• Title/Summary/Keyword: Return period

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Determination of drought events considering the possibility of relieving drought and estimation of design drought severity (가뭄해갈 가능성을 고려한 가뭄사상의 결정 및 확률 가뭄심도 산정)

  • Yoo, Ji Young;Yu, Ji Soo;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.275-282
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to propose a new method to determine the drought event and the design drought severity. In order to define a drought event from precipitation data, theory of run was applied with the cumulative rainfall deficit. When we have a large amount of rainfall over the threshold level, in this study, we compare with the previous cumulative rainfall deficit to determine whether the drought is relieved or not. The recurrence characteristics of the drought severity on the specific duration was analyzed by the conditional bivariate copula function and confidence intervals were estimated to quantify uncertainties. The methodology was applied to Seoul station with the historical dataset (1909~2015). It was observed that the past droughts considered as extreme hydrological events had from 10 to 50 years of return period. On the other hand, the current on-going drought event started from 2013 showed the significantly higher return period. It is expected that the result of this study may be utilized as the reliable criteria based on the concept of return period for the drought contingency plan.

Export Performance and Stock Return: A Case of Fishery Firms Listing in Vietnam Stock Markets

  • VO, Quy Thi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2019
  • The research aims to study the relationship between export performance and stock return of Vietnamese fishery companies. To conduct this study, quarterly data was collected for period from 2010-2018 of 13 fishery companies listing in Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) and Ha Noi Stock Exchange (HNX). The export performance was measured by export intensity, export growth and export market coverage. In addition, interest rate, exchange rate, GDP, firm size, profitability, and financial leverage were considered as the control variables in the research model. Panel data analysis with Generalized Least Squares model was employed to estimate the predictive regression. The findings indicated that export intensity and export growth have a significant and positive relationship with stock returns. However, export market coverage has not a significant relationship with stock return at the 0.05 level. Profitability, financial leverage, and exchange rate have a positive relationship, while interest rate and GDP have no relation to stock return at the 0.05 significance level. The findings imply that investors should consider the export intensity instead of export growth and export market coverage as selecting stock of fishery exports firms to invest; managers should increase export intensity to increase company's stock price or firm market value.

Analysis of the effect of imported technology on the economic growth of Korea (한국의 경제성장에 있어서 해외도입기술의 영향분석)

  • 최은철
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.145-156
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    • 2001
  • This paper investigates the effect of imported technology on the economic growth of Korea. To this end, the relationship between input technology and economic growth are suggested in the numerical form and analysed empirically. The rates of return of technology investments, which are divided into the domestic R&D investment and the investment on imported technology, are estimated. Based on the result of this analysis, the rate of return of the input technology, which includes the domestic R&D investment and the investment on imported technology, are estimated as 31.4%, and this input technology is calculated as to contribute 8.9% on the economic growth rate of Korea. And the domestic R&D investment is fumed out to have bigger rate of return than the investment on imported technology during the surveyed period. However, the rates of return of detailed R&D investments, which can be divided into the investments on commercial R&D and basic science, were not calculated in this paper, because of the lack of data on this in this paper. As well, the time-lag effect, which is naturally believed to exist between the R&D investment and the economic growth, could not be analysed wit:1 the same reason. Thus when analysing the relationship between them, this paper tried to minimize the time-lag effect by using the long-term data of twenty-three years.

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Audit Quality and Stock Return Co-Movement: Evidence from Vietnam

  • PHAM, Chi Bich Thi;VU, Thu Minh Thi;NGUYEN, Linh Ha;NGUYEN, Dung Duc
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.139-147
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    • 2020
  • This paper aims to explore the relationship between the quality of the audit and the level of stock return co-movement in the context of the Vietnamese emerging market. The empirical study is designed based on the quatitative method and deductive approach. The panel dataset includes 256 listed firms from different industries,with 1115 firm-year observations on Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange for the period from 2014 to 2018. In the research, we built the econometric regression model, using stock return synchronicity and audit quality as the dependent and independent variable, respectively. Some control variables are also added to the econometric regression models as they are well-documented in prior research to have an effect on stock price synchronicity. To improve the accuracy of the regression coefficients, beside the Ordinary Least Squares, we employ the Random Effects Model and the Fixed Effects Model for better statistical analysis of panel data set. The results show that the quality of the audit is positively correlated to stock price synchronicity. This finding suggests that stock returns of companies with higher quality of the audit are more synchronous with the market. Results for other control variables also support our reasoning for the main findings.

