• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.27-39
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• 2013

In this article, a new model based on the Rayleigh distribution is introduced. This model is useful and practical in physics, reliability, and life testing. The statistical and reliability properties of this model are presented, including moments, the hazard rate, the reversed hazard rate, and mean residual life functions, among others. In addition, it is shown that the distributions of the new model are ordered regarding the strongest likelihood ratio ordering. Four estimating methods, namely, method of moment, maximum likelihood method, Bayes estimation, and uniformly minimum variance unbiased, are used to estimate the parameters of this model. Simulation is used to calculate the estimates and to study their properties. Finally, the appropriateness of this model for real data sets is shown by using the chi-square goodness of fit test and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic.

• 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국콘크리트학회 1998년도 봄 학술발표회논문집(II)
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• pp.447-454
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• 1998

The main object of the study is that axial force-moment relationships for high strength concrete structures using reliability theory(Linear statstical method, Monte Carlo Simulation) including probability conception. And mean stress factors and centroid factors proposed to high strength concrete structures using reliability theory(Linear statstical method, Monte Carlo Simulation). Finally, The established experimental data for axial force-moment relationships are compared to the analytical data(data for Linear statstical method and Monte Carlo Simulation) for axial force-moment relationships in this analytical method.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제21권6호
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• pp.74-81
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• 2006

Probabilistic Risk Assessment considering statistically random variables is performed for the preliminary design of a Arch Bridge. Component reliabilities of girders have been evaluated using the response surfaces of the design variables at the selected critical sections based on the maximum shear and negative moment locations. Response Surface Method(RSM) is successfully applied for reliability analyses for this relatively small probability of failure of the complex structure, which is hard to be obtained by Monte-Carlo Simulations or by First Order Second Moment Method that can not easily calculate the derivative terms of implicit limit state functions. For the analysis of system reliability, parallel resistance system composed of girders is changed into parallel series connection system. The upper and lower probabilities of failure for the structural system have been evaluated and compared with the suggested prediction method for the combination of failure modes. The suggested prediction method for the combination of failure modes reveals the unexpected combinations of element failures in significantly reduced time and efforts compared with the previous permutation method or system reliability analysis method.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 2007년도 정기 학술대회 논문집
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• pp.295-300
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• 2007

Probabilistic Risk Assessment considering statistically random variables is performed for the preliminary design of a Arch Bridge. Component reliabilities of girders have been evaluated using the response surfaces of the design variables at the selected critical sections based on the maximum shear and negative moment locations. Response Surface Method (RSM) is successfully applied for reliability analyses for this relatively small probability of failure of the complex structure, which is hard to be obtained by Monte-Carlo Simulations or by First Order Second Moment Method that can not easily calculate the derivative terms of implicit limit state functions. For the analysis of system reliability, parallel resistance system composed of girders is changed into parallel series connection system. The upper and lower probabilities of failure for the structural system have been evaluated and compared with the suggested prediction method for the combination of failure modes. The suggested prediction method for the combination of failure modes reveals the unexpected combinations of element failures in significant]y reduced time and efforts compared with the previous permutation method or system reliability analysis method.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제31권4호
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• pp.226-238
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• 2003

Recently, The problems with which our country's company is confronted for business of manufacturing goods. This study set the hypothesis to develop the method that was analysis and application of A reliability evaluation method of environmental material for circuit components in Computer, Color TV, Monitor, Microwave oven, Electric Refrigerator, Automobile parts, other goods. Especially, this study emphasis on regulate export of the EU and North America that it's a environmental material's hazards problem. In this process, this study set the pattern of practical application. Therefore, this study emphasis on the application of A reliability evaluation method of environmental material and the use of other parameters by environmental reliability test data. The result of this study is as follows. 1) There is relationship between regulate material and technical protecting system. 2) Characteristics of hazard materials is operating a healthcare damage factor as well as regulate environmental factors.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제21권3호
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• pp.94-100
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• 2006

