• Title/Summary/Keyword: Return policy

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Day-of-the-Week Effect of Exchange Rate in Developing Countries

  • ANWAR, Cep Jandi;OKOT, Nicholas;SUHENDRA, Indra
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2021
  • This study investigates the presence of the day-of-the-week anomaly in exchange rate for 30 developing countries with free floating exchange rate regimes using daily data from January 2, 2011 to December 31, 2019. First, we apply the GARCH panel to estimate the intraday effect for all the sampled countries. Second, we run poolability test to check whether the coefficients of the GARCH panel are the same for all countries sampled. The result of poolability test rejects the homogeneity assumption. This implies that our sample countries contain heterogeneity. Third, we apply mean-group estimation by averaging the coefficients for all individual GARCH estimations. Fourth, we divided our sample of developing countries into three groups based on capital restriction index for the reason that the effect of monetary policy on the exchange rate depends on the degree of capital account liberalization. The empirical evidence for the return equation suggests that Mondays are connected with lower volatility whereas Thursdays experiences higher return compared to Tuesdays. The lowest estimated coefficient for full sample, group 1 and group 2, is Friday, but for group 2 is Thursday. We find similar result for the volatility equations, which show that Monday returns are lower compared to Tuesday.

Design wind speed prediction suitable for different parent sample distributions

  • Zhao, Lin;Hu, Xiaonong;Ge, Yaojun
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.423-435
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    • 2021
  • Although existing algorithms can predict wind speed using historical observation data, for engineering feasibility, most use moment methods and probability density functions to estimate fitted parameters. However, extreme wind speed prediction accuracy for long-term return periods is not always dependent on how the optimized frequency distribution curves are obtained; long-term return periods emphasize general distribution effects rather than marginal distributions, which are closely related to potential extreme values. Moreover, there are different wind speed parent sample types; how to theoretically select the proper extreme value distribution is uncertain. The influence of different sampling time intervals has not been evaluated in the fitting process. To overcome these shortcomings, updated steps are introduced, involving parameter sensitivity analysis for different sampling time intervals. The extreme value prediction accuracy of unknown parent samples is also discussed. Probability analysis of mean wind is combined with estimation of the probability plot correlation coefficient and the maximum likelihood method; an iterative estimation algorithm is proposed. With the updated steps and comparison using a Monte Carlo simulation, a fitting policy suitable for different parent distributions is proposed; its feasibility is demonstrated in extreme wind speed evaluations at Longhua and Chuansha meteorological stations in Shanghai, China.

A Study on the Investment Efficiency of Korean ETFs (한국상장지수펀드(ETF)의 투자효율성에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Hee-Seog
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.185-197
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the Korean ETF market, which is experiencing a rapid increase in the number of stocks, to identify the degree of investment efficiency and to present investment directions. The methodology and procedure are ETF yield, change trends, correlation and regression analysis of the ETFs traded between 2010 and 2018. As a result, the total return of domestic ETFs was 3.51%, which was lower than the KOSPI growth rate and the return on equity ETFs was 4.03%, which was low. Leverage ETF yields were below 3%, which was low. The return on bond and currency ETFs was less than 1%. The most profitable ETFs were index ETFs, followed by domestic and leveraged ETFs. This study has contributed to establishing considerations when purchasing ETFs from the viewpoint of investors. Future research will present the direction of ETF investment more precisely.

Corporate Non-reflux Income and Firm Value : A Review of Taxable Income Resources (미환류소득과 기업가치: 과세소득 재원의 고찰)

  • Kim, Jeong-Kyo;Kim, Hye-Ri
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.221-229
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to find out ways to enhance corporate value by using more efficient use of non-reflux Income which is commonly considered in existing corporate income tax refund and newly introduced investment and mutual aid promotion tax. Specifically, we analyzed the effect of income tax return income and income tax return on wages and fixed - asset investments, which are commonly considered in the two tax systems, on firm value. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that short-term internal reserves and income reflux activities had a negative impact on firm value, and long-term internal reserves and income reflux return had positive effects on firm value. It is recommended not to formulate uniform criteria such as the ratio of income refund activity to the contents of tax, but to apply the tax refund to the internal taxation system and the taxable income source.

Asymmetric evaluation on domain of risk and return for counterfeit products under different self-construal (위험과 수익의 도메인에서 상이한 자아추론이 모조품의 비대칭적 평가에 미치는 영향)

  • Min, Dongwon
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.10
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    • pp.193-199
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this research is to investigate how consumers react differently to financial and social risk/return, referred to as an 'asymmetric effect'. A lab-based experiment using a counterfeit but real-branded product examined the robustness of the statement that priming the interdependent versus independent self can result in differences in financial and social risk taking behavior in the context of counterfeit product purchase choice. Three hundred fifty-eight participants took part in the experiment. They were primed with different self-construal and evaluated purchase intention to the counterfeit product. As predicted, when evaluate in the context of loss claim of counterfeit product, risks were more activated, however, there was an asymmetric effect that self-construal priming had on financial and social risks. Interdependence primed participants were more likely to take a financial risk thus perform more purchase intention of counterfeit product and less likely to take a social risk than their independence primed counterparts, which led to lower purchase intention. The results of this research shed light on the various directions of future studies on the responses toward counterfeit product.

