• 제목/요약/키워드: Rare events

검색결과 157건 처리시간 0.027초

A New Fast Simulation Technique for Rare Event Simulation

  • Kim, Yun-Bae;Roh, Deok-Seon;Lee, Myeong-Yong
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시뮬레이션학회 1999년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.70-79
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    • 1999
  • Importance Sampling (IS) has been applied to accelerate the occurrence of rare events. However, it has a drawback of effective biasing scheme to make the estimator from IS unbiased. Adaptive Importance Sampling (AIS) employs an estimated sampling distribution of IS to the systems of interest during the course of simulation. We propose Nonparametric Adaptive Importance Sampling (NAIS) technique which is nonparametrically modified version of AIS and test it to estimate a probability of rare event in M/M/1 queueing model. Comparing with classical Monte Carlo simulation, the computational efficiency and variance reductions gained via NAIS are substantial. A possible extension of NAIS regarding with random number generation is also discussed.

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선천성 경부식도 협착증 - 1예 보고 - (Congenital Esophageal Stenosis - 1 case -)

  • 문석환
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.514-517
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    • 1989
  • Congenital esophageal stenosis is a rare disease in childhood. By virtue of its complex embryological development, the esophagus is the site of many congenital abnormalities. Congenital Esophageal stenosis is one tenth as rare as tracheoesophageal fistula with esophageal atresia and is very rare in the cervical esophagus, which mostly occurred below mid-esophagus. Congenital esophageal web may be caused by the resorption failure of the epithelium following the vacuolization stage in embryonic development in the esophagus. Recently, we experienced 1 cases of congenital esophageal web, as the symptoms of life-long dysphagia. According to her history of dysphagia, radiologic and clinical findings, her esophageal stenosis was considered as congenital. For dilatation and relief of dysphagia, she underwent the Heineke-Mikulicz type of esophagoplasty. The results of surgical treatment were relatively good without any clinical events. So we reported it with its literature review.

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A rare case report of pseudomyopia after impacted teeth extraction under general anesthesia

  • Kim, Ji Hong;Paik, Hyesun;Ku, Jeong-Kui;Chang, Na-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • 제48권5호
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    • pp.309-314
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    • 2022
  • Ophthalmic complications after tooth extraction are rare but discomforting events. This paper reports the rare complications of a 20-year-old male patient who presented with transient blurring of vision after surgical extraction of several teeth under general anesthesia. Additional diagnostic tests were performed to discern the reason for the pseudomyopia. A literature review was carried out by searching for articles published from 1936 to 2019 using the keywords "dental," "ophthalmic," "complication," "blurring of vision," and "accommodation disturbance" in PubMed. Only six patients with detailed ophthalmic symptoms similar to those of our patient have been reported. If blurred vision or a myopic shift in refraction is present, pseudomyopia should be suspected, and cycloplegic refraction is essential for diagnosis. The condition improves spontaneously

Recent Insights from the International Common-Cause Failure Data Exchange Project

  • Kreuser, Albert;Johanson, Gunnar
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.327-334
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    • 2017
  • Common-cause failure (CCF) events can significantly impact the availability of safety systems of nuclear power plants. For this reason, the International Common Cause Data Exchange (ICDE) project was initiated by several countries in 1994. Since 1997 it has been operated within the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)/Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) framework and has successfully been operated over six consecutive terms (the current term being 2015-2017). The ICDE project allows multiple countries to collaborate and exchange CCF data to enhance the quality of risk analyses, which include CCF modeling. As CCF events are typically rare, most countries do not experience enough CCF events to perform meaningful analyses. Data combined from several countries, however, have yielded sufficient data for more rigorous analyses. The ICDE project has meanwhile published 11 reports on the collection and analysis of CCF events of specific component types (centrifugal pumps, emergency diesel generators, motor operated valves, safety and relief valves, check valves, circuit breakers, level measurement, control rod drive assemblies, and heat exchangers) and two topical reports. This paper presents recent activities and lessons learnt from the data collection and the results of topical analysis on emergency diesel generator CCF impacting entire exposed population.

시간 속성을 갖는 이벤트의 의미있는 희소 관계에 기반한 연관 규칙 탐사 (Finding Association Rules based on the Significant Rare Relation of Events with Time Attribute)

  • 한대영;김대인;김재인;송명진;황부현
    • 정보처리학회논문지D
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    • 제16D권5호
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    • pp.691-700
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    • 2009
  • 이벤트는 환자의 증상과 같이 시간 속성을 갖는 하나의 흐름을 의미하며 인터벌 이벤트는 시작과 종료 시점에 대한 시간 간격을 갖는다. 그리고 시간 데이터마이닝에 대한 많은 연구가 있었지만 환자 이력, 구매자 이력, 로그 이력과 같은 인터벌 이벤트에 대한 지식 탐사 방법에 대한 연구는 미흡하다. 이 논문에서는 이벤트들의 인과 관계에 대한 연관 규칙을 탐사하고 이 규칙에 기반하여 결과 이벤트 발생을 예측하는 시간 데이터마이닝 방법을 제안한다. 제안 방법은 이벤트 시간 속성을 사용하여 인터벌 이벤트로 요약하고 이벤트들의 인과 관계를 탐사하여 이벤트 발생을 예측한다. 성능평가를 통하여 제안 방법은 다양한 지지도를 적용하여 발생 빈도에 상관없이 이벤트 발생에 높은 영향을 주는 의미있는 희소 관계를 발견함으로써 기존의 데이터마이닝 기법에 비하여 보다 우수한 정보를 탐사할 수 있다.

