• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall-Runoff Analysis

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Water Ouantity/Quality Analysis and Pollutants Load Estimation in Sillicheon River, Jumunjin, Gangneung (강릉 신리천의 수량 수질 분석 및 오염부하량 추정)

  • Cho Hong Yeon;Kim Chang Il;Lee Dal Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.196-205
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    • 2004
  • Water qualities (WQ) were measured biweekly from April 2nd to October 29th, 2003 in Sillicheon flowing into the entrance of Jumunjin Harbour and daily water quantities (river discharges) were estimated by the TANK model which has been widely used to compute the runoff discharges in the ungauged watersheds. The spatial and temporal change patterns of the measured WQs were analysed in detail and the correlation between rainfall - WQ and river discharge - WQ were also analysed. From this results, it is found that the correlation coefficient between BOD concentration and rainfall is 0.75 and between the SS concentration and 2-days river discharge is 0.36. The correlation between the COD, TN, TP in the station of Silli Lower Bridge and rainfall runoff quantity was analysed as un-correlated items. As a consequence, the estimated BOD and SS pollutants loads are reliable and show good change patterns even though the accuracy of SS pollutants load is slightly low. The estimated COD, TN and TP pollutants loads, however, can be used only as the reference or averaged values. In order to analyse more accurately the temporal change patterns of these items, more-detailed researches considering the artificial effects and landuse patterns are highly required.

Flow Analysis of Urban Combined Sewer by Personal Computer (개인 전산기를 이용한 도시합류관거의 흐름해석)

  • Jun, Byung Ho;Lee, Hyung Gee;Koo, Ja Kong;Shin, Hang Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.127-140
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    • 1988
  • The management of sewage and rainfall runoff becomes an emerging problem with the growth of urban communities. From the uncontrollable excess intensity or amount of rainfall, the conditions of sewer surcharge or manhole overflow could be generated in the combined sewer network where municipal or industrial wastewaters and rainfall runoff flow. The predictive model far the prevention of property and human life losses from this inundation was studied in this research. In the development of a mathematical flow model for the combined sewer surcharge and overflow, the Preissmann Slot concept and the four-point implicit method of finite difference were utilized. For the usage in personal computer, the overlapping segment method that required less memory storage was adopted. Through the simulation of hypothetical sewer network, the conservation of discharge volume was checked, and the usefulness of the Preissmann Slot was assured from the temporal distribution of discharge and depth along the sewer network. Also the possible field application for the correction of sewer diameters and slopes in the design of sewer network which has no surcharge/overflow condition was suggested.

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The Relationship between Parameters of the SWAT Model and the Geomorphological Characteristics of a Watershed (SWAT 모형의 매개변수와 유역의 지형학적 특성 관계)

  • Lee, Woong Hee;Lee, Ji Haeng;Park, Ji Hun;Choi, Heung Sik
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2016
  • The correlation relationships and their corresponding equations between the geomorphological parameters and the Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model parameters by Sequential Uncertainty Fitting - version 2 (SUFI-2) algorithm of SWAT Calibration and Uncertainty Programs (SWAT-CUP) were developed at the Seom-river experimental watershed. The parameters of the SWAT model at the Soksa-river experimental watershed were estimated by the developed equations. The SWAT model parameters were estimated by SUFI-2 algorithm of SWAT-CUP with rainfall-runoff data from the Soksa-river experimental watershed from 2000 to 2007. Rainfall-runoff simulation of the SWAT model was carried out at the Soksa-river experimental watershed from 2000 to 2007 for the applicability of the estimated parameters by the developed equations. The root mean square errors (RMSE) between the observed and the simulated rainfall-runoffs using the estimated parameters by developed equations of correlation analysis and the optimum parameters by SUFI-2 of SWAT-CUP were $1.09m^3/s$ and $0.93m^3/s$ respectively at the Soksa-river experimental watershed from 2000 to 2007. Therefore, it is considered that the parameter estimation of the SWAT model by the geomorphological characteristics parameters has applicability.

Analysis of Impact of Hydrologic Data on Neuro-Fuzzy Technique Result (수문자료가 Neuro-Fuzzy 기법 결과에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Ji, Jungwon;Choi, Changwon;Yi, Jaeeung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1413-1424
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    • 2013
  • Recently, the frequency of severe storms increases in Korea. Severe storms occurring in a short time cause huge losses of both life and property. A considerable research has been performed for the flood control system development based on an accurate stream discharge prediction. A physical model is mainly used for flood forecasting and warning. Physical rainfall-runoff models used for the conventional flood forecasting process require extensive information and data, and include uncertainties which can possibly accumulate errors during modelling processes. ANFIS, a data driven model combining neural network and fuzzy technique, can decrease the amount of physical data required for the construction of a conventional physical models and easily construct and evaluate a flood forecasting model by utilizing only rainfall and water level data. A data driven model, however, has a disadvantage that it does not provide the mathematical and physical correlations between input and output data of the model. The characteristics of a data driven model according to functional options and input data such as the change of clustering radius and training data length used in the ANFIS model were analyzed in this study. In addition, the applicability of ANFIS was evaluated through comparison with the results of HEC-HMS which is widely used for rainfall-runoff model in Korea. The neuro-fuzzy technique was applied to a Cheongmicheon Basin in the South Han River using the observed precipitation and stream level data from 2007 to 2011.

