• Title/Summary/Keyword: REGRESSION ANALYSIS

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Forecasting of Seasonal Inflow to Reservoir Using Multiple Linear Regression (다중선형회귀분석에 의한 계절별 저수지 유입량 예측)

  • Kang, Jaewon
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.953-963
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    • 2013
  • Reliable long-term streamflow forecasting is invaluable for water resource planning and management which allocates water supply according to the demand of water users. Forecasting of seasonal inflow to Andong dam is performed and assessed using statistical methods based on hydrometeorological data. Predictors which is used to forecast seasonal inflow to Andong dam are selected from southern oscillation index, sea surface temperature, and 500 hPa geopotential height data in northern hemisphere. Predictors are selected by the following procedure. Primary predictors sets are obtained, and then final predictors are determined from the sets. The primary predictor sets for each season are identified using cross correlation and mutual information. The final predictors are identified using partial cross correlation and partial mutual information. In each season, there are three selected predictors. The values are determined using bootstrapping technique considering a specific significance level for predictor selection. Seasonal inflow forecasting is performed by multiple linear regression analysis using the selected predictors for each season, and the results of forecast using cross validation are assessed. Multiple linear regression analysis is performed using SAS. The results of multiple linear regression analysis are assessed by mean squared error and mean absolute error. And contingency table is established and assessed by Heidke skill score. The assessment reveals that the forecasts by multiple linear regression analysis are better than the reference forecasts.

Optimum Model for Analyzing Lifetime Profitability of Holstein Cows

  • Shadparvar, A.A.;Nikbin, S.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.769-775
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    • 2008
  • This study was on the relative net income (RNI) for 18,286 Iranian Holstein cows from 799 herds, with first freshening between 1991 and 2000. Two kinds of production system, which differed mainly in milk pricing system and feed cost, were considered. Four different models adopted from the literature were examined to find the optimum model. They differed by the cost of rearing and growth after first calving and they needed different amounts of economic data at the farm level. Results showed that four measures of RNI were highly correlated (>0.96) and could be used equally to measure lifetime profitability of cows. Therefore, in herds without a regular system for recording economic and management data, use of the simplest model is recommended. Multiple regression analysis revealed that RNI was affected by age at first freshening, milk yield and days of productive life (DPL), regardless of production system, and a similar breeding goal could be defined for the two systems. Multiple regression analysis of RNI showed that in order to obtain an unbiased estimate of economic value for DPL, the per day milk yield, not total lifetime milk yield, should be included in the regression model along with DPL. Regression analysis suggested that it is possible to predict RNI using information on age at first freshening along with the length of first lactation and per day milk yield with a coefficient of determination ranging from 0.44 to 0.47.

A comparison of Multilayer Perceptron with Logistic Regression for the Risk Factor Analysis of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (제2형 당뇨병의 위험인자 분석을 위한 다층 퍼셉트론과 로지스틱 회귀 모델의 비교)

  • 서혜숙;최진욱;이홍규
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.369-375
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    • 2001
  • The statistical regression model is one of the most frequently used clinical analysis methods. It has basic assumption of linearity, additivity and normal distribution of data. However, most of biological data in medical field are nonlinear and unevenly distributed. To overcome the discrepancy between the basic assumption of statistical model and actual biological data, we propose a new analytical method based on artificial neural network. The newly developed multilayer perceptron(MLP) is trained with 120 data set (60 normal, 60 patient). On applying test data, it shows the discrimination power of 0.76. The diabetic risk factors were also identified from the MLP neural network model and the logistic regression model. The signigicant risk factors identified by MLP model were post prandial glucose level(PP2), sex(male), fasting blood sugar(FBS) level, age, SBP, AC and WHR. Those from the regression model are sex(male), PP2, age and FBS. The combined risk factors can be identified using the MLP model. Those are total cholesterol and body weight, which is consistent with the result of other clinical studies. From this experiment we have learned that MLP can be applied to the combined risk factor analysis of biological data which can not be provided by the conventional statistical method.

