• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk Assessment Index

검색결과 587건 처리시간 0.025초

Consideration of the Possibility of Excursion Ship Passage in Busan North Port using Marine Traffic Assessment Index

  • Park, Young-Soo;Lee, Myoung-ki;Kim, Jin-kwon;Lee, Yun-Sok;Park, Min-Jeong
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.298-305
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    • 2019
  • The demand for the revitalization of marine tourism in Busan North Port is increasing due to changes in functions such as an increase in harbor traffic volume and the expansion of marine leisure space in Busan. As a result, Busan City plans to set a phased alleviation target for prohibition of cruise ship operations, and to lift the prohibition of excursion ship operations in North Port following the cancellation of the prohibition of excursion ship operations in South Port in 2017. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the risk of excursion ship operations in Busan North Port by applying the marine traffic assessment index and to examine the possibility of excursion ship operations. For this purpose, port status, marine accidents, and traffic flow of Busan North Port were investigated. In addition, marine traffic assessment indexes, such as traffic congestion, risk based on an ES Model, and IWRAP MkII, a maritime risk assessment tool, were used to assess the risk and possibility of excursion ship operations in Busan North Port. This study can be used as basic data for analyzing the risk factors that may occur when excursion ships are operated in Busan North Port and to define how excursion ships should operate, with related safety measures.

A Study on FSA Application to PRS for Safe Operation of Dynamic Positioning Vessel

  • Chae, Chong-Ju;Jun, Yun-Chul
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제41권5호
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    • pp.287-296
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    • 2017
  • The Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) is a structured and systematic methodology developed by the IMO, aimed at assessing the risk of vessels and recommending the method to control intolerable risks, thereby enhancing maritime safety, including protection of life, health, the marine environment and property, by using risk analysis and cost-benefit assessment. While the FSA has mostly been applied to merchant vessels, it has rarely been applied to a DP vessel, which is one of the special purpose vessels in the offshore industry. Furthermore, most of the FSA has been conducted so far by using the Fault Tree Analysis tool, even though there are many other risk analysis tools. This study carried out the FSA for safe operation of DP vessels by using the Bayesian network, under which conditional probability was examined. This study determined the frequency and severity of DP LOP incidents reported to the IMCA from 2001 to 2010, and obtained the Risk Index by applying the Bayesian network. Then, the Risk Control Options (RCOs) were identified through an expert brainstorming and DP vessel simulations. This study recommends duplication of PRS, regardless of the DP class and PRS type and DP system specific training. Finally, this study verified that the Bayesian network and DP simulator can also serve as an effective tool for FSA implementation.

성남지역 노인 영양교육 프로그램의 효과 분석 (The Analysis of Effect on Nutrition Education Program for the Elderly in Sung-nam Area)

  • 강남이;이정윤
    • 한국식품영양학회지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.357-366
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    • 2005
  • Elder people in Korea was affecting the nutritional status by following factors : low energy intakes, low food diversity, and poor quality of nutrition. Management a nutrition education program was planned to change the elder's nutrition knowledge and improve their nutritional status. There are seven kinds of indicator - knowledge for health questionnaire (before and after education) - we have investigated elderly nutrition education group in Su-Jung ku, Sung-Nam city. The items of surveyed was general characteristics and anthropometric measurement of the elder people, their mini dietary assessment index score, nutritional risk, nutrition knowledge test, and it's valuation comparisons between the before and after every education we did. According to the results of mini dietary assessment index score, the mean was 22.7 at the maximum 30 points and $94.2\%$ of respondents got more than nomal group. The nutritional risk score was the highest in 'high risk' group. Also the results of nutrition knowlede test showed that the mean increase $35.1\%$ of respondents. Therefore, significant improvement results showed by nutrition education programs in elders. These results suggests that the educating nutrition programs fur elder's encouraging eating behavior themselves and changing their knowledge in nutrition.