The Effects of the Previous Corporate Internal Reservation on the Current Dividend Rate - Using LEV as a moderating variable & Verification through DRF & GBM model (법인의 전기 사내유보가 당기 배당률에 미치는 영향 부채비율의 조절변수 효과 및 DRF & GBM 모델을 통한 검증)

  • Yoo, Joon-Soo;Jeong, Jae-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.215-223
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    • 2017
  • This article has tried to analyse the effect of the corporate earning return tax empirically through analysis on the impact of previous internal reservation on the dividends rate of the current year. In addition to this, this article has tried to the effectiveness of government policies with leverage ratio as a moderating variable. Moreover, DRF and GBM model were used to see the effect again. As a result of the actual proof analysis, OCF, ROE, FOR have a significance level of 99% in model1, model2, model3. However, ADV and MSE has appeared not to be meaningful in all models. In the result of DRF and GBM model for convergence was higher than GBM in depth and leaves. However, when it comes to a model explaining capability, GBM high than DRF. The further study will be required to examine the effect of government policy by time series analysis in the period of enforcement of the reflux tax, from 2015 to 2017.

Soft Dollars and Conflicts of Interest in Equity Funds in Korea (소프트달러와 주식형 펀드의 이해상충)

  • Cho, Sungbin
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.133-166
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzes the relationships between soft dollar(brokerage commission) and characteristics of funds, and between brokerage commission and return on funds, using the data on equity funds of Korea from June 2008 to November 2011. The result confirms a statistically significant negative relationship between management & sales fees and brokerage commission, meaning that rather than raising management & sales fees, which could be easily recognized by investors, it is through brokerage commission, a hidden cost, which asset management firms indirectly compensate for their services. Meanwhile, the analysis on the relationship between brokerage commission and return on funds reveals that higher brokerage commissions lead to lower return on funds, meaning at least in short-term no contribution to increasing returns in the future. These results suggest the need for streamlining the system to alleviate conflicts of interest between investors and management firms in addition to effectively controlling for principal-agent problems.

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Characteristics and Economic Effects of Korean Firms' R&D Investment (우리나라 민간기업 연구개발투자의 특성 및 경제적 효과)

  • Suh, Joonghae
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.81-122
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    • 2005
  • The paper aims to establish the characteristics of the Korean firms' R&D investment and to estimate the private rate of return to R&D investment. For the empirical analysis, a balanced panel data is constructed with 695 firms on 8 year observations. The panel data enables to characterize R&D investment of the Korean firms, which is mostly conformed to the 'stylized facts' of R&D investment that found in the previous studies on foreign firms. Klette model was used to estimate the private rate of return on R&D investment and depreciation rate of R&D capital. The paper estimates that the rate of return on R&D investment is 10.5% on average or 16.4% on median for the whole industry whereas manufacturing firms show 10.4% on average or 16.4% on median. The depreciation rate was estimated about 32.9% for whole industry, where it ranges from the minimum 11.6% for metal industry and 49.5% for services. The median estimate of the rate of return for R&D investment of Korean firms is roughly two times higher than real interest rates for the same period, which implies that R&D investment allows sizable rent in addition to the opportunity cost of capital investment.

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Optimal Production Management Strategy for Non-timber Forest Products using Portfolio Approach - A case study on major fruit trees - (포트포트폴리오 기법을 이용한 단기소득임산물의 최적 생산관리 전략 - 주요 유실수를 중심으로 -)

  • Won, Hyun-Kyu;Jeon, Jun-Heon;Lee, Seong-Youn;Joo, Rin-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.104 no.2
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    • pp.248-253
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    • 2015
  • This study applied the portfolio approach as a means to provide decision-making information for the establishment of the optimal production plan for non-timber products. The target items of non-timber forest product were Chestnut, Jujube, Walnut and Astringent Persimmon. The data used in this study were the annual report of forestry production cost survey which contains the annual production, annual gross income, and annual product cost from 2008 to 2013. These data were used to calculate the expected return of non-timber forest product. The objective function in the portfolio models was to minimize the expected return volatility, called risk and the constrain was to achieve the minimum expected return rate. Results indicated that the production ratio of the nuts and fruits in 2013 was 7% for Chestnut, 20% for Jujube, 5% for Walnut and 68% for Astringent Persimmon. Furthermore, portfolio presented that the production ratio was 10% for Chestnut, 9% for Jujube, 3% for Walnut and 78% for Astringent Persimmon in the near future. The cause was analyzed due to maintain stable production and income of Astringent Persimmon and Chestnut. Meanwhile, the revenue of Walnuts and Jujube was in great variation with relatively higher revenues.

The Influence of Hong Kong Problems on Cross Strait Relationship (홍콩문제가 양안관계에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Won-Kon
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2020
  • The Hong Kong issue covered in the study refers to the problems caused by the various measures and policies taken by the Chinese government since Hong Kong's return to China on July 1, 1997, and the resistance and resistance shown by the Hong Kong people. Since Hong Kong's return The Chinese government carried out a policy of strengthening direct control over Hong Kong, and on June 30, 2020, the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress of China passed the Hong Kong National Security Act. This study will focus on the impact of the Hong Kong issue on Cross-Strait Relations. Through this, we will take a look at the application of the "one-country, two-system" policy, Taiwan and China's Unification Issues and the democratization of Hong Kong. This study predicts that after the passage of the "Hong kong National security law," the principle of "one-country, two-system" that China tried to apply to unification with Taiwan will be put into a big test, and that Cross-Strait Relations and U.S.-China relations will deteriorate. Tension will quickly arise around Northeast Asia in the future, and we should also analyze and prepare for it in various ways.