• 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신뢰성학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회 발표논문집
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• pp.223-230
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• 2000

This work aims to develop modeling methodology of machine part reliability. The reliability model is to be used for predicting and improving reliability in planning and design processes of products. In order to develop the reliability model of machine parts, the functions and interactions of sub-units of machine parts are analyzed first and function network is constructed. Using the function network, function block diagram is developed, which can be the basis for deriving reliability block diagram. Modeling of machine part reliability has not been widely studied since the reliability modeling of machine parts requires understanding of the functions and failures of their components in several viewpoints. This work tries to find general methodology of reliability modeling and proposes a framework for reliability improvement during machine part development.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2001년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.370-375
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• 2001

This paper is to suggest reliability modeling and analysis method of Electric Multiple Unit (EMU). It is necessary to identify subsystem/equipments of EMU and functional interfaces between subsystems in order to carry out reliability modeling of EMU properly. After identifying subsystem/equipments and functional interface, reliability allocation is performed using ARINC method. Reliability target of system/subsystems is verified in revenue service during the proper periods.

• 한국산업정보학회논문지
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.67-77
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• 1998

Reliability growth testing used to evaluate reliability in the automobile industry have not always been able to correctly address reliability concerns with increased confidence. The demand to confirm to all product performance requirements under various operating environments has added to the complexity of accurately assessin theproduct's reliability in the required development time. In addition, it is often desired to determine the relationship of a product's reliability to cost, development time, design, manufacturability and assembly. This paper presents the methods for reliability growth modeling to evaluate and interpret reliability concerns to support the reliability analysis of automobile assemblies and systems. This reliability growth modeling process is a mechanism to help "build in" reliability during early phases in the vehicle devleopment stage.

• Wind and Structures
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.543-553
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• 2016

The growing complexity of modern technological systems requires more flexible and powerful reliability analysis tools. Existing tools encounter a number of limitations including lack of modeling power to address components interactions for complex systems and lack of flexibility in handling component failure distribution. We propose a reliability modeling framework based on the Bayesian network (BN). It can combine historical data with expert judgment to treat data scarcity. The proposed methodology is applied to wind turbines reliability analysis. The observed result shows that a BN based reliability modeling is a powerful potential solution to modeling and analyzing various kinds of system components behaviors and interactions. Moreover, BN provides performing several inference approaches such as smoothing, filtering, what-if analysis, and sensitivity analysis for considering system.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.77-84
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• 2016

본 논문은 시스템에 대한 기능 중심의 신뢰도 예측을 수행하기 위한 모델링 방법론을 제안한다. 신뢰도 예측에 대한 다양한 기존 연구들이 있지만, 이 연구들의 공통점은 하드웨어 중심으로 신뢰도 예측을 수행하였다는 점이다. 신뢰성이 제품이 주어진 사용 조건 아래서 의도하는 기간 동안 정해진 기능을 성공적으로 수행하는 능력이라고 정의되는 점에서 보았을 때, 하드웨어 중심의 신뢰도는 논리적 모순을 가진다. 본 논문에서는 기능 중심의 신뢰도 예측을 위해 4-단계 모델링 절차(four-phase modeling procedure)를 제안하였다. 제안되는 모델링 방법론은 네 개의 모델로 구성된다; 1) 구조적 블록 모델(structure block model), 2) 기능 블록 모델 (function block model), 3) 장치 모델 (device model), 그리고 4) 신뢰성 예측 모델 (reliability prediction model). 본 논문에서는 제안하는 모델링 방법론을 이용하여 전자식 안정기에 대한 기능 중심의 신뢰도 예측을 수행하였으며, 하드웨어의 신뢰도를 결정하기 위해 신뢰도 예측 규격 중 하나인 MIL-HDBK-217F를 이용하였다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제40권5호
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• pp.375-386
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• 2008