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Risk Assesment for Large-scale Slopes Using Multiple Regression Analysis (다중회귀분석을 이용한 대규모 비탈면의 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Jong-Gun;Chang, Buhm-Soo;Kim, Yong-Soo;Suk, Jae-Wook;Moon, Joon-Shik
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.29 no.11
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2013
  • In this study, the correlation of evaluation items and safety rating for 104 of large-scale slopes along the general national road was analyzed. And, we proposed the regression model to predict the safety rating using the multiple regressions analysis. As the result, it is shown that the evaluation items of slope angle, rainfall and groundwater have a low correlation with safety rating. Also, the regression model suggested by multiple regression analysis shows high predictive value, and it would be possible to apply if the evaluation items of excavation condition and groundwater (rainfall) are not clear.

Prediction of compressive strength of concrete using multiple regression model

  • Chore, H.S.;Shelke, N.L.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.837-851
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    • 2013
  • In construction industry, strength is a primary criterion in selecting a concrete for a particular application. The concrete used for construction gains strength over a long period of time after pouring the concrete. The characteristic strength of concrete is defined as the compressive strength of a sample that has been aged for 28 days. Neither waiting for 28 days for such a test would serve the rapidity of construction, nor would neglecting it serve the quality control process on concrete in large construction sites. Therefore, rapid and reliable prediction of the strength of concrete would be of great significance. On this backdrop, the method is proposed to establish a predictive relationship between properties and proportions of ingredients of concrete, compaction factor, weight of concrete cubes and strength of concrete whereby the strength of concrete can be predicted at early age. Multiple regression analysis was carried out for predicting the compressive strength of concrete containing Portland Pozolana cement using statistical analysis for the concrete data obtained from the experimental work done in this study. The multiple linear regression models yielded fairly good correlation coefficient for the prediction of compressive strength for 7, 28 and 40 days curing. The results indicate that the proposed regression models are effectively capable of evaluating the compressive strength of the concrete containing Portaland Pozolana Cement. The derived formulas are very simple, straightforward and provide an effective analysis tool accessible to practicing engineers.

A predictive model for compressive strength of waste LCD glass concrete by nonlinear-multivariate regression

  • Wang, C.C.;Chen, T.T.;Wang, H.Y.;Huang, Chi
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.531-545
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a prediction model for the compressive strength of waste LCD glass applied in concrete by analyzing a series of laboratory test results, which were obtained in our previous study. The hyperbolic function was used to perform the nonlinear-multivariate regression analysis of the compressive strength prediction model with the following parameters: water-binder ratio w/b, curing age t, and waste glass content G. According to the relative regression analysis, the compressive strength prediction model is developed. The calculated results are in accord with the laboratory measured data, which are the concrete compressive strengths of different mix proportions. In addition, a coefficient of determination $R^2$ value between 0.93 and 0.96 and a mean absolute percentage error MAPE between 5.4% and 8.4% were obtained by regression analysis using the predicted compressive analysis value, and the test results are also excellent. Therefore, the predicted results for compressive strength are highly accurate for waste LCD glass applied in concrete. Additionally, this predicted model exhibits a good predictive capacity when employed to calculate the compressive strength of washed glass sand concrete.

A study on estimating the main dimensions of a small fishing boat using deep learning (딥러닝을 이용한 연안 소형 어선 주요 치수 추정 연구)

  • JANG, Min Sung;KIM, Dong-Joon;ZHAO, Yang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.272-280
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    • 2022
  • The first step is to determine the principal dimensions of the design ship, such as length between perpendiculars, beam, draft and depth when accomplishing the design of a new vessel. To make this process easier, a database with a large amount of existing ship data and a regression analysis technique are needed. Recently, deep learning, a branch of artificial intelligence (AI) has been used in regression analysis. In this paper, deep learning neural networks are used for regression analysis to find the regression function between the input and output data. To find the neural network structure with the highest accuracy, the errors of neural network structures with varying the number of the layers and the nodes are compared. In this paper, Python TensorFlow Keras API and MATLAB Deep Learning Toolbox are used to build deep learning neural networks. Constructed DNN (deep neural networks) makes helpful in determining the principal dimension of the ship and saves much time in the ship design process.

