• Title/Summary/Keyword: Random walk model

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Analysis of Debris Flow Hazard Zone by the Optimal Parameters Extraction of Random Walk Model - Case on Debris Flow Area of Bonghwa County in Gyeongbuk Province - (Random Walk Model의 최적 파라미터 추출에 의한 토석류 피해범위 분석 - 경북 봉화군 토석류 발생지를 대상으로 -)

  • Lee, Chang-Woo;Woo, Choongshik;Youn, Ho-Joong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.100 no.4
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    • pp.664-671
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    • 2011
  • Random Walk Model can predict the sediment areas of debris flow but it must be extracted three parameters fitted topographical environment. This study developed the method to extract the optimal values of three parameters - Once flowing volume, Stopping slope and Gravity weight - for Random Walk Model. And the extracted parameters were validated by aerial photographs of the debris flowed area. To extract the optimal parameters was randomly performed, limiting the range values of three parameters and developing an accuracy decision method that is called the rate of concordance. The set of the optimal parameters was decided on highest the rate of concordance and a consistency. As a result, the optimal parameters in Bonghwa county were showed that the once flowing volume is $1.0m^3$, the stopping slope is $4.2^{\circ}$ and the gravity weight is 2 when the rate of concordance is -0.2. The validating result of the optimal parameters showed closely that the rate of concordance is average -0.2.

Exact External Torque Sensing System for Flexible-Joint Robot: Kalman Filter Estimation with Random-Walk Model (유연관절로봇을 위한 정확한 외부토크 측정시스템 개발: 랜덤워크모델을 이용한 칼만필터 기반 추정)

  • Park, Young-Jin;Chung, Wan-Kyun
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, an external torque estimation problem in one-degree-of-freedom (1-DOF) flexible-joint robot equipped with a joint-torque sensor is revisited. Since a sensor torque from the joint-torque sensor is distorted by two dynamics having a spring connection, i.e., motor dynamics and link dynamics of a flexible-joint robot, a model-based estimation, rather than a simple linear spring model, should be required to extract external torques accurately. In this paper, an external torque estimation algorithm for a 1-DOF flexible-joint robot is proposed. This algorithm estimates both an actuating motor torque from the motor dynamics and an external link torque from the link dynamics simultaneously by utilizing the flexible-joint robot model and the Kalman filter estimation based on random-walk model. The basic structure of the proposed algorithm is explained, and the performance is investigated through a custom-designed experimental testbed for a vertical situation under gravity.

Dynamics of Consumer Preference in Binary Probit Model (이산프로빗모형에서 소비자선호의 동태성)

  • Joo, Young-Jin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.210-219
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    • 2010
  • Consumers differ in both horizontally and vertically. Market segmentation aims to divide horizontally different (or heterogeneous) consumers into more similar (or homogeneous) small segments. A specific consumer, however, may differ in vertically. He (or she) may belong to a different market segment from another one where he (or she) belonged to before. In consumer panel data, the vertical difference can be observed by his (or her) choice among brand alternatives are changing over time. The consumer's vertical difference has been defined as 'dynamics'. In this research, we have developed a binary probit model with random-walk coefficients to capture the consumer's dynamics. With an application to a consumer panel data, we have examined how have the random-walk coefficients changed over time.

Thermal Dispersion Analysis Using Semi-Active Particle Tracking in Near Field Combined with Two-Dimensional Eulerian-Lagrangian Far Field Model (근역에서 부력입자추적모형을 적용한 Eulerian-Lagrangian 결합에 의한 온수확산)

    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 1998
  • In order to simulate surface discharged heat dispersion in costal area, a 2-dimensional Eulerian-Lagrangian model for far field and semi-active particle tracking random walk model in near field has been combined. The mass of discharged heat water in near field has treated as particles with buoyancy and this is eventually converted to horizontal additive dispersion in random walk equations. This model is applied to both a simplified coastal geometry and a real site. In simple application it can simulate plume-like characteristics around discharging point than a near field-model, CORMIX/3. Actual application in the Chonsu Bay shows farther spreading of heat water in near field comparing the observed data, and this shows that the developed model might be applied with satisfaction.

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A Random Walk Model for Estimating Debris Flow Damage Range (랜덤워크 모델을 이용한 토석류 산사태 피해범위 산정기법 제안)

  • Young-Suk Song;Min-Sun Lee
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.201-211
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    • 2023
  • This study investigated the damage range of the debris flow to predict the amount of collapsed soil in a landslide event. The height of the collapsed slope and the distance traveled by the collapsed soil were used to predict the total trajectory distance using a random walk model. Debris flow trajectory probabilities were calculated through 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations and were used to calculate the damage range as measured from the landslide scar to its toe. Compiled information on debris flows that occurred in the Cheonwangbong area of Mt. Jirisan was used to test the accuracy of the proposed random walk model in estimating the damage range of debris flow. Results of the comparison reveal that the proposed model shows reasonable accuracy in estimating the damage range of debris flow and that using 10 m × 10 m cells allows the damage range to be reproduced with satisfactory precision.

