• Title/Summary/Keyword: Relative Uncertainty

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Standard Measurement Procedure for Soil Radon Exhalation Rate and Its Uncertainty

  • Seo, Jihye;Nirwono, Muttaqin Margo;Park, Seong Jin;Lee, Sang Hoon
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2018
  • Background: Radon contributing about 42% of annual average dose, mainly comes from soil. In this paper, standard measurement procedures for soil radon exhalation rate are suggested and their measurement uncertainties are analyzed. Materials and Methods: We used accumulation method for estimating surface exhalation rate. The closed-loop measurement system was made up with a RAD7 detector and a surface chamber. Radon activity concentrations in the system were observed as a function of time, with data collection of 5 and 15-minute and the measurement time of 4 hours. Linear and exponential fittings were used to obtain radon exhalation rates from observed data. Standard deviations of measurement uncertainties for two approaches were estimated using usual propagation rules. Results and Discussion: The exhalation rates (E) from linear approach, with 30 minutes measurement time were $44.8-48.6mBq{\cdot}m^{-2} {\cdot}s^{-1}$ or $2.14-2.32atom{\cdot}cm^{-2}{\cdot}s^{-1}$ with relative measurement uncertainty of about 10%. The contributions of fitting parameter A, volume (V) and surface (S) to the estimated measurement uncertainty of E were 59.8%, 30.1% and 10.1%, in average respectively. In exponential fitting, at 3-hour measurement we had E ranged of $51.6-69.2mBq{\cdot}m^{-2} {\cdot}s^{-1}$ or $2.46-3.30atom{\cdot}cm^{-2}{\cdot}s^{-1}$ with about 15% relative uncertainty. Fitting with 4-hour measurement resulted E about $51.3-68.2mBq{\cdot}m^{-2} {\cdot}s^{-1}$ or $2.45-3.25atom{\cdot}cm^{-2}{\cdot}s^{-1}$ with 10% relative uncertainty. The uncertainty contributions in exponential approach were 75.1%, 13.4%, 8.7%, and 2.9% for total decay constant k, fitting parameter B, V, and S, respectively. Conclusion: In obtaining exhalation rates, the linear approach is easy to apply, but by saturation feature of radon concentrations, the slope tends to decrease away from the expected slope for extended measurement time. For linear approach, measurement time of 1-hour or less was suggested. For exponential approach, the obtained exhalation rates showed similar values for any measurement time, but measurement time of 3-hour or more was suggested for about 10% relative uncertainty.

A study on quality assurance and evaluation of uncertainty for the analysis of natural gas (천연가스 분석의 불확도 평가 및 품질 보증을 위한 연구)

  • Woo, Jin-Chun;Kim, Young-Doo;Bae, Hyun-Kil;Lee, Kang-Jin;Her, Jae-Young
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.490-497
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    • 2006
  • The sources of uncertainty in the analysis of liquified natural gas (LNG) process are evaluated. The uncertainty sources evaluated are the repeatability of measurement, non-linearity of GC, the uncertainty of standard gas used for calibration, difference of gas sampling and deviation after GC calibration and major revealed sources are the non-linearity of GC, the uncertainty of standard gas and the deviation after GC calibration. The determined values and uncertainties of methane and ethane as the major components are $90.0%mol/mol{\pm}1.9%$ (relative and 95% level of confidence) and $6.26%mol/mol{\pm}0.08$ (relative and 95% level of confidence), respectively. The contribution of uncertainty varies depending on the source of uncertainty and gas component. In the case of methane, non-linearity of GC, the uncertainty of standard gas and deviation after GC calibration contribute 0.28%, 0.25% and 0.24% of relative expanded uncertainty, respectively.

A Study on the Treatment of Uncertainty in Linear Regression Method for Chemical Analysis (회귀식 사용에 따른 화학 분석 과정의 불확도 처리 연구)

  • Woo, Jin-Chun;Suh, JungKee;Lim, MyungChul;Park, MinSu
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.185-190
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    • 2003
  • We applied modified least square method (MLS) and ordinary least square method (OLS) to 1st order equation for the comparison of the uncertainties calculated by these methods. The uncertainty calculated by OLS covered statistically safe interval because it was over-estimated in many cases of measurement and concentration level. But, if the uncertainty of the concentration as a reference value was comparably large (about 5% of the relative standard deviation of random scattering from the regression line and about 7% of relative standard uncertainty of reference values), then uncertainty calculated by OLS was seriously under-estimated at high concentration level. It was revealed that the calculated uncertainty didn't cover statistically safe interval at the stated confidence level. It was found that the method, MLS, described in the previously article would be valid for this calculation of uncertainty.

