• 제목/요약/키워드: Quantitative Model

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도로터널 위험도 평가프로그램 개발에 관한 연구(I) (The study of development of quantitative risk assesment program for the road tunnel)

  • 유지오;신현준;이동호
    • 대한설비공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한설비공학회 2006년도 하계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.460-467
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    • 2006
  • Some large accidents in tunnels in recent years, such as Mont Blanc, Gotthard and Tauern tunnels, have lead to an increasing attention for tunnel safety and necessity of tool for quantitative risk assesment of road tunnel. And the purpose of this study is to develop the quantitative risk assesment tool for the application of road tunnel. The objectives of this paper are as follows : (1) analyze of traffic accident rates in tunnel, (2) make out scenario for fire accidents, (3) develop the evacuation model and FED calculation model, (4) Present the results from quantitative risk assesment for the model tunnel according with the fire heat release rates and distances of cross passage.

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Data Governance 정량평가 모델 개발방법의 제안 (A Quantitative Assessment Model for Data Governance)

  • 장경애;김우제
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2017
  • Managing the quantitative measurement of the data control activities in enterprise wide is important to secure management of data governance. However, research on data governance is limited to concept definitions and components, and data governance research on evaluation models is lacking. In this study, we developed a model of quantitative assessment for data governance including the assessment area, evaluation index and evaluation matrix. We also, proposed a method of developing the model of quantitative assessment for data governance. For this purpose, we used previous studies and expert opinion analysis such as the Delphi technique, KJ method in this paper. This study contributes to literature by developing a quantitative evaluation model for data governance at the early stage of the study. This paper can be used for the base line data in objective evidence of performance in the companies and agencies of operating data governance.

퍼스널 컬러 스킨 톤 유형 분류의 정량적 평가 모델 구축에 대한 연구 (Research of Quantitative Modeling that Classify Personal Color Skin Tone)

  • 김용현;오유석;이정훈
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.121-132
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    • 2018
  • Recent beauty trends focus on suitability to individual features. A personal color system is a recent aesthetic concept that influences color make up and coordination. However, a personal color concept has several weaknesses. For example, type classification is qualitative and not quantitative because its measuring system is a sensory test with no industry standard of personal color system. A quantitative personal color type classification model is the purpose of this study, which can be a solution to above problems. This model is a kind of mapping system in a 3D Cartesian coordinate system which has own axes, Value, Saturation, and Yellowness. The cheek color of the individual sample is also independent variable and personal color type is a dependent variable. In order to construct the model, this study conducted a colorimetric survey on a 993 sampling frequency of Korean women in their 20s and 30s. The significance of this study is as follows. First, through this study, personal color system is established on quantitative color space; in addition, the model has flexibility and scalability because it consisted of independent axis that allows for the inclusion of any other critical variable in the form of variable axis.

층화 가법 양적속성 확률화응답모형 (An Additive Stratified Quantitative Attribute Randomized Response Model)

  • 이기성;안승철;홍기학;손창균
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.239-247
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    • 2014
  • 본 논문에서는 사회적으로나 개인적으로 매우 민감한 조사에서 조사하고자 하는 모집단이 여러 개의 층으로 구성되어 있고, 각 층이 양적인 속성으로 되어 있는 경우에 Himmelfarb-Edgell의 가법 모형과 Gjestvang-Singh의 가법 모형에 단순임의추출법 대신에 층화추출법을 적용한 층화 가법 양적속성 확률화응답모형을 제안하였다. 제안한 두 모형으로부터 각 층의 양적속성에 대한 모평균의 추정뿐만 아니라 모집단 전체 모평균에 대한 추정을 할 수 있는 이론적 체계를 마련하였다. 그리고 제안한 두 모형에서 비례배분과 최적배분 문제를 다루었으며, 각 배분법에 따른 분산식을 도출하였다. 마지막으로 두 층화 가법 양적속성 확률화응답모형들 간의 효율성을 비교해 본 결과 Gjestvang-Singh의 층화 가법 모형이 Himmelfarb-Edgell의 층화 가법 모형보다 효율적으로 나타났고, 특히 hh값이 작을수록 즉, 제시한 모형의 특성이 직접질문에 가까워질수록 Gjestvang-Singh의 층화 가법 모형의 효율성이 커짐을 알 수 있었다.

Two-layer Investment Decision-making Using Knowledge about Investor′s Risk-preference: Model and Empirical Testing.

  • Won, Chaehwan;Kim, Chulsoo
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.25-41
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    • 2004
  • There have been many studies to build a model that can help investors construct optimal portfolio. Most of the previous models, however, are based upon the path-breaking Markowitz model (1959) which is a quantitative model. One of the most important problems with that kind of quantitative model is that, in reality, most of the investors use not only quantitative, but also qualitative information when they select their optimal portfolio. Since collecting both types of information from the markets are time consuming and expensive, making a set of target assets smaller, without suffering heavy loss in the rate of return, would attract investors. To extract only desired assets among all available assets, we need knowledge that identifies investors' preference for the risk of the assets. This study suggests two-layer decision-making rules capable of identifying an investor's risk preference and an architecture applying them to a quantitative portfolio model based on risk and expected return. Our knowledge-based portfolio system is to build an investor's preference-oriented portfolio. The empirical tests using the data from Korean capital markets show the results that our model contributes significantly to the construction of a better portfolio in the perspective of an investor's benefit/cost ratio than that produced by the existing portfolio models.

