• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk Management Model

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구매가격 변동 하에서 초기재고 재분배를 통한 위험회피 재고모형의 효율화 (Improving a Risk-Averse Price-Fluctuating Inventory Model by Reallocating Initial Inventories)

  • 박찬규
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.95-115
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    • 2013
  • In traditional inventory models, purchase prices of raw materials are assumed to be fixed and have no effect on the optimal choice of inventory policies. However, when purchase prices fluctuate continuously over time, inventory costs are heavily affected by purchasing prices. Risk-averse inventory model decides order quantity and ordering time by considering not just purchase prices but also the risk from the discrepancy between estimated prices and realized prices. In this paper, we propose a myopic inventory policy which incorporates price risk into deciding ordering time and quantities. While the existing risk-averse model has no mechanism to reallocate inventories already purchased for a specific future period, the revised one reallocates initial inventories of each period to other future periods so that it can avoid purchasing raw materials at high prices. Experimental results demonstrate that the revised model outperforms the existing one in respect of total cost and variability.

공장건물의 화재리스크 경감방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on Factory Building Fire Risk Reduction Management)

  • 정의수;강경식
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2008
  • This study is carried out for the fire safety of the factory building, the fire risk reduction measure in compliance with an example approached in fire risk reduction systematically, contribute to reduce the fire risk. The analytical fire risk process of discovering, identifying, estimating and evaluating risk and control measure as risk reduction measures are core concept, applies loss prevention with loss control techniques. The painting process in the workplace where the fire hazard and death accident accompanies coexists. Loss prevention problem of creation prevention of dangerous atmosphere at workplace is health and human services problem of normal circumstances, must be inspected with problem of combustible gases at the time of fire explosion. Static electricity measure accomplished the risk control process thoroughly as the fire risk reduction process model with the ignition sources measure which is presented. Fire risk from within organizing will be able to classify with each field by detailedly but risk treatment process will be able to apply basically all the same concept. Consequently about risk management example from before, this study is proposed risk management techniques that standardized rightly in the actual condition of organization with one plan, with discovery of fire risk, the feedback process in compliance with a fire risk reduction and the review which control the result is joint responsibility of engineer, technical expert and manager as part of safety management to practice with the fact must be supervised.

제품안전경영프로그램으로서의 리스크 관리규격 (Risk Management Standards As a Product Safety Management Program)

  • 이동하
    • 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신뢰성학회 2001년도 정기학술대회
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    • pp.376-383
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    • 2001
  • This study reviewed the national standards for risk management to judge whether they are suitable for a product safety management program. Among the standards issued from Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Japan, and UK, the risk management guideline (AS/NZS 4360: 2000) issued jointly from both Australia and New Zealand have better features of product safety management program such as a broad definition of risk concept including opportunities of loss and gain, stepwise composition of processes applicable iteratively, and integrable composition of processes for the existing other management practice. Comparing the three product safety management programs suggested by several authors yielded common features of product safety management program model: (1) organization for product safety, (2) risk identification, (3) risk evaluation, (4) risk treatment, (5) monitoring/communication, and (6) documentation. All of these activities can be performed within risk management framework.

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통신탑재체 개발 위험관리 Case Study (Case Study of Risk Management on Communication Payload System Development)

  • 정철오;은종원
    • 항공우주시스템공학회지
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.8-11
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    • 2011
  • The scope of this paper is to show a risk management plan including how to perform risk assessment and to make a mitigation plan aspects of the communication payload system development. According to system engineering management guide of DoD of USA and risk management plan of satellite communication system, risk assessment and mitigation plan of communication payload system were performed. In this paper, it is indicated the process of risk management and risk assessment procedures as well as mathematical model for risk assessment of DoD guide. It is shown how risk assessment and mitigation plan have implemented in communication payload system development through case study.

BTL사업 운영리스크 분석 모형 개발에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Development of an Operation Risk Analysis Model in BTL Projects)

  • 이정순;이정훈;오세욱;유현석;김영석
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2008년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.475-480
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    • 2008
  • BTL 사업은 시공비보다 운영비의 비중이 크고 장기간의 운영계획을 단시간에 수립하여 계약에 임하기 때문에 계약단계에서 운영 리스크를 예측하는 것은 사업의 성패를 좌우하는 매우 중요한 문제로서, 약정한 수준의 서비스를 제공하고 적정 수익률을 확보하기 위한 운영 리스크의 분석은 필수적이라 할 수 있다. 그러나 국내에 자금 출자와 시설 운영을 수행할 수 있는 전문 운영사의 숫자가 10여개에 불과하고 운영사 대부분의 규모가 영세하여, 운영사 내에 리스크 분석 시스템이 제대로 갖춰져 있지 않은 것이 문제점으로 대두되고 있다. BTL 사업에서 발생 가능한 리스크를 효율적으로 관리하기 위해서는 리스크 인자를 확인하고 경제적 위험도와 비경제적 위험도 그리고 발생빈도를 고려하여 리스크 인자의 우선순위를 도출하는 과정이 필수적이다. 그러므로 이 연구는 설문조사를 통해 운영사 관점에서 BTL 사업에서 발생 가능한 리스크 인자를 도출하고 우선순위를 분석함으로써 운영사의 대응전략 수립 및 리스크 관리업무의 효율성을 제고할 수 있도록 리스크 분석 모형을 제시한다. 이 연구에서 도출된 운영 리스크 분석 모형은 운영사로 하여금 BTL 사업에서 발생될 수 있는 리스크에 대한 대응전략을 수립할 수 있도록 하여 운영 리스크 관리 업무의 효율성을 제고할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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디지털물(物) 국제법래(國際去來)의 리스크관리방안(管理方案)에 관한 연구(硏究) (A Study on the Risk Management in International Transaction of Digital Goods)

