• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제35권3호
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• pp.52-61
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• 2012

The design method for cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts, which can be robust to autoregressive moving average (ARMA) modeling errors, has not been frequently proposed so far. This is because the CUSUM statistic involves a maximum function, which is intractable in mathematical derivations, and thus any modification on the statistic can not be favorably made. We propose residual-based robust CUSUM control charts for monitoring autocorrelated processes. In order to incorporate the effects of ARMA modeling errors into the design method, we modify parameters (reference value and decision interval) of CUSUM control charts using the approximate expected variance of residuals generated in model uncertainty, rather than directly modify the form of the CUSUM statistic. The expected variance of residuals is derived using a second-order Taylor approximation and the general form is represented using the order of ARMA models with the sample size for ARMA modeling. Based on the Monte carlo simulation, we demonstrate that the proposed method can be effectively used for statistical process control (SPC) charts, which are robust to ARMA modeling errors.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제54권5호
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• pp.123-128
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• 2012

For optimal reservoir operation and management, there are essential elements including water supply in agricultural reservoir and demand in irrigation district. To estimate agricultural water demand and supply, many factors such as weather, crops, soil, growing conditions cultivation method and the watershed/irrigation area should be considered, however, there are occurred water supply impossible duration under the influence of the variability and uncertainty of meteorological and hydrological phenomenon. Focusing on agricultural reservoir, amount and tendency of agricultural water supply and demand shows seasonally/regionally different patterns. Through the analysis of deviation and changes in the timing of the two elements, duration in excess of water supply can be identified quantitatively. Here, we introduce an approach to assessment of irrigation vulnerable duration for effective management of agricultural reservoir using time dependent change analysis of residual water supply and irrigation water requirements. Irrigation vulnerable duration has been determined through the comparison of water supply in agricultural reservoir and demand in irrigation district based on the water budget analysis, therefore can be used as an improved and basis data for the effective and intensive water management.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제48권6호
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• pp.1412-1422
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• 2016

Austenitic stainless steels (ASSs) are widely used for nuclear pipes as they exhibit a good combination of mechanical properties and corrosion resistance. However, high tensile residual stresses may occur in ASS welds because postweld heat treatment is not generally conducted in order to avoid sensitization, which causes a stress corrosion crack. In this study, round robin analyses on stress intensity factors (SIFs) were carried out to examine the appropriateness of structural integrity assessment methods for ASS pipe welds with two types of circumferential cracks. Typical stress profiles were generated from finite element analyses by considering residual stresses and normal operating conditions. Then, SIFs of cracked ASS pipes were determined by analytical equations represented in fitness-for-service assessment codes as well as reference finite element analyses. The discrepancies of estimated SIFs among round robin participants were confirmed due to different assessment procedures and relevant considerations, as well as the mistakes of participants. The effects of uncertainty factors on SIFs were deducted from sensitivity analyses and, based on the similarity and conservatism compared with detailed finite element analysis results, the R6 code, taking into account the applied internal pressure and combination of stress components, was recommended as the optimum procedure for SIF estimation.

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제32권3호
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• pp.249-264
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• 2011

이 논문에서는 환경변수의 시계열 분포도 작성과 불확실성 모델링을 위해 시공간영역으로 확장된 다중 가우시안 크리깅을 제안하였다. 다중 가우시안 틀 안에서, 우선 정규점수변환된 환경변수를 결정론적 경향 성분과 확률론적 잔차 성분으로 분해하였다. 그리고 시간 경향 모델 계수의 내삽을 통해 경향 성분의 시계열 공간 분포도를 작성하였다. 정상성 잔차 성분의 시공간 상관 구조는 곱-합 시공간 베리오그램 모델을 이용하여 정량화하였고, 이 베리오그램 모델과 시공간 크리깅을 이용하여 국소적 누적 확률분포함수를 모델링하였다. 이 국소적 누적 확률분포함수로부터 평균값과 조건부 분산을 계산하여 공간분포도 작성과 불확실성 분석에 각각 이용하였다. 제안 기법의 적용성 평가를 위해 인천광역시에서 3년간 13개 관측소에서 측정된 월 평균 미세먼지($PM_{10}$) 농도 자료를 이용한 시계열 분포도 작성 사례 연구를 수행하였다. 사례연구 결과, 제안 기법을 통해 기존 공간 정규 크리깅에 비해 작은 편향과 높은 예측 능력을 가진 시계열 미세먼지($PM_{10}$) 농도 분포도 작성이 가능함을 확인할 수 있었다. 또한 조건부 분산과 특정 농도값을 초과할 확률값들은 해석을 위한 유용한 보조 정보를 제공하였다.

• 대한공업교육학회지
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.364-380
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• 2006

본 연구는 모델링 오차를 갖는 유연구조물의 잔류진동을 억제하는 입력설계에 대한 방법이다. 개루프 제어방법으로 시간지연방법을 이용하여 여러 가지 형태로 설계된 입력을 사용하여 유연구조물의 강체운동과 잔류진동을 억제함을 시뮬레이션과 실험을 통해 비교 확인해 보았다. 또한 모델 오차에 대한 강인성 측면에서도 해석적으로 개루프 시스템에서 검토해 보았다. 여기서 사용된 입력설계(Input-Shaping) 방법은 일련의 임펄스 콘볼류션을 이용하여 진동이 제어되는 입력을 설계한다. 실린더 모양의 허브와 양쪽에 유연한 날개 모양을 가진 모델이 실험에 이용되었으며 제안된 입력설계 명령과 설계되지 않은 명령에 대한 강체운동과 구조물의 잔류진동을 측정하여 입력설계 방법의 효과를 확인하였다. 날개모양의 구조물은 길고 유연하여 운동 상태에서 낮은 주파수 진동을 수반하는 구조물이다. 또한, 적절히 설계된 입력이 폐루프 제어시스템의 입력으로 사용할 때의 응답을 개루프 제어시스템의 응답과 비교하기 위해 해석적 방법을 통해 살펴보았다. 제어의 목적은 강체의 빠른 정착시간, 유연 구조물의 빠른 잔류진동 감쇄, 모델의 불확실성에 대한 강인성 등을 검토해 보는 것이다.

