• 제목/요약/키워드: Ratio of regression coefficients

검색결과 139건 처리시간 0.042초

다중선형회귀와 기계학습 모델을 이용한 PM10 농도 예측 및 평가 (Evaluation and Predicting PM10 Concentration Using Multiple Linear Regression and Machine Learning)

  • 손상훈;김진수
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제36권6_3호
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    • pp.1711-1720
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    • 2020
  • 최근 급속한 산업화와 도시화로 인해 인위적으로 발생하는 미세먼지(Particulate matter, PM)는 기상 조건에 따라 이동 및 분산되면서 피부와 호흡기 등 인체에 악영향을 미친다. 본 연구는 기상인자를 multiple linear regression(MLR), support vector machine(SVM), 그리고 random forest(RF) 모델의 입력자료로 하여 서울시 PM10 농도를 예측하고, 모델 간 성능을 비교 평가하는데 그 목적을 둔다. 먼저 서울시에 소재한 39개소 대기오염측정망(air quality monitoring sites, AQMS)에서 관측된 PM10 농도 자료를 8:2 비율로 구분하여 모델 훈련과 검증 데이터셋으로 사용되었다. 또한 기상관측소(automatic weather system, AWS)에서 관측되고 있는 자료 중 9개 기상인자(평균기온, 최고기온, 최저기온, 일 강수량, 평균풍속, 최대순간풍속, 최대순간풍속풍향, 황사발생유무, 상대습도)가 모델의 입력자료로 선정되었다. 각 AQMS에서 관측된 PM10 농도와 MLR, SVM, 그리고 RF 모델에 의해 예측된 PM10 농도 간 결정계수(R2)는 각각 0.260, 0.772, 그리고 0.793이었고, RF 모델이 PM10 농도 예측에 가장 높은 성능을 나타냈다. 특히 모델 검증에 사용되는 AQMS 중 관악구와 강남대로 AQMS는 상대적으로 AWS에 가까워 SVM과 RF 모델에서 높은 정확도를 나타냈다. 종로구 AQMS는 AWS에서 비교적 멀리 떨어져 있지만, 인접한 두 AQMS 데이터가 모델 학습에 사용되었기 때문에 두 모델에서 높은 정확도를 나타냈다. 반면 용산구 AQMS는 AQMS 및 AWS에서 비교적 멀리 떨어져 있기에 두 모델의 성능이 낮게 나타냈다.

공간사용 규제가 택지가격에 미치는 영향에 대한 공간가중회귀분석 - 장유 신도시지역을 대상으로- (A Geographically Weighted Regression on the Effect of Regulation of Space Use on the Residential Land Price - Evidence from Jangyu New Town -)

  • 강순덕;박세운;정태윤
    • 경영과정보연구
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    • 제37권3호
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    • pp.27-47
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구에서는 공간적 의존성을 반영한 공간가중회귀분석 방법을 이용하여 용도지역과 같은 공간사용규제가 택지가격에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 통제변수로는 도로접면, 토지의 형상, 면적 및 경과연수를 사용하였다. 본 연구는 신도시지역인 경남 김해시 장유지역의 토지거래 실거래가격을 이용하여 분석하였다. 분석결과 전통적인 회귀분석의 결과와 공간가중회귀분석의 결과는 크게 다르지 않았다. 그러나 공간가중회귀모형의 분석 잔차의 Moran's Index가 OLS모형의 잔차보다 26% 감소하여 잔차의 자기상관이 상당히 개선되었고 설명력도 약간 높아졌다. 전통적 회귀분석 및 공간가중회귀분석에서 점포 겸용 택지 더미변수는 음의 부호를 나타내 기준변수인 주거전용지역 택지보다 택지가격이 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 이것은 점포 겸용 택지는 용적률과 건폐율이 높아서 토지의 공간적 활용성은 높지만 평지에 위치해 있어 택지로서의 메리트가 크지 못한 반면에, 전용주거지역은 산자락의 완만한 언덕에 위치하여 좋은 경관과 깨끗한 공기를 누릴 수 있기 때문으로 추정된다. 이와 같은 실증분석결과로 볼 때 단순히 용적률과 건폐율을 높이는 것보다는 녹지와 공원을 확충시키는 것이 택지의 가치 상승에 더 많은 기여를 할 수 있을 것으로 보인다는 지방자치단체와 건설회사에 대한 시사점을 제공한다. 근린생활시설용지 더미변수는 유의적인 양의 회귀계수를 나타내, 다른 용도지역에 비하여 택지가격이 높은 것으로 나타났는데, 이것은 근린생활시설용지가 용적률이 점포 겸용 택지와 전용주거지역보다 훨씬 높고 5층까지 건축이 가능하기 때문인 것으로 추정된다. 예상과 같이 택지 구매자는 중로에 접한 택지를 선호하는 것으로 나타났다. 광로한면은 소음 및 매연으로 인해 주거환경이 좋지 않고 차량출입이 불편하다는 단점이 있다. 좁은 도로는 소음 및 매연이 적고 사생활이 보호된다는 장점이 있지만 도로 양쪽에 차량이 주차되면, 통행에 많은 장애가 발행하여 불편함을 초래할 수 있다. 경과연수는 음의 부호를 보여 시간에 따라 택지가격이 하락되는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 2008년 글로벌 금융위기 당시 장유지역의 택지가격이 김해의 다른 지역에 비하여 하락했기 때문으로 보인다.

