• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quality of Predictions

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A Study on the Improvement of Co-Co Type Locomotive's Vertical Dynamic Performance (Co-Co형 기관차의 수직방향 동적성능 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Ju-Hyuk;Choe, Yeong-Hyu;Park, Sam-Jin
    • 한국기계연구소 소보
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    • s.14
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    • pp.17-31
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    • 1985
  • The Primary object of this study is to predict rigid carbody's vertical and pitch acceleration and/or displacement frequency response to vertical sinusoidal rail surface irregularities for any specified point of the carbody, and to verify the predictions by means of experiments. The developed computer program also calculates vertical and pith transmissibilities and acceleration spectra. This model can be used for first order analysis of ride behabior. it's main advantage is its simplicity and ease of use. This model can be used for first order analysis of ride quality behabior. It's main advantage is its simplicity and ease of use. The model was designed with 6 degreed of freedom. Equations of motion were derived by Lagrangian method. This calculation was applied to the vertical dynamic analysis in order to pursue a possible improvement of the dynamic performance of co-co locomotive, and results were very useful.

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A Study on Dynamic Characteristics of Welding voltage and Welding Current At GMAW (GMA 용접에서 전압과 전류의 동특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Myun-Hee;Choi, Young-Geun;Lee, Moon-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.207-213
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    • 2001
  • Welding variables and condition in gas metal arc welding (GMAW) effect on the weld quality and productivity, extensive research efforts have been made to analyze the welding variables and conditions. In this study dynamic behavior of GMAW system is investigated using the chararcteristic equations of the power supply. wire and welding arc. Characteristic equation of wire is modified to include the effect of droplets attached at the electrode tip. The dynamic characteristics of arc length, current, voltage with respect to the step, ramp inputs of CTWD was simulated. From results of simulation, some predictions about dynamic characteristics of GMAW and welding process are available. The proposed simulator and results appear to be utilized to determine the proper welding conditions, to be improved by considering power supply dynamic characteristics.

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Evaluation of Hydrological Impacts Caused by Land Use Change (토지이용변화에 따른 수문영향분석)

  • Park, Jin-Yong
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.54-66
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    • 2002
  • A grid-based hydrological model, CELTHYM, capable of estimating base flow and surface runoff using only readily available data, was used to assess hydrologic impacts caused by land use change on Little Eagle Creek (LEC) in Central Indiana. Using time periods when land use data are available, the model was calibrated with two years of observed stream flow data, 1983-1984, and verified by comparison of model predictions with observed stream flow data for 1972-1974 and 1990-1992. Stream flow data were separated into direct runoff and base flow using HYSEP (USGS) to estimate the impacts of urbanization on each hydrologic component. Analysis of the ratio between direct runoff and total runoff from simulation results, and the change in these ratios with land use change, shows that the ratio of direct runoff increases proportionally with increasing urban area. The ratio of direct runoff also varies with annual rainfall, with dry year ratios larger than those for wet years shows that urbanization might be more harmful during dry years than abundant rainfall years in terms of water yield and water quality management.

Predictions of Strip Temperatures for Finishing Mill of Gwangyang Hot Rolling Line $\#3$ (광양 3열연 사상압연에서의 스탠드간 판 온도 예측)

  • Kim H. J.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2004.08a
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    • pp.349-358
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    • 2004
  • The strip temperature history of finishing mill process is one of the most important factors to stabilize the facilities and to achieve the better product quality including a better prediction of roll force etc. The ultimate goal of this study is to improve scientific understanding of the finishing mill process in the view of heat transfer science. Finishing mill cooling facilities of KwangYang $\#3$ hot rolling are introduced and heat transfer analyses from FET to FDT are particularly focused in this study Three major tasks are successfully achieved as follows: 1) The temperature Prediction Models are developed. 2) The average absolute error is found to be less then 10 Celsius degree (about $8.5^{\circ}C$). 3) Prediction rate (less then $\bar{+}20$) are $10.2\%$ improved $(80.1\;\rightarrow\;90.3\%)$.

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A Water Model Study on Molten Metal Flow in Die Cavity of Die Casting (다이캐스트 주물의 금형공동내에서 탕류에 관한 수모델적 연구)

  • Kim, Myung-Jae;Choi, Hee-Ho;Cho, Nam-Don
    • Journal of Korea Foundry Society
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.576-589
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    • 1994
  • Water modeling experiments and computer simulation for the predictions of defects of die castings are very important to produce high quality castings with less cost. The relation between the variable air vent system and the characteristics of the fluid flow in the die cavity is studied by using water modeling tests, which give ideas on reasonable designing of die cavity, vent arrangement and gating system. In order to test the water modeling, injection is done by using water containing NaCl. Flow behaviors in cavities are visualized by high speed camera and video tape recorder, and local filling time is measured with electrode sensors. Special attention is paid to the configuration of die cavity. Simulated results by computer are examined and compared with the results of water modeling experiments. There are close correlations between the simulated results and water modeling ones.