Flame Hole Dynamics Model of a Diffusion Flame in Mixing Layer (혼합층에서의 확산화염에 대한 flame hole dynamics 모델)

  • Kim, Jun-Hong;Chung, S.H.;Kim, J.S.
    • 한국연소학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.223-227
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    • 2003
  • The method of flame hole dynamics is demonstrated as a mean to simulate turbulent flame extinction. The core of the flame hole dynamics involves derivation of a random walk mapping for the flame holes, created by local quenching, between the burning and quenched states provided that the dynamic characteristics of flame edges is known. Then, the random walk mapping is projected to a background turbulent field. The numerical simulations are carried out with the further simplifications of flame string and unconditioned scalar dissipation rate. The simulation results show how the chance of partial quenching is influenced by the crossover scalar dissipation rate. Finally, a list of improvements, necessary to achieve more realistic turbulent flame quenching simulation, are discussed.

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A Stochastic Model for Virtual Data Generation of Crack Patterns in the Ceramics Manufacturing Process

  • Park, Youngho;Hyun, Sangil;Hong, Youn-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.56 no.6
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    • pp.596-600
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    • 2019
  • Artificial intelligence with a sufficient amount of realistic big data in certain applications has been demonstrated to play an important role in designing new materials or in manufacturing high-quality products. To reduce cracks in ceramic products using machine learning, it is desirable to utilize big data in recently developed data-driven optimization schemes. However, there is insufficient big data for ceramic processes. Therefore, we developed a numerical algorithm to make "virtual" manufacturing data sets using indirect methods such as computer simulations and image processing. In this study, a numerical algorithm based on the random walk was demonstrated to generate images of cracks by adjusting the conditions of the random walk process such as the number of steps, changes in direction, and the number of cracks.

A Spiking Neural Network for Autonomous Search and Contour Tracking Inspired by C. elegans Chemotaxis and the Lévy Walk

  • Chen, Mohan;Feng, Dazheng;Su, Hongtao
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.2846-2866
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    • 2022
  • Caenorhabditis elegans exhibits sophisticated chemotaxis behavior through two parallel strategies, klinokinesis and klinotaxis, executed entirely by a small nervous circuit. It is therefore suitable for inspiring fast and energy-efficient solutions for autonomous navigation. As a random search strategy, the Lévy walk is optimal for diverse animals when foraging without external chemical cues. In this study, by combining these biological strategies for the first time, we propose a spiking neural network model for search and contour tracking of specific concentrations of environmental variables. Specifically, we first design a klinotaxis module using spiking neurons. This module works in conjunction with a klinokinesis module, allowing rapid searches for the concentration setpoint and subsequent contour tracking with small deviations. Second, we build a random exploration module. It generates a Lévy walk in the absence of concentration gradients, increasing the chance of encountering gradients. Third, considering local extrema traps, we develop a termination module combined with an escape module to initiate or terminate the escape in a timely manner. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model integrating these modules can switch strategies autonomously according to the information from a single sensor and control steering through output spikes, enabling the model worm to efficiently navigate across various scenarios.

Foreign Exchange Risk Premia and Goods Market Frictions

  • Moon, Seongman
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.3-38
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    • 2015
  • Fama's (1984) volatility relations show that the risk premium in foreign exchange markets is more volatile than, and is negatively correlated with the expected rate of depreciation. This paper studies these relations from the perspective of goods markets frictions. Using a sticky-price general equilibrium model, we show that near-random walk behaviors of both exchange rates and consumption, in response to monetary shocks, can be derived endogenously. Based on this approach, the paper provides quantitative results on Fama's volatility relations.

Modeling and Performance Analysis of Zone-Based Registration for Next Generation Mobile Communication Network (차세대 이동통신망을 위한 영역기준 위치등록의 모형화 및 성능 분석)

  • Kim, Dong-Hoi;Baek, Jang-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.292-303
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    • 2003
  • An efficient mobility management for mobile stations plays an important role in mobile communication network. Two basic operations of mobility management are location registration and paging. A zone-based registration (ZBR) is implemented in most of mobile communication systems and we consider the mobility management scheme that combines a zone-based registration and a selective paging (SP). We propose new analytical model that can reflect on the characteristics of the ZBR based on 2-dimensional random walk mobility model and more efficient paging schemes considering the proposed model. We evaluate the performance of the mobility management scheme with our mobility model to determine the optimal size of location area that will result in the minimum signaling traffic on radio channels. Numerical results are provided to demonstrate that our mobility model is useful to evaluate the ZBR more exactly.