기부금 지출과 기업 가치: 기업지배구조를 중심으로 (Donation Expenses and Corporate Value: A Focus on the Corporate Governance Structure)

  • 김수정;강신애
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제12권8호
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - Recently, the number of corporations that practice environmental and social responsibility, besides engaging in traditional profit-seeking activities, has been growing steadily, as interest in Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) is increasing. Recent research on CSR practices has identified the relationship between CSR activities and corporate value as one of the main issues in this respect. Considering that donations constitute a large proportion of a company's charitable activities, we considered the extent of donation expenses as a charitable activity in order to mitigate sample selection bias. Specifically, we analyzed the impact of donation expenses on firm value, while investigating if this impact varied in response to the level of corporate governance of firms. Research design, data, and methodology - We used non-financial firms listed on the Korean Stock Exchange, having their fiscal year end in December, and the sample period was 2006-2013. For the dependent variable, Tobin's q was used as the corporate value, and for the independent variable, donations were measured as the donation-expense-to-sales ratio. Corporate governance scores, as rated by the Korea Corporate Governance Service, were used to measure corporate governance levels because they consider the overall aspects of governance, including ownership structure, the board of directors, and the audit mechanism of individual companies. To examine the impact of donations on a company in relation to the level of corporate governance, we estimated regression models using the interaction terms of the governance dummy and donation variables. Then, we further estimated the regression models of two sub-samples that were classified according to the level of corporate governance. Similar to previous studies, the study uses variables that affect firm value, such as R&D expenditure, advertising expenses, EBITDA, debt-to-equity ratio, sales growth, company age, and company size as control variables. Results - The empirical results show that firm value significantly increased in response to an increase in donation expenses. Upon including the interaction terms of governance level dummy variables and donations, the coefficients of the interaction terms show significant positive values, while those of donation variables show significant negative values. In the strong governance sub-sample, the relationship between the donation expenses and corporate value was statistically positive (+) and significant. However, in the weak governance sub-sample, the relationship between the donation expenses and corporate value was statistically insignificant and negative (-). Conclusions - The empirical results suggest that donation expenses are significantly linked to an enhanced corporate value if firms have a good corporate governance structure. However, if the corporate governance structure is weak, the same relationship is not necessarily observed. The results of this study show that if a firm has high corporate governance, CSR practices enhance the company's reputation such that it has a positive (+) relationship with corporate value. If a firm has weak corporate governance, on the other hand, CSR practices are recognized as an agency cost and do not increase corporate value.

광분해반응을 통한 MTBE 제거에 대한 통계적 최적화 연구 (The Study of Statistical Optimization of MTBE Removal by Photolysis(UV/H2O2))

