• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall Error

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Determination of Optimal Unit Hydrographs and Infiltration Rate Functions at the site of the Su-Jik Bridge in the HwangGuJichen River (황구지천 수직교 지점에서의 최적 단위도 및 침투율의 결정)

  • Ahn, Taejin;Cho, Byung Doon;Lyu, Heui Jeong
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2005
  • This paper is to present the determination of the optimal loss rate parameters and unit hydrographs from the observed single rainfall-runoff event using optimization model. The linear program models has been formulated to derive the optimal unit hydrographs and loss rate parameters for the site of the Su-Jik Bridge in the HwangGuJichen River; one minimizes the summation of the absolute residual between predicted and observed runoff ordinates. In the perturbation stage of parameters the trial and error method has been adopted to determine the loss rate parameters for Kostiakov's, Philip's, Horton's, and Green-Ampt's equation. The unique unit hydrograph ordinates for a given rainfall-runoff event is exclusively obtained with ${\Phi}$ index, but unit hydrograph ordinates depend upon the parameters for each loss rate equations. In this paper the single rainfall-runoff event observed from the sample watershed is considered to test the proposed method. The optimal unit hydrograph obtained by the optimization model has smaller deviations than the ones by the conventional method.

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Estimation of High-Resolution Soil Moisture Using Sentinel-1A/B SAR and Soil Moisture Data Assimilation Scheme (Sentinel-1A/B SAR와 토양수분자료동화기법을 이용한 고해상도 토양수분 산정)

  • Kim, Sangwoo;Lee, Taehwa;Chun, Beomseok;Jung, Younghun;Jang, Won Seok;Sur, Chanyang;Shin, Yongchul
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.6
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2020
  • We estimated the spatio-temporally distributed soil moisture using Sentinel-1A/B SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) sensor images and soil moisture data assimilation technique in South Korea. Soil moisture data assimilation technique can extract the hydraulic parameters of soils using observed soil moisture and GA (Genetic Algorithm). The SWAP (Soil Water Atmosphere Plant) model associated with a soil moisture assimilation technique simulates the soil moisture using the soil hydraulic parameters and meteorological data as input data. The soil moisture based on Sentinel-1A/B was validated and evaluated using the pearson correlation and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) analysis between estimated soil moisture and TDR soil moisture. The soil moisture data assimilation technique derived the soil hydraulic parameters using Sentinel-1A/B based soil moisture images, ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System) weather data and TRMM (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission)/GPM (Global Precipitation Measurement) rainfall data. The derived soil hydrological parameters as the input data to SWAP were used to simulate the daily soil moisture values at the spatial domain from 2001 to 2018 using the TRMM/GPM satellite rainfall data. Overall, the simulated soil moisture estimates matched well with the TDR measurements and Sentinel-1A/B based soil moisture under various land surface conditions (bare soil, crop, forest, and urban).

Development of bias correction scheme for high resolution precipitation forecast (고해상도 강수량 수치예보에 대한 편의 보정 기법 개발)

  • Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kim, Ji-Sung;Kim, Kyu-Ho;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.7
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    • pp.575-584
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    • 2018
  • An increase in heavy rainfall and floods have been observed over South Korea due to recent abnormal weather. In this perspective, the high-resolution weather forecasts have been widely used to facilitate flood management. However, these models are known to be biased due to initial conditions and topographical conditions in the process of model building. Theretofore, a bias correction scheme is largely applied for the practical use of the prediction to flood management. This study introduces a new mean field bias correction (MFBC) approach for the high-resolution numerical rainfall products, which is based on a Bayesian Kriging model to combine an interpolation technique and MFBC approach for spatial representation of the error. The results showed that the proposed method can reliably estimate the bias correction factor over ungauged area with an improvement in the reduction of errors. Moreover, it can be seen that the bias corrected rainfall forecasts could be used up to 72 hours ahead with a relatively high accuracy.

