• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Hierarchy

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정보보호를 위한 다속성 위협지수 : 시뮬레이션과 AHP 접근방법 (Multi-Attribute Threat Index for Information Security : Simulation and AHP Approach)

  • 이강수;김기윤;나관식
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.117-130
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    • 2008
  • Multi-attribute risk assessments provide a useful framework for systematic quantitative risk assessment that the security manager can use to prioritize security requirements and threats. In the first step, the security managers identify the four significant outcome attributes(lost revenue, lost productivity, lost customer, and recovery cost). Next. the security manager estimates the frequency and severity(three points estimates for outcome attribute values) for each threat and rank the outcome attributes according to AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process). Finally, we generate the threat index by using muiti-attribute function and make sensitivity analysis with simulation package(Crystal Ball). In this paper, we show how multi-attribute risk analysis techniques from the field of security risk management can be used by security managers to prioritize their organization's threats and their security requirements, eventually they can derive threat index. This threat index can help security managers to decide whether their security investment is consistent with the expected risks. In addition, sensitivity analysis allows the security manager to explore the estimates to understand how they affect the selection.

Determination of arsenic and mercury in longtail tuna (Thunnus tonggol) collected from Terengganu waters: risk assessment of dietary exposure

  • Aziz, Norhazirah Abd;Ghazali, Adiana;Ahmad, Nurul Izzah;Ahmad, Ahmad Shamsudin;Ong, Meng Chuan
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.167-174
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    • 2022
  • Despite the beneficial aspect of fish consumption, bioaccumulation of toxic metals such as arsenic (As) and mercury (Hg) can enhance the health risk for the consumers. Arsenic and Hg concentrations were measured in edible tissue and two targeted organs, namely gill and liver of longtail tuna species (Thunnus tonggol) from Terengganu waters, including Kuala Besut, Kuala Terengganu, Dungun and Kemaman. The concentration of As and Hg were analysed by using inductively coupled plasma- mass spectrometry. The mean concentrations of both elements were significantly different (p < 0.05) among the locations and targeted organs. The hierarchy of As and Hg mean concentrations in muscle samples were Dungun > Kuala Besut > Kemaman > Kuala Terengganu. The mean concentration of As in all samples, including muscle, exceeded the permitted level set by Malaysia Food Act. Estimate Weekly Intake (EWI) was conducted to assess the health risk effect, and 63 kg was used as the average body weight of Malaysian adults. However, the EWI values show that the weekly intake of As and Hg does not exceed the provisional tolerable weekly intake limit suggested by Food and Agricultural Organization for the United Nations and is considered safe to be consumed.

An analytical model for assessing soft rock tunnel collapse risk and its engineering application

  • Xue, Yiguo;Li, Xin;Li, Guangkun;Qiu, Daohong;Gong, Huimin;Kong, Fanmeng
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.441-454
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    • 2020
  • The tunnel collapse, large deformation of surrounding rock, water and mud inrush are the major geological disasters in soft rock tunnel construction. Among them, tunnel collapse has the most serious impact on tunnel construction. Current research backed theories have certain limitations in identifying the collapse risk of soft rock tunnels. Examining the Zhengwan high-speed railway tunnel, eight soft rock tunnel collapse influencing factors were selected, and the combination of indicator weights based on the analytic hierarchy process and entropy weighting methods was obtained. The results show that the groundwater condition and the integrity of the rock mass are the main influencing factors leading to a soft rock tunnel collapse. A comprehensive fuzzy evaluation model for the collapse risk of soft rock tunnels is being proposed, and the real-time collapse risk assessment of the Zhengwan tunnel is being carried out. The results obtained via the fuzzy evaluation model agree well with the actual situation. A tunnel section evaluated to have an extremely high collapse risk and experienced a local collapse during excavation, verifying the feasibility of the collapse risk evaluation model. The collapse risk evaluation model proposed in this paper has been demonstrated to be a promising and innovative method for the evaluation of the collapse risk of soft rock tunnels, leading to safer construction.

