• 제목/요약/키워드: Random regression model

검색결과 499건 처리시간 0.028초

A Study on Improving the predict accuracy rate of Hybrid Model Technique Using Error Pattern Modeling : Using Logistic Regression and Discriminant Analysis

  • Cho, Yong-Jun;Hur, Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.269-278
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents the new hybrid data mining technique using error pattern, modeling of improving classification accuracy. The proposed method improves classification accuracy by combining two different supervised learning methods. The main algorithm generates error pattern modeling between the two supervised learning methods(ex: Neural Networks, Decision Tree, Logistic Regression and so on.) The Proposed modeling method has been applied to the simulation of 10,000 data sets generated by Normal and exponential random distribution. The simulation results show that the performance of proposed method is superior to the existing methods like Logistic regression and Discriminant analysis.

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Prediction of Academic Performance of College Students with Bipolar Disorder using different Deep learning and Machine learning algorithms

  • Peerbasha, S.;Surputheen, M. Mohamed
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권7호
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    • pp.350-358
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    • 2021
  • In modern years, the performance of the students is analysed with lot of difficulties, which is a very important problem in all the academic institutions. The main idea of this paper is to analyze and evaluate the academic performance of the college students with bipolar disorder by applying data mining classification algorithms using Jupiter Notebook, python tool. This tool has been generally used as a decision-making tool in terms of academic performance of the students. The various classifiers could be logistic regression, random forest classifier gini, random forest classifier entropy, decision tree classifier, K-Neighbours classifier, Ada Boost classifier, Extra Tree Classifier, GaussianNB, BernoulliNB are used. The results of such classification model deals with 13 measures like Accuracy, Precision, Recall, F1 Measure, Sensitivity, Specificity, R Squared, Mean Absolute Error, Mean Squared Error, Root Mean Squared Error, TPR, TNR, FPR and FNR. Therefore, conclusion could be reached that the Decision Tree Classifier is better than that of different algorithms.

Usage of coot optimization-based random forests analysis for determining the shallow foundation settlement

  • Yi, Han;Xingliang, Jiang;Ye, Wang;Hui, Wang
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.271-291
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    • 2023
  • Settlement estimation in cohesion materials is a crucial topic to tackle because of the complexity of the cohesion soil texture, which could be solved roughly by substituted solutions. The goal of this research was to implement recently developed machine learning features as effective methods to predict settlement (Sm) of shallow foundations over cohesion soil properties. These models include hybridized support vector regression (SVR), random forests (RF), and coot optimization algorithm (COM), and black widow optimization algorithm (BWOA). The results indicate that all created systems accurately simulated the Sm, with an R2 of better than 0.979 and 0.9765 for the train and test data phases, respectively. This indicates extraordinary efficiency and a good correlation between the experimental and simulated Sm. The model's results outperformed those of ANFIS - PSO, and COM - RF findings were much outstanding to those of the literature. By analyzing established designs utilizing different analysis aspects, such as various error criteria, Taylor diagrams, uncertainty analyses, and error distribution, it was feasible to arrive at the final result that the recommended COM - RF was the outperformed approach in the forecasting process of Sm of shallow foundation, while other techniques were also reliable.

Application of a comparative analysis of random forest programming to predict the strength of environmentally-friendly geopolymer concrete

  • Ying Bi;Yeng Yi
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제50권4호
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    • pp.443-458
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    • 2024
  • The construction industry, one of the biggest producers of greenhouse emissions, is under a lot of pressure as a result of growing worries about how climate change may affect local communities. Geopolymer concrete (GPC) has emerged as a feasible choice for construction materials as a result of the environmental issues connected to the manufacture of cement. The findings of this study contribute to the development of machine learning methods for estimating the properties of eco-friendly concrete, which might be used in lieu of traditional concrete to reduce CO2 emissions in the building industry. In the present work, the compressive strength (fc) of GPC is calculated using random forests regression (RFR) methodology where natural zeolite (NZ) and silica fume (SF) replace ground granulated blast-furnace slag (GGBFS). From the literature, a thorough set of experimental experiments on GPC samples were compiled, totaling 254 data rows. The considered RFR integrated with artificial hummingbird optimization (AHA), black widow optimization algorithm (BWOA), and chimp optimization algorithm (ChOA), abbreviated as ARFR, BRFR, and CRFR. The outcomes obtained for RFR models demonstrated satisfactory performance across all evaluation metrics in the prediction procedure. For R2 metric, the CRFR model gained 0.9988 and 0.9981 in the train and test data set higher than those for BRFR (0.9982 and 0.9969), followed by ARFR (0.9971 and 0.9956). Some other error and distribution metrics depicted a roughly 50% improvement for CRFR respect to ARFR.