Evaluation of the Clark Unit Hydrograph Parameters Depending on Basin and Meteorological Condition: 2. Estimation of Parameter Variability (유역 및 기상상태를 고려한 Clark 단위도의 매개변수 평가: 2. 매개변수의 변동성 추정)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Lee, Ji-Ho;Kim, Kee-Wook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.2 s.175
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    • pp.171-182
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    • 2007
  • In this study, as a method for decreasing the confidence interval of the estimates of Clark hydrograph's concentration time and storage coefficient, regression equations of these parameters with respect to those of rainfall, meteorology, and basin characteristics are derived and analyzed using the Monte Carlo simulation technique. The results are also reviewed by comparing them with those derived by applying the Bootstrap technique and empirical equations. Results derived from this research are summarized as follows. (1) Even in case of limited rainfall events are available, it is possible to estimate the mean runoff characteristics by considering the affecting factors to runoff characteristics. (2) It is also possible to use the Monte Carlo simulation technique for estimating and evaluating the confidence intervals for concentration time and storage coefficient. The confidence intervals estimated in this study were found much narrower than those of Yoo et al. (2006). (3) A supporting result could also be derived using the Bootstrap technique. However, at least 20 independent rainfall events are necessary to get a rather significant result for concentration time and storage coefficient. (4) No empirical equations are found to be properly applicable for the study basin. However, empirical equations like the Kraven(I) and Kraven(II) are found valid for the estimation of concentration time, on the other hand the Linsley is found valid for the storage coefficient In this study basin. But users of these empirical formula should be careful as these also provide a wide range of possible values.

Estimation of Future Long-Term Riverbed Fluctuations and Aggregate Extraction Volume Using Climate Change Scenarios: A Case Study of the Nonsan River Basin (기후변화시나리오를 이용한 미래 장기하상변동 및 골재 채취량 산정: 논산천을 사례로)

  • Dae Eop Lee;Min Seok Kim;Hyun Ju Oh
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2024
  • The objective of this study is to estimate riverbed fluctuations and the volume of aggregate extraction attributable to climate change. Rainfall-runoff modeling, utilizing the SWAT model based on climate change scenarios, as well as long-term riverbed fluctuation modeling, employing the HEC-RAS model, were conducted for the Nonsan River basin. The analysis of rainfall-runoff and sediment transport under the SSP5-8.5 scenario for the early part of the future indicates that differences in annual precipitation may exceed 600 mm, resulting in a corresponding variation in the basin's sediment discharge by more than 30,000 tons per year. Additionally, long-term riverbed fluctuation modeling of the lower reaches of the Nonsan Stream has identified a potential aggregate extraction area. It is estimated that aggregate extraction could be feasible within a 2.455 km stretch upstream, approximately 4.6 to 6.9 km from the confluence with the Geum River. These findings suggest that the risk of climate crises, such as extreme rainfall or droughts, could increase due to abnormal weather conditions, and the increase in variability could affect long-term aggregate extraction. Therefore, it is considered important to take into account the impact of climate change in future long-term aggregate extraction planning and policy formulation.

Development and evaluation of dam inflow prediction method based on Bayesian method (베이지안 기법 기반의 댐 예측유입량 산정기법 개발 및 평가)

  • Kim, Seon-Ho;So, Jae-Min;Kang, Shin-Uk;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.7
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    • pp.489-502
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study is to propose and evaluate the BAYES-ESP, which is a dam inflow prediction method based on Ensemble Streamflow Prediction method (ESP) and Bayesian theory. ABCD rainfall-runoff model was used to predict monthly dam inflow. Monthly meteorological data collected from KMA, MOLIT and K-water and dam inflow data collected from K-water were used for the model calibration and verification. To estimate the performance of ABCD model, ESP and BAYES-ESP method, time series analysis and skill score (SS) during 1986~2015 were used. In time series analysis monthly ESP dam inflow prediction values were nearly similar for every years, particularly less accurate in wet and dry years. The proposed BAYES-ESP improved the performance of ESP, especially in wet year. The SS was used for quantitative analysis of monthly mean of observed dam inflows, predicted values from ESP and BAYES-ESP. The results indicated that the SS values of ESP were relatively high in January, February and March but negative values in the other months. It also showed that the BAYES-ESP improved ESP when the values from ESP and observation have a relatively apparent linear relationship. We concluded that the existing ESP method has a limitation to predict dam inflow in Korea due to the seasonality of precipitation pattern and the proposed BAYES-ESP is meaningful for improving dam inflow prediction accuracy of ESP.

