• Title/Summary/Keyword: Recurrence Prediction

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Complex segregation analysis

  • Shin, Han-Poong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.103-115
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    • 1974
  • During the last few years there has been an interest in models for qualitative attributes, where complex signifies that affection may be caused in two or more ways [1-3]. These models have in common the prediction of variable recurrence risks among families with given parental phenotpes. Segregation analysis has covered only a few cases [4,5]. The present paper extends segregation analysis to three complex models under two mode of ascertainment.

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Clinicopathologic Risk Factors of Hepatic Recurrence after Curative Resection for Gastric Cancer (위암의 근치적 절제술 후 간재발의 임상병리학적 위험인자)

  • Hwang, Jeong-Hwan;Kim, Chan-Young;Kim, Jong-Hun;Hwang, Yong;Yang, Doo-Hyun
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • v.5 no.4 s.20
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    • pp.266-272
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    • 2005
  • Purpose: Recurrence occurs in various forms and in different organs after a curative resection of gastric cancer. The most common location for hematogenous recurrence is the liver. The aim of this study was to evaluate the clinicopathological risk factors associated with hepatic recurrence after surgical treatment of gastric cancer. Materials and Methods: We reviewed the medical records of 838 patients who had taken radical surgery for primary gastric cancers at Chonbuk National University Hospital between January 1992 and December 1999. According to the medical records, we retrospectively investigated the association between the clinicopathologic variables and hepatic recurence. Results: Recurrence of gastric cancer was documented in 201 out of the 838 patients (23.98%). Hepatic recurrences were found in 59 out of 201 patients (29.35%). Multiple logistic regression analysis identified the following as independent risk factors of hepatic recurrence: Lauren's Intestinal type (OR, 6.60; 95% Cl, 1.53 to 28.9; p=0.011) and proximal resection of margin below 6 cm (OR, 3.76; 95% Cl, 1.03 to 13.67; P=0.045). Conclusion: Various studies on clinocopathologic risk factors of liver recurrence with molecular biologic research should make possible the prediction of recurrence and help high-risk patients to find appropriate management.

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Thermal Stress Analysis for Life Prediction of Power Plant Turbine Rotor (발전용 터빈 로우터의 수명예측을 위한 열응력 해석)

  • 임종순;허승진;이규봉;유영면
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.276-287
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    • 1990
  • In this paper research result of transient thermal stress analysis of power plant turbine rotors for life prediction under severs operating conditions is presented. Galerkin's recurrence scheme is used for numerical solution of discretized FEM equation of transient heat conduction equation. Boundary conditions for the equation and operating conditions are intensively investigated for accurate life prediction of turbine rotors in operation. A computer program for on-site application is developed and tested. Distribution of thermal stress in turbine rotors during various operating condition is analyzed with the program and it is found that the peak thermal stress appears during cold stage conditions at the first stage of high pressure rotors.

Clinical Application of F-18 FDG PET (PET/CT) in Colo-rectal and Anal Cancer (대장-직장 및 항문암에서 F-18 FDG PET (PET/CT)의 임상 이용)

  • Kim, Byung-Il
    • Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging
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    • v.42 no.sup1
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    • pp.52-59
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    • 2008
  • In the management of colo-retal and anal cancer, accurate staging, treatment evaluation, early detection of recurrence are main clinical problems. F-18 FDG PET (PET/CT) has been reported as useful in the management of colo-rectal and anal cancer because that PET has high diagnostic performance comparing to conventional studies. In case of liver metastases, for confirmation of no extrahepatic metastases, in case of high risk of metastasis, for avoiding unnecessary operation, PET (PET/CT) is expected more useful. In anal cancer, PET is expected useful in lymph node staging. For the early prediction of chemotherapy or radiation therapy effect PET has been reported as useful, also. In early detection of recurrence by PET, cost-benefit advantages has been suggested, also. PET/CT is expected to have higher diagnostic performance than PET alone.