쾌삭 303계 스테인리스강 소형 압연 선재 제조 공정의 생산품질 예측 모형 (Quality Prediction Model for Manufacturing Process of Free-Machining 303-series Stainless Steel Small Rolling Wire Rods)

  • 서석준;김흥섭
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제44권4호
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    • pp.12-22
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    • 2021
  • This article suggests the machine learning model, i.e., classifier, for predicting the production quality of free-machining 303-series stainless steel(STS303) small rolling wire rods according to the operating condition of the manufacturing process. For the development of the classifier, manufacturing data for 37 operating variables were collected from the manufacturing execution system(MES) of Company S, and the 12 types of derived variables were generated based on literature review and interviews with field experts. This research was performed with data preprocessing, exploratory data analysis, feature selection, machine learning modeling, and the evaluation of alternative models. In the preprocessing stage, missing values and outliers are removed, and oversampling using SMOTE(Synthetic oversampling technique) to resolve data imbalance. Features are selected by variable importance of LASSO(Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) regression, extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost), and random forest models. Finally, logistic regression, support vector machine(SVM), random forest, and XGBoost are developed as a classifier to predict the adequate or defective products with new operating conditions. The optimal hyper-parameters for each model are investigated by the grid search and random search methods based on k-fold cross-validation. As a result of the experiment, XGBoost showed relatively high predictive performance compared to other models with an accuracy of 0.9929, specificity of 0.9372, F1-score of 0.9963, and logarithmic loss of 0.0209. The classifier developed in this study is expected to improve productivity by enabling effective management of the manufacturing process for the STS303 small rolling wire rods.

Random Forests 기법을 이용한 백내장 예측모형 - 일개 대학병원 건강검진 수검자료에서 - (A Prediction Model for the Development of Cataract Using Random Forests)

  • 한은정;송기준;김동건
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.771-780
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    • 2009
  • 백내장 질환은 노령인구가 증가하고 있는 시점에서 사회, 경제적으로 심각한 문제로 부각되고 있는 질병으로 조기 진단이 이루어진다면 발병률을 크게 줄일 수 있는 질병이다. 본 연구에서는 백내장을 조기 진단하기 위한 예측 모형을 구축하고자 1994년부터 2001년까지 연세대학병원에서 2회 이상 건강검진을 받고 의사진단을 통해 백내장 여부를 확인할 수 있는 30세 이상 남 녀 3,237명에 대한 건강검진 수검 자료를 활용하여 백내장 발생 위험 예측모형을 개발하였다. 모형개발에는 데이터마이닝 기법인 Random Forests를 사용하였고, 기존의 로지스틱 회귀분석, 판별분석, 의사결정나무 모형(Decision tree), 나이브베이즈(Naive Bayes), 앙상블 모형인 배깅(Bagging)과 아킹(Arcing)을 이용하여 그 성능을 비교 분석하였다. Random Forests를 통해 개발한 백내장 발생 예측모형은 정확도가 67.16%, 민감도가 72.28%였고, 주요 영향요인은 연령, 혈당, 백혈구수치(WBC), 혈소판수치(platelet), 중성지질(triglyceride), BMI였다. 이 결과는 의사의 안과검진 정보 없이 건강검진 수검 자료만으로 백내장 질환 유 무에 관한 정보를 70% 정도 예측할 수 있음을 보여주는 것으로, 백내장의 조기 진단에 많은 기여를 할 것으로 판단된다.

다중선형회귀와 기계학습 모델을 이용한 PM10 농도 예측 및 평가 (Evaluation and Predicting PM10 Concentration Using Multiple Linear Regression and Machine Learning)

  • 손상훈;김진수
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제36권6_3호
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    • pp.1711-1720
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    • 2020
  • 최근 급속한 산업화와 도시화로 인해 인위적으로 발생하는 미세먼지(Particulate matter, PM)는 기상 조건에 따라 이동 및 분산되면서 피부와 호흡기 등 인체에 악영향을 미친다. 본 연구는 기상인자를 multiple linear regression(MLR), support vector machine(SVM), 그리고 random forest(RF) 모델의 입력자료로 하여 서울시 PM10 농도를 예측하고, 모델 간 성능을 비교 평가하는데 그 목적을 둔다. 먼저 서울시에 소재한 39개소 대기오염측정망(air quality monitoring sites, AQMS)에서 관측된 PM10 농도 자료를 8:2 비율로 구분하여 모델 훈련과 검증 데이터셋으로 사용되었다. 또한 기상관측소(automatic weather system, AWS)에서 관측되고 있는 자료 중 9개 기상인자(평균기온, 최고기온, 최저기온, 일 강수량, 평균풍속, 최대순간풍속, 최대순간풍속풍향, 황사발생유무, 상대습도)가 모델의 입력자료로 선정되었다. 각 AQMS에서 관측된 PM10 농도와 MLR, SVM, 그리고 RF 모델에 의해 예측된 PM10 농도 간 결정계수(R2)는 각각 0.260, 0.772, 그리고 0.793이었고, RF 모델이 PM10 농도 예측에 가장 높은 성능을 나타냈다. 특히 모델 검증에 사용되는 AQMS 중 관악구와 강남대로 AQMS는 상대적으로 AWS에 가까워 SVM과 RF 모델에서 높은 정확도를 나타냈다. 종로구 AQMS는 AWS에서 비교적 멀리 떨어져 있지만, 인접한 두 AQMS 데이터가 모델 학습에 사용되었기 때문에 두 모델에서 높은 정확도를 나타냈다. 반면 용산구 AQMS는 AQMS 및 AWS에서 비교적 멀리 떨어져 있기에 두 모델의 성능이 낮게 나타냈다.