Effect of Liquidity, Profitability, Leverage, and Firm Size on Dividend Policy

  • PATTIRUHU, Jozef R.;PAAIS, Maartje
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to investigate the relationship between the variables of Current Ratio (CR), Return-on-Equity (ROE), Return-on-Assets (ROA), Debt-to-Equity Ratio (DER), and Firm Size (FS) on Dividend Policy (DP) in real estate and property companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the period 2016-2019, looking at nine real estate companies in Indonesia. The research methodology uses an explanatory analysis approach and linear regression. Based on the eligibility and homogeneity of the data, the number of sample companies selected was nine companies. The company's financial statement data derived from primary data obtained on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, such as current ratio (CR), return-on-equity (ROE), return-on-assets (ROA), debt-to-equity ratio (DER) and firm size and dividend policy variables. The data analysis procedure is first to transform financial data from the original ratio data into interval data and, then, transform it to ordinal data. Furthermore, the validity and reliability process are ignored because the data is primary. Finally, regression testing is part of the hypothesis testing stage. The results of this study showed that the CR, ROE, and firm size had no positive and significant effect on dividend policy. In contrast, DER and ROA have a positive and significant impact on dividend policy.

The Relationships between Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity and Trading Frequency Activity during the COVID-19 in Indonesia

  • SAPUTRA G, Enrico Fernanda;PULUNGAN, Nur Aisyah Febrianti;SUBIYANTO, Bambang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.737-745
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to determine whether there are differences in the average abnormal return, trading volume activity, and trading frequency activity in pharmaceutical stocks before and after the announcement of the first case of the coronavirus (COVID-19) in Indonesia. The sample was selected using a purposive sampling method and collected as many as nine pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2019-2020. The data used in this study were secondary data in the form of daily data on stock closing prices, Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG), stock volume trading, number of shares outstanding, and stock trading frequency. This study was an event study with an observation period of 14 days, namely seven days before and seven days after the announcement of the coronavirus's first positive case in Indonesia. Hypothesis testing employed the paired sample t-test method. Based on the results, it was found that there was no difference in the average abnormal return of pharmaceutical stocks before and after the announcement of the first case of COVID-19. However, there was a difference in the average trading volume activity and the average trading frequency activity in pharmaceutical stocks before and after the announcement of the first case of COVID-19.

The Nexus between Capital Structure and Firm Value by Profitability Moderation: Evidence from Saudi Arabia

  • FATIMA, Nadeem;SHAIK, Abdul Rahman
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.9
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    • pp.181-189
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    • 2022
  • The current study examines the nexus between the capital structure (debt-equity) and firm value (Tobin's Q) by including profitability (alternatively Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity (ROE)) as a moderator in the companies of Saudi Arabia. The study sample consists of 102 companies listed on Tadawul (the Saudi Arabian stock exchange) from different sectors of Saudi Arabia during the period 2013 to 2020. The study estimates pooled regression, panel regression with fixed and random effects, and dynamic panel regression models to report the results. The study results report that there is a negative and significant association between capital structure and firm value in model 1, while in models 2 and 3 there is a more negative and significant impact between the two study variables compared to model 1 after the inclusion of interaction variable, i.e. profitability in terms of ROA and ROE. The comparative result shows that the companies of Saudi Arabia hold more debt in their capital structure mix, hence evidencing a decrease in the firm value. The reported results also show that models 2 and 3 are better in explaining the impact of capital structure on firm value due to the interaction of profitability compared to model 1.

