• Title/Summary/Keyword: R-Squared

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A Research on Yield Prediction of Mixed Pastures in Korea via Model Construction in Stages (혼파초지에서 모형의 단계적 적용을 통한 수량예측 연구)

  • Oh, Seung Min;Kim, Moon Ju;Peng, Jinglun;Lee, Bae Hun;Kim, Ji Yung;Kim, Byong Wan;Jo, Mu Hwan;Sung, Kyung Il
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.80-91
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study was to select a model showing high-levels of interpretability which is high in R-squared value in terms of predicting the yield in the mixed pasture using the factors of fertilization, seeding rate and years after pasture establishment in steps, as well as the climate as a basic factor. The processes of constructing the yield prediction model for the mixed pasture were performed in the sequence of data collection (forage and climatic data), preparation, analysis, and model construction. Through this process, six models were constructed after considering climatic variables, fertilization management, seeding rates, and periods after pasture establishment years in steps, thereafter the optimum model was selected through considering the coincidence of the models to the forage production theories. As a result, Model VI (R squared = 53.8%) including climatic variables, fertilization amount, seeding rates, and periods after pasture establishment was considered as the optimum yield prediction model for mixed pastures in South Korea. The interpretability of independent variables in the model were decreased in the sequence of climatic variables(24.5%), fertilization amount(17.8%), seeding rates(10.7%), and periods after pasture establishment(0.8%). However, it is necessary to investigate the reasons of positive correlation between dry matter yield and days of summer depression (DSD) by considering cultivated locations and using other cumulative temperature related variables instead of DSD. Meanwhile the another research about the optimum levels of fertilization amounts and seeding rates is required using the quadratic term due to the certain value-centered distribution of these two variables.

Determining Input Values for Dragging Anchor Assessments Using Regression Analysis (회귀분석을 이용한 주묘 위험성 평가 입력요소 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Byung-Sun;Jung, Chang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.822-831
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    • 2021
  • Although programs have been developed to evaluate the risk of dragging anchors, it is practically difficult for VTS(vessel traffic service) operators to calculate and evaluate these risks by obtaining input factors from anchored ships. Therefore, in this study, the gross tonnage (GT) that could be easily obtained from the ship by the VTS operators was set as an independent variable, and linear and nonlinear regression analyses were performed using the input factors as the dependent variables. From comparing the fit of the polynomial model (linear) and power series model (nonlinear), the power series model was evaluated to be more suitable for all input factors in the case of container ships and bulk carriers. However, in the case of tanker ships, the power supply model was suitable for the LBP(length between perpendiculars), width, and draft, and the polynomial model was evaluated to be more suitable for the front wind pressure area, weight of the anchor, equipment number, and height of the hawse pipe from the bottom of the ship. In addition, all other dependent variables, except for the front wind pressure area factor of the tanker ship, showed high degrees of fit with a coefficient of determination (R-squared value) of 0.7 or more. Therefore, among the input factors of the dragging anchor risk assessment program, all factors except the external force, seabed quality, water depth, and amount of anchor chain let out are automatically applied by the regression analysis model formula when only the GT of the ship is provided.

Analysis of Propagation Characteristics in 6, 10, and 17 GHz Semi-Basement Indoor Corridor Environment (6, 10, 17 GHz 반지하 실내 복도 환경의 전파 특성 분석)

  • Lee, Seong-Hun;Cho, Byung-Lok
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.555-562
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    • 2022
  • This study measured and analyzed the propagation characteristics at frequencies 6, 10, and 17 GHz to discover the new propagation demands in a semi-basement indoor corridor environment for meeting the 4th industrial revolution requirements. The measured indoor environment is a straight corridor consisting of three lecture rooms and glass windows on the outside. The measurement scenario development and measurement system were constructed to match this environment. The transmitting antenna was fixed, and the frequency domain and time domain propagation characteristics were measured and analyzed in the line-of-sight environment based on the distance of the receiving antenna location. In the frequency domain, reliability was determined by the parameters of the floating intercept (FI) path loss model and an R-squared value of 0.5 or more. In the time domain, the root mean square (RMS) delay spread and the cumulative probability of K-factor were used to determine that 6 GHz had high propagation power and 17 GHz had low propagation power. These research results will be effective in providing ultra-connection and ultra-delay artificial intelligence services for WIFI 6, 5G, and future systems in a semi-basement indoor corridor environment.

Quantitative Analysis of X-Ray Fluorescence for Understanding the Effect of Elevated Temperatures on Cement Pastes (XRF (X-ray fluorescence)를 활용한 고온환경에 노출된 시멘트 페이스트 분석의 이해)

  • Kil-Song Jeon;Young-Sun Heo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.130-137
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    • 2023
  • By using XRF (X-ray fluorescence), this study investigates the variation of chemical properties in cement pastes at elevated temperatures. High-temperature conditions were prepared by using an electric furnace, planning a total of 11 target temperatures ranging from room temperature to 1000 ℃. A standard library of geo-quant basic was applied for the analysis of 12 elements in cement paste, including Ca, Si, Al, Fe, S, Mg, Ti, Sr, P, Mn, Zn and K. The results revealed that, as the temperature increased, the proportion of each element in the cement paste also increased. With the exception of a few elements present in extremely low amounts in the cement pastes, the variation in the composition ratio of most elements exhibited a strong correlation with temperature, with an R-squared value exceeding 0.98. In this study, cement pastes exposed to normal and high-temperature environments were compared. The authors established that the reasons for the different results in this comparison can be explained from the same perspective as when comparing raw cement with cement paste. Furthermore, this study discussed the potentially most dominant parameter when investigating the properties of cement paste using XRF.

