• 제목/요약/키워드: Reliability Bound

검색결과 85건 처리시간 0.024초

Dominant failure modes identification and structural system reliability analysis for a long-span arch bridge

  • Gao, Xin;Li, Shunlong
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제63권6호
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    • pp.799-808
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    • 2017
  • Failure of a redundant long-span bridge is often described by innumerable failure modes, which make the structural system reliability analysis become a computationally intractable work. In this paper, an innovative procedure is proposed to efficiently identify the dominant failure modes and quantify the structural reliability for a long-span bridge system. The procedure is programmed by ANSYS and MATLAB. Considering the correlation between failure paths, a new branch and bound operation criteria is applied to the traditional stage critical strength branch and bound algorithm. Computational effort can be saved by ignoring the redundant failure paths as early as possible. The reliability of dominant failure mode is computed by FORM, since the limit state function of failure mode can be expressed by the final stage critical strength. PNET method and FORM for system are suggested to be the suitable calculation method for the bridge system reliability. By applying the procedure to a CFST arch bridge, the proposed method is demonstrated suitable to the system reliability analysis for long-span bridge structure.

Application of Chernoff bound to passive system reliability evaluation for probabilistic safety assessment of nuclear power plants

  • So, Eunseo;Kim, Man Cheol
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권8호
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    • pp.2915-2923
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    • 2022
  • There is an increasing interest in passive safety systems to minimize the need for operator intervention or external power sources in nuclear power plants. Because a passive system has a weak driving force, there is greater uncertainty in the performance compared with an active system. In previous studies, several methods have been suggested to evaluate passive system reliability, and many of them estimated the failure probability using thermal-hydraulic analyses and the Monte Carlo method. However, if the functional failure of a passive system is rare, it is difficult to estimate the failure probability using conventional methods owing to their high computational time. In this paper, a procedure for the application of the Chernoff bound to the evaluation of passive system reliability is proposed. A feasibility study of the procedure was conducted on a passive decay heat removal system of a micro modular reactor in its conceptual design phase, and it was demonstrated that the passive system reliability can be evaluated without performing a large number of thermal-hydraulic analyses or Monte Carlo simulations when the system has a small failure probability. Accordingly, the advantages and constraints of applying the Chernoff bound for passive system reliability evaluation are discussed in this paper.

통신망의 신뢰도 근사해석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Approximating Reliability Analysis of communication Networks)

  • 유재영;오영환
    • 한국통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통신학회 1991년도 추계종합학술발표회논문집
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    • pp.145-149
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    • 1991
  • In this paper, an algorithm is proposed to analyze the approximating reliability of the capacity considered communication networks. In the case ofthe former methods to evaluate the source-to-termianl node reliability, it is very difficult to contract and delete the jointed terms in the simple path group. Therefore, the reliability bounds are used and compared to the exact reliability by TURBO PROLOG, the natural lanquage of artficial intelligence. In the reliability bounds, the upper bound used the valid cutset that isthe group of simple path and the lower bound used the minimal cutset by complement operation and the esact reiability is compared to this reliability bounds.

Some Lower Bound of Cramer-Rao type for Median-Unbiased Estimates

  • So, Beong-Soo
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.205-213
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    • 1994
  • We construct a new lower bound of Cramer-Rao type for the median-unbiased estimator in the presence a nuisance parameter. We also identify useful necessary and sufficient conditions for the attainability of the lower bound. Some applications including the analysis of censored reliability data are considered as examples.

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SCI에 근거한 ICR 네트워크의 신뢰도와 비교 (The Reliability and Comparison of ICR Network Based on SCI)

  • 김동철
    • 디지털콘텐츠학회 논문지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2005
  • 논문은 IEEE 표준인 SCI(Scalable Coherent Interface)에 근거한 degree 2의 ICR(Interleaved Cyclic Ring) 네트워크의 신뢰도를 연구하였고 대표적인 링 네트워크들과 비교하였다. ICR 네트워크의 신뢰도 연구에 있어서 두 노드가 동시에 통신 할 수 있는 신뢰도를 계산하였다. ICR 네트워크의 신뢰도 연구에서 실패율(failure rate)의 변화에 신뢰도의 반응을 연구하였고 적은 노드에 대하여 정확한 신뢰도를 구하고 노드 수가 증가한 경우에는 최대 최소 경계를 계산하여 평균치 일반식을 구하였다. ICR 네트워크의 사이클의 변화에 따라 ICR 네트워크의 신뢰도를 다른 링 네트워크와 비교하였다.