사업장에 적용 가능한 감염병(COVID-19) 위험성평가 지표 개발 (Safety Estimation Index of Infectious Disease (COVID-19) in Workplaces)

  • 김하경;이명하;송형준
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.88-96
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    • 2022
  • Widespread infectious diseases are a concern for workers working in confined spaces. However, there is no risk assessment index for the risk of infectious disease in the workplace. Therefore, we propose a simple but effective index model to assess the risk of infectious diseases in the workplace. The proposed model identifies the risk of each workplace through an evaluation sheet comprising the frequency and intensity of the infectious disease. The intensity of an infectious disease is generally governed by the density of workers, whereas frequency is the sum of physical-e nvironmental and human management factors. By multiplying intensity and frequency, the risk of the workplace is derived. Through the proposed model, we evaluate the risks of workers at 15 different work sites. The proposed model clearly reveals what should be improved to keep workers safe from infectious diseases and will be helpful in assessing the risk of contagious disease at the work place.

개인별 대피경로를 고려한 화재위험성 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on Fire Risk Assessment by the Consideration of Individual Evacuating Path Line)

  • 이동호
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2007
  • In this study, we provided an index for the quantitative and systematic performance based fire risk assessment. A complex cinema was adopted for the fire scenario and the fire simulation was carried out by using FDS. Also evacuation time was calculated by using SIMULEX. We obtained a big different fire risk assessment result by the focus on the between space basis and the time basis. As a result of this study, performance based fire risk assessment should be performed on the basis of individual evacuee's path line.

Earthquake risk assessment of underground railway station by fragility analysis based on numerical simulation

  • Kwon, Sun Yong;Yoo, Mintaek;Hong, Seongwon
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 2020
  • Korean society experienced successive earthquakes exceeding 5.0 magnitude in the past three years resulting in an increasing concern about earthquake stability of urban infrastructures. This study focuses on the significant aspects of earthquake risk assessment for the cut-and-cover underground railway station based on two-dimensional dynamic numerical analysis. Presented are features from a case study performed for the railway station in Seoul, South Korea. The PLAXIS2D was employed for numerical simulation and input of the earthquake ground motion was chosen from Pohang earthquake records (M5.4). The paper shows key aspects of earthquake risk for soil-structure system varying important parameters including embedded depth, supported ground information, and applied seismicity level, and then draws several meaningful conclusions from the analysis results such as seismic risk assessment.

홍수지표의 인과관계를 이용한 홍수위험지수 개발 (Development of Flood Risk Index using causal relationships of Flood Indicators)

  • 임광섭;최시중;이동률;문장원
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제30권1B호
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 치수특성을 평가할 수 있는 세부지표를 선정하여 유역별 치수 관련 현황을 분석하였으며 세부지표를 P-S-R(Pressure-State-Response) 구성 체계로 구성하여 각 치수특성평가 지수인 압력, 현상, 및 대책 지수를 개발하였다. 또한 이들 지수를 통합하여 유역의 치수 현황을 종합적으로 파악할 수 있는 홍수위험지수를 개발하였다. 1980년대 이후 2000년대까지 117개 중권역에서 산정된 홍수의 발생에 대한 압력지수와 피해의 현황지수는 비례관계로 나타났으나 대책지수의 증가에도 현황지수는 감소하고 있지 않았다. 이는 상대적으로 피해의 압력요인들이 홍수대응력을 초과하고 있음을 보여준다. 따라서 향후 홍수대책에서는 설계기준을 더욱 강화시킬 필요가 있음을 보여 준다. 홍수위험지수는 지속적인 치수사업의 성과에 의해 점진적으로 낮아지고 있고 한강과 낙동강 권역이 금강, 섬진강 및 영산강 권역보다 상대적으로 홍수위험도가 낮은 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구의 결과는 치수사업의 성과의 평가와 함께 유역 간 홍수의 상대적인 위험도를 시 공간적으로 분석하여 치수 관련 정책 및 대책 수립에서 보다 효과적인 의사결정을 지원할 수 있을 것이다.