The Significance of Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen in Lung Adenocarcinoma

  • Kim, Jae Jun;Hyun, Kwanyong;Park, Jae Kil;Moon, Seok Whan
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.335-344
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    • 2015
  • Background: A raised carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) may be associated with significant pathology during the postoperative follow-up of lung adenocarcinoma. Methods: We reviewed the medical records of 305 patients who underwent surgical resections for primary lung adenocarcinoma at a single institution between April 2006 and February 2013. Results: Preoperative CEA levels were significantly associated with age, smoking history, pathologic stage including pT (pathologic tumor stge), pN (pathologic nodal stage) and overall pathological stage, tumor size and differentiation, pathologically positive total lymph node, N1 and N2 lymph node, N2 nodal station (0/1/2=1.83/2.94/7.21 ng/mL, p=0.019), and 5-year disease-free survival (0.591 in group with normal preoperative CEA levels vs. 0.40 in group with high preoperative CEA levels, p=0.001). Preoperative CEA levels were significantly higher than postoperative CEA levels (p<0.001, Wilcoxon signed-rank test). Postoperative CEA level was also significantly associated with disease-free survival (p<0.001). A follow-up serum CEA value of >2.57 ng/mL was found to be the appropriate cutoff value for the prediction of cancer recurrence with sensitivity and specificity of 71.4% and 72.3%, respectively. Twenty percent of patients who had recurrence of disease had a CEA level elevated above this cutoff value prior to radiographic evidence of recurrence. Postoperative CEA, pathologic stage, differentiation, vascular invasion, and neoadjuvant therapy were identified as independent predictors of 5-year disease-free survival in a multivariate analysis. Conclusion: The follow-up CEA level can be a useful tool for detecting early recurrence undetected by postoperative imaging studies. The perioperative follow-up CEA levels may be helpful for providing personalized evaluation of lung adenocarcinoma.

Microbiota of Breast Tissue and Its Potential Association with Regional Recurrence of Breast Cancer in Korean Women

  • Kim, Hyo-Eun;Kim, Jongjin;Maeng, Sejung;Oh, Bumjo;Hwang, Ki-Tae;Kim, Bong-Soo
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • v.31 no.12
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    • pp.1643-1655
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    • 2021
  • Recent studies have reported dysbiosis of the microbiome in breast tissue collected from patients with breast cancer and the association between the microbiota and disease progression. However, the role of the microbiota in breast tissue remains unclear, possibly due to the complexity of breast cancer and various factors, including racial and geographical differences, influencing microbiota in breast tissue. Here, to determine the potential role of microbiota in breast tumor tissue, we analyzed 141 tissue samples based on three different tissue types (tumor, adjacent normal, and lymph node tissues) from the same patients with breast cancer in Korea. The microbiota was not simply distinguishable based on tissue types. However, the microbiota could be divided into two cluster types, even within the same tissue type, and the clinicopathologic factors were differently correlated in the two cluster types. Risk of regional recurrence was also significantly different between the microbiota cluster types (p = 0.014). In predicted function analysis, the pentose and glucuronate interconversions were significantly different between the cluster types (q < 0.001), and Enterococcus was the main genus contributing to these differences (q < 0.01). Results showed that the microbiota of breast tissue could interact with the host and influence the risk of regional recurrence. Although further studies would be recommended to validate our results, this study could expand our understanding on the breast tissue microbiota, and the results might be applied to develop novel prediction methods and treatments for patients with breast cancer.

HE4 as a Serum Biomarker for ROMA Prediction and Prognosis of Epithelial Ovarian Cancer

  • Chen, Wen-Ting;Gao, Xiang;Han, Xiao-Dian;Zheng, Hui;Guo, Lin;Lu, Ren-Quan
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.101-105
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    • 2014
  • Background and Purpose: Human epididymis protein 4 (HE4) has been suggested to be a novel biomarker of epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC). The present study aimed to evaluate and compare HE4 with the commonly used marker, carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125), in prediction and therapy-monitoring of EOC. Patients and Methods: Serum HE4 concentrations from 123 ovarian cancer patients and 174 controls were measured by Roche electrochemiluminescent immunoassay (ECLIA). Risk of ovarian malignancy algorithm (ROMA) values were calculated and assessed. In addition, the prospects of HE4 detection for therapy-monitoring were evaluated in EOC patients. Results: The ROMA score could classify patients into high- and low-risk groups with malignancy. Indeed, lower serum HE4 was significantly associated with successful surgical therapy. Specifically, 38 patients with EOC exhibited a greater decline of HE4 compared with CA125. In contrast, elevation of HE4 better predicted recurrence (of 46, 11 patients developed recurrence, and with it increased HE4 serum concentrations) and a poor prognosis than CA125. Conclusions: This study suggests that serum HE4 levels are closely associated with outcome of surgical therapy and disease prognosis in Chinese EOC patients.