• 청정기술
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.103-109
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• 2008

본 연구에서는 솔더페이스트(solder paste)로 솔더링후 표면에 잔류하는 플럭스(flux)의 효과적인 세정성능 평가방법 개발을 목적으로 하였다. 솔더링시 플럭스의 퍼짐오차를 줄이기 위해 본 연구에서 고안한 금속치구를 이용하여 1,1,1-TCE 및 플럭스 제거용 몇 가지 대표 준수계 대체세정제에 대하여 세정시간에 따른 플럭스 제거율을 무게측정법으로 측정, 비교하였다. 세정시간 변화에 따른 각 세정제의 세정효율을 측정한 결과 측정값들의 상대표준편차(RSD)가 약 4%이하로 data의 신뢰성이 확인되었다. 따라서 솔더페이스트로 솔더링후 대체세정제의 잔류플럭스의 세정성능 평가시험에 본 연구에서 적용한 금속치구(metal test tool)를 이용한 평가방법이 유력한 방법으로 적용가능할 것으로 판단된다. 그리고 이 평가방법을 적용한 결과 현재 상용화 되어 있는 우수하다고 알려진 몇 가지 대표 준수계 대체세정제 중 ST100SX와 750H가 고활성 플럭스에 대한 세정력이 우수한 성능을 나타냈으나 기존의 1,1,1-TCE에 비해서는 현저히 떨어짐을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 센서학회지
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.109-113
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• 2012

We propose an improved interpolating equation to express temperature-resistance characteristics for modern industrial platinum resistance thermometers (PRTs). Callendar-van Dusen equation which has been widely used for platinum resistance thermometer fails to fully describe temperature characteristics of high quality PRTs and leaves systematic residual when the calibration point include temperatures above $300^{\circ}C$. Expanding Callendar-van Dusen to higher-order polynomial drastically improves the uncertainty of the fitting even with reduced degrees of freedom of the fitting. We found that in the fourth-order polynomial fitting, the third-order and fourth-order coefficients have a strong correlation. Using the correlation, we suggest an improved interpolating equation in the form of fourth-order polynomial, but with three fitting parameters. Applying this interpolating equation reduced the uncertainty of the fitting to 32 % of that resulted from the traditional Callendar-van Dusen. This improvement was better than that from a simple third-order polynomial despite that the degrees of the freedom of the fitting was the same.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제45권4호
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• pp.649-664
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• 2017

Purpose: This paper introduces the technology of prognostics for Industry 4.0 and presents its application procedure for fitness-for-service assessment of natural gas pipelines according to ISO 13374 framework. Methods: Combining data-driven approach with pipe failure models, we present a hybrid scheme for the gas pipeline prognostics. The probability of pipe failure is obtained by using the PCORRC burst pressure model and First Order Second Moment (FOSM) method. A fuzzy inference system is also employed to accommodate uncertainty due to corrosion growth and defect occurrence. Results: With a modified field dataset, the probability of failure on the pipeline is calculated. Then, its residual useful life (RUL) is predicted according to ISO 16708 standard. As a result, the fitness-for-service of the test pipeline is well-confirmed. Conclusion: The framework described in ISO 13374 is applicable to the RUL prediction and the fitness-for-service assessment for gas pipelines. Therefore, the technology of prognostics is helpful for safe and efficient management of gas pipelines in Industry 4.0.

• 한국기계가공학회지
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.41-46
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• 2008

Generally optical components are fabricated by grinding, lapping and polishing processes. Those processes take long time to obtain optical high surface quality. In the case of large optical components, the on-machine measurement is strongly recommended because the workpiece is fragile and difficult to set up for fabricating and measuring. This paper is concerned about a swing-arm mechanism which can be used for on-machine measurement of a surface profile with a sensing probe end-effect, and also for grinding or lapping the surface with a corresponding tool. The measuring accuracy and uncertainty using a swing arm type profilometer have been studied. The experimental results show that this method is useful specially in lapping process with the accuracy of $5{\mu}m$. Those inspection data are provided for correcting the residual figuring error in next processes.

• 소음진동
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• 제8권6호
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• pp.1030-1036
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• 1998

When the lateral dimensions of a duct is larger than or comparable to the wavelengths of Interest, higher order modes propagate in the duct. These modes will be radiated and produce noise. A number of sensors and actuators for control of radiating noise from the duct have to be incorporated with the number of modes which one wants to control. These considerations motivated the present study that considers a control system which has less microphones and control sources than required. In this work, by theoretical analysis, the control performance of such a kind of system is investigated in terms of sound-field variables and control system variables. The possible maximum and minimum value. mean and variance of residual acoustic potential energy are derived for the set of primary sound fields.