Fuzzy AHP 기법을 이용한 도시지역의 내수침수위험도 평가 (Evaluation of Inland Inundation Risk in Urban Area using Fuzzy AHP)

  • 신지예;박예준;김태웅
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제47권9호
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    • pp.789-799
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 도시지역의 내수침수 특성을 고려한 내수침수위험도 산정방법을 제시하였다. 의사결정과정에서 발생할 수 있는 불확실성을 정량적으로 반영하기 위하여 Fuzzy AHP 기법을 활용하였다. 내수침수 위험도의 평가기준으로는 물리적 지표, 사회적 지표, 그리고 내수침수 시나리오 결과 등 세 가지로 구성하였다. 각각의 평가기준은 3개의 세부평가항목을 가지고 있어 총 9가지의 평가항목을 바탕으로 내수침수 위험도 분석을 수행하였다. 또한, 행정구역 단위가 아닌 배수시스템의 노드(맨홀)를 기준으로 침수위험도를 분석하여 침수위험도가 높은 지점을 상세하게 표현할 수 있었다. 본 연구의 대상지역인 부산시 거제지구에 Fuzzy AHP 기법을 적용한 결과, 온천천 거제천 합류부 저지대의 침수위험도가 크게 나타났으며, 이는 과거 피해이력과 일치하는 것이다. Fuzzy AHP 기법을 적용한 본 연구결과는 내수침수 위험도 산정 및 고위험도 지역의 내수침수 저감계획 수립을 위한 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

초기 건설공사 리스크인자의 중요도 산정 (Weight Evaluation of Risk Factors for Early Construction Stage)

  • 황지선;이찬식
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2004
  • 이 논문은 건설공사 과정에서 불확실성과 위험성이 비교적 높은 토공사, 지정공사 및 기초공사에서 발생할 수 있는 리스크인자의 중요도 산정에 관한 것이다. 이 연구는 리스크 $식별\cdot분석\cdot대응$으로 이루어지는 리스크관리 3단계 중 리스크 식별과 분석단계를 중심으로 연구를 진행하였다. 리스크 식별은 기존의 건설공사 작업분류체계를 참고하여 대상 공종을 $공통\cdot토공사\cdot지정$ 및 기초공사로 구분하여 초기 건설공사의 리스크 분류체계를 제시하였다. 리스크 분석은 리스크분류체계를 바탕으로 퍼지이론에 기반하여 실시하였다. 리스크인자의 중요도는 AHP기법에 의한 상대적 중요도와 퍼지척도로부터 구한 리스크인자들 사이의 절대적 중요도를 고려하여 산정하였으며 리스크 인자의 최종적인 중요도는 Sugeno $\lambda$-퍼지척도를 사용하여 구하였다.

Tuberculosis Infection Control in Health-Care Facilities: Environmental Control and Personal Protection

  • Lee, Ji Yeon
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • 제79권4호
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    • pp.234-240
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    • 2016
  • Transmission of tuberculosis (TB) is a recognized risk to patients and healthcare workers in healthcare settings. The literature review suggests that implementation of combination control measures reduces the risk of TB transmission. Guidelines suggest a three-level hierarchy of controls including administrative, environmental, and respiratory protection. Among environmental controls, installation of ventilation systems is a priority because ventilation reduces the number of infectious particles in the air. Natural ventilation is cost-effective but depends on climatic conditions. Supplemented intervention such as air-cleaning methods including high efficiency particulate air filtration and ultraviolet germicidal irradiation should be considered in areas where adequate ventilation is difficult to achieve. Personal protective equipment including particulate respirators provides additional benefit when administrative and environmental controls cannot assure protection.

A Portfolio Model for National IT R&D Strategy Project Selection Methods

  • Ryu, Dong-Hyun;Lee, Woo-Jin
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.491-499
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we offer a new strategic portfolio model for national IT R&D project selection in Korea. A risk and return (R-R) portfolio model was developed using an objectively quantified index on the two axes of risk and return, in order to select a strategic project and allocate resources in compliance with a national IT R&D strategy. We strategize using the R-R portfolio model to solve the non-strategy and subjectivity problems of the existing national R&D project selection model. We also use the quantified evaluation index of the IT technology road map (TRM) and the technical level reports (TLR) for the subjectivity of project selection, and try to discover the weights using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). In addition, we intend to maximize the chance for a successful national IT R&D project, by selecting a strategic portfolio project and balancing the allocation of resources effectively and objectively.

