• Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.209-214
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• 2019

Precise point positioning (PPP) requires precise orbit and clock products. International GNSS service (IGS) real-time service (RTS) data can be used in real-time for PPP, but it may not be possible to receive these corrections for a short time due to internet or hardware failure. In addition, the time required for IGS to combine RTS data from each analysis center results in a delay of about 30 seconds for the RTS data. Short-term orbit prediction can be possible because it includes the rate of correction, but the clock correction only provides bias. Thus, a short-term prediction model is needed to preidict RTS clock corrections. In this paper, we used a long short-term memory (LSTM) network to predict RTS clock correction for three minutes. The prediction accuracy of the LSTM was compared with that of the polynomial model. After applying the predicted clock corrections to the broadcast ephemeris, we performed PPP and analyzed the positioning accuracy. The LSTM network predicted the clock correction within 2 cm error, and the PPP accuracy is almost the same as received RTS data.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제26권5호
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• pp.835-845
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• 2013

통행시간은 교통정보 중에서 가장 대표적이고 이용자 선호도가 높은 정보이다. 본 연구에서는 일반국도를 대상으로 실시간 시스템에 적용 가능한 통행시간 예측 방법을 개발하고자 하였다. 통행시간 예측방법으로 비모수적 접근 방법인 K 최대근접이웃 방법을 적용하였다. K 최대근접이웃 방법은 데이터에 대한 특별한 가정이 필요 없고, 모수 추정 과정이 필요 없어 실시간 교통관리시스템에 적합하다. K 최대근접이웃 방법의 우수성을 평가하기 위해 교통 분야에서 많이 적용되고 있는 이력자료 평균방법과 칼만 필터방법을 선정하여 평균절대백분율오차와 변동계수를 통해 평가하였다. 평가 결과 K 최대근접이웃 방법이 이력자료 평균방법과 칼만 필터방법에 비해 우수한 것으로 분석되었다. 통행시간 정보 제공 시 본 연구에서 개발된 방법을 통해 도출된 통행시간과 구간검지기로부터 관측된 통행시간을 탄력적으로 적용함으로써 통행시간 정보의 신뢰도를 향상시킬 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• International journal of advanced smart convergence
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.19-27
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• 2022

Across the world, 'housing' comprises a significant portion of wealth and assets. For this reason, fluctuations in real estate prices are highly sensitive issues to individual households. In Korea, housing prices have steadily increased over the years, and thus many Koreans view the real estate market as an effective channel for their investments. However, if one purchases a real estate property for the purpose of investing, then there are several risks involved when prices begin to fluctuate. The purpose of this study is to design a real estate price 'return rate' prediction model to help mitigate the risks involved with real estate investments and promote reasonable real estate purchases. Various approaches are explored to develop a model capable of predicting real estate prices based on an understanding of the immovability of the real estate market. This study employs the LSTM method, which is based on artificial intelligence and deep learning, to predict real estate prices and validate the model. LSTM networks are based on recurrent neural networks (RNN) but add cell states (which act as a type of conveyer belt) to the hidden states. LSTM networks are able to obtain cell states and hidden states in a recursive manner. Data on the actual trading prices of apartments in autonomous districts between January 2006 and December 2019 are collected from the Actual Trading Price Disclosure System of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (MOLIT). Additionally, basic data on apartments and commercial buildings are collected from the Public Data Portal and Seoul Metropolitan Government's data portal. The collected actual trading price data are scaled to monthly average trading amounts, and each data entry is pre-processed according to address to produce 168 data entries. An LSTM model for return rate prediction is prepared based on a time series dataset where the training period is set as April 2015~August 2017 (29 months), the validation period is set as September 2017~September 2018 (13 months), and the test period is set as December 2018~December 2019 (13 months). The results of the return rate prediction study are as follows. First, the model achieved a prediction similarity level of almost 76%. After collecting time series data and preparing the final prediction model, it was confirmed that 76% of models could be achieved. All in all, the results demonstrate the reliability of the LSTM-based model for return rate prediction.

• 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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• 제51권1호
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• pp.39-42
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• 2002

For the purpose of modeling EEG signal which has nonstationary and nonlinear dynamic characteristics, this paper propose a state feedback real time recurrent neural network model. The state feedback real time recurrent neural network is structured to have memory structure in the state of hidden layers so that it has arbitrary dynamics and ability to deal with time-varying input through its own temporal operation. For the model test, Mackey-Glass time series is used as a nonlinear dynamic system and the model is applied to the prediction of three types of EEG, alpha wave, beta wave and epileptic EEG. Experimental results show that the performance of the proposed model is better than that of other neural network models which are compared in this paper in some view points of the converging speed in learning stage and normalized mean square error for the test data set.

• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.325-331
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• 2023

In this paper, we propose a mixed neural network structure of CNN and LSTM that can be used to detect or predict odor occurrence, which is most required in manufacturing industry or real life, using odor complex sensors. In addition, the proposed learning model uses a complex odor sensor to receive four types of data such as hydrogen sulfide, ammonia, benzene, and toluene in real time, and applies this data to an inference model to detect and predict odor conditions. The proposed model evaluated the prediction accuracy of the learning model through performance indicators according to accuracy, and the evaluation result showed an average performance of 94% or more.

• 4차산업연구
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.13-20
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• 2023

Purpose - By designing a PEF(Personalized Education Feedback) system for real-time prediction of learning achievement and motivation through real-time EEG analysis of learners, this system provides some modules of a personalized adaptive learning system. By applying these modules to e-learning and offline learning, they motivate learners and improve the quality of learning progress and effective learning outcomes can be achieved for immersive self-directed learning Research design, data, and methodology - EEG data were collected simultaneously as the English test was given to the experimenters, and the correlation between the correct answer result and the EEG data was learned with a machine learning algorithm and the predictive model was evaluated.. Result - In model performance evaluation, both artificial neural networks(ANNs) and support vector machines(SVMs) showed high accuracy of more than 91%. Conclusion - This research provides some modules of personalized adaptive learning systems that can more efficiently complete by designing a PEF system for real-time learning achievement prediction and learning motivation through an adaptive learning system based on real-time EEG analysis of learners. The implication of this initial research is to verify hypothetical situations for the development of an adaptive learning system through EEG analysis-based learning achievement prediction.

• 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보통신학회 2021년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.204-206
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• 2021

실시간 시추매개변수 예측은 시추효율의 극대화 관점에서 상당히 중요한 연구이다. 시추 극대화 방법 중 시추속도를 향상시키는 방법이 일반적인데 이는 굴진율, 시추스트링 회전속도, 비트 하중, 시추이수 유량과 연관관계를 지니고 있다. 본 연구는 실시간 시추매개변수 중 하나인 굴진율을 순환신경망기반 딥러닝 모델을 이용하여 예측하는 방법을 제안하였으며 기존의 물리적 기반의 굴진율 모델과 딥러닝 모델을 이용한 예측 모델을 비교해 보고자 한다.

• International journal of advanced smart convergence
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.24-32
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• 2018

An outlier detection method using mixed prediction model has been described in this paper. The mixed prediction model consists of time-series model and regression model. The parameter estimation of the prediction model was performed using supervised learning and a genetic algorithm is adopted for a learning method. The experiments were performed in artificial and real data set. The prediction performance is compared with the existing prediction methods using artificial data. Outlier detection is conducted using the real sensor measurements in a dam. The validity of the proposed method was shown in the experiments.

• International journal of advanced smart convergence
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.75-87
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• 2023

We designed to employ an Artificial Intelligence learning model to predict real estate prices and determine the reasons behind their changes, with the goal of using the results as a guide for policy. Numerous studies have already been conducted in an effort to develop a real estate price prediction model. The price prediction power of conventional time series analysis techniques (such as the widely-used ARIMA and VAR models for univariate time series analysis) and the more recently-discussed LSTM techniques is compared and analyzed in this study in order to forecast real estate prices. There is currently a period of rising volatility in the real estate market as a result of both internal and external factors. Predicting the movement of real estate values during times of heightened volatility is more challenging than it is during times of persistent general trends. According to the real estate market cycle, this study focuses on the three times of extreme volatility. It was established that the LSTM, VAR, and ARIMA models have strong predictive capacity by successfully forecasting the trading price index during a period of unusually high volatility. We explores potential synergies between the hybrid artificial intelligence learning model and the conventional statistical prediction model.

• International Journal of Ocean System Engineering
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• 제3권3호
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• pp.116-130
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• 2013

The prediction of ocean currents in real time over the warning times of a few hours or days is required in planning many operation-related activities in the ocean. Traditionally this is done through numerical models which are targeted toward producing spatially distributed information. This paper discusses a complementary method to do so when site-specific predictions are desired. It is based on the use of a recurrent type of neural network as well as the statistical tool of model tree. The measurements made at a site in Indian Ocean over a period of 4 years were used. The predictions were made over 72 time steps in advance. The models developed were found to be fairly accurate in terms of the selected error statistics. Among the two modeling techniques the model tree performed better showing the necessity of using distributed models for different sub-domains of data rather than a unique one over the entire input domain. Typically such predictions were associated with average errors of less than 2.0 cm/s. Although the prediction accuracy declined over longer intervals, it was still very satisfactory in terms of theselected error criteria. Similarly prediction of extreme values matched with that of the rest of predictions. Unlike past studies both east-west and north-south current components were predicted fairly well.