침몰선박 위해도 평가항목 및 평가지수 개선에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Improvement of Risk Assessment Items and Index for Sunken Ship)

  • 이승현;최혁진;서재준
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.704-711
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 침몰선박 위해도 평가항목 및 평가지수를 개정하고 신규항목을 도출하기 위해 전문가를 대상으로 AHP 기법의 설문을 실시하였다. 설문조사 결과, 사고원인 및 조류영향 등 두개의 신규항목을 도출하였으며 하나의 그룹으로 평가되었던 독성액체물질과 연료유적재량, 폭발성가스는 각각 평가하는 것이 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 이에 따라 기존 일곱 개 평가항목을 열한 개 항목으로 조정하여 평가항목별 지수를 분석한 결과, 독성액체물질, 유출가능성, 폭발성가스, 연료유적재량, 해역환경민감도, 해상교통환경, 사고원인, 조류, 여유수심, 선박종류, 선박규모 순으로 평가지수가 나타났다. 특히, 신규 도출된 평가항목 지수를 기존 위해도 평가항목과 비교해 보았을 때 해역환경민감도와 유출가능성 항목은 기존 평가지수 보다 높게 나타났고, 여유수심 항목의 평가지수는 더 낮게 나타났다.

Seismic risk priority classification of reinforced concrete buildings based on a predictive model

  • Isil Sanri Karapinar;Ayse E. Ozsoy Ozbay;Emin Ciftci
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제91권3호
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    • pp.279-289
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study is to represent a useful alternative for the preliminary seismic vulnerability assessment of existing reinforced concrete buildings by introducing a statistical approach employing the binary logistic regression technique. Two different predictive statistical models, namely full and reduced models, were generated utilizing building characteristics obtained from the damage database compiled after 1999 Düzce earthquake. Among the inspected building parameters, number of stories, overhang ratio, priority index, soft story index, normalized redundancy ratio and normalized lateral stiffness index were specifically selected as the predictor variables for vulnerability classification. As a result, normalized redundancy ratio and soft story index were identified as the most significant predictors affecting seismic vulnerability in terms of life safety performance level. In conclusion, it is revealed that both models are capable of classifying the set of buildings being severely damaged or collapsed with a balanced accuracy of 73%, hence, both are able to filter out high-priority buildings for life safety performance assessment. Thus, in this study, having the same high accuracy as the full model, the reduced model using fewer predictors is proposed as a simple and viable classifier for determining life safety levels of reinforced concrete buildings in the preliminary seismic risk assessment.

Evaluation of the efficacy of nutritional screening tools to predict malnutrition in the elderly at a geriatric care hospital

  • Baek, Myoung-Ha;Heo, Young-Ran
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.637-643
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    • 2015
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Malnutrition in the elderly is a serious problem, prevalent in both hospitals and care homes. Due to the absence of a gold standard for malnutrition, herein we evaluate the efficacy of five nutritional screening tools developed or used for the elderly. SUBJECTS/METHODS: Elected medical records of 141 elderly patients (86 men and 55 women, aged $73.5{\pm}5.2years$) hospitalized at a geriatric care hospital were analyzed. Nutritional screening was performed using the following tools: Mini Nutrition Assessment (MNA), Mini Nutrition Assessment-Short Form (MNA-SF), Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI), Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool (MUST) and Nutritional Risk Screening 2002 (NRS 2002). A combined index for malnutrition was also calculated as a reference tool. Each patient evaluated as malnourished to any degree or at risk of malnutrition according to at least four out of five of the aforementioned tools was categorized as malnourished in the combined index classification. RESULTS: According to the combined index, 44.0% of the patients were at risk of malnutrition to some degree. While the nutritional risk and/or malnutrition varied greatly depending on the tool applied, ranging from 36.2% (MUST) to 72.3% (MNA-SF). MUST showed good validity (sensitivity 80.6%, specificity 98.7%) and almost perfect agreement (k = 0.81) with the combined index. In contrast, MNA-SF showed poor validity (sensitivity 100%, specificity 49.4%) and only moderate agreement (k = 0.46) with the combined index. CONCLUSIONS: MNA-SF was found to overestimate the nutritional risk in the elderly. MUST appeared to be the most valid and useful screening tool to predict malnutrition in the elderly at a geriatric care hospital.