Development of Empirical Formulas for Storage Function Method (저류함수법의 매개변수 산정식 개발)

  • Choi, Jong-Nam;Ahn, Won-Shik;Kim, Tae-Gyun;Chung, Gun-Hui
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.125-130
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    • 2009
  • Storage function method which considers the non-linearity of the relationship between rainfall and runoff has been frequently used to predict runoff in a basin and a flood pattern. However, it is time-consuming to estimate appropriate parameters of every basin and rainfall event, which requires the empirical parameter equation applicable in Korea. In this study, multiple regression analysis is used to develop empirical equations to estimate parameters of Storage Function method using basin characteristics. The basin area, maximum stream length, and stream slope are considered as the basin characteristics as the result of the regression analysis. Collinearity is removed and trial-and-error method is used to choose the most descriptive parameters to the dependent variables in Han River basin which is divided into 30 subbasins. The developed equations are validated using the rainfall events in MunMak gauging station and named as 'Han River equation'. The equation could provide the useful information about Storage Function method parameter to calculate runoff from a basin and predict river stage.

The Effects of Infiltration Rate of Foundation Ground Under the Bioretention on the Runoff Reduction Efficiency (식생체류지의 원지반 침투율이 유출량 저감효과에 미치는 영향모의)

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong;Jung, Kwang-Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.72-77
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    • 2019
  • Soil type in LID infiltration practices plays a major role in runoff reduction efficacy. In this study, the effects of infiltration rate of foundation ground under bioretention on annual runoff reduction rate was evaluated using LIDMOD3 which is a simple excel based model for evaluating LID practices. A bioretention area of about 3.2 % was required to capture surface runoff from an impervious area for a 25.4 mm rainfall event. The relative error of runoff from bioretention using LIDMOD3 is 10 % less than that of SWMM5.1 for a total rainfall event of 257.1 mm during the period of Aug. 1 ~ 18, 2017, hence, the applicability of LIDMOD3 was confirmed. Annual runoff reduction rates for the period 2008 ~ 2017 were evaluated for various infiltration rates of foundation ground under the bioretention which ranged from 0.001 to 0.600 m/day and were converted to annual runoff reduction for hydrologic soil group. The runoff reduction rates within hydrologic soil group C and D were steeply increased through increased infiltration rate but not steep within hydrologic A and B with reduction rates ranging from 53 ~ 68 %. The estimated time required to completely empty a bioretention which has a storage depth of 0.632 m is 3.5 ~ 6.9 days and we could assume that the annual average of antecedent rainfall is longer than 3.5 ~ 6.9 days. Therefore, we recommended B type as the minimum hydrologic soil group installed LID infiltration practices for high runoff reduction rate.

Application of deep convolutional neural network for short-term precipitation forecasting using weather radar-based images

  • Le, Xuan-Hien;Jung, Sungho;Lee, Giha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.136-136
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    • 2021
  • In this study, a deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) model is proposed for short-term precipitation forecasting using weather radar-based images. The DCNN model is a combination of convolutional neural networks, autoencoder neural networks, and U-net architecture. The weather radar-based image data used here are retrieved from competition for rainfall forecasting in Korea (AI Contest for Rainfall Prediction of Hydroelectric Dam Using Public Data), organized by Dacon under the sponsorship of the Korean Water Resources Association in October 2020. This data is collected from rainy events during the rainy season (April - October) from 2010 to 2017. These images have undergone a preprocessing step to convert from weather radar data to grayscale image data before they are exploited for the competition. Accordingly, each of these gray images covers a spatial dimension of 120×120 pixels and has a corresponding temporal resolution of 10 minutes. Here, each pixel corresponds to a grid of size 4km×4km. The DCNN model is designed in this study to provide 10-minute predictive images in advance. Then, precipitation information can be obtained from these forecast images through empirical conversion formulas. Model performance is assessed by comparing the Score index, which is defined based on the ratio of MAE (mean absolute error) to CSI (critical success index) values. The competition results have demonstrated the impressive performance of the DCNN model, where the Score value is 0.530 compared to the best value from the competition of 0.500, ranking 16th out of 463 participating teams. This study's findings exhibit the potential of applying the DCNN model to short-term rainfall prediction using weather radar-based images. As a result, this model can be applied to other areas with different spatiotemporal resolutions.

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A Proposal of Quality Evaluation Methodology for Radar Data (레이더 자료의 품질평가 기법 제안)

  • Yoo, Chulsang;Yoon, Jungsoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.5B
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    • pp.429-435
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    • 2010
  • This study proposed a methodology for evaluating the radar rainfall data, whose basic idea is similar to the analysis of variance in statistics. This method enables us to represent separately the error from the bias and that from the data variability. The proposed method was then applied to two storm events for its evaluation. As results, the error from the bias was found to comprises most of the raw radar data error, which becomes significantly decreased in the quality improved cases. On the other hand, the error from the data variability was rather increased due to the quality improvement procedure. The proposed methodology was found to be effective for evaluating the data quality of a storm event for steps of quality improvement, but has a limitation for comparing qualities of storm events. This limitation should be implemented for its general application.