The goal of this study is to show the way to increase the safety of deteriorated PSC beam bridges by the to-box reinforcing method. This method is to change the open girder section into the closed box section by connecting bottom flanges of neighboring PSC girders with the precast panels embedding PS tendons at the anchor block. The box section is composed of three concrete members with different casting ages, RC slab, PSC beam, precast panel. This different aging requires a time-dependent analysis considering construction sequences. Reliability index and failure probability are produced by the AFOSM reliability analysis. Transversely five schemes and longitudinally two schemes are considered. The full reinforcing scheme, transversely and longitudinally, shows the highest reliability index, but it requires more cost for retrofit. The partial reinforcing scheme 4, 4-1 are recommended in this study as the economically best scheme.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제48권10호
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• pp.1198-1205
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• 1999

This study is focused on the reliability evaluation for distribution system based on deterministic evaluation technique. Average failure rates, average outage time, and average annual outage time of electrical parts and load points are calculated through network reduction method and failure mode & effective analysis method. And reliability indices of distribution system are calculated. Finally, by employing analytic hierarchy process method, unique index which evaluates and improves the distribution system is calculated. As a result, finding weak points and expansion schedule of the system is possible. The usefulness of this method is verified by applying it to the Inchon International Airport.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.18-24
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• 1982

This paper estimates the reliability & mean time to failure (MTIF) of a cyclic or acyclic network system by the Monte-Carlo simulation method. Estimates of MTTF and Reliability become difficult as the complexity of a system increases. The method in this paper finds all simple paths from the given network, and then simulates the reliability of the required time and MTFF by using these paths. Life-times of the components in a network follow some probability distributions (Exponential, Weibull, Normal, Lognormal, etc.). The method, written in Level II. Basic Language, is validated for some simple examples and then estimates the reliability and MTFF of some cyclic network system.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제42권2호
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• pp.28-35
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• 2019

Since guided missiles with the characteristics of the one-shot system remain stored throughout their entire life cycle, it is important to maintain their storage reliability until the launch. As part of maintaining storage reliability, period of preventive test is set up to perform preventive periodic test, in this case failure detection rate has a great effect on setting up period of preventive test to maintain storage reliability. The proposed method utilizes failure rate predicted by the software on the basis of MIL-HDBK-217F and failure mode analyzed through FMEA (Failure Mode and Effect Analysis) using data generated from the actual field. The failure detection rate of using the proposed method is applied to set periodic test of the actual guided missile. The proposed method in this paper has advantages in accuracy and objectivity because it utilizes a large amount of data generated in the actual field.

• 전산구조공학
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.97-108
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• 1992

이 논문에서는 구조시스템신뢰성해석에 있어서 부재의 파괴후 잔류강도의 불확실성을 고려하였다. 이를 위하여 확율유한요소법(Stochastic Finite Element Method: SFEM)을 시스템신뢰성해석과정에 접합하였다. 확율유한요소법은 신뢰성해석시 재료와 기하학적 변수의 불확실성을 좀더 함축적으로 고려할 수 있는 것으로 알려져 있으며, 본 논문에서 이 방법을 구조부재와 구조시스템의 신뢰성해석에 적용해 보았다. 이 논문의 방법과 파괴된 부재의 잔류응력을 확정적으로 취급하는 방법과 그 결과를 비교하였으며, 부재가 파괴된 후 그 잔류강도의 불확실성이 구조시스템 신뢰성에 주는 영향을 보기위해 여러 경우를 고찰해 보았다. 그 결과로부터 부재의 파괴 후 잔류강도가 구조시스템신뢰성에 대단히 큰 영향을 준다는 것을 다시 확인할 수 있었다. 이 논문의 여러경우에 대한 연구로 부터 좀 더 나은 구조시스템신뢰성의 평가를 위해서 부재의 파괴후 거동이 갖는 불확실성을 구조시스템신뢰성해석시, 특히 부재의 파괴후 거동이 semi-brittle인 경우에, 고려해야 한다는 결론을 내릴 수 있겠다. 이점을 받아들인다면 확율유한요소법이 구조시스템신뢰성해석에 있어서 적합한 방법일 것이다.