머신러닝을 이용한 경기도 화재위험요인 예측분석 (Predictive Analysis of Fire Risk Factors in Gyeonggi-do Using Machine Learning)

  • 서민송;에베르 엔리케 카스티요 오소리오;유환희
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제39권6호
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    • pp.351-361
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    • 2021
  • 화재는 막대한 재산과 인명피해를 초래하고 있으며 크고 작은 화재가 지속해서 발생하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 화재 유형별로 화재에 영향을 미치는 각종 위험요인을 예측하고자 한다. 전국에서 화재 발생 건수가 가장 많은 경기도를 대상으로 화재발생위험요인 예측분석을 실시하였다. 또한, 머신러닝 방법인 SVM, RF, GBRT를 활용하여 각 모형의 정확성을 MAE,RMSE를 통해 적합도가 높은 모형을 제시하였으며 이를 토대로 경기도 화재발생요인 예측분석을 실시하였다. 머신러닝 방법 3가지를 비교분석한 결과 RF가 MAE 1.517, RMSE 1.820으로 나타났으며 MAE, RMSE 검증데이터 및 시험데이터의 경우 MAE값 0.024, RMSE값 0.12의 차이로 매우 유사하게 나타나 가장 우수한 예측력으로 나타났다. RF기법을 적용하여 분석한 결과 공통적으로 발화장소가 화재발생에 가장 큰 영향을 주는 위험요인으로 나타났다. 이러한 연구 결과는 화재발생에 영향을 주는 요인들의 위험순서를 파악하여 화재안전관리의 유용한 자료로 활용될 것으로 예상된다.

Predicting the Young's modulus of frozen sand using machine learning approaches: State-of-the-art review

  • Reza Sarkhani Benemaran;Mahzad Esmaeili-Falak
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.507-527
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    • 2023
  • Accurately estimation of the geo-mechanical parameters in Artificial Ground Freezing (AGF) is a most important scientific topic in soil improvement and geotechnical engineering. In order for this, one way is using classical and conventional constitutive models based on different theories like critical state theory, Hooke's law, and so on, which are time-consuming, costly, and troublous. The others are the application of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to predict considered parameters and behaviors accurately. This study presents a comprehensive data-mining-based model for predicting the Young's Modulus of frozen sand under the triaxial test. For this aim, several single and hybrid models were considered including additive regression, bagging, M5-Rules, M5P, random forests (RF), support vector regression (SVR), locally weighted linear (LWL), gaussian process regression (GPR), and multi-layered perceptron neural network (MLP). In the present study, cell pressure, strain rate, temperature, time, and strain were considered as the input variables, where the Young's Modulus was recognized as target. The results showed that all selected single and hybrid predicting models have acceptable agreement with measured experimental results. Especially, hybrid Additive Regression-Gaussian Process Regression and Bagging-Gaussian Process Regression have the best accuracy based on Model performance assessment criteria.

Multi-Layer Perceptron과 Random Forest를 이용한 실린더 판재의 성형 조건 예측 (Application of Multi-Layer Perceptron and Random Forest Method for Cylinder Plate Forming)

  • 김성겸;황세윤;이장현
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제57권5호
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    • pp.297-304
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the prediction method was reviewed to process a cylindrical plate forming using machine learning as a data-driven approach by roll bending equipment. The calculation of the forming variables was based on the analysis using the mechanical relationship between the material properties and the roll bending machine in the bending process. Then, by applying the finite element analysis method, the accuracy of the deformation prediction model was reviewed, and a large number data set was created to apply to machine learning using the finite element analysis model for deformation prediction. As a result of the application of the machine learning model, it was confirmed that the calculation is slightly higher than the linear regression method. Applicable results were confirmed through the machine learning method.