• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk assesment

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Congener Specific Characteristics of PCBs and PCDD/Fs and Risk Assesment for Human Milk of Korea (국내 모유에서의 PCBs 및 PCDD/Fs 분포 특성과 위해성 평가)

  • Yang, Yoon-Hee;Chang, Yoon-Seok;Kim, Byung-Hoon;Yang, Ji-Yoen;Shin, Dong-Chun
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.520-533
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    • 2000
  • We analyzed the PCDD/Fs and PCBs in human milk samples from a city and an industrial region by HRGC/HRMS. The average concentrations of PCDD/Fs and PCBs in human milk were 15.13 TEQ pg/g fat and 5.64 TEQ pg/g fat respectively. We discovered two kinds of homologue distributions. We compared congeners of each distributions with those of the commercial PCBs products. The daily intake of infant was predicted to be 60 TEQpg/kg/day according to the mean concentration of PCDD/Fs based on primipara. This value is much higher than the estimated range for background exposure to adult in the USA (1-3 TEQ pg/g fat).

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Minimum Temperature Mapping in Complex Terrain Considering Cold Air Drainage (냉기침강효과를 고려한 복잡지형의 최저기온 분포 추정)

  • 정유란;서형호;황규홍;황범석;윤진일
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2002
  • Site-specific minimum temperature forecasts are critical in a short-term decision making procedure for preventive measures as well as a long-term strategy such as site selection in fruits industry. Nocturnal cold air pools frequently termed in mountainous areas under anticyclonic systems are very dangerous to the flowering buds in spring over Korea, but the spatial resolution to detect them exceeds the current weather forecast scale. To supplement the insufficient spatial resolution of official forecasts, we developed a GIS - assisted frost risk assesment scheme for using in mountainous areas. Daily minimum temperature data were obtained from 6 sites located in a 2.1 by 2.1 km area with complex topography near the southern edge of Sobaek mountains during radiative cooling nights in spring 2001. A digital elevation model with a 10 m spatial resolution was prepared for the entire study area and the cold air inflow was simulated for each grid cell by counting the number of surrounding cells coming into the processing cell. Primitive temperature surfaces were prepared for the corresponding dates by interpolating the Korea Meteorological Administration's automated observational data with the lapse rate correction. The cell temperature values corresponding to the 6 observation sites were extracted from the primitive temperature surface, and subtracted from the observed values to obtain the estimation error. The errors were regressed to the flow accumulation at the corresponding cells, delineating a statistically significant relationship. When we applied this relationship to the primitive temperature surfaces of frost nights during April 2002, there was a good agreement with the observations, showing a feasibility of site-specific frost warning system development in mountainous areas.

On an Improved Method for System Readiness Assesment to Meet Required Operational Capability in Weapon Systems Development (무기체계개발에서 작전운용성능을 만족시키기 위한 개선된 시스템성숙도 평가방법)

  • Kwon, Il-Ho;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.8
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    • pp.3602-3610
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    • 2013
  • The risk of failure in the development of modern weapon systems has been increasing as the demand on the capability and the resulting complexity of the weapons on the war fields are increasing drastically. The analysis of failure has indicated that the main causes can be the following: one is attributed to the unsatisfaction of the system operation concept; and the other is the use of premature technology. As such, DAPA in Korea is urging that the weapons systems development should meet the required operational capability (ROC) as a critical performance requirement. On the other hand, an approach to risk management is to use the technology readiness level (TRL) assessed for each individual technology alone. However, the method of TRL cannot assess the effect of integration between technologies and cannot be performed at system level, which is crucial to systems development. In order to improve the shortfalls, a concept of system readiness level (SRL) has been studied by introducing the technologies integration and also some forms of analysis of advanced degree of difficulty studied separately, but no model considering both of two reported yet. In this paper, under the framework of meeting the ROC, an improved SRL assessment model is presented, which is also considering the advanced degree of difficulty simultaneously. The application of the improved assessment method is discussed in connection with the life cycle of the weapon systems development in conformance with the ROC of DAPA.