  • 안병수
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제29권
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    • pp.143-172
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    • 2006
  • This study focuses on the risk management of "Digital Goods" appeared with the progress of information technology(IT) in international transaction. As a result of that digital goods have a lot of uncertainty between the general goods or service which have been deal with object of international transaction broadly because digital goods hold uniqueness. In this study, the author give a definition of "Digital Goods" and make an examination of uniqueness of that in international transaction. Next, six risks are defined base on risk theory and risk analysis matrix applying risk mapping model is made. Conclusionally, risk transfer as insurance is adequate to manage business risk, security risk, credit risk and legal risk. Meanwhile, risk avoidance is adequate to manage reputation risk and market risk. But, this study have following three limits. Firstly, concerning definition of the risk, real case is not applied owing to lack of transaction data. Secondly, measuring of the risk is not based on absolute data but relative data. Lastly, suggesting way of risk management is not concrete and practical to international trader of digital goods.

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Analysis of cause-of-death mortality and actuarial implications

  • Kwon, Hyuk-Sung;Nguyen, Vu Hai
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.557-573
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    • 2019
  • Mortality study is an essential component of actuarial risk management for life insurance policies, annuities, and pension plans. Life expectancy has drastically increased over the last several decades; consequently, longevity risk associated with annuity products and pension systems has emerged as a crucial issue. Among the various aspects of mortality study, a consideration of the cause-of-death mortality can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the nature of mortality/longevity risk. In this case study, the cause-of-mortality data in Korea and the US were analyzed along with a multinomial logistic regression model that was constructed to quantify the impact of mortality reduction in a specific cause on actuarial values. The results of analyses imply that mortality improvement due to a specific cause should be carefully monitored and reflected in mortality/longevity risk management. It was also confirmed that multinomial logistic regression model is a useful tool for analyzing cause-of-death mortality for actuarial applications.

Development of a Cost-benefit Model for the Management of Structural Risk on Oil Facilities in Mexico

  • Leon, David-De;Alfredo H-S. Ang
    • Computational Structural Engineering : An International Journal
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.19-23
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    • 2002
  • A reliability-based cost-benefit model for the risk management of oil platforms in the formulation of optimal decisions based on life-cycle consideration is proposed. The model is based on structural risk assessments and the integration of social issues and economics into the management decision process. Structural risks result from the platform's exposure to the random environmental loading associated with the offshore site where it is located. Several alternative designs of a typical platform are proposed and assessed from the cost-effectiveness viewpoint. This assessment is performed through the generation of cost/benefit relationships that are used, later on, to select the optimal design.

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A TIME DETERMINATION MODEL INCORPORATING RISK MANAGEMENT BASED ON MALAYSIAN CASE STUDIES

  • Sim Nee Ting;Chung Thing Chong
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.642-648
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    • 2009
  • Determining the total duration for a construction project is an integral part of project management in the construction industry. This is to ensure the project and all its associated activities can be carried out and completed within the time frame stipulated. There are several commonly used scheduling methods and techniques in project management, some of which involves manual calculation while others involve computer software. This paper looks into the various time determination methods, extracting out their differences and similarities. It also seeks to draw out the problems when determining time for projects, especially those encountered of case studies. Based on the results from the case studies, there were delays on certain projects even though time determination had been carried out rigorously prior to the commencement of the projects. This paper seeks to develop a time determination model, which incorporates risk management techniques into the calculations in order to improve the method for time estimation to minimize the chances of project delay.

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A PROFIRABILITY MODEL BASED ON PRIMARY FACTOR ANALYSIS IN THE EARLY PHASE OF HOUSING REDEVELOPMENT PROJECTS

  • Kyeong-Hwan Ahn;U-Yeong Gim;Jong-Sik Lee;Won Kwon;Jae-Youl Chun
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 5th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.497-501
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    • 2013
  • An important decision-making element for the success of housing redevelopment projects is a prediction of the profitability of redevelopment. Risk factors influencing profitability were deduced through a review of the literature about profitability and a risk analysis developed by a survey of maintenance projects. In addition, a profitability prediction depending on the analysis of risk factors is necessary to judge the business feasibility of a project in the planning stages. A profitability prediction model of management and disposal method, which is calculated by proportional rate and which helps estimate contributions to profitability, is proposed to prevent difficulties in business development. The proposed model has the potential to prevent interruptions, reduce the length of projects, generate cost savings, and enable rational decision-making during the project period by allowing a judgment of profitability at the planning stage.

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