  • 천석영;장순웅
    • 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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    • 제12권9호
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 UV와 $H_2O_2$를 통한 광분해 반응기에서의 Methyl Tert Butyl Ether(MTBE) 제거에 대해 조사하였다. 이 공정은 일반적으로 UV의 존재 하에 수용액 상에 생성되는 OH 라디칼을 요구하며, 이 라디칼들은 MTBE 분자를 공격하여 최종적으로 파괴하거나 무해한 단순 화합물로 전환시킨다. 반응들은 조사강도, MTBE 초기농도와 $H_2O_2$/MTBE비의 독립변수를 수학적으로 표현하였고, 반응표면법(Response Surface Methodology; RSM)을 사용하여 모델화하였다. 이 실험들은 Box-Behnken Design(BBD)를 통한 15개의 실험을 포함하여 실시하였다. ANOVA의 회귀분석 항은 유의한 p-value(p<0.05)와 높은 결정계수($R^2$=94.60%)를 나타내어 2차 회귀모델의 예측이 적절한 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 반응에 대한 정준분석을 통해 예측된 Y에 대한 최적 반응과 최대반응의 예측된 능선을 통해 최적조건은 각각 조사강도인 $x_1$=25.75W, MTBE 초기농도의 $x_2$=7.69mg/L 와 $H_2O_2$/MTBE비인 $x_3$=11.04로 관찰되었다. 본 연구는 RSM이 MTBE 제거의 최대화와 운전조건의 최적화에 적용하기에 알맞은 것으로 나타났다.

지역회귀분석을 이용한 홍수피해위험도 산정 (Flood Risk Estimation Using Regional Regression Analysis)

  • 장옥재;김영오
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2009
  • 오늘날 재해의 위험으로부터 안전하게 살고자 하는 대중들의 욕구는 증가하고 있지만 최근의 기후변화와 이상홍수의 사례에서 볼 때 현재 우리가 처해 있는 자연재해로부터의 위협은 과거와는 상이하다는 것을 알 수 있다. 이렇게 변화하는 상황에 대처하기 위해서는 우리가 노출된 재해의 특성을 평가하는 과정이 선행되어져야 한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 지역회귀분석을 적용하여 가능 피해금액을 추산하고, 이를 통해 각 지역별 홍수위험도를 평가하는 방법을 제안하였다. 홍수로 인한 피해는 인명이나 재산피해가 주를 이루기 때문에 홍수 위험도평가 결과도 홍수에 취약한 인명이나 재산으로 표현되는 것이 적절하다고 판단된다. 지역회귀분석은 강우-유출모형이나 확률분포모형의 매개변수들을 유역특성인자들로 표현하기 위해 수문학(水文學) 분야에서 널리 사용되어져 왔으며 본 연구에서는 이 방법을 홍수 피해금액 추정에 응용하였다. 지역회귀방법의 절차로는 먼저 계측지역(과거 홍수 피해금액 자료가 충분한 지역)에서는 홍수 피해금액과 시강우량 자료를 바탕으로 비선형 회귀분석을 실시하였고, 다음으로 이 회귀식의 계수를 다시 해당 지역의 인문.사회 경제학적 인자들로 표현하였다. 이러한 방법으로 지역적 인자들이 홍수 피해에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 분석할 수 있었으며 궁극적으로 미계측지역(과거 자료가 충분하지 않은 지역)에서도 지역적 인자들을 통해 특정 빈도에 발생 가능한 홍수 피해금액을 추정할 수 있었다. 또한 추정된 홍수 피해금액과 지역 총 자산의 비를 Flood Vulnerability Index (FVI)라 하였으며 이를 통해 특정빈도 강우로 인해 도시 내에서 피해를 입을 수 있는 재산의 범위를 추정하고, 홍수위험지도로도 나타내었다. 본 연구 결과를 수자원장기종합계획에서 홍수위험도 평가를 위해 사용된 홍수피해 잠재능(Potential Flood Damage; PFD)과 비교해 보면 PFD에서는 각 인자들의 가중치 산정에서 전문가의 오판이 부분적으로 개입될 수 있다는 단점이 있었으나 지역회귀에 근거한 본 연구에서는 이러한 단점을 극복할 수 있었다. 또한 FVI는 과거 재해피해와 높은 상관관계를 나타냈지만 PFD는 실제 지역별 취약도를 잘 반영하지 못하는 것으로 나타났다.