Long Term Stability of Uncertainty Analysis of Light Oil Elow Standard System (장기 안정성을 고려한 경질유 유량표준장치 불확도 평가)

  • Lim, Ki-Won;Choi, Jong-Oh
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.29 no.10 s.241
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    • pp.1130-1138
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    • 2005
  • A national standard system for the petroleum field has been developed to calibrate and test the oil flow meters in Korea. The operating system and the uncertainty of the system were evaluated by the peer reviewers of foreign national metrology institutes in 2002. Since the characteristics of the system might be changed by time, the uncertainty of the system is reevaluated with the consideration of the long term stability of the system. It is found that the system has a relative expanded uncertainty of 0.048 $\%$ in the range of $15\~120\;m^3/h$. According to the uncertainty budget, the uncertainties of the fluid density and the final mass measurement, which are temperature dependent, contribute about $94\%$ of the total uncertainty in the oil flow standard system

2 kNm Deadweight Torque Standard Machine in KRISS (한국표준과학연구원의 실하중 토크 표준기)

  • 김민석;박연규;김종호;강대임
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.656-659
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    • 2004
  • As the demand for traceable calibrations of torque measuring devices has considerably increased both in the production sector and in research institutes, suitable standard machines had to be developed at the Korea Research Institute of Standards and Science. Owing to its special design, the small uncertainty of measurement required for the realization of the static torque can be reached (relative uncertainty of measurement < 5$\times$10$^{-5}$ in the measurement range between 500 and 2000 Nm, and < 1$\times$10$^{-4}$ in the measurement range from 10 to 500 Nm). The relative discrepancy between our torque calibration results of 2 kNm and PTB s (Physikalisch Technische Bundesanstalt, Germany) results was less than 2$\times$10$^{-5}$ , which confirming our uncertainty estimation.

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Effect of Motivation Type and Reward Uncertainty on Consumers' Marketing Promotion Participation

  • Zhang, Yan-Jie;Lee, Youseok;Kim, Sang-Hoon
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.45-74
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    • 2017
  • The current research proposes to fill a research gap by testing how reward uncertainty, different types of motivation, as well as individual risk-taking attitude affect consumers' promotion participation. Being offered with an uncertain reward, relative to individuals with extrinsic motivation, individuals with intrinsic motivation will have greater intention to participate in marketing promotion. In contrast, being offered with a certain reward, relative to individuals with intrinsic motivation, individuals with extrinsic motivation will have greater intention to participate in marketing promotion. This effect arises only among consumers having a low level of risk-taking attitude. For consumers having a high level of risk-taking attitude, their participation intention shows no significant difference between the two motivation type groups, under both certain and uncertain reward conditions. With an understanding of how consumer's response heterogeneously to promotions involving rewards, marketers can better understand not only how to use this promotional tactic more effectively, but also how to better allocate their budget for promotions.

Evaluating the contribution of calculation components to the uncertainty of standardized precipitation index using a linear mixed model (선형혼합모형을 활용한 표준강수지수 계산 인자들의 불확실성에 대한 기여도 평가)

  • Shin, Ji Yae;Lee, Baesung;Yoon, Hyeon-Cheol;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.8
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    • pp.509-520
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    • 2023
  • Various drought indices are widely used for assessing drought conditions which are affected by many factors such as precipitation, soil moisture, and runoff. The values of drought indices varies depending on hydro-meteorological data and calculation formulas, and the judgment of the drought condition may also vary. This study selected four calculation components such as precipitation data length, accumulation period, probability distribution function, and parameter estimation method as the sources of uncertainty in the calculation of standardized precipitation index (SPI), and evaluated their contributions to the uncertainty using root mean square error (RMSE) and linear mixed model (LMM). The RMSE estimated the overall errors in the SPI calculation, and the LMM was used to quantify the uncertainty contribution of each factor. The results showed that as the accumulation period increased and the data period extended, the RMSEs decreased. The comparison of relative uncertainty using LMM indicated that the sample size had the greatest impact on the SPI calculation. In addition, as sample size increased, the relative uncertainty related to the sample size used for SPI calculation decreased and the relative uncertainty associated with accumulation period and parameter estimation increased. In conclusion, to reduce the uncertainty in the SPI calculation, it is essential to collect long-term data first, followed by the appropriate selection of probability distribution models and parameter estimation methods that represent well the data characteristics.