Controversies in Usefulness of EEG for Clinical Decision in Epilepsy: Cons. (간질 치료에서 뇌파의 임상적 유용성에 관한 논란: 부정적 관점에서)

  • Lee, Seo-Young;Lee, Sang-Kun;Kim, Nam Hee
    • Annals of Clinical Neurophysiology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2007
  • Electroencephalogram (EEG) is a representative diagnostic tool in epilepsy. However, there are several points of debate on the role of EEG in diagnosis and management of epilepsy. We suggest that EEG has some limitations for differential diagnosis from nonepileptic episodic diseases, classification of epilepsy, prediction of recurrence, and evaluation of treatment response. Interictal EEG cannot diagnose or exclude epilepsy because interictal epileptic discharge (IED) is frequently absent in epilepsy and can appear in nonepileptic conditions. Although EEG is helpful in classification of epilepsy, focal spikes in generalized epilepsy and secondary bilateral synchrony in localization related epilepsy cause interrater disagreement. It is controversial whether EEG predicts recurrence after the first seizure in adults. The predictive value of EEG in antiepileptic drug (AED) withdrawal is not absolute. The prognosis after AED withdrawal depends on epilepsy syndrome. Many studies could not confirm the value of EEG in assessing the treatment response. After all, epilepsy is clinically diagnosed and assessed. Interictal EEG alone does not provide decisive information and routine follow-up of EEG is not recommended.

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Probabilistic Neural Network for Prediction of Leakage in Water Distribution Network (급배수관망 누수예측을 위한 확률신경망)

  • Ha, Sung-Ryong;Ryu, Youn-Hee;Park, Sang-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.799-811
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    • 2006
  • As an alternative measure to replace reactive stance with proactive one, a risk based management scheme has been commonly applied to enhance public satisfaction on water service by providing a higher creditable solution to handle a rehabilitation problem of pipe having high potential risk of leaks. This study intended to examine the feasibility of a simulation model to predict a recurrence probability of pipe leaks. As a branch of the data mining technique, probabilistic neural network (PNN) algorithm was applied to infer the extent of leaking recurrence probability of water network. PNN model could classify the leaking level of each unit segment of the pipe network. Pipe material, diameter, C value, road width, pressure, installation age as input variable and 5 classes by pipe leaking probability as output variable were built in PNN model. The study results indicated that it is important to pay higher attention to the pipe segment with the leak record. By increase the hydraulic pipe pressure to meet the required water demand from each node, simulation results indicated that about 6.9% of total number of pipe would additionally be classified into higher class of recurrence risk than present as the reference year. Consequently, it was convinced that the application of PNN model incorporated with a data base management system of pipe network to manage municipal water distribution network could make a promise to enhance the management efficiency by providing the essential knowledge for decision making rehabilitation of network.

Evaluation of Biochemical Recurrence-free Survival after Radical Prostatectomy by Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment Post-Surgical (CAPRA-S) Score

  • Aktas, Binhan Kagan;Ozden, Cuneyt;Bulut, Suleyman;Tagci, Suleyman;Erbay, Guven;Gokkaya, Cevdet Serkan;Baykam, Mehmet Murat;Memis, Ali
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.2527-2530
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    • 2015
  • Background: The cancer of the prostate risk assessment (CAPRA) score has been defined to predict prostate cancer recurrence based on the pre-clinical data, then pathological data have also been incorporated. Thus, CAPRA post-surgical (CAPRA-S) score has been developed based on six criteria (prostate specific antigen (PSA) at diagnosis, pathological Gleason score, and information on surgical margin, seminal vesicle invasion, extracapsular extension and lymph node involvement) for the prediction of post-surgical recurrences. In the present study, biochemical recurrence (BCR)-free probabilities after open retropubic radical prostatectomy (RP) were evaluated by the CAPRA-S scoring system and its three-risk level model. Materials and Methods: CAPRA-S scores (0-12) of our 240 radical prostatectomies performed between January 2000-May 2011 were calculated. Patients were distributed into CAPRA-S score groups and also into three-risk groups as low, intermediate and high. BCR-free probabilities were assessed and compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression. Ability of CAPRA-S in BCR detection was evaluated by concordance index (c-index). Results: BCR was present in 41 of total 240 patients (17.1%) and the mean follow-up time was $51.7{\pm}33.0$ months. Mean BCR-free survival time was 98.3 months (95% CI: 92.3-104.2). Of the patients in low, intermediate and high risk groups, 5.4%, 22.0% and 58.8% had BCR, respectively and the difference among the three groups was significant (P = 0.0001). C-indices of CAPRA-S score and three-risk groups for detecting BCR-free probabilities in 5-yr were 0.87 and 0.81, respectively. Conclusions: Both CAPRA-S score and its three-risk level model well predicted BCR after RP with high c-index levels in our center. Therefore, it is a clinically reliable post-operative risk stratifier and disease recurrence predictor for prostate cancer.