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Dynamic behavior of GMA considering metal transfer (금속이행을 고려한 GMA 용접 시스템의 동특성 해석)

  • 박세홍;김면희;강세령;최상균;이상룡
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.565-568
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    • 2002
  • Welding variables and conditions in gas metal arc welding (GMAW) effect on the weld quality and productivity, extensive research efforts have been made to analyze the welding variables and conditions. In this study dynamic behavior of GMAW system is investigated using the characteristic equations of the power supply, wire and welding arc. Characteristic equation of wire is modified to include the effect of droplets attached at the electrode tip. The dynamic characteristics of arc length, current, voltage with respect to the step, ramp inputs of CTWD was simulated, seam tracking procedure using arc sensor was simulated with variable V-Groove geometries and weaving frequencies. From results of simulation, some predictions about dynamic characteristics of GMAW and welding process are available. The proposed simulator and results appear to be utilized to determine the proper welding conditions, to be improved by considering power supply dynamic characteristics.

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Evaporating heat transfer characteristics of R-22 in small diameter tubes (세관 내 R-22 의 증발 전열 특성에 관한 연구)

  • 최영석
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Marine Engineers Conference
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    • 2000.05a
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    • pp.134-139
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    • 2000
  • Evaporating heat transfer characteristics of R-22 were measured inside smooth horizontal copper tubes with inner diameters of 3.36 mm and 5.35 mm respectively. The experiments were conducted in the closed loop which was driven by a magnetic gear pump. Experiments were performed for the following range of variables ; mass velocity of refrigerants (200 to 400 $kg/m^2$ .s) saturation temperature ($0^{\circ}C, \; 5^{\circC$}) and quality (0 to 1.0) The main results obtained are as follows : Evaporating heat transfer coefficients in the small diameter tubes (ID<7 mm) were observed to be strongly affected by a variety of diameters and to differ from those in the large diameter tubes. The heat transfer coefficients of the small diameter tubes are higher than those of the large diameter tubes. Comparing the heat transfer coefficients between experimental results and some well-known previous predictions (Shah's correlation Gungor-Winterton's and Kandlikar's correlation) it was very difficult to apply those to small diameter tubes.

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The Regional Homogeneity in the Presence of Heteroskedasticity

  • Chung, Kyoun-Sup;Lee, Sang-Yup
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.25-49
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    • 2007
  • An important assumption of the classical linear regression model is that the disturbances appearing in the population regression function are homoskedastic; that is, they all have the same variance. If we persist in using the usual testing procedures despite heteroskedasticity, what ever conclusions we draw or inferences we make be very misleading. The contribution of this paper will be to the concrete procedure of the proper estimation when the heteroskedasticity does exist in the data, because the quality of dependent variable predictions, i.e., the estimated variance of the dependent variable, can be improved by giving consideration to the issues of regional homogeneity and/or heteroskedasticity across the research area. With respect to estimation, specific attention should be paid to the selection of the appropriate strategy in terms of the auxiliary regression model. The paper shows that by testing for heteroskedasticity, and by using robust methods in the presence of with and without heteroskedasticity, more efficient statistical inferences are provided.

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The Prediction of Tool Wear by Cutting Force Model in the Machining of Die Material (금형강 가공에서 절삭력 모델에 의한 공구마멸의 예측)

  • 조재성;강명창;김정석
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1994.10a
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 1994
  • Tool condition monitoring is one of the most important aspects to improve productivity and quality and to achieve intelligent machining system. The tool state is classified into three groups as chipping, wear and fracture. In this study, wear of a ceramic cutting tool for hardened die material (SKD11) was investigated. Flank wear was occured more dominant than crarer wear. Therefore, to predict flank wear, the modeling of cutting force has been performed. The modeling of cutting force by an assumption that act the stress distribution on the tool face obtained through a numerical analysis. The relationships between the cutting force and the tool wear can be constructed by machining paraneters with cutting conditions. Experiments were performed under the various cutting conditions to ensure the validity of force models. The theoretical predictions of the flank wear is approximately in good agreement with experimental result.

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Reliability Improvement of In-Place Concreter Strength Prediction by Ultrasonic Pulse Velocity Method (초음파 속도법에 의한 현장 콘크리트 강도추정의 신뢰성 향상)

  • 원종필;박성기
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2001
  • The ultrasonic pulse velocity test has a strong potential to be developed into a very useful and relatively inexpensive in-place test for assuring the quality of concrete placed in structure. The main problem in realizing this potential is that the relationship between compressive strength ad ultrasonic pulse velocity is uncertain and concrete is an inherently variable material. The objective of this study is to improve the reliability of in-place concrete strength predictions by ultrasonic pulse velocity method. Experimental cement content, s/a rate, and curing condition of concrete. Accuracy of the prediction expressed in empirical formula are examined by multiple regression analysis and linear regression analysis and practical equation for estimation the concrete strength are proposed. Multiple regression model uses water-cement ratio cement content s/a rate, and pulse velocity as dependent variables and the compressive strength as an independent variable. Also linear regression model is used to only pulse velocity as dependent variables. Comparing the results of the analysis the proposed equation expressed highest reliability than other previous proposed equations.

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