• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability Prediction Equation

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A Study on the Reliability of Software for Railway Signalling Systems (철도신호제어용 소프트웨어 신뢰도 모델링에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Ho;Park, Young-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.9 no.5 s.36
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    • pp.601-605
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    • 2006
  • Reliability of the Railway signaling system which is safety critical is determined by reliability of hardware and software. Reliability of hardware is easily predicted and demonstrated through lots of different studies and environmental tests, while that of software is estimated by the iterative test outcomes so estimates of reliability will depend on the inputs. Combinations of inputs to and outputs from the software may be mostly combinatoric and therefore all the combinations could not be tested. As a result, it has been more important to calculate reliability by means of a simpler method. This paper identifies the reliability prediction equation applicable to reliability prediction for railway signaling system software, and performs the simulation of onboard equipment of automatic train control for high speed train to review reliability prediction and validity.

Development of a Tool Life Prediction Program for Increasing Reliability of Cutting Tools (공구의 신뢰성 향상을 위한 수명 예측 프로그램 개발)

  • Kim Bong-Suk;Kang Tae-Han;Kang Jae-Hun;Song Jun-Yeob;Lee Soo-Hun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2005
  • The prediction for tool life is one of the most important factors for increasing reliability, stability, and productivity of manufacturing system. This paper deals with a tool life prediction method in view of reliability assessment for cutting tools. In this study, flank wear was focused among multi-factors deciding the tool wear state. First, tool life was predicted by correlation between flank wear and cutting time, based on the extended Taylor tool life equation of turning, including parameters of cutting speed, feed rate, and cutting depth. Second, each of cutting conditions of end-milling was equivalently converted to apply ball end-mill data to the extended Taylor equation. The web-based prediction program for tool life was developed as one of reliability assessment programs for machine tools.

Vibration Prediction and Charge Estimation in Hard Rock Blasting Site (경암층 발파현장에서 진동예측 및 장약량산정)

  • Park, Yeon-Soo;Park, Sun-Joon;Choi, Sun-Min;Mun, Soo-Bong;Mun, Byeong-Ok;Jeong, Gyung-Yul;Jeong, Tae-Hyeong;Hwang, Seung-Ill;Kim, Min-Jung;Park, Sang-Chul;Kim, Jung-Ju;Lee, Byeong-Geun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.313-319
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    • 2009
  • The blasting has a lot of economic efficiency and speediness but it can damage to a neighbor structure, a domestic animal and a cultured fish due to the blasting vibration, then the public grievance is increased. Therefore, we need to manage the blasting vibration efficiently. The prediction of the correct vibration velocity is not easy because there are lots of different kinds of the scale of blasting vibration and it has a number of a variable effect. So we figure the optimum line through the least-squares regression by using the vibration data measured in hard rock blasting and compared with the design vibration prediction equation. As a result, we confirm that the vibration estimated in this paper is bigger than the design vibration prediction equation in the same charge and distance. If there is a Gaussian normal distribution data on the left-right side of the least squares regression, then we can estimate the vibration prediction equation on reliability 50%(${\beta}=0$), 90%(${\beta}=1.28$), 95%(${\beta}=1.64$). 99.9%(${\beta}=3.09$). As a result, it appears to be suitable that the reliability is 99% at the transverse component, the reliability 95% is at the vertical component, the reliability 90% is at the longitudinal component and the reliability is 95% at the peak vector sum component.

Development of Reliability Prediction Program for Tool Life (공구 수명의 신뢰성 예측 프로그램 개발)

  • 이수훈;김봉석;강태한;송준엽;강재훈;서천석
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.317-322
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    • 2004
  • This paper deals with a prediction method of tool life in view of the reliability assessment. In this study, the flank wear was studied among multi-factors deciding the tool wear state. Firstly, tool lift was predicted by correlation between flank wear and cutting time, based on the extended Taylor tool life equation of turning data, including parameters of cutting speed, feed rate, and cutting depth. Secondly, each of cutting conditions of endmilling was equivalently converted to apply ball endmill data to the extended Taylor equation. The web-based reliability prediction program for tool lift is being developed as one of reliability assessment programs to for the machine tools.

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Friction Welding of Dissimilar Hot Die Punch materials and Its Creep Life Prediction(II)-Creep Life Prediction by ISM (열간 금형재의 이종재 마찰용접과 크리프 수명예측 (II) -크리프 수명예측)

  • 박일동;공유식;오세규;전태언
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2001
  • It was confirmed that the life predictive equation by LMP and LMP-ISM are effective only up to 10$^2$hours and can not be used for long times of $10^3~10^5$ hours, but that by ISM can be used for long times creep life prediction with more reliability. The predictive creep life equation of ISM has better reliability than those by LMP and LMP-ISM, and its realizably is getting better for long time creep prediction($10^3~10^5$ h).