The Patterns of Return and Getting Housing of Returners-to-village according to Their Experience of Rural life - Focused on Returners-to-village in Chungbuk Area - (농촌생활경험에 따른 귀촌자의 귀촌방식 및 주택마련 - 충북지역 귀촌자를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Kyoung-Ok;Lee, Sang-Un
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Rural Architecture
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to provide practical data for proposing the housing environment support policy, fit for returners-to-village. For the purpose, this study focused the patterns of returners-to-village according to their experience of rural life, and their ways of settlement like planning and getting land and house. The questionnaires were answered by 91 persons who were living in Chungbuk area, and were analyzed chi-analysis on their socio-demographic characteristics according to experience of rural life, preparation of settlement and construction. The ANOVA were used to analyze their pattern of return according to experience, the period for getting house, and their satisfaction level of house size. The results were as follows. First, the returners showed differentiated tendency according to their experience of rural life, in their age, family life cycle, education level and income source after return. The experience of rural life explained the purpose of return and the living pattern after return. Direct experience group was mostly occupational farmer; indirect experience group mostly pursued good health & green life; non experience group mostly pursued green life. Second, the experience of rural life also explained differentiated tendency of returning preparation. In raising money, direct experience group mostly raised it privately but indirect or non experience group mostly used bank loan. Third, the returners mostly constructed new houses; non experience group almost constructed newly, but there were cases to utilize existing or vacant house in direct experience group, and indirect experience group favored existing house or remodeling of vacant house.

Dentists' opinions on return to work of career interrupted dental hygienists (경력이 단절된 치과위생사의 직무 복귀에 대한 치과의사의 의견)

  • Park, Kui-Ok;Jang, Young-Eun;Kim, Sun-Il;Park, Ji-Eun;Lee, Sun-Mi;Kim, Nam-Hee
    • Journal of Korean society of Dental Hygiene
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.741-750
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    • 2016
  • Objectives: This study aims to identify dentists' opinions about the return to work of the dental hygienists with career interrupted. Convenience sampling was made of 22 dentists with the clinical experience (about 0.25%) of the 4,944 members of Gyeonggi-do Dental Association. Data were collected through an electronic survey using e-mails and telephone interviews and analyzed using the constant comparison method. Methods: Open coding was assigned to the initial data from the survey in an explicit language, and focusing on the types of their employment, working conditions, etc. Summarization and conceptualization were made of the second data in an implicit language. Results: Most of the dentists were found to have positive attitudes toward the return to work of career interrupted dental hygienists and hope to adjust their wages based on their job performance or after their probational period expires. Most of the dentists were found to have positive attitudes towards the hygienists' flexible working although their concerns about work efficiency and hospital atmosphere. This study is a qualitative study that describes dentists' opinions and presents the need for the career interrupted dental hygienists to return to work. Conclusions: The study proposed that the educational institutions should take into account the hygienists' opinions when implementing the programs for promoting their return to work and their evaluative studies.

The employment duration at first return-to-work of injured workers (산재근로자의 재해 이후 첫 복귀직장에서의 고용지속기간)

  • Park, EunJoo
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.123-146
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to investigate the employment duration and the probability of quitting the job at first return-to-work of injured workers. This study collected data with structured questionnaires and finally included 515 injured workers. The Kaplan-Meier method is used for describing the employment duration, and the Cox regression is used to identify significant factors on the probability of quitting the job at first return-to-work. The results show that among the all respondents, the 5.65% quitted the job within 1 month, 14.14% within 3 months, 23.7% within 6 months, and 32.81% within 1 years. The Cox regression results show that the probability of quitting the job at first return-to-work is significantly affected by age, marital status, education, employment period when happened the accident, job retention, income change, and classification of diseases. As a result, some implication and policies are suggested for the return-to-work and employment durability of injured workers.