• 제목/요약/키워드: Rate of Return

검색결과 930건 처리시간 0.025초

A Study on the Prediction of Stock Return in Korea's Distribution Industry Using the VKOSPI Index

  • Jeong-Hwan LEE;Gun-Hee LEE;Sam-Ho SON
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of the VKOSPI index on short-term stock returns after a large-scale stock price shock of individual stocks of firms in the distribution industry in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology: This study investigates the effect of the change of the VKOSPI index or investor mood on abnormal returns after the event date from January 2004 to July 2022. The significance of the abnormal return, which is obtained by subtracting the rate of return estimated by the market model from the rate of actual return on each trading day after the event date, is determined based on T-test and multifactor regression analysis. Results: In Korea's distribution industry, the simultaneous occurrence of a bad investor mood and a large stock price decline, leads to stock price reversals. Conversely, the simultaneous occurrence of a good investor mood and a large-scale stock price rise leads to stock price drifts. We found that the VKOSPI index has strong explanatory power for these reversals and drifts even after considering both company-specific and event-specific factors. Conclusions: In Korea's distribution industry-related stock market, investors show an asymmetrical behavioral characteristic of overreacting to negative moods and underreacting to positive moods.

기술혁신이 생산성과 경제성장에 미치는 영향 (The Contribution of Innovation on Productivity and Growth in Korea)

  • 김병우
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.72-90
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    • 2008
  • 기술혁신이 경제성장에 미치는 영향은 어떠한가? 이는 전통적으로 지식스톡을 반영하는 성장회계법에 의해 분석되었다. R&D에 대한 수익률 추정은 특허와 같은 R&D 산출이 지식축적에서 기인하는 것으로 파악한다. Griliches(1973)는 이를 위해 회귀분석 방법을 사용하였다. 본 연구에서는 기존 성장회계법에서의 추정방법과 달리 R&D 효율성을 나타내는 파라미터가 시간이 지남에 따라 변동(time-varying)하는 것을 허용하는 상태공간 모형(state-space model)을 통해 한국경제의 R&D 효율성(fertility)을 추정하였다. R&D 스톡의 생산성에 대한 탄력성은 $0.120{\sim}0.135$ 정도로 추정되었다.

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IoT기반 철도 화차 안전운송 통합 품질관리시스템에 관한 경제성 평가지표 분석 (Economic Evaluation Analysis of Effect of Train Freight Car Safety Transport Integrated Quality Management System Based on Internet of Things(IoT))

  • 원종운;윤치호;박상찬
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제44권4호
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    • pp.869-881
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: The objective of this study is to verify the economic validation of quality management integrated train freight car by analyzing economic evaluation indicators such as benefit and cost, net present value, and inter rate of return. Methods: First, we itemize benefit and cost field by reviewing literatures; Benefit consists of 1)Safety, 2)Operation, and 3)Maintenance; Cost consists of 1)Set-up fee, 2)Wireless internet fee, and 3)Cloud storage using fee. Second, based on these estimated values, we conduct an economic evaluation analysis. Among them, benefit and cost, net present value, and internal rate of return are selected. Results: As a result, all estimated values are highly over criterion of economic validity($$B/C{\geq}_-1$$, $$NPV{\geq}_-0$$, $$IRR{\geq}_-R$$); 1)benefit over cost ratio is 28.22, 2)Net present value is 8,121.66million KRW, and 3)Internal rate of return value is 2272%. Conclusion: The findings of this study will help making a decision when train industry adopts IoT technology for improving the effectiveness.

자본조달 수단으로써 부채의 양면성에 관한 연구 (A study on the Debt's Janus-Faced reality as a Way of Capital Finance)

  • 최창호;유연우
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 중소기업을 대상으로 첫째, 매출액순이익률, 총자산회전율 및 부채비율이 주주의 자본수익성지표인 자기자본순이익률에 어떤 영향을 미치는지, 둘째, 총자산순이익률이 자기자본순이익률에 미치는 영향관계를 부채비율이 조절하는지, 마지막으로 수정된 부채비율과 자기자본순이익률과의 영향관계를 실증적으로 분석하였다. 분석결과, 부채사용은 자기자본순이익률에 전반적으로 긍정적인 측면이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 수정된 부채비율의 2차함수 곡선모형에서 볼 수 있듯이 부채사용은 레버리지효과를 통해 자기자본순이익률의 증 감폭을 크게 확대하고 있음을 알 수 있다. 결국, 부채사용은 동전의 양면과 같이 긍정적인 측면뿐만이 아니라 부정적인 측면을 가지고 있다 할 것이다. 그래서 부채의 사용은 기존의 핵심 사업으로부터 창출되는 영업현금흐름(혹은 총자산영업이익률)으로 이자(혹은 이자율)를 커버할 수 있는 범위 내로 제한되어야 한다는 시사점을 제공하고 있다.

Feasibility Study of Forestry Project in Sarawak State, Malaysia

  • Woo, Heesung;Turner, Paul;Kang, Byongrho;Jang, Jaeyoung;Woo, Jongchoon
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.352-358
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    • 2018
  • This research paper investigates available options for implementing clean development mechanism (CDM) project in Sarawak state, Malaysia. To investigate economic feasibility, data was collected using survey and field research methods. Also, economic analysis was estimated using net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR) and payback period (PBP) during the 30 years CDM: afforestation and reforestation periods. The result of economic analysis indicated that, the payback period was estimated at 9 years with 18 percent of internal rate of return (IRR). This study also highlighted that CDM biomass supply project have a lot of challenges due to the reduction and exclusion of bio-Solid Recovered Fuel (SRF), supply and demand scenario, and impact of restriction of illegal logging in Malaysia. This study results demonstrate the methodology and guideline for future CDM investment and projects.