Hospital Outpatients are Satisfactory for Case-control Studies on Cancer and Diet in China: A Comparison of Population Versus Hospital Controls

  • Li, Lin;Zhang, Min;Holman, C. D'Arcy J.
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.2723-2729
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    • 2013
  • Background: To investigate the internal validity of a food-frequency questionnaire (FFQ) developed for use in Chinese women and to compare habitual dietary intakes between population and hospital controls measured by the FFQ. Materials and Methods: A quantitative FFQ and a short food habit questionnaire (SFHQ) were developed and adapted for cancer and nutritional studies. Habitual dietary intakes were assessed in 814 Chinese women aged 18-81 years (407 outpatients and 407 population controls) by face-to-face interview using the FFQ in Shenyang, Northeast China in 2009-2010. The Goldberg formula (ratio of energy intake to basal metabolic rate, EI/BMR) was used to assess the validity of the FFQ. Correlation analyses compared the SFHQ variables with those of the quantitative FFQ. Differences in dietary intakes between hospital and population controls were investigated. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were obtained using conditional logistic regression analyses. Results: The partial correlation coefficients were moderate to high (0.42 to 0.80; all p<0.05) for preserved food intake, fat consumption and tea drinking variables between the SFHQ and the FFQ. The average EI/BMR was 1.93 with 88.5% of subjects exceeding the Goldberg cut-off value of 1.35. Hospital controls were comparable to population controls in consumption of 17 measured food groups and mean daily intakes of energy and selected nutrients. Conclusions: The FFQ had reasonable validity to measure habitual dietary intakes of Chinese women. Hospital outpatients provide a satisfactory control group for food consumption and intakes of energy and nutrients measured by the FFQ in a Chinese hospital setting.

제 2형 당뇨 환자의 식이, 신체활동, 자가간호, 자기효능감과 심혈관 합병증 위험요소간의 관계 (The Relationship of Diet, Physical Activities, Self-efficacy, and Self-care with Cardiovascular Risk Factors among Clients with Type II Diabetes)

  • 이해정;김명수
    • 성인간호학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.283-294
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    • 2007
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify predictors of cardiovascular risk factors of type 2 diabetic patients. Methods: Diabetic patients (N=160) were interviewed from November, 2003 to June, 2004. The 24 hour dietary recall, the International Physical Activity Questionnaire, the Diabetes Management Self-Efficacy Scale for patient with Type 2 diabetes, the Revised Summary of Diabetes Self-Care Activities Measure Scale and Parma Cardiovascular Risk Index were used to measure the predictors. Data were analyzed by descriptive analyses, Pearson correlation coefficients, and stepwise multiple regression using the SPSS WIN 10.0. Results: Mean dietary intakes of the participants were protein(P) of 64.5g, carbohydrate(C) of 280.74g, fat(F) of 30g, and calcium of 511.45mg. The ratio of CPF was 75:17:8. About 45% of the participants didn't exercise on a regular basis. The levels of self-efficacy, self-care, and cardiovascular risk factors of the participants were moderate. Self-efficacy was the most important predictor of cardiovascular risk factors along with self-care, exercising for more than 6 months, carbohydrate intakes and levels of physical activities. Conclusion: The findings of the study suggest that intervention programs increasing self-efficacy on diabetic management would be more beneficial than the fractional approach focusing only on diet or physical activities.

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중국 기업의 ESG의 특징과 기업가치에 대한 영향 (The Characteristics of ESG and Effect on Corporate Value of Chinese Firms)

  • 소소위;이재현
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.131-148
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - Since the 2020s, the management philosophy of Chinese firms' ESG has been rapidly established under the leadership of the Chinese government. We empirically analyze the ESG characteristics and effects on corporate value of Chinese firms. Design/methodology/approach - Using OLS and random effect panel regression analysis, we identify ESG determinants. In analyzing the impact on corporate value, likewise a large number of literatures, we adopt a 2SLS methodology using instrumental variables in the reason of endogeneity between ESG and firm value. We analyze using the G2SLS methodology, which is improving the efficiency of the estimation coefficients along with 2SLS. Findings - We find that ESG ratings are high in state-owned and foreign capital invested companies, ESG ratings are low in companies with a high proportion of non-floating stocks which implies information asymmetry. However, there are no significance in the institutional investor's, the major 10 largest shareholders' and manager's ownership. Furthermore, we can support most of the hypotheses that ESG ratings will be high in companies with high management performance. ESG ratings are significantly higher in companies with high ROA, rich in cash asset, low debt ratio, and large size. we strongly support the hypothesis that the higher the ESG rating, the higher the firm value, and ESG has a moderating effect on state-owned companies, non-floating shares, the ownership of institutional investors, manager, and the 10 major shareholder. In particular, state-owned companies, the proportion of non-floating shares, and the ownership of the 10 major shareholders have a negative impact on firm value, however, ESG attenuates this negative effect. Research implications or Originality - This study looks forward to enhancing our understanding of ESG characteristics in East Asia.

