• 한국건축시공학회지
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.148-158
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• 2013

Generally, building construction projects have a complex decision-making process because of the participation of various agents. In this situation, a final decision is arrived at by relying on subjective judgments based on the experience of project participants. For this reason, a method of assessing the objectivity of opinions is needed. In previous studies, the multi-criteria decision making method was applied to arrive at a final decision objectively, but this method has a limitation, in that the experience of each decision maker is not considered differently in the decision making process. Therefore, this study proposed a theoretical model using the S-shaped growth curve and regression analysis by building construction project type to quantitatively estimate decision-making reliability according to the experience of individual project participant`s. The developed model could be added to the Multi-criteria decision making method, and secure the objectivity and reliability of project participants' final opinion.

• 정보처리학회논문지D
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• 제9D권4호
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• pp.659-666
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• 2002

Park, Seo and Kim은 소프트웨어의 시험단계와 유지보수단계에 모두 적용할 수 있는 입력 영역 기반 소프트웨어 신뢰성 성장 모델을 개발하였다. 이들의 모형은 완전디버깅의 가정 하에서 개발되어졌다. 입력 영역 기반 소프트웨어 신뢰성 성장 모델이 현실적이기 위해서는 이러한 가정은 개선되어야 한다. 본 논문에서는 불완전 디버깅 하에서 사용할 수 있는 입력 영역 기반 소프트웨어 신뢰성 성장 모델을 제안하고 그 통계적 특성을 조사한다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.29-50
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• 2004

A total life model was developed to assess the service life of aging aircraft. The primary focus of this paper is the development of crack growth life projection using the response surface method. Crack growth life projection is a necessary component of the total life model. The study showed that the number of load cycles N needed for a crack to propagate to a specified size can be linearly related to the geometric parameter, material, and stress level of the component considered when all the variables are transformed to logarithmic values. By the Central Limit theorem, the ln N was approximated by Gaussian distribution. This Gaussian model compared well with the histograms of the number of load cycles generated from simulated crack growth curves. The outcome of this study will aid engineers in designing their crack growth experiments to develop the stochastic crack growth models for service life assessments.

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제23권8호
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• pp.1915-1925
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• 1998

교환 시스템이 고장과 장애를 일으키면 서비스에 치명적인 영향을 미치게 된다. 다시 말해서 시스템을 제어하는 교환 소프트웨어의 역할은 매우 중요하다. 그렇기 때문에 정량적인 소프트웨어의 품질 평가 방법은 더욱 중요하다. 본 논문에서는 기능 블록으로 구성된 교환 소프트웨어를 시험하여 얻어진 각종 고장 데이터를 수집, 분석하고 이를 이용하여 각 버전별, 개발 전과정에 대한 소프트웨어 신뢰도를 평가해보고, 기타 고려할 사항에 대해 논한다. 대표적인 2개의 신뢰도 모형(G-O model, S-Shaped model)을 선택하여 소프트웨어 신뢰도를 비교해 보고 품질 향상을 위한 제반 활동과 소프트웨어 개발 프로젝트에 맞는 소프트웨어 신뢰도 모형을 제시하였다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제53권6호
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• pp.1183-1200
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• 2015

Reinforcement corrosion can cause serious safety deterioration to aging concrete structures exposed in aggressive environments. This paper presents an approach for reliability analyses of deteriorating reinforced concrete structures affected by reinforcement corrosion on the basis of the representative symptoms identified during the deterioration process. The concrete cracking growth and rebar bond strength evolution due to reinforcement corrosion are chosen as key symptoms for the performance deterioration of concrete structures. The crack width at concrete cover surface largely depends on the corrosion penetration of rebar due to the expansive rust layer at the bond interface generated by reinforcement corrosion. The bond strength of rebar in the concrete correlates well with concrete crack width and decays steadily with crack width growth. The estimates of cracking development and bond strength deterioration are examined by experimental data available from various sources, and then matched with symptom-based lifetime Weibull model. The symptom reliability and remaining useful life are predicted from the predictive lifetime Weibull model for deteriorating concrete structures. Finally, a numerical example is provided to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach for forecasting the performance of concrete structures subject to reinforcement corrosion. The results show that the corrosion rate has significant impact on the reliability associated with serviceability and load bearing capacity of reinforced concrete structures during their service life.