A Study on the Multiple Real Option Model for Evaluating Values based on Real Estate Development Scenario (다중 실물옵션을 활용한 시나리오기반 부동산 개발사업 가치평가 연구)

  • Jang, Mikyoung;Ku, Yohwan;Choi, Hyemi;Kwon, Tae-Hwan;Kim, Juhyung;Kim, Jaejun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.114-122
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    • 2015
  • Real estate development requires significant amount of capital investment. The project duration has been increased according to its enlarged size. For this reason, cost overrun and time delay are important risk factors that should be managed properly. As a method to hedge the risk, varoius real option methods have been presented. However, conventional project value assesment methods such as NPV(Net Present Value) have weakness to support decision making by reflecting dynamic situations in terms of variation of cost and time. Furthermore, the decision making process is serious of actions rather than discrete event. The purpose of this paper is to present a multiple real option valuation method to overcome the deterministic aspect of real option presented in previous research and practice. The method is developed as following: firstly, to select the model that can be applied in the real estate development project through a survey from previous literature on real options analysis; secondly, to apply data from office development case in order to verify the model by applying conventional real option and multiple real option valuation. According to analysis result, multiple real option provides enhanced values comparing to NPV and single real option.

Derivation of Building Fire Safety Assessment Factors for Generating 3D Safety Status Map (3D 안전상태지도 제작을 위한 건물 화재안전 평가항목 도출)

  • Youn, Junhee;Kim, Taehoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.40-47
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    • 2020
  • Various technologies, systems, and legal systems are applied to prevent and quickly respond to fire disaster; nevertheless, the damages to life and property caused by fires are not reduced every year. For managing fire disaster, generating spatial information-based safety status map and procuring suitability of attribute information for each position information are essential. The safety status map is generated by deriving the fire safety status assessment factors, indexing, and locating the surveying results through various methods. In this paper, we deal with derivation of building fire safety assessment factors for 3D safety status map. At first, we survey the foreign and domestic fire assessment model cases and its factors, and analyze the applicability of Korean 3D fire safety status map. Next, assessment factors for fire safety assessment model are derived. Assessment factors are derived and categorized by their information collecting activity; factors that can be accessed through basic building information and factors that can be accessed through field survey. As a derivation result, 14 assessment factors were derived over five categories(Industry Risk, Structural Risk, Fire Fighting Facility, Fire Dangerousness, Fire Response Status).

The characteristics related to the development of pressure ulcers in long term care facilities : the use of 2009 National Patient Sample (요양병원 입원 환자의 욕창 발생 현황과 관련 요인: 2009년 건강보험 환자표본 자료 이용)

  • Moon, Mikyung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.3390-3399
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the incidence rates of pressure ulcers depending on the types of healthcare organizations and to determine whether the characteristics of patients and facilities influence on the incidence of pressure ulcers in long term facilities. We analyzed data on 796,857 patients of the 2009 National Patient Sample which was extracted from to claims for medical fees to Health Insurance Review & Assesment Service(HIRA). A total of 3.2% of patients(n=25,339) had at least 1 pressure ulcer during their hospitalization. The pressure ulcer rates were highest in long term care facilities(8.2%, n=11,895) following general hospital(2.7%, n=8,052), hospital(1.7%, n= 5,059). According to logistic regression analysis, urinary incontinence (Odds ratio(OR)=2.462, 95% confidence interval(CI)=2.038-2.974), hypertension(OR=1.456, CI=1.400-1.515), peripheral vessel diseases (OR=1.357, CI=1.200-1.534) were significant predictors of pressure ulcers. As the number of diagnoses, age, and the number of doctors per 100 beds increased, the incidence of pressure ulcers increased. In addition, more number of beds was associated with fewer pressure ulcers.