우리나라 지역별 해상 기름회수능력 설정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Setting of Regional Oil Recovery Capacity On Water in Korea)

  • 하민재;윤종휘
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.606-611
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 지역별 해상 기름회수능력을 설정할 목적으로 7개 항목에 대한 지역별 현황을 조사 분석하여 정규화한 결과와 계층분석과정을 이용하여 도출한 가중치를 바탕으로 권역내 각 지역별 위험도를 산출하였다. 산출된 위험도를 바탕으로 권역내 확보해야 하는 해상 기름회수능력인 $7,500k{\ell}$ 를 해당 지역의 위험도에 따라 해상 기름회수능력을 결정하여 지역별 적정 해상 기름회수능력을 제시하였다. 현행 해상 기름회수능력이 과하게 설정된 인천, 군산, 목포, 부산지역의 기름회수능력이 권역내 다른 지역으로 분산 배치되는 결과를 보였으며, 권역 중심지역의 경우 대산 $1,475k{\ell}$, 여수 $375k{\ell}$, 울산 $475k{\ell}$ 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 해양사고의 원인적인 측면뿐만 아니라 환경 경제적인 측면까지 고려하여 제시된 지역별 해상기름회수능력 설정치는 현행 기준에 의한 설정치보다 균형적인 배치분포를 보이는 것으로 나타났다.

지역거점물류센터 입지선정에 관한 연구 : 아시아 지역 허브 공항을 중심으로 (Locational Preferences for Regional Distribution Center : Focused on Asian Hub Airports)

  • 송재길;방완혁;송상화
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.103-112
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    • 2016
  • As supply chains are globalized, multinational companies are trying to optimize distribution networks using a hub and spoke structure. In this hub and spoke network structure, multinational companies locate regional distribution centers at hub airports, which serve demands in their corresponding regions. Especially when customers put higher priority on the service lead-time, hinterlands of international hub airports become ideal candidate locations for the regional hub distribution centers. By utilizing excellent airport and logistics services from hub airports, regional distribution centers in the hub airports can match supply with demand efficiently. In addition, regional hub distribution centers may increase air cargo volume of each airport, which is helpful in the current extremely competitive airport industry. In this paper, we classified locational preferences into three primary categories including demand, service and risk and applied the analytic hierarchy process methodology to prioritize factors of locational preferences. Primary preference factors include secondary factors. Demand factor contains access to current and prospect markets. Service factor comprises airport and logistics perspectives. Service factor in terms of airport operations includes secondary factors such as airport service and connectivity. Service factor in terms of logistics operations contains infrastructure and logistics operations efficiency. Risk factor consists of country and business risks. We also evaluated competitiveness of Asian hub airports in terms of candidate location for regional hub distribution centers. The candidate hub airports include Singapore, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Narita and Incheon. Based on the analytic hierarchy process analysis, we derived strategic implications for hub airports to attract multinational companies' regional hub distribution centers.

Highway flood hazard mapping in Thailand using the Multi Criteria Analysis based the Analytic Hierarchy Process

  • Budhakooncharoen, Saisunee;Mahadhamrongchai, Wichien;Sukolratana, Jiraroth
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.236-236
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    • 2015
  • Flood is one of the major natural disasters affecting millions of people. Thailand also, frequently faces with this type of disaster. Especially, 2011 mega flood in Central Thailand, inundated highway severely attributed to the failure of national economic and risk to life. Lesson learned from such an extreme event caused flood monitoring and warning becomes one of the sound mitigations. The highway flood hazard mapping accomplished in this research is one of the strategies. This is due to highway flood is the potential risk to life and limb, and potential damage to property. Monitoring and warning therefore help reducing live and property losses. In this study, degree of highway flood hazard was assessed by weighting factors for each cause of the highway flood using Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) based Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). These weighting factors are the essential information to classify the degree of highway flood hazard to enable pinpoint on flood monitoring and flood warning in hazard areas. The highway flood causes were then investigated. It was found that three major factors influence to the highway flood are namely the highway characteristics, the hydrological characteristics and the land topography characteristics. The weight of importance for each cause of the highway flood in the whole country was assessed by weighting 3 major factors influence to the highway flood. According to the result of MCA analysis, the highway, the hydrological and the land topography characteristics were respectively weighted as 35, 35 and 30 percent influence to the cause of highway flood. These weighting factors were further utilized to classify the degree of highway flood hazard. The Weight Linear Combination (WLC) method was used to compute the total score of all highways according to each factor. This score was later used to categorize highway flood as high, moderate and low degree of hazard levels. Highway flood hazard map accomplished in this research study is applicable to serve as the handy tool for highway flood warning. However, to complete the whole warning process, flood water level monitoring system for example the camera gauge should be installed in the hazard highway. This is expected to serve as a simple flood monitor as part of the warning system during such extreme or critical event.

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