연구지원 대상자 선정을 위한 정량평가 모형개발 (Developing a Quantitative Evaluation Model for Screening the Research Grant Applications)

  • 유진만;한인수;오근엽
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.541-549
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 정액연구 지원방식에 대한 정량평가 방법을 연구하고, 효율적인 평가방법을 확립하기 위한 모델을 만들었다. 첫째, 기존의 평가 시스템을 분석하여 몇 가지 문제점과 과제를 발견했다. 둘째, 정액연구 지원방식에 대한 정량평가 방법을 제안하고, 20만개 이상의 데이터와 모델을 이용하여 시뮬레이션하였다. 셋째, 제안된 모델을 시험하여 최적의 모델을 찾았다. 그리고 이러한 결과에 따라 몇 가지 정책적 시사점을 제시하였다.

Towards Quantitative Assessment of Human Exposures to Indoor Radon Pollution from Groundwater

  • Donghan Yu;Lee, Han-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • 제17권E2호
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2001
  • A report by the national research council in the United States suggested that many lung cancer deaths each year be associated with breathing radon in indoor air. Most of the indoor radon comes directly from soil beneath the basement of foundations. Recently, radon released from groundwater is found to contribute to the total inhalation risk from indoor air. This study presents the quantitative assessment of human exposures to radon released from the groundwater into indoor air. At first, a three-compartment model is developed to describe the transfer and distribution of radon released from groundwater in a house through showering, washing clothes, and flushing toilets. Then, to estimate a daily human exposure through inhalation of such radon for an adult. a physiologically-based pharmacokinetic(PBPK) model is developed. The use of a PBPK model for the inhaled radon could provide useful information regarding the distribution of radon among the organs of the human body. Indoor exposure patterns as input to the PBPK model are a more realistic situation associated with indoor radon pollution generated from a three-compartment model describing volatilization of radon from domestic water into household air. Combining the two models for inhaled radon in indoor air can be used to estimate a quantitative human exposure through the inhalation of indoor radon for adults based on two sets of exposure scenarios. The results obtained from the present study would help increase the quantitative understanding of risk assessment issues associated with the indoor radon released from groundwater.

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다중 종속 고장상태를 갖는 공정시스템의 신뢰성 모델 (A Reliability Model of Process Systems with Multiple Dependent Failure States)

  • 최수형
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.37-41
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    • 2018
  • Process safety technology has developed from qualitative methods such as HAZOP (hazard and operability study) to semi-quantitative methods such as LOPA (layer of protection analysis), and quantitative methods are actively studied these days. Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) is often based on fault tree analysis (FTA). FTA is efficient, but difficult to apply when failure events are not independent of each other. This problem can be avoided using a Markov process (MP). MP requires definition of all possible states, and thus, generally, is more complicated than FTA. A method is proposed in this work that uses an MP model and a Weibull distribution model in order to construct a reliability model for multiple dependent failures. As a case study, a pressure safety valve (PSV) is considered, for which there are three kinds of failure, i.e. open failure, close failure, and gas tight failure. According to recently reported inspection results, open failure and close failure are dependent on each other. A reliability model for a PSV group is proposed in this work that is to reproduce these results. It is expected that the application of the proposed method can be expanded to QRA of various systems that have partially dependent multiple failure states.

Structural monitoring and maintenance by quantitative forecast model via gray models

  • C.C. Hung;T. Nguyen
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.175-190
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    • 2023
  • This article aims to quantitatively predict the snowmelt in extreme cold regions, considering a combination of grayscale and neural models. The traditional non-equidistant GM(1,1) prediction model is optimized by adjusting the time-distance weight matrix, optimizing the background value of the differential equation and optimizing the initial value of the model, and using the BP neural network for the first. The adjusted ice forecast model has an accuracy of 0.984 and posterior variance and the average forecast error value is 1.46%. Compared with the GM(1,1) and BP network models, the accuracy of the prediction results has been significantly improved, and the quantitative prediction of the ice sheet is more accurate. The monitoring and maintenance of the structure by quantitative prediction model by gray models was clearly demonstrated in the model.

중소형 건설사업장의 위험 정량화 모델 개발을 위한 기초 연구 (A Basic Study on the Model Development of Quantitative Risk Assessment for Small and Medium-sized Construction Sites.)

  • 이지엽;바트바가나;손기영
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2022년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.206-207
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    • 2022
  • Currently, safety accidents in construction area are managed regardless of the size. Therefore, the objective of this study is to conduct for developing the quantitative risk assessment according to large and small and medium-sized construction sites. The scope of this study is limited to the fall accidents which is the biggest accidents in the construction sites. the regression analysis was conducted based on the collected data. As a result, it was confirmed that there was a statistically significant difference between larce and small and medium-sized construction sites. This study is expected to be used as basic data for research on the development of a risk quantitative model for small and medium-sized construction sites in the future.

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