Application of a Grid-Based Rainfall-Runoff Model Using SRTM DEM (SRTM DEM을 이용한 격자기반 강우-유출모의)

  • Jung, In-Kyun;Park, Jong-Yoon;Park, Min-Ji;Shin, Hyung-Jin;Jeong, Hyeon-Gyo;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.157-169
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    • 2010
  • In this study, the applicability of SRTM(The Shuttle Radar Topography Mission) DEM(Digital Elevation Model) which is one of the remotely sensed shuttle's radar digital elevation was tested for use as the input data in a grid-based rainfall-runoff model. The SRTM DEM and digital topographic map derived DEM(TOPO DEM) were building with 500m spatial resolution for the Chungju-Dam watershed which located in the middle east of South Korea, and stream-burning method was applied to delineate the proper flow direction for model application. Similar topographical characteristics were shown as a result of comparing elevation, flow-direction, hydrological slope, number of watershed cell, and profile between SRTM DEM and TOPO DEM. Two DEMs were tested by using a grid-based rainfall-runoff model named KIMSTORM with 6 storm events. The results also showed no significant differences in average values of relative error for both peak runoff(0.91 %) and total runoff volume(0.29 %). The results showed that the SRTM DEM has applicability like TOPO DEM for use in a grid-based rainfall-runoff modeling.

Inundation Analysis on the Flood Plain in Ungauged Area Using Satellite Rainfall and Global Geographic Data: In the case of Tumen/Namyang Area in Duman-gang(Riv.) (위성강우와 글로벌 지형 자료를 이용한 미계측 지역 홍수터 침수모의 : 두만강 도문/남양 지역을 중심으로)

  • CHOI, Yun-Seok;KIM, Joo-Hun;KIM, Ji-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.51-64
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to present a method for quantitative analysis of flooding at the flood plain in an ungauged area using satellite rainfall and global geographic data. For this, flooding of the Tumen/Namyang area in the Duman-gang(Riv.) was simulated and the flood conditions were quantitatively analyzed. The IMERG data, a rainfall data derived from satellite images, was used as rainfall data. The GRM model was applied to the watershed runoff simulation, and the G2D model was applied to the flooding simulation of the Tumen/Namyang area. Flood event caused by Typhoon Lionrock in August 2016 was applied. Recorded peak discharge of the Tumen/Namyang region was used to verify the runoff simulation results. To verify the result of the inundation simulation, the flood situation collected through field survey and satellite image data before and after the flood were used. The peak flow rates by the runoff simulation and flood record were 7,639㎥/s and 7,630㎥/s, respectively, with a relative error of about 0.1%. In the flood simulation, the results were similar to the flooding ranges identified in the survey data and satellite images. And the changes of flooding depth and flooding time in the flood plain in Tumen/Namyang area could also be assessed. The methods and results of this study will be useful for the quantitative assessment of floods in the ungauged areas.

Regional Frequency Analysis for Rainfall using L-Moment (L-모멘트법에 의한 강우의 지역빈도분석)

  • Koh, Deuk-Koo;Choo, Tai-Ho;Maeng, Seung-Jin;Trivedi, Chanda
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.252-263
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    • 2008
  • This study was conducted to derive the optimal regionalization of the precipitation data which can be classified on the basis of climatologically and geographically homogeneous regions all over the regions except Cheju and Ulreung islands in Korea. A total of 65 rain gauges were used to regional analysis of precipitation. Annual maximum series for the consecutive durations of 1, 3, 6, 12, 24, 36, 48 and 72hr were used for various statistical analyses. K-means clustering mettled is used to identify homogeneous regions all over the regions. Five homogeneous regions for the precipitation were classified by the K-means clustering. Using the L-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the underlying regional probability distribution was identified to be the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution among applied distributions. The regional and at-site parameters of the generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the linear combination of the probability weighted moments, L-moment. The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE), relative bias (RBIAS) and relative reduction (RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared with those resulting from at-site Monte Carlo simulation. All show that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.