• Title/Summary/Keyword: RMSE (Root Mean Square Error)

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Auto-calibration for the SWAT Model Hydrological Parameters Using Multi-objective Optimization Method (다중목적 최적화기 법을 이용한 SWAT 모형 수분매개변수의 자동보정)

  • Kim, Hak-Kwan;Kang, Moon-Seong;Park, Seung-Woo;Choi, Ji-Yong;Yang, Hee-Jeong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this paper was to evaluate the auto-calibration with multi-objective optimization method to calibrate the parameters of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The model was calibrated and validated by using nine years (1996-2004) of measured data for the 384-ha Baran reservoir subwatershed located in central Korea. Multi-objective optimization was performed for sixteen parameters related to runoff. The parameters were modified by the replacement or addition of an absolute change. The root mean square error (RMSE), relative mean absolute error (RMAE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency index (EI), determination coefficient ($R^2$) were used to evaluate the results of calibration and validation. The statistics of RMSE, RMAE, EI, and $R^2$ were 4.66 mm/day, 0.53 mm/day 0.86, and 0.89 for the calibration period and 3.98 mm/day, 0.51 mm/day, 0.83, and 0.84 for the validation period respectively. The statistical parameters indicated that the model provided a reasonable estimation of the runoff at the study watershed. This result was illustrated with a multi-objective optimization for the flow at an observation site within the Baran reservoir watershed.

Prediction of Larix kaempferi Stand Growth in Gangwon, Korea, Using Machine Learning Algorithms

  • Hyo-Bin Ji;Jin-Woo Park;Jung-Kee Choi
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we sought to compare and evaluate the accuracy and predictive performance of machine learning algorithms for estimating the growth of individual Larix kaempferi trees in Gangwon Province, Korea. We employed linear regression, random forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM algorithms to predict tree growth using monitoring data organized based on different thinning intensities. Furthermore, we compared and evaluated the goodness-of-fit of these models using metrics such as the coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The results revealed that XGBoost provided the highest goodness-of-fit, with an R2 value of 0.62 across all thinning intensities, while also yielding the lowest values for MAE and RMSE, thereby indicating the best model fit. When predicting the growth volume of individual trees after 3 years using the XGBoost model, the agreement was exceptionally high, reaching approximately 97% for all stand sites in accordance with the different thinning intensities. Notably, in non-thinned plots, the predicted volumes were approximately 2.1 m3 lower than the actual volumes; however, the agreement remained highly accurate at approximately 99.5%. These findings will contribute to the development of growth prediction models for individual trees using machine learning algorithms.

In-situ stresses ring hole measurement of concrete optimized based on finite element and GBDT algorithm

  • Chen Guo;Zheng Yang;Yanchao Yue;Wenxiao Li;Hantao Wu
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.477-487
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    • 2024
  • The in-situ stresses of concrete are an essential index for assessing the safety performance of concrete structures. Conventional methods for pore pressure release often face challenges in selecting drilling ring parameters, uncontrollable stress release, and unstable detection accuracy. In this paper, the parameters affecting the results of the concrete ring hole stress release method are cross-combined, and finite elements are used to simulate the combined parameters and extract the stress release values to establish a training set. The GridSearchCV function is utilized to determine the optimal hyperparameters. The mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and coefficient of determination (R2) are used as evaluation indexes to train the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) algorithm, and the other three common algorithms are compared. The RMSE of the GBDT algorithm for the test set is 4.499, and the R2 of the GBDT algorithm for the test set is 0.962, which is 9.66% higher than the R2 of the best-performing comparison algorithm. The model generated by the GBDT algorithm can accurately calculate the concrete in-situ stresses based on the drilling ring parameters and the corresponding stress release values and has a high accuracy and generalization ability.