Application of dual drainage system model for inundation analysis of complex watershed (복합유역의 침수해석을 위한 이중배수체계 유출모형의 적용)

  • Lee, Jaejoon;Kwak, Changjae;Lee, Sungho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.4
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    • pp.301-312
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    • 2019
  • The importance of the dual drainage system model has increased as the urban flood damage has increased due to the increase of local storm due to climate change. The dual drainage model is a model for more accurately expressing the phenomena of surface flow and conduit flow. Surface runoff and pipe runoff are analyzed through the respective equations and parameters. And the results are expressed visually in various ways. Therefore, inundation analysis results of dual drainage model are used as important data for urban flood prevention plan. In this study, the applicability of the COBRA model, which can be interpreted by combining the dual drainage system with the natural watershed and the urban watershed, was investigated. And the results were compared with other dual drainage models (XP-SWMM, UFAM) to determine suitability of the results. For the same watershed, the XP-SWMM simulates the flooding characteristics of 3 types of dual drainage system model and the internal flooding characteristics due to the lack of capacity of the conduit. UFAM showed the lowest inundation analysis results compared with the other models according to characteristics of consideration of street inlet. COBRA showed the general result that the flooded area and the maximum flooding depth are proportional to the increase in rainfall. It is considered that the COBRA model is good in terms of the stability of the model considering the characteristics of the model to simulate the effective rainfall according to the soil conditions and the realistic appearance of the flooding due to the surface reservoir.

A Plot Scale Experiment to Analysis the NPS Reduction by Silt Fence and Vegetated Ridge for Non-Irrigated Cropland (실트펜스와 식생밭두렁 적용을 통한 밭 비점오염 저감효과 분석을 위한 포장실험 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Jae;Park, Tae-Yang;Kim, Sung-Min;Jang, Jeong-Ryeol;Kim, Sang-Min
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this study was to test the pollutant reduction effect by the silt fence and vegetated ridge through field monitoring. The experiment plots were established with two replication and three treatments. Each plot was designed with 5 m width, 22 m length, and 3 % slope. Flumes with the floating type stage gages were installed at the outlet of each plot to monitor the runoff. For a rainfall monitoring, tipping bucket rain gage was installed within the experiment site. Cultivated crops were spring daikon and autumn chinese cabbage. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) indicated that the water quality concentration from three experiment plots were not significantly different in 5 % of significant level. The monitoring results showed that the average pollution loads reduced by silt fence compared to control were SS 75.33 %, TN 40.87 %, TP 56.58 %, BOD 52.12 %, COD 36.07 %, TOC 34.99 %; by vegetated ridge compard to control were SS 65.27 %, TN 81.80 %, TP 54.26 %, BOD 67.09 %, COD 46.55 %, TOC 43.30 %. Analysis of Spearman's rank correlation coefficient showed that BOD-SS and SS-Turbidity were highly related at the silt fence and vegetated ridge plots. In all plots, SS-Turbidity and TP-TN relations were relatively high. The monitoring results showed that the silt fence and vegetated ridge were effect method to reduce the pollutant loads from the field runoff. Long-term monitoring is required to obtain more quantitative reduction effect for diverse crops and to increase the reliability of results.

Comparative analysis of ONE parameter hydrological model on domestic watershed (ONE 모형의 국내유역 적용 및 비교 분석)

  • Ko, Heemin;An, Hyunuk;Noh, Jaekyung;Lee, Seungjun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.1
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    • pp.59-72
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    • 2024
  • Agricultural reservoirs supply water for various purposes such as irrigation, maintenance, and living. Since agricultural reservoirs respond sensitively to seasonal and climate changes, it is essential to estimate supply and inflow for efficient operation, and water management should be done based on these data. However, in the case of agricultural reservoirs, the measurement of supply and inflow is relatively insufficient compared to multi-purpose dams, and inflow-supply analysis in agricultural reservoirs through water balance analysis is necessary for efficient water management. Therefore, rainfall-runoff analysis models such as ONE model and Tank model have been developed and used for reservoir water balance analysis, but the applicability analysis for ungauged watersheds is insufficient. The ONE model is designed for daily runoff calculation, and the model has one parameter, which is advantageous for calibration and ungauged watershed analysis. In this study, the water balance was analyzed through the ONE model and the Tank model for 15 watersheds upstream of dams, and R2 and NSE were used to quantitatively compare the performance of the two models. The simulation results show that the ONE model is suitable for predicting the inflow of agricultural reservoirs with the ungauged watershed