A Study on the Route Operation & Safety Improvement in Gwangyang Traffic Safety Designated Area Based on ES Model (ES모델을 통한 광양항 교통안전특정해역의 항로운영과 안전성 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Deug-Bong;Park, Young-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.153-159
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    • 2016
  • Gwangyang traffic safety designated area is composed of 3 fairways (Deep water fairway, inbound fairway, and outbound fairway). However, inbound vessels can't use this passage because of Samyeo rock and artificial fishing banks in inbound route. The problem with the rocks and artificial fishing banks has been raised by ship navigators and authorities of the port. This research is about the safety evaluation and management plan of the passage, and we conducted maritime traffic simulation using a model based on a ship operator risks. As a result, assuming that future marine traffic volume is the same as the present, and if the ship operators use 3 fairways and not two, it showed risk reduction of 46.4 % (vessels over 50,000 DWT using DW route) and 57.1 % (vessels over 10,000 DWT using DW route). Also, in a traffic volume condition which is the same as the present, to induce vessels over 50,000 DWT to use DW route is effective in mitigating of risks. Meanwhile, in a condition which increased the traffic volume by 150 %, it is more effective to induce vessels to use DW route. This research is the result of analysis using the model based on ship operator risks, and not cost-effectiveness analysis on the removal of Samyeo rock and artifical fishing banks. This research is expected to be used on setting up the sea route and management plan (particularly, restriction on passing DW route).

Survey of Contaminants of Bound 3-MCPD in Food (식품 중 결합형 3-MCPD 오염실태조사)

  • Kong, Young-Woon;Park, Sung-Kug;Seo, Jung-Heok;Kim, Dong-Sul
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.289-293
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    • 2010
  • 3-MCPD created in manufacture process was regulated in our country about soy sauce and HVP. The latest paper reported that Bound 3-MCPD is created as intermediate. Germany common risk assesment reported that Bound 3-MCPD must be reduced because Bound 3-MCPD can be created in estimation circle when this is hydrolyzed in human body, but the data about the toxity of Bound 3-MCPD is lack. Therefore, We analysis about 209 items food such as soy sauce, seasoning food and meat-eating manufactured goods using bound 3-MCPD analysis method developed recently. As result of survey, bound 3-MCPD detected in 8 items among 44 traditional sauce (0.02~0.28ppm), 8 of soup 12 items (0.01~0.96ppm), in 22 items of sauce 60 items (0.01~0.55ppm), in 16 items of meat-eating manufactured foods 30 items (0.04~0.18ppm), in 20 items of snack cookies 28 items (0.09~1.43ppm), in 8 in roasted oil foods 10 items (0.04~1.22ppm), in 6 items of peanut processed food 10 items (0.06~0.25ppm), in 1 of vegetable cream 15 items (0.05ppm). Detected level was lower than the result of monitored by other countries.

Toxicological Analysis of the Entomopathogenic Nematode, Steinernema carpocapsae, and the Symbiotic Bacteria, Xenorhabdus nematophilus on Beneficial Insects and Mammals (유용곤충과 포유류에 대한 곤충병원선충(Steinernema carpocapsae)과 공생세균(Xenorhabdus nematophilus)의 독성)

  • Park, Young-Jin;Kim, Mi-Kyung;Kim, Jin;Yang, Kyung-Hyung;Kim, Yong-Gyun
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.259-264
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    • 2001
  • Toxicological studies of two potential biological control agents, the entomopathogenic nematode (Steinernema carpocapsae) and the symbiotic bacteria (Xenorhabdus nematophilus) were conducted against two beneficial insects and one mammal species. Two microbial agents varied in their toxicities between two insect species: an ant, Pristomyrmex pungens, and silkworm, Bombyx mori. In oral toxicity test, the symbiotic bacteria resulted in significant lethal [half lethal concentration of $1.4$\times$10^3$colony-forming units (cfu)/ml] on the ants, while they gave little lethal effect (half lethal concentration of more than $10^{8}$ cfu/ml) on the silkworms. The nematodes, however, gave significant lethal effect [half lethal concentration of 4 infected juveniles (IJs)/ml] on the silkworms, while they did little lethal effect (half lethal concentration of 150,000 IJs/ml) on the ants in topical assays. Both the nematodes and the bacteria did not give lethal effect to the albino rats, Rattus norvegicus, when they were fed orally into the rats. Also, any of these microbial agents were not detected in the internal organs of the treated rats.

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