Volumetric CT Texture Analysis of Intrahepatic Mass-Forming Cholangiocarcinoma for the Prediction of Postoperative Outcomes: Fully Automatic Tumor Segmentation Versus Semi-Automatic Segmentation

  • Sungeun Park;Jeong Min Lee;Junghoan Park;Jihyuk Lee;Jae Seok Bae;Jae Hyun Kim;Ijin Joo
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제22권11호
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    • pp.1797-1808
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    • 2021
  • Objective: To determine whether volumetric CT texture analysis (CTTA) using fully automatic tumor segmentation can help predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with intrahepatic mass-forming cholangiocarcinomas (IMCCs) after surgical resection. Materials and Methods: This retrospective study analyzed the preoperative CT scans of 89 patients with IMCCs (64 male; 25 female; mean age, 62.1 years; range, 38-78 years) who underwent surgical resection between January 2005 and December 2016. Volumetric CTTA of IMCCs was performed in late arterial phase images using both fully automatic and semi-automatic liver tumor segmentation techniques. The time spent on segmentation and texture analysis was compared, and the first-order and second-order texture parameters and shape features were extracted. The reliability of CTTA parameters between the techniques was evaluated using intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs). Intra- and interobserver reproducibility of volumetric CTTAs were also obtained using ICCs. Cox proportional hazard regression were used to predict RFS using CTTA parameters and clinicopathological parameters. Results: The time spent on fully automatic tumor segmentation and CTTA was significantly shorter than that for semi-automatic segmentation: mean ± standard deviation of 1 minutes 37 seconds ± 50 seconds vs. 10 minutes 48 seconds ± 13 minutes 44 seconds (p < 0.001). ICCs of the texture features between the two techniques ranged from 0.215 to 0.980. ICCs for the intraobserver and interobserver reproducibility using fully automatic segmentation were 0.601-0.997 and 0.177-0.984, respectively. Multivariable analysis identified lower first-order mean (hazard ratio [HR], 0.982; p = 0.010), larger pathologic tumor size (HR, 1.171; p < 0.001), and positive lymph node involvement (HR, 2.193; p = 0.014) as significant parameters for shorter RFS using fully automatic segmentation. Conclusion: Volumetric CTTA parameters obtained using fully automatic segmentation could be utilized as prognostic markers in patients with IMCC, with comparable reproducibility in significantly less time compared with semi-automatic segmentation.

Risk Factors for Premenopausal Breast Cancer: A Case-control Study in Uruguay

  • Ronco, Alvaro L.;Stefani, Eduardo De;Deneo-Pellegrini, Hugo
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.2879-2886
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    • 2012
  • In order to thoroughly analyze risk factors of breast cancer (BC) in premenopausal Uruguayan women, a case-control study was carried out at the Pereira Rossell Women's Hospital, Montevideo, where 253 incident BC cases and 497 frequency-matched healthy controls were interviewed on menstrual and reproductive story, were administered a short food frequency questionnaire and undertook a series of body measurements necessary to calculate body composition and somatotype. Odds ratio (OR) coefficients were taken as estimates of relative risk derived from unconditional logistic regression. Among the classical risk factors, only the family history of BC in first degree relatives was significantly associated with risk of premenopausal BC (OR=2.20, 95% CI 1.33-3.62). Interestingly, this risk factor was found to be stronger in women of ages >40 (OR=4.05, 95% CI 2.10-7.81), late menarche (OR= 2.39, 95% CI 1.18-4.85), early age for their first delivery (OR=3.02, 95% CI 1.26-7.22), short time between menarche and first delivery (OR=3.22, 95% CI 1.29-8.07), and with high parity (OR=4.10, 95% CI 1.79-9.36), although heterogeneity was detected only for age and parity. High consumption of red meat was positively associated with the disease risk (OR=2.20, 95% CI 1.35-3.60), in the same way as fried foods (OR=1.79, 95% CI 1.12-2.84). Conversely, a high intake of plant foods displayed a protective effect (OR=0.41, 95% CI 0.26-0.65). Except for hypertension (OR=1.55, 95% CI 1.03-2.35), none of the analyzed components of metabolic syndrome were associated to BC risk. Particular increases of risk for premenopausal BC were found for family history in first degree relatives in certain subsets derived from the menstrual-reproductive history. Preventive strategies could broaden their scope if new studies confirm the present results, in view of the limited prevention measures that premenopausal BC currently has.