Development of new artificial neural network optimizer to improve water quality index prediction performance (수질 지수 예측성능 향상을 위한 새로운 인공신경망 옵티마이저의 개발)

  • Ryu, Yong Min;Kim, Young Nam;Lee, Dae Won;Lee, Eui Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.73-85
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    • 2024
  • Predicting water quality of rivers and reservoirs is necessary for the management of water resources. Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have been used in many studies to predict water quality with high accuracy. Previous studies have used Gradient Descent (GD)-based optimizers as an optimizer, an operator of ANN that searches parameters. However, GD-based optimizers have the disadvantages of the possibility of local optimal convergence and absence of a solution storage and comparison structure. This study developed improved optimizers to overcome the disadvantages of GD-based optimizers. Proposed optimizers are optimizers that combine adaptive moments (Adam) and Nesterov-accelerated adaptive moments (Nadam), which have low learning errors among GD-based optimizers, with Harmony Search (HS) or Novel Self-adaptive Harmony Search (NSHS). To evaluate the performance of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) using improved optimizers, the water quality data from the Dasan water quality monitoring station were used for training and prediction. Comparing the learning results, Mean Squared Error (MSE) of LSTM using Nadam combined with NSHS (NadamNSHS) was the lowest at 0.002921. In addition, the prediction rankings according to MSE and R2 for the four water quality indices for each optimizer were compared. Comparing the average of ranking for each optimizer, it was confirmed that LSTM using NadamNSHS was the highest at 2.25.

Estimation of Soil Moisture and Irrigation Requirement of Upland using Soil Moisture Model applied WRF Meteorological Data (WRF 기상자료의 토양수분 모형 적용을 통한 밭 토양수분 및 필요수량 산정)

  • Hong, Min-Ki;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Choi, Jin-Yong;Lee, Sung-Hack;Lee, Seung-Jae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.6
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    • pp.173-183
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    • 2015
  • The aim of this study was to develop a soil moisture simulation model equipped with meteorological data enhanced by WRF (Weather Research and Forecast) model, and this soil moisture model was applied for quantifying soil moisture content and irrigation requirement. The WRF model can provide grid based meteorological data at various resolutions. For applicability assessment, comparative analyses were conducted using WRF data and weather data obtained from weather station located close to test bed. Water balance of each upland grid was assessed for soils represented with four layers. The soil moisture contents simulated using the soil moisture model were compared with observed data to evaluate the capacity of the model qualitatively and quantitatively with performance statistics such as correlation coefficient (R), coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean squared error (RMSE). As a result, R is 0.76, $R^2$ is 0.58 and RMSE 5.45 mm in soil layer 1 and R 0.61, $R^2$ 0.37 and RMSE 6.73 mm in soil layer 2 and R 0.52, $R^2$ 0.27 and RMSE 8.64 mm in soil layer 3 and R 0.68, $R^2$ 0.45 and RMSE 5.29 mm in soil layer 4. The estimated soil moisture contents and irrigation requirements of each soil layer showed spatiotemporally varied distributions depending on weather and soil texture data incorporated. The estimated soil moisture contents using weather station data showed uniform distribution about all grids. However the estimated soil moisture contents from WRF data showed spatially varied distribution. Also, the estimated irrigation requirements applied WRF data showed spatial variabilities reflecting regional differences of weather conditions.

Real Time ECG Derived Respiratory Extraction from Heart Rate for Single Lead ECG Measurement using Conductive Textile Electrode (전도성 직물을 이용한 단일 리드 심전도 측정 및 실시간 심전도 유도 호흡 추출 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Yi, Kye-Hyoung;Park, Sung-Bin;Yoon, Hyoung-Ro
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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    • v.55 no.7
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    • pp.335-343
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    • 2006
  • We have designed the system that measure one channel ECG by two electrode and extract real-time EDR with more related resipiration and comportable to subject by using conductive textile. On the assumption that relation between RL electrode and potential measurement electrode is coupled with RC connected model, we designed RL drive output to feedback two electrode for reduction of common mode signal. The conductive textile which was used for two ECG electrode was offered more comfort during night sleep in bed than any other method using attachments. In the method of single-lead EDR, R wave point or QRS interval area could be used for EDR estimation in traditional method, it is, so to speak, the amplitude modulation(AM) method for EDR. Alternatively, R-R interval could be used for frequency modulation(FM) method based on Respiratory Sinus Arrhythmia(RSA). For evaluation of performance on AM EDR and FM EDR from 14 subject, ECG lead III was measured. Each EDR was compared with both temperature around nose(direct measurement of respiration) and respiration signal from thoracic belt(indirect measurement of respiration) on mean squared error(MSE), cross correlation(Xcorr), and Coherence. The upsampling interpolation technique of multirate signal processing is applied to interpolating data instead of cubic spline interpolation. As a result, we showed the real-time EDR extraction processing to be implemented at micro-controller.