저급탄용 순환유동층 보일러 발전설비의 경제성 평가 (Economic Feasibility of Circulating Fluidized Bed Combustion Boiler Power Plant for Low Grade Coal)

  • 홍민표;문승재
    • 플랜트 저널
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2012
  • The structure and combustion characteristics, and the economic feasibility of the circulating fluidized bed combustion(CFBC) boiler using low grade coal were introduced. The economic feasibility is evaluated by comparing a 500 MW CFBC boiler power plant using low grade coal and a pulverized combustion boiler power plant with high grade coal. As the result of the evaluation, the pulverized coal combustion boiler power plant has an internal rate of return of 12.95%, 1,395.9 billion Korean won of net present value, and 6.26 years of payback period. On the other hand, CFBC boiler power plant has an internal rate of return of 13.54%, 1,704.3 billion Korean won of net present value, and 6.02 years payback period. Therefore, the CFBC boiler power plant has better feasibility in all aspects, as 0.59% higher of internal rate of return, 308.4 billion Korean won of higher net present value and 0.24 year of shorter payback period.

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내부수익률의 새로운 정의 (A New Definition of an IRR)

  • 김진욱;이현주;차동수
    • 한국산업경영시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국산업경영시스템학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2002
  • A capital investment problem is essentially one of determining whether the anticipated cash Inflows from a proposed project are sufficiently attractive to invest funds in the project. The net present value(NPV) criterion and internal rate of return(IRR) criterion are widely used as means of making investment decisions. A positive NPV means the equivalent worth of the inflows is greater than the equivalent worth of outflows, so, the project makes profit. Business people are familiar with rates of return because they all borrow money to finance ventures, even If the money they borrow is their own. Thus they are apt to use the IRR in preference to the NPV. The IRR can be defined as the discount rate that causes the net present value of a cash flow to equal zero. Why the project are accepted if the project's IRR is greater than the investor's minimum attractive rate of return. Against the NPV, the definition cannot distinctly explain the concept of the IRR as decision criterion. We present a new definition of the IRR as the ratio of profit on the invested capital.

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대체에러지 기술개발에 대한 수익성 평가분석 (An Economic Evaluation about Research and Development for Renewable energy in Korea)

  • 전영서;김진오
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.325-349
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    • 2004
  • This paper tried to evaluate an economic analysis about research and development far areas of renewable resource in Korea. To evaluate this validity, we tried to calculate the spillover effect of R&D investment through input-output table. In the first stage of spillover effect, we simply calculate the rate of return on R&D investment for renewable energy resources in Korea through the input-output model, which can calculate the value added as well as output based upon the price of 2000 year. According to the first stage calculation, the rate of return on R&B investment in solar heat is higher than any other renewable energy. In the second stage we tried to calculate the second round of spill over effect, which derives from the additional amount of supply of renewable resources due to the R&D investment. The overall evaluation of R&D invesment including the first stage as well as second stage spillover effect shows that bio-energy and waste energy generate 14 times as well as 2.5 times in the rate of return respectively.

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품질보증 반환 데이터의 신뢰성 분석 (Reliability analysis of warranty returns data)

  • 백재욱;조진남
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.893-901
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    • 2014
  • 기업에서는 매달 제품이 일정 수량만큼 판매되고, 이들 중 일부는 반환 또는 클레임이 제기된다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 품질보증 반환 데이터의 반환율을 그래프상에 어떻게 타점할 것인지 먼저 살펴본다. 이어서 이런 데이터는 좌측 및 우측 중도중단 데이터의 결합으로 생각할 수 있으므로 이런 데이터에 대해 와이블 분포 등을 적합시켜 신뢰성분석을 실시해본다. 마지막으로 좌측 중도중단 데이터의 경우 구체적인 반환시기를 알 수 있다면 좌측 중도중단 데이터는 고장 데이터가 되어, 이제는 우측 중도중단만 남게 되는데, 이때에도 와이블분포 등을 적합시켜 신뢰성분석을 실시해보고자 한다.

Evaluating the Investment in the Malaysian Construction Sector in the Long-run Using the Modified Internal Rate of Return: A Markov Chain Approach

  • SARSOUR, Wajeeh Mustafa;SABRI, Shamsul Rijal Muhammad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권8호
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    • pp.281-287
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    • 2020
  • In capital budgeting practices, investment project evaluations based on the net present value (NPV) and the internal rate of return (IRR) represent the traditional evaluation techniques. Compared with the traditional methods, the modified internal rate of return (MIRR) gives the opportunity to evaluate an investment in certain projet, while taking the changes in cash flows over time and issuing shares such as dividing shares, bonuses, and dividend for each end of the investment year into account. Therefore, this study aims to evaluate an investment in the Malaysian construction sector utilizing financial data for 39 public listed companies operating in the Malaysian construction sector over the period from Jan 1, 2007, to December 30, 2018, based on the MIRR method. Stochastic was studied in this study to estimate the estimated probability by applying the Markov chain model to the MIRR method where the transition matrix has two possible movements of either Good (G) or Bad (B). it is found that the long-run probability of getting a good investment is higher than the probability of getting a bad investment in the long-run, where were the probabilities of good and bad are 0.5119, 0.4881, respectively. Hence, investment in the Malaysian construction sector is recommended.