A Comparative Study on the Spatial Statistical Models for the Estimation of Population Distribution

  • Oh, Doo-Ri;Hwang, Chul Sue
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to accurately estimate population distribution more specifically than administrative unites using a RK (Regression-Kriging) model. The RK model is the areal interpolation technique that involves linear regression and the Kriging model. In order to estimate a population’s distribution using a sample region, four different models were used, namely; a regression model, RK model, OK (Ordinary Kriging) model and CK (Co-Kriging) model. The results were then compared with each other. Evaluation of the accuracy and validity of evaluation analysis results were the basis RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error), G statistic and correlation coefficient (ρ). In the sample regions, every statistic value of the RK model showed better results than other models. The results of this comparative study will be useful to estimate a population distribution of the metropolitan areas with high population density

Analysis and Calculation of Global Hourly Solar Irradiation Based on Sunshine Duration for Major Cities in Korea (국내 주요도시의 일조시간데이터를 이용한 시간당전일사량 산출 및 분석)

  • Lee, Kwan-Ho;Sim, Kwang-Yeal
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.16-21
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    • 2010
  • Computer simulation of buildings and solar energy systems are being used increasingly in energy assessments and design. This paper discusses the possibility of using sunshine duration data instead of global hourly solar irradiation (GHSI) data for localities with abundant data on sunshine duration. For six locations in South Korea where global radiation is currently measured, the global radiation was calculated using Sunshine Duration Radiation Model (SDRM), compared and analyzed. Results of SDRM has been compared with the measured data on the coefficients of determination (R2), root-mean-square error (RMSE) and mean bias error (MBE). This study recommends the use of sunshine duration based irradiation models if measured solar radiation data is not available.

Prediction of COVID-19 Confirmed Cases in Consideration of Meteorological Factors (기상 요인을 고려한 일일 COVID-19 확진자 예측)

  • Choo, Kyung Su;Jeong, Dam;Lee, So Hyun;Kim, Byung Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.68-68
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    • 2022
  • 코로나바이러스는(COVID-19)는 2019년 12일 중국 후베이성 우한시에서 시작된 코로나바이러스감염증으로 2020년 1월부터 전 세계로 퍼져, 일부 국가 및 지역을 제외한 대부분의 나라와 모든 대륙으로 확산되었다. 이에 WHO는 범 유행전염병(Pandemic)을 선언하였다. 2022년 3월 18일 현재 국내 누적 확진환자 8,657,609명과 11,782명의 사망자를 일으켰고 전 세계적으로도 많은 사상자를 내고 있는 실정이고 사회 및 경제적인 피해로도 계속 확대되고 있다. 많은 감염자와 사망자의수에 대한 예측은 코로나바이러스의 전염병을 예방하고 즉각적 조치를 취할 수 있는데 도움이 될 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 문화적 인자를 제외한 국내에서 연구 사례가 많지 않은 기상 요인을 인자로 포함하여 머신러닝 모델을 통해 확진자를 예측하였다. 그리고 여러 가지 모델을 성능 평가 기법인 Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) 및 Mean Absolute Percentage Error(MAPE)를 통해 성능을 평가하고 비교하여 정확도 높은 모델을 제시하였다.

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A Study on the Lifetime Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on the Long Short-Term Memory Model of Recurrent Neural Networks

  • Sang-Bum Kim
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.236-241
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    • 2024
  • Due to the recent emphasis on carbon neutrality and environmental regulations, the global electric vehicle (EV) market is experiencing rapid growth. This surge has raised concerns about the recycling and disposal methods for EV batteries. Unlike traditional internal combustion engine vehicles, EVs require unique and safe methods for the recovery and disposal of their batteries. In this process, predicting the lifespan of the battery is essential. Impedance and State of Charge (SOC) analysis are commonly used methods for this purpose. However, predicting the lifespan of batteries with complex chemical characteristics through electrical measurements presents significant challenges. To enhance the accuracy and precision of existing measurement methods, this paper proposes using a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model, a type of deep learning-based recurrent neural network, to diagnose battery performance. The goal is to achieve safe classification through this model. The designed structure was evaluated, yielding results with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.8451, a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 1.3448, and an accuracy of 0.984, demonstrating excellent performance.