Measurement Uncertainty for Analytical Method of Hyaluronic Acid Used as a Dietary Supplement (식이보충제로 사용되는 히알루론산의 분석법에 대한 불확도 산정)

  • Park, Sang-Wook;Kim, Hyung Bum;Kim, Kwang Joon;Lee, Wonjae
    • KSBB Journal
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.54-62
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    • 2017
  • This study aimed to estimate the measurement uncertainty related to determination of hyaluronic acid used as a dietary supplement by high-performance liquid chromatography. According to the guidelines of the Association of Official Analytical Chemists, the analytical processes for determination of hyaluronic acid were performed. And the measurement uncertainty obtained during the analytical processes were expressed in accordance with mathematical/ statistical guidances of GUM (Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement) & EURACHEM (Focus for Analytical Chemistry in Europe) for the analytical operations. For the uncertainty in measurement produced based on this analytical method, the expanded uncertainty was calculated by using the relative standard uncertainty between analytical results and sources of uncertainty in measurement (sample weight, final volume, extraction volume, standard solution, matrix and instrument etc). In the results of 95% confidence interval, it was calculated that the uncertainty in measurement was $57.75{\pm}8.76{\mu}g/kg$ (k=2.0). Therefore, it showed that the measurement uncertainty obtained by this analytical method influences on 15.2% of the contents of hyaluronic acid as the analytical results.

The Connectedness between Categorical Policy Uncertainty Indexes and Volatility Index in Korea, Japan and the US (한국, 일본, 미국의 정책별 불확실성 지수와 변동성지수 간의 연계성)

  • Hangyong Lee; Sea-Gan Oh
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.319-330
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to examine the connectedness between categorical economic policy uncertainty (monetary, fiscal, trade and foreign exchange policy uncertainty) indexes and option-implied volatility index in Korea, Japan and the US. Design/methodology/approach - This paper employs the Diebold-Ylmaz (2012) model based on a VAR and generalized forecast error variance decomposition. This paper also conducts regression analyses to investigate whether the volatility indexes are explained by categorical policy uncertainty indexes. Findings - First, we find the total connectedness is stronger in Korea and Japan relative to the US. Second, monetary, fiscal, and foreign exchange policy uncertainty indexes are connected to each other but trade policy uncertainty index is not. Third, the volatility index in Japan and the US is mainly associated with monetary policy uncertainty while the volatility index in Korea is explained by fiscal policy uncertainty index. Research implications or Originality - To our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the connectedness among categorical policy uncertainty indexes and the volatility index in Korea, Japan, and the US. The empirical results on the connectedness suggest that transparent policy and communication with the market in one type of policy would reduce the uncertainty in other policies.

Development of Calibration System for Multi-Axis Force/Moment Sensor and Its Uncertainty Evaluation (다축 힘/모멘트 센서 교정기의 개발 및 그의 불확도 평가)

  • Kim, Gab-Soon;Yoon, Jung-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.24 no.10
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2007
  • This paper describes the development of the calibration system for a multi-axis force/moment sensor and its uncertainty evaluation. This calibration system can generate the continuous forces (${\pm}Fx,\;{\pm}Fy$ and ${\pm}Fz$) and moments (${\pm}Mx,\;{\pm}My$ and ${\pm}Mz$). Many kinds of multi-axis force/moment sensors in industries should be carried out the characteristic test or the calibration with the calibration system that can generate the forces and the moments. The calibration systems have been already developed are the disadvantages of the low capacity, the generation of step forces(10N, 20N ...) and step moments(1Nm, 2Nm ...) with weights, the high coasts in manufacture and so on. In this paper, the calibration system for a multi-axis force/moment sensor that can generate the continuous three forces and three moments was developed. Their ranges are $0{\sim}2000N$ in all force-directions and $0{\sim}400Nm$ in all moment-directions. And the system was evaluated in the expanded relative uncertainty. They were ${\pm}0.0004$ in all forces ${\pm}Fx,\;{\pm}Fy$ and ${\pm}Fz$, and ${\pm}0.0004$ in all moments ${\pm}Mx,\;{\pm}My$ and ${\pm}Mz$.