• 제목/요약/키워드: Rainfall elasticity

검색결과 4건 처리시간 0.019초

The Potential Effects of Climate Change on Streamflow in Rivers Basin of Korea Using Rainfall Elasticity

  • Kim, Byung Sik;Hong, Seung Jin;Lee, Hyun Dong
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, the rainfall elasticity of streamflow was estimated to quantify the effects of climate change on 5 river basins. Rainfall elasticity denotes the sensitivity of annual streamflow for the variations of potential annual rainfall. This is a simple, useful method that evaluates how the balance of a water cycle on river basins changes due to long-term climate change and offers information to manage water resources and environment systems. The elasticity method was first used by Schaake in 1990 and is commonly used in the United States and Australia. A semi-distributed hydrological model (SLURP, semi-distributed land use-based runoff processes) was used to simulate the variations of area streamflow, and potential evapotranspiration. A nonparametric method was then used to estimate the rainfall elasticity on five river basins of Korea. In addition, the A2 (SRES IPCC AR4, Special Report on Emission Scenarios IPCC Fourth Assessment Report) climate change scenario and stochastic downscaling technique were used to create a high-resolution weather change scenario in river basins, and the effects of climate change on the rainfall elasticity of each basin were then analyzed.

기후변화를 고려한 낙동강 유역의 수온과 수질 탄성도 분석 (Elasticity Analyses between Water Temperature and Water Quality considering Climate Change in Nak-dong River Basin)

  • 손태석;이규열;임태효;신현석
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.830-840
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    • 2011
  • Climate change has been settled as pending issues to consider water resources and environment all over the world, however, scientific and quantitative assessment methods of climate change have never been standardized. When South Korea headed toward water deficiency nation, the study is not only required analysis of atmospheric or hydrologic factors, but also demanded analysis of correlation with water quality environment factors to gain management policies about climate change. Therefore, this study explored appropriate monthly rainfall elasticity in chosen 41 unit watersheds in Nak-dong river which is the biggest river in Korea and applied monitored discharge data in 2004 to 2009 with monthly rainfall using Thiessen method. Each unit watershed drew elasticity between water temperature and water quality factors such as BOD, COD, SS, T-N, and T-P. Moreover, this study performed non-linear correlation analysis with monitored discharge data. Based on results of analysis, this is first steps of climate change analysis using long-term monitoring to develop basic data by Nak-dong river Environmental Research Center (Ministry of Environment) and to draw quantitative results for reliable forecasting. Secondary, the results considered characteristic of air temperature and rainfall in each unit watershed so that the study has significance its various statistical applications. Finally, this study stands for developing comparable data through "The 4 major river restoration" project by Korea government before and after which cause water quality and water environment changes.

순서형 프로빗 모형을 이용한 강우시 시내버스 이용수요의 변동분석 (Analysis of Intra-city Bus Demand during Rainfall Using Ordered Probit Model)

  • 정헌영;송금영;김광욱
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.43-54
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    • 2011
  • 부산시는 시내버스 준공영제 시행 후 적자노선에 대한 재정지원금의 부담이 점점 증가하고 있는 실정이다. 이는 지방 재정에 큰 부담으로 작용하고 있어, 이를 해결하는 것은 시내버스 시스템 개선을 위한 큰 과제이다. 도시교통에 있어 강우는 시내버스 수요에 큰 영향을 미치는 요인 중에 하나이다. 따라서 이 연구를 통해 강우가 시내버스 이용수요에 끼치는 영향을 알아보고자 한다. 실제 시내버스 이용자를 대상으로 강우에 따른 시내버스 이용실태와 강우량에 따른 시내버스 이용의식을 조사였다. 이를 바탕으로 순서형 프로빗 모형을 통한 강우에 따른 시내버스 예측모형을 구축하였으며, 강우량에 따른 시내버스 이용탄력도에 대하여 분석하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 시내버스 이용활성화를 촉진할 수 있는 자료로 사용될 것이며, 향후 시내버스 시스템 개선에 있어 중요한 기초자료로 활용될 것으로 기대한다.

Evaluation of Growth and Wood Traits in E. camaldulensis and Interspecific Eucalypt Hybrid Clones Raised at Three Diverse Sites in Southern India

  • Rathinam Kamalakannan;Suraj Poreyana Ganapathy;Shri Ram Shukla;Mohan Varghese;Chandramana Easwaran Namboothiri Jayasree
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2023
  • Twenty-five Eucalyptus clones (14 E. camaldulensis - EC and 11 interspecific eucalypt hybrid clones - EH) grown in three contrasting sites were evaluated for the growth and few wood traits at 4 years of age. The stability, genotype-site interaction and suitability of these clones for pulp and solid wood industry sectors were studied. Growth of eucalypt clones was significantly higher at site 1 with higher rainfall, but wood density did not differ significantly from lower rainfall sites. Kraft pulp yield (KPY) decreased from sites 1 to 3 based on moisture availability, but not between two groups of clones. Volumetric shrinkage (VS) was significantly higher in EC clones at site 3 with lowest rainfall, but there was no specific trend at other two sites with maximum (site 1) and intermediate (site 2) rainfall. The mechanical traits modulus of rupture (MOR) and modulus of elasticity (MOE) were at par in sites 1 and 2, but significantly lower at the driest site 3. The growth rate had a significant positive correlation with KPY, MOR and MOE and a negative correlation with VS, but no significant impact on wood density in both groups of clones. Genotype×environment interaction (G×E) was evident in most traits due to the difference in response of clones to moisture availability. Since wood density was negatively correlated to KPY, it has to be kept at an optimum level for the profitability of pulp industry. There was no significant difference between EC and EH clones for most traits except VS at site 3. Stability of clones varied across sites in different traits, and hence clones may be selected for deployment at each site by screening for growth, followed by wood density, considering the relationship of growth and density with other traits required by pulp and solid wood industry sectors.