Analysis of Three Dimensional Positioning Accuracy of Vectorization Using UAV-Photogrammetry (무인항공사진측량을 이용한 벡터화의 3차원 위치정확도 분석)

  • Lee, Jae One;Kim, Doo Pyo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.525-533
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    • 2019
  • There are two feature collection methods in digital mapping using the UAV (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) Photogrammetry: vectorization and stereo plotting. In vectorization, planar information is extracted from orthomosaics and elevation value obtained from a DSM (Digital Surface Model) or a DEM (Digital Elevation Model). However, the exact determination of the positional accuracy of 3D features such as ground facilities and buildings is very ambiguous, because the accuracy of vectorizing results has been mainly analyzed using only check points placed on the ground. Thus, this study aims to review the possibility of 3D spatial information acquisition and digital map production of vectorization by analyzing the corner point coordinates of different layers as well as check points. To this end, images were taken by a Phantom 4 (DJI) with 3.6 cm of GSD (Ground Sample Distance) at altitude of 90 m. The outcomes indicate that the horizontal RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) of vectorization method is 0.045 cm, which was calculated from residuals at check point compared with those of the field survey results. It is therefore possible to produce a digital topographic (plane) map of 1:1,000 scale using ortho images. On the other hand, the three-dimensional accuracy of vectorization was 0.068~0.162 m in horizontal and 0.090~1.840 m in vertical RMSE. It is thus difficult to obtain 3D spatial information and 1:1,000 digital map production by using vectorization due to a large error in elevation.

Generation of the KOMPSAT-2 Ortho Mosaic Imagery on the Korean Peninsula (아리랑위성 2호 한반도 정사모자이크영상 제작)

  • Lee, Kwang-Jae;Yyn, Hee-Cheon;Kim, Youn-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.103-114
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we established the ortho mosaic imagery on the Korean Peninsula using KOMPSAT-2 images and conducted an accuracy assessment. Rational Polynomial Coefficient(RPC) modeling results were mostly less than 2 pixels except for mountainous regions which was difficult to select a Ground Control Point(GCP). Digital Elevation Model(DEM) which was made using the digital topographic map on the scale of 1:5,000 was used for generating an ortho image. In the case of inaccessible area, the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission(SRTM) DEM was used. Meanwhile, the ortho mosaic image of the Korean Peninsula was produced by each ortho image aggregation and color adjustment. An accuracy analysis for the mosaic image was conducted about a 1m color fusion image. In order to verify a geolocation accuracy, 813 check points which were acquired by field survey in South Korea were used. We found that the maximum error was not to exceed 5m(Root Mean Square Error : RMSE). On the other hand, in the case of inaccessible area, the extracted check points from a reference image were used for accuracy analysis. Approximately 69% of the image has a positional accuracy of less than 3m(RMSE). We found that the seam-line accuracy among neighboring image was very high through visual inspection. However, there were a discrepancy with 1 to 2 pixels at some mountainous regions.

Comparison of Multi-angle TerraSAR-X Staring Mode Image Registration Method through Coarse to Fine Step (Coarse to Fine 단계를 통한 TerraSAR-X Staring Mode 다중 관측각 영상 정합기법 비교 분석)

  • Lee, Dongjun;Kim, Sang-Wan
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.475-491
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    • 2021
  • With the recent increase in available high-resolution (< ~1 m) satellite SAR images, the demand for precise registration of SAR images is increasing in various fields including change detection. The registration between high-resolution SAR images acquired in different look angle is difficult due to speckle noise and geometric distortion caused by the characteristics of SAR images. In this study, registration is performed in two stages, coarse and fine, using the x-band SAR data imaged at staring spotlight mode of TerraSAR-X. For the coarse registration, a method combining the adaptive sampling method and SAR-SIFT (Scale Invariant Feature Transform) is applied, and three rigid methods (NCC: Normalized Cross Correlation, Phase Congruency-NCC, MI: Mutual Information) and one non-rigid (Gefolki: Geoscience extended Flow Optical Flow Lucas-Kanade Iterative), for the fine registration stage, was performed for performance comparison. The results were compared by using RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and FSIM (Feature Similarity) index, and all rigid models showed poor results in all image combinations. It is confirmed that the rigid models have a large registration error in the rugged terrain area. As a result of applying the Gefolki algorithm, it was confirmed that the RMSE of Gefolki showed the best result as a 1~3 pixels, and the FSIM index also obtained a higher value than 0.02~0.03 compared to other rigid methods. It was confirmed that the mis-registration due to terrain effect could be sufficiently reduced by the Gefolki algorithm.