목표 범주가 희귀한 자료의 과대표본추출에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Adjustment of Posterior Probability for Oversampling when the Target is Rare)

  • 김은나;이성건;최종후
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.477-484
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    • 2011
  • 반응/미반응 목표변수를 갖는 모집단에서 관심 목표범주의 빈도가 극히 작을 경우, 즉 희귀할(rare) 경우, 모형 구축을 위한 데이터마트를 형성할 때 반응/미반응 범주 구성비는 구축된 모형의 성능에 영향을 준다. 본 연구는 이러한 점에 착안하여 반응/미반응 범주 구성비와 모형성능의 관련성을 모형평가 통계량에 기반하여 판단한다. 이로써 데이터마트 형성에 이상적인 반응/미반응 범주 구성비를 탐지하려는데 본 연구의 목적을 두고 있다. 또한 일반적으로 목표범주의 빈도가 희귀할 경우, 분할 표본추출에 의하여 희귀사건(rare event)을 과대표본추출(oversampling)하는 것이 일반적이며, 이로부터 기인하는 사후확률에 대한 편향을 조정하게 된다. 본 연구에서는 사후확률 조정방법으로 오프셋(offset) 방법과 가중치 방법(sampling weights)을 적용하고 이를 비교하였다.

우리나라 소아에게 황열예방 백신을 투여 후 발생한 부작용에 대한 고찰 (Adverse Events Following Yellow Fever Vaccination in Korean Children)

  • 이재요;김태희;박향미;신혜정;김경은;이상택;김재윤
    • Pediatric Infection and Vaccine
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2009
  • 목 적: 황열은 모기에 의해 전염되는 급성 바이러스 출혈열로 중부아프리카와 열대 남아메리카에서 주로 발생한다. 이 연구는 황열 백신을 접종한 소아 및 청소년 여행객에게 이상반응에 대한 임상적 고찰을 시행하여 백신의 안전성 및 이상반응에 대한 정보를 제공하고자 시행하였다. 방 법: 이 연구에서는 2007년 4월 1일-2008년 6월 30일까지 국립의료원 해외여행클리닉을 방문한 소아 및 청소년 125명을 대상으로 하였다. 황열백신 투여 이후 6회의 전화면담을 통해 백신투여와 이상반응과의 관련성에 대하여 평가하였다. 결 과: 황열백신을 투여한 11개월에서 19세 사이의 소아 및 청소년 125명 중 이상반응의 발생은 31명(24.8 %)이었다. 증상으로는 주사부위의 통증(8.8%)이 가장 많았고 뒤를 이어 부종(6.4%), 발적(5.6%), 발열(4.0%), 두통(4.0%)순서였다. 대부분의 이상반응은 백신 투여 후 7일 이내에 발생했으며 성별 및 연령과 이상반응간의 유의한 차이가 없었다. 증상을 호소한 모두 자연적으로 혹은 보존적인 치료에 증상이 호전되었다. 결 론: 이 연구에서 황열백신은 우리나라 소아나 청소년에게 심각한 이상반응 없이 널리 사용될 수 있음을 보여주었다. 그러나 심각한 부작용의 원인이나 위험요소에 대한 연구는 지속적으로 필요할 것이다.

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Foreign Exchange Rate Uncertainty in Korea

  • Lee, Seojin
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.165-184
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    • 2020
  • Applying Ismailov and Rossi (2018), I newly construct the Korea FX uncertainty based on the density distribution of historical forecast errors. This uncertainty index properly captures the rare but significant events in the Korean currency market and provides information distinct from other uncertainty measures in recent studies. I show that 1) FX uncertainty arising from unexpected depreciation has a stronger impact on Korea-U.S. exchange rates and that 2) macro variables, such as capital flows or interest rate differentials, have predictive ability regarding Korea FX uncertainty for short horizons. These findings enable us to predict the events of sudden currency crashes and understand the Korea-U.S. exchange rate dynamics.

Floating Thrombus in the Ascending Aorta of the Patient with Systemic Sclerosis - A case report -

  • Lee, Sub;Cho, Jun-Woo;Kwon, Oh-Choon
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.72-75
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    • 2011
  • Aortic thrombi are important because it can cause the central and peripheral embolizations. Aortic thrombi can occur anywhere in the aorta but extremely rare in ascending aorta without atherosclerosis, aneurysm, cardiosurgical or traumatic state. Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is an autoimmune disorder of connective tissue and it can involve multisystem. Enhanced coagulation pathways, decreased fibrinolysis, and endothelial dysfunction probably contribute to vascular events in SSc. We report a case of a highly mobile thrombus in the ascending aorta, presented as an acute embolic stroke in the patient with systemic sclerosis. Surgical removal was performed to prevent recurrent embolic events.

Pembrolizumab-related autoimmune hemolytic anemia in a patient with metastatic lung adenocarcinoma: a case report

  • Baek, Dong Won;Chae, Yee Soo
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.366-370
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    • 2021
  • Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have become the main drugs for programmed cell death receptor-1 or ligand-1 expressing non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) combined with conventional chemotherapy. ICIs are generally more tolerable than cytotoxic chemotherapies in terms of toxicity, and ICI-related adverse events are mild and manageable. However, these drugs may lead to unexpected severe adverse events such as immune-related hematologic toxicities, which could be life-threatening. Here, a rare case of a pembrolizumab-related adverse event in a patient with NSCLC who showed early-onset hemolytic anemia and recovered by high-dose steroid and a series of plasma exchanges is reported.