DEVELOPMENT OF CHLOROPHYLL ALGORITHM FOR GEOSTATIONARY OCEAN COLOR IMAGER (GOCI)

  • Min, Jee-Eun;Moon, Jeong-Eon;Shanmugam, Palanisamy;Ryu, Joo-Hyung;Ahn, Yu-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2007.10a
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    • pp.162-165
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    • 2007
  • Chlorophyll concentration is an important factor for physical oceanography as well as biological oceanography. For these necessity many oceanographic researchers have been investigated it for a long time. But investigation using vessel is very inefficient, on the other hands, ocean color remote sensing is a powerful means to get fine-scale (spatial and temporal scale) measurements of chlorophyll concentration. Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI), for ocean color sensor, loaded on COMS (Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite), will be launched on late 2008 in Korea. According to the necessity of algorithm for GOCI, we developed chlorophyll algorithm for GOCI in this study. There are two types of chlorophyll algorithms. One is an empirical algorithm using band ratio, and the other one is a fluorescence-based algorithms. To develop GOCI chlorophyll algorithm empirically we used bands centered at 412 nm, 443 nm and 555 nm for the DOM absorption, chlorophyll maximum absorption and for absorption of suspended solid material respectively. For the fluorescence-based algorithm we analyzed in-situ remote sensing reflectance $(R_{rs})$ data using baseline method. Fluorescence Line Height $({\Delta}Flu)$ calculated from $R_{rs}$ at bands centered on 681 nm and 688 nm, and ${\Delta}Flu_{(area)}$ are used for development of algorithm. As a result ${\Delta}Flu_{(area)}$ method leads the best fitting for squared correlation coefficient $(R^2)$.

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Impact of Activation Functions on Flood Forecasting Model Based on Artificial Neural Networks (홍수량 예측 인공신경망 모형의 활성화 함수에 따른 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Jihye;Jun, Sang-Min;Hwang, Soonho;Kim, Hak-Kwan;Heo, Jaemin;Kang, Moon-Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.1
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    • pp.11-25
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    • 2021
  • The objective of this study was to analyze the impact of activation functions on flood forecasting model based on Artificial neural networks (ANNs). The traditional activation functions, the sigmoid and tanh functions, were compared with the functions which have been recently recommended for deep neural networks; the ReLU, leaky ReLU, and ELU functions. The flood forecasting model based on ANNs was designed to predict real-time runoff for 1 to 6-h lead time using the rainfall and runoff data of the past nine hours. The statistical measures such as R2, Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), the error of peak time (ETp), and the error of peak discharge (EQp) were used to evaluate the model accuracy. The tanh and ELU functions were most accurate with R2=0.97 and RMSE=30.1 (㎥/s) for 1-h lead time and R2=0.56 and RMSE=124.6~124.8 (㎥/s) for 6-h lead time. We also evaluated the learning speed by using the number of epochs that minimizes errors. The sigmoid function had the slowest learning speed due to the 'vanishing gradient problem' and the limited direction of weight update. The learning speed of the ELU function was 1.2 times faster than the tanh function. As a result, the ELU function most effectively improved the accuracy and speed of the ANNs model, so it was determined to be the best activation function for ANNs-based flood forecasting.

Hybrid adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system for optimization mechanical behaviors of nanocomposite reinforced concrete

  • Huang, Yong;Wu, Shengbin
    • Advances in nano research
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.515-527
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    • 2022
  • The application of fibers in concrete obviously enhances the properties of concrete, also the application of natural fibers in concrete is raising due to the availability, low cost and environmentally friendly. Besides, predicting the mechanical properties of concrete in general and shear strength in particular is highly significant in concrete mixture with fiber nanocomposite reinforced concrete (FRC) in construction projects. Despite numerous studies in shear strength, determining this strength still needs more investigations. In this research, Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) have been employed to determine the strength of reinforced concrete with fiber. 180 empirical data were gathered from reliable literature to develop the methods. Models were developed, validated and their statistical results were compared through the root mean squared error (RMSE), determination coefficient (R2), mean absolute error (MAE) and Pearson correlation coefficient (r). Comparing the RMSE of PSO (0.8859) and ANFIS (0.6047) have emphasized the significant role of structural parameters on the shear strength of concrete, also effective depth, web width, and a clear depth rate are essential parameters in modeling the shear capacity of FRC. Considering the accuracy of our models in determining the shear strength of FRC, the outcomes have shown that the R2 values of PSO (0.7487) was better than ANFIS (2.4048). Thus, in this research, PSO has demonstrated better performance than ANFIS in predicting the shear strength of FRC in case of accuracy and the least error ratio. Thus, PSO could be applied as a proper tool to maximum accuracy predict the shear strength of FRC.