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선체 중앙 횡단면의 시스템 신뢰성해석 (System Reliability Analysis of Midship Sections)

  • 양영순;서용석
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 1993
  • 본 연구에서는 구조물의 안전성을 평가하는 방법으로써 구조시스템 신뢰성 해석방법을 살펴보고 소성설계 관점에서 선체중앙단면의 안전성을 평가하고자 한다 이를 위해 소성붕괴모드는 가상하중법과 하중증분법을 이용한 탄소성 구조해석법으로 구하고, 확률론적으로 중요한 붕괴모드는 branch and bound 방법을 변형하여 소성붕괴모드를 형성하는 마지막 소성힌지단계에서 branching하는 방법을 적용하여 붕괴모드가 반복 생산되는 문제를 개선하였다. 이렇게 구한 붕괴모드를 이용하여 1,2차 bound방법으로 선체횡단면의 시스템 신뢰도 및 시스템 파괴확률을 구하고 본 연구에서 제시한 방법의 유효성을 붕괴하중 계수방법과 비교 검토하였다.

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Analysis of Structural Reliability under Model and Statistical Uncertainties: a Bayesian Approach

  • Kiureghian, Armen-Der
    • Computational Structural Engineering : An International Journal
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2001
  • A framework for reliability analysis of structural components and systems under conditions of statistical and model uncertainty is presented. The Bayesian parameter estimation method is used to derive the posterior distribution of model parameters reflecting epistemic uncertainties. Point, predictive and bound estimates of reliability accounting for parameter uncertainties are derived. The bounds estimates explicitly reflect the effect of epistemic uncertainties on the reliability measure. These developments are enhance-ments of second-moment uncertainty analysis methods developed by A. H-S. Ang and others three decades ago.

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와이블과정을 응용한 신뢰성 성장 모형에서의 MTBF 추정$^+$ (MTBF Estimator in Reliability Growth Model with Application to Weibull Process)

  • 이현우;김재주;박성현
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.71-81
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    • 1998
  • In reliability analysis, the time difference between the expected next failure time and the current failure time or the Mean Time Between Failure(MTBF) is of significant interest. Until recently, in reliability growth studies, the reciprocal of the intensity function at current failure time has been used as being equal to MTBE($t_n$)at the n-th failure time $t_n$. That is MTBF($t_n$)=l/$\lambda (t_n)$. However, such a relationship is only true for Homogeneous Poisson Process(HPP). Tsokos(1995) obtained the upper bound and lower bound for the MTBF($t_n$) and proposed an estimator for the MTBF($t_n$) as the mean of the two bounds. In this paper, we provide the estimator for the MTBF($t_n$) which does not depend on the value of the shape parameter. The result of the Monte Carlo simulation shows that the proposed estimator has better efficiency than Tsokos's estimator.

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임상판단 평가도구의 신뢰도 및 타당도 검증 (The Reliability and Validity of the Lasater Clinical Judgement Rubric in Korean Nursing Students)

  • 심가가;신현숙
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.160-167
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study was done to evaluate the Lasater Clinical Judgement Rubric for use with Korean nursing students. Methods: A methodological study was used to validate the rubric developed by Lasater to assess clinical judgment during nursing simulation. Participants were 34 nursing students at K University in Seoul. Between February and May, 2012, analysis was done of 91 video clips recording performance during simulation. Results: Findings showed reliability and validity of the rubric. For internal consistency, Cronbach's ${\alpha}$ score was .884 and intraclass correlation coefficient was .839, which established reliability. The rubric was validated using the exploratory factor analysis and content validity. The content validity score was 83%, establishing the appropriateness and readiness of the tool. Factor analysis showed that noticing, responding, and reflecting domains had Eigen values of 2.669, 1.991, and 2.912, respectively and were bound, but unlike the original tool in which four factors noticing, interpretation, responding, and reflecting domains were bound. Conclusion: Results of the study indicate that the rubric shows acceptable reliability and validity in Korean nursing students. This evaluation tool for nursing simulation allows nursing faculty to objectively evaluate students' clinical judgment as well as students to reflect on their clinical judgment process during simulation.

수술 후 재활 사례에 적용한 임상 판단력 평가도구의 신뢰도 및 타당도 (Reliability and Validity of the Clinical Judgment Rubric on Simulation Practice with a Post-operative Rehabilitation Case)

  • 오혜경
    • 재활간호학회지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the reliability and validity of the clinical judgement rubric on simulation practice with a post-operative rehabilitation case. Methods: Methodological study design was used to evaluate the reliability and validity of the clinical judgement rubric on simulation practice. The participants were 35 students in a college of nursing. Results: There were showed reliability and validity of the clinical judgement rubric on simulation practice with a post-operative rehabilitation case. In terms of internal consistency, the Cronbach's ${\alpha}$ for all columns was .821. Factor analysis showed that planning, intervention and evaluation domains with Eigen values of 69.87% were bound, unlike the original tool where four factors including noticing, interpretation, responding and reflecting domains were bound. Convergent validity was established by the correlation between the total clinical judgement score and critical thinking disposition before and after simulation practice. Discriminative validity was established by the correlation between the total clinical judgement score and simulation effectiveness score. Conclusion: The findings of this study suggested that clinical judgement rubric on simulation practice is reliable. Repeated studies are needed to objectively evaluate the clinical judgement rubric of simulation practice for applying various clinical situations.