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Creep Life Prediction of Aircraft Gas Turbine material by ISM (ISM에 의한 항공기용 가스터빈 재료의 크리프 수명예측)

  • 공유식
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, the real-time prediction of high temperature creep strength and creep for nickel-based superalloy Udimet 720 (high-temperature and high-pressure gas turbine engine materials) was performed on round-bar type specimens under pure load at the temperatures of 538, 649 and 704$^{\circ}C$. The predictive equation of ISM creep has better reliability than that of LMP and LMP-ISM, and its reliability is getting better for long time creep prediction ($10^3~10^5$h).

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A Study on The Feliability Predication Model of Gyroscope (자이로의 신뢰성 예측모델에 관한 연구)

  • 백순흠;문홍기;김호룡
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.475-481
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    • 1993
  • The objective of this study is to develope the reliability prediction model for Float Rated Integrating Gyroscope( :FRIG) at maximum loading. The equation of motion for FRIG is firstly derived to set up the reliability prediction model. To analysis reliability or all parts of the gyro is not easy due to their complicated structure. Therefore the failure parts are chosen by Failure Mode Effective Analysis (:FMEA). F.E.M is utilized to calculate loads for the selseced rotating assembly and pivot / jewel. The technical reliability is calculated by applying reliability design theory with these results and the performance reliability is sought through distribution estimation with error test data. The bulk reliability of gyroscope is sought by applying the two results. The present prediction results are compared with the accumulation time in good agreement.

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Friction Welding of Dissimilar Hot Die Punch Materials and Its Creep Life Prediction and Quality Evaluation by AE ( II )-Creep Life Prediction by ISM (열간 금형펀치 제작을 위한 이종재 마찰용접과 고온 크리프 실시간 예측 및 AE에 의한 품질평가 (II)-크리프 수명예측)

  • 박일동;오세규;공유식;전태언
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.26-32
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    • 2000
  • It was confirmed that the life predictive equation by LMP-ISM are effective only up to 10$^2$hours and can not be used for long times of 10$^3$~10$^{5}$ hours, but that by ISM can be used for long times creep life prediction with more reliability. The predictive creep life equation of ISM has better reliability than those by LMP and LMP-ISM, and its realizably is getting better for long time creep prediction(10$^3$~10$^{5}$ H).

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Reliability Improvement of In-Place Concreter Strength Prediction by Ultrasonic Pulse Velocity Method (초음파 속도법에 의한 현장 콘크리트 강도추정의 신뢰성 향상)

  • 원종필;박성기
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2001
  • The ultrasonic pulse velocity test has a strong potential to be developed into a very useful and relatively inexpensive in-place test for assuring the quality of concrete placed in structure. The main problem in realizing this potential is that the relationship between compressive strength ad ultrasonic pulse velocity is uncertain and concrete is an inherently variable material. The objective of this study is to improve the reliability of in-place concrete strength predictions by ultrasonic pulse velocity method. Experimental cement content, s/a rate, and curing condition of concrete. Accuracy of the prediction expressed in empirical formula are examined by multiple regression analysis and linear regression analysis and practical equation for estimation the concrete strength are proposed. Multiple regression model uses water-cement ratio cement content s/a rate, and pulse velocity as dependent variables and the compressive strength as an independent variable. Also linear regression model is used to only pulse velocity as dependent variables. Comparing the results of the analysis the proposed equation expressed highest reliability than other previous proposed equations.

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Service Life Prediction of Components or Materials Based on Accelerated Degradation Tests (가속열화시험에 의한 부품·소재 사용수명 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Young Il
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Accelerated degradation tests can speed time to market and reduce the test time and costs associated with long term reliability tests to verify the required service life of a product or material. This paper proposes a service life prediction method for components or materials using an accelerated degradation tests based on the relationships between temperature and the rate of failure-causing chemical reaction. Methods: The relationship between performance degradation and the rate of a failure-causing chemical reaction is assumed and least square estimation is used to estimate model parameters from the degradation model. Results: Methods of obtaining acceleration factors and predicting service life using the degradation model are presented and a numerical example is provided. Conclusion: Service life prediction of a component or material is possible at an early stage of the degradation test by using the proposed method.