Analysis of Donation Intention of MZ Generation and Senior Generation Using Machine Learning's logistic Regression (머신러닝의 로지스틱 회귀를 활용한 MZ세대와 시니어 세대의 기부의도 분석)

  • Min Jung Oh;IkJin Jeon
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to find ways to increase the declining donation intention by using machine learning techniques. To this end, in order to predict factors that affect donations between the MZ generation and the senior generation, various machine learning algorithms, including logistic regression analysis, are applied to build a model to determine variables that affect donation intention, and provide statistical verification and evaluation indicators. In this study, differences in donation intention by generation were expected as a variable affecting donation intention, and the senior generation was expected to show a higher donation intention tendency than the younger generation. However, although the research results were not statistically significant, the younger generation showed a higher intention to donate, and these results are interpreted to mean that value consumption and ethical consumption, which are important to today's MZ generation, also influenced donations. However, there were differences between generations in the amount of donations, and higher donation amounts were confirmed among the senior generation (those in their 50s or older) than the younger generation. In addition, the results of the logistic regression analysis showed that previous donation experience had a positive effect on future donation intention, and the more motivation and importance of donation and various social participation activities online and offline, the more active one became in donating.

Settlement Prediction Accuracy Analysis of Weighted Nonlinear Regression Hyperbolic Method According to the Weighting Method (가중치 부여 방법에 따른 가중 비선형 회귀 쌍곡선법의 침하 예측 정확도 분석)

  • Kwak, Tae-Young ;Woo, Sang-Inn;Hong, Seongho ;Lee, Ju-Hyung;Baek, Sung-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2023
  • The settlement prediction during the design phase is primarily conducted using theoretical methods. However, measurement-based settlement prediction methods that predict future settlements based on measured settlement data over time are primarily used during construction due to accuracy issues. Among these methods, the hyperbolic method is commonly used. However, the existing hyperbolic method has accuracy issues and statistical limitations. Therefore, a weighted nonlinear regression hyperbolic method has been proposed. In this study, two weighting methods were applied to the weighted nonlinear regression hyperbolic method to compare and analyze the accuracy of settlement prediction. Measured settlement plate data from two sites located in Busan New Port were used. The settlement of the remaining sections was predicted by setting the regression analysis section to 30%, 50%, and 70% of the total data. Thus, regardless of the weight assignment method, the settlement prediction based on the hyperbolic method demonstrated a remarkable increase in accuracy as the regression analysis section increased. The weighted nonlinear regression hyperbolic method predicted settlement more accurately than the existing linear regression hyperbolic method. In particular, despite a smaller regression analysis section, the weighted nonlinear regression hyperbolic method showed higher settlement prediction performance than the existing linear regression hyperbolic method. Thus, it was confirmed that the weighted nonlinear regression hyperbolic method could predict settlement much faster and more accurately.

A Study on the Consumer Sensibility of Japanism Design (Japanism 디자인의 소비자 감성 연구)

  • 이은령;이경희
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Costume
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.73-85
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the characteristic and sensibility of Japanism fashion designs which represented by Japanese designers and Western designers. The stimulus were 29 pictures of contemporary fashion designs which represented the Japanism style fashion designs from fashion collections. The data were analyzed by Cluster analysis, Factor analysis, Multidimensional Scaling Method and Regression Analysis. The specific objectives were as follows ; 1) As result of design analysis, Japanism fashion sensibility is unique and good-looking. 2) As result of the factor analysis. 4 factors which are Attractiveness, Attention, Maturity and Hardness and softness. 3) According to sensibility positioning, The Japanism fashion design was classified by Decorative-Simple, Hard-Soft. 4) As result of the Regression Analysis, The preference of Japanism fashion design was related to attractive factor. 5) As result of the Regression Analysis. The buying desirable of Japanism fashion design was related to attractive, attentive and mature factor.