventional Risk index. Haenam-Cheju HVDC system has been studied for the optimal ATC based in well-being categories.

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Pulmonary Fibrosis caused by Asbestos Fibers in the Respiratory Airway

  • Jung, Ji-Woo;Kim, Eung-Sam
    • Biomedical Science Letters
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2021
  • Asbestos products had been widely used until 2007 in Korea since the 1930s. A total ban on their production and applications has been imposed because of the toxic effect of asbestos fibers on the human health. The inhaled asbestos fibers increase reactive oxygen species and inflammatory reactions in the respiratory airway including the alveolar sac, resulting in DNA damages and secretion of several inflammatory cytokines or chemokines. These paracrine communications promote the proliferation of fibroblasts and the synthesis of collagen fibers, thereby depositing them into the extracellular matrix at the interstitial space of alveoli. The fibrotic tissue hindered the gas exchange in the alveolus. This reviews describes not only the cytotoxic effects of asbestos fibers with different physical or chemical characteristics but also the interaction of cells that make up the respiratory airway to understand the molecular or cellular mechanisms of asbestos fiber-induced toxicity. In addition, we propose a pulmonary toxicity research technique based on the mini-lung that can mimic human respiratory system as an alternative to overcome the limitations of the conventional risk assessment of asbestos fibers.

Verification of Ground Subsidence Risk Map Based on Underground Cavity Data Using DNN Technique (DNN 기법을 활용한 지하공동 데이터기반의 지반침하 위험 지도 작성)

  • Han Eung Kim;Chang Hun Kim;Tae Geon Kim;Jeong Jun Park
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.334-343
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: In this study, the cavity data found through ground cavity exploration was combined with underground facilities to derive a correlation, and the ground subsidence prediction map was verified based on the AI algorithm. Method: The study was conducted in three stages. The stage of data investigation and big data collection related to risk assessment. Data pre-processing steps for AI analysis. And it is the step of verifying the ground subsidence risk prediction map using the AI algorithm. Result: By analyzing the ground subsidence risk prediction map prepared, it was possible to confirm the distribution of risk grades in three stages of emergency, priority, and general for Busanjin-gu and Saha-gu. In addition, by arranging the predicted ground subsidence risk ratings for each section of the road route, it was confirmed that 3 out of 61 sections in Busanjin-gu and 7 out of 68 sections in Sahagu included roads with emergency ratings. Conclusion: Based on the verified ground subsidence risk prediction map, it is possible to provide citizens with a safe road environment by setting the exploration section according to the risk level and conducting investigation.

A Study on the Risk Factors for Maternal and Child Health Care Program with Emphasis on Developing the Risk Score System (모자건강관리를 위한 위험요인별 감별평점분류기준 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 이광옥
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.7-21
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    • 1983
  • For the flexible and rational distribution of limited existing health resources based on measurements of individual risk, the socalled Risk Approach is being proposed by the World Health Organization as a managerial tool in maternal and child health care program. This approach, in principle, puts us under the necessity of developing a technique by which we will be able to measure the degree of risk or to discriminate the future outcomes of pregnancy on the basis of prior information obtainable at prenatal care delivery settings. Numerous recent studies have focussed on the identification of relevant risk factors as the Prior infer mation and on defining the adverse outcomes of pregnancy to be dicriminated, and also have tried on how to develope scoring system of risk factors for the quantitative assessment of the factors as the determinant of pregnancy outcomes. Once the scoring system is established the technique of classifying the patients into with normal and with adverse outcomes will be easily de veloped. The scoring system should be developed to meet the following four basic requirements. 1) Easy to construct 2) Easy to use 3) To be theoretically sound 4) To be valid In searching for a feasible methodology which will meet these requirements, the author has attempted to apply the“Likelihood Method”, one of the well known principles in statistical analysis, to develop such scoring system according to the process as follows. Step 1. Classify the patients into four groups: Group $A_1$: With adverse outcomes on fetal (neonatal) side only. Group $A_2$: With adverse outcomes on maternal side only. Group $A_3$: With adverse outcome on both maternal and fetal (neonatal) sides. Group B: With normal outcomes. Step 2. Construct the marginal tabulation on the distribution of risk factors for each group. Step 3. For the calculation of risk score, take logarithmic transformation of relative proport-ions of the distribution and round them off to integers. Step 4. Test the validity of the score chart. h total of 2, 282 maternity records registered during the period of January 1, 1982-December 31, 1982 at Ewha Womans University Hospital were used for this study and the“Questionnaire for Maternity Record for Prenatal and Intrapartum High Risk Screening”developed by the Korean Institute for Population and Health was used to rearrange the information on the records into an easy analytic form. The findings of the study are summarized as follows. 1) The risk score chart constructed on the basis of“Likelihood Method”ispresented in Table 4 in the main text. 2) From the analysis of the risk score chart it was observed that a total of 24 risk factors could be identified as having significant predicting power for the discrimination of pregnancy outcomes into four groups as defined above. They are: (1) age (2) marital status (3) age at first pregnancy (4) medical insurance (5) number of pregnancies (6) history of Cesarean sections (7). number of living child (8) history of premature infants (9) history of over weighted new born (10) history of congenital anomalies (11) history of multiple pregnancies (12) history of abnormal presentation (13) history of obstetric abnormalities (14) past illness (15) hemoglobin level (16) blood pressure (17) heart status (18) general appearance (19) edema status (20) result of abdominal examination (21) cervix status (22) pelvis status (23) chief complaints (24) Reasons for examination 3) The validity of the score chart turned out to be as follows: a) Sensitivity: Group $A_1$: 0.75 Group $A_2$: 0.78 Group $A_3$: 0.92 All combined : 0.85 b) Specificity : 0.68 4) The diagnosabilities of the“score chart”for a set of hypothetical prevalence of adverse outcomes were calculated as follows (the sensitivity“for all combined”was used). Hypothetidal Prevalence : 5% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Diagnosability : 12% 23% 40% 53% 64% 75% 80%.

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