• 정보학연구
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.47-64
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• 2007

Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. Accurate predictions of software release times, and estimation of the reliability and availability of a software product require quantification of a critical element of the software testing process : test coverage. This model called enhanced non-homogeneous poission process(ENHPP). In this paper, exponential coverage and S-coverage model was reviewed, proposes the exponentiated exponential coverage reliability model, which maked out efficiency substituted for gamma and Weibull model(2 parameter shape illustrated by Gupta and Kundu(2001). In this analysis of software failure data, algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE statistics for the sake of efficient model, was employed.

• 한국정보기술응용학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보기술응용학회 2005년도 6th 2005 International Conference on Computers, Communications and System
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• pp.143-146
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• 2005

The software reliability growth depends on the testing time because the failure rate varies whether it is long or not. On the other hand, it might be difficult to reduce failure rate for most of the cases are not available for debugging during operational phase, hence, there are some literatures to study that the failure rate is uniform throughout the operational time. The failure rate reduces and the reliability grows with time regardless of debugging. As a result, the products reliability varies with the time duration of these products in point of customer view. The reason of this is that it accumulates the products experience, studies the exact operational method, and then finds and takes action against the fault circumstances. I propose the simple model to represent this status in this paper.

• 한국항공우주학회지
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• 제40권4호
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• pp.336-345
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• 2012

균열성장 수명에는 구조 형상의 복잡함, 작용하중의 변동, 재료물성 분포 등의 영향으로 불확실성이 포함된다. 따라서 이러한 불확실 인자들에 대해 계산된 수명의 강건성을 확보하기 위해서는 신뢰성 평가가 요구된다. 하지만 형상이 복잡한 터빈 휠의 경우 균열성장 수명 계산의 주요 변수인 응력확대계수의 표현식을 알기 힘들며, 이를 유한요소해석으로 계산하므로 수명 계산 및 신뢰성 평가에 많은 시간이 요구된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 균열성장 수명의 반응표면을 사용함으로써 신뢰성 평가의 효율성을 높일 수 있음을 고찰하였다. 이를 위해 형상이 복잡한 터빈 휠을 모델로 유한요소해석으로 생성된 응력확대계수 데이터를 회귀분석하여 근사모델을 생성한 후 응력확대계수의 회귀계수, Paris 계수, 초기균열길이에 대한 균열성장 수명의 반응표면을 생성하여 신뢰성해석에 사용하였다. 신뢰성해석은 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션으로 수행하였으며, 연구결과 반응표면의 사용이 신뢰성 평가 시 필요한 균열성장 수명의 계산량을 효과적으로 줄일 수 있었다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.96-107
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• 1997

The recent stream to reliability prediction is that it is totally inclusive in depth to consider even the operating and environmental condition at the level of finished goods as well as component itselves. In this study, firstly we present the reliability prediction methods by entire failure rate model which failure rate at the system level is added to the failure rate model at the component level. Secondly we build up the improved bases of reliability demonstration through a, pp.ication of Kaplan-Meier, Cumulative hazard, Johnson's methods as non-parametric and Maximum Likelihood Estimator under exponential & Weibull distribution as parametric. And also present the methods of curve fitting to piecewise failure rate under Weibull distribution, PRST (Probability Ratio Sequential Test), curve fitting to S-shaped reliability growth curve, computer programs of each methods. Lastly we show the practical for determination of optimal burn-in time as a method of reliability enhancement, and also verify the practical usefulness of the above study through the a, pp.ication of failure and test data during 1 year.

• 융합보안논문지
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.45-53
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• 2007

유한고장수를 가진 비동질적인 포아송 과정에 기초한 모형들에서 잔존 결함 1개당 고장 발생률은 일반적으로 상수, 혹은 단조증가 및 단조 감소 추세를 가지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 기존의 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형인 Goel-Okumoto 모형과 Yamada-Ohba-Osaki 모형을 재조명하고 이 분야에 적용될 수 있는 hyper-exponential 분포를 이용한 모형을 제안하였다. 수치적인 예에서는 Minitab(version 14) 통계 페키지에 있는 와이블분포(형상모수가 0.5이고 척도모수가 1)에서 발생시킨 30개의 난수를 이용한 모의 실험 고장 간격시간으로 구성된 자료를 이용하였고 모수추정 방법은 최우추정법 과 일반적인 수치해석 방법인 이분법을 사용하여 모수 추정을 실시하였다. 그리고 모형 설정과 선택 판단기준은 편차 자승합을 이용한 적합도 검정이 사용되었다.