Conventional static reliability analysis methods are inadequate for modeling dynamic interactions between components of a system. Various techniques such as dynamic fault tree, dynamic Bayesian networks, and dynamic reliability block diagrams have been proposed for modeling dynamic systems based on improvement of the conventional modeling methods. In this paper, we review these methods briefly and introduce dynamic nodes to the existing reliability graph with general gates (RGGG) as an intuitive modeling method to model dynamic systems. For a quantitative analysis, we use a discrete-time method to convert an RGGG to an equivalent Bayesian network and develop a software tool for generation of probability tables.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제48권2호
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• pp.386-403
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• 2016

The safety of nuclear power plants is analyzed by a probabilistic risk assessment, and the fault tree analysis is the most widely used method for a risk assessment with the event tree analysis. One of the well-known disadvantages of the fault tree is that drawing a fault tree for a complex system is a very cumbersome task. Thus, several graphical modeling methods have been proposed for the convenient and intuitive modeling of complex systems. In this paper, the reliability graph with general gates (RGGG) method, one of the intuitive graphical modeling methods based on Bayesian networks, is improved for the reliability analyses of dynamic systems that have various operation modes with time. A reliability matrix is proposed and it is explained how to utilize the reliability matrix in the RGGG for various cases of operation mode changes. The proposed RGGG with a reliability matrix provides a convenient and intuitive modeling of various operation modes of complex systems, and can also be utilized with dynamic nodes that analyze the failure sequences of subcomponents. The combinatorial use of a reliability matrix with dynamic nodes is illustrated through an application to a shutdown cooling system in a nuclear power plant.

• 한국컴퓨터산업학회논문지
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• 제3권7호
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• pp.837-844
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• 2002

소프트웨어 개발 과정에서 시스템 내에 잔존하는 결함을 발견하거나 수정하기 위해 테스트를 실시한다. 테스트 단계에서 결함을 발견하고 소프트웨어 신뢰성을 평가할 수 있다. 수리적으로 신뢰성을 평가할 수 있는 모델이 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장 모델이다. 이 모델의 대부분은 결함의 형태가 하나이고 결함율은 일정하다라는 가정에서 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 테스트 단계에서 발견되는 결함이 일정하지 않다라는 관점에서 새로운 모델을 제안하고 결함 데이터를 적용해보았다. 또한 기존의 모델과 비교 및 분석하여 타당성을 증명하였다.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.49-60
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• 2011

The geometric process (GP) has been widely used for modeling failure and repair time sequences of repairable systems. The GP is mathematically tractable but restrictive in reliability applications since it actually assumes that the mean function of inter-failure times sequence asymptotically decreases to zero; and the mean function of successive repair times sequence asymptotically increases to infinity. This is generally unrealistic from an engineering perspective. This paper presents three extended GP models for modeling reliability deterioration and improvement (or growth) process. The extensions maintain the advantage of mathematical tractability of GP model. Their usefulness and appropriateness are illustrated with three real-world examples.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.811-827
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• 2015

This paper presents a probabilistic investigation of American and European specifications (i.e., AISC and Eurocode 4) for square concrete-filled steel tubular (CFT) stub columns. The study is based on experimental results of 100 axially loaded square CFT stub columns from the literature. By comparing experimental results for ultimate loads with code-predicted column resistances, the uncertainty of resistance models is analyzed and it is found that the modeling uncertainty parameter can be described using random variables of lognormal distribution. Reliability analyses were then performed with/without considering the modeling uncertainty parameter and the safety level of the specifications is evaluated in terms of sufficient and uniform reliability criteria. Results show that: (1) The AISC design code provided slightly conservative results of square CFT stub columns with reliability indices larger than 3.25 and the uniformness of reliability indices is no better because of the quality of the resistance model; (2) The uniformness of reliability indices for the Eurocode 4 was better than that of AISC, but the reliability indices of columns designed following the Eurocode 4 were found to be quite below the target reliability level of Eurocode 4.