• 제목/요약/키워드: Proportional hazards

검색결과 295건 처리시간 0.022초

축산 질병 보도가 소, 돼지고기 구입에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Effects of Livestock Disease News on the Purchase of Beef and Pork)

  • 신정섭
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제20권10호
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    • pp.425-432
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 한국언론진흥재단 BIGKinds를 통해 수집한 구제역 등의 축산 질병 관련 보도가 소비자의 육류소비에 미치는 영향요인들을 알아보기 위하여 생존 분석을 이용하여 분석하였다. 소비자 구매자료는 농촌진흥청의 농식품 소비자 패널조사 자료를 이용하였으며, 생존시간에 대한 분석결과 국내산 소고기와 돼지고기, 수입산 소고기와 돼지고기 모두에서 FMD(구제역) 보도가 유의한 영향을 미치며, FMD(구제역) 관련 보도로 인해 첫 구매율이 감소한 것으로 나타났다. 시간 의존 Cox 비례 해저드 모형을 이용하여 세부적으로 분석한 결과 모든 모형은 5% 유의수준에서 유의한 것으로 분석되었다. 각 모형에서 공통적으로 유의한 것으로 분석된 것은 FMD 관련 보도 건수로 나타났다. 2010년 국내산과 수입산 돼지고기의 Haz. Ratio는 5% 유의수준에서 0.999로 나타나 FMD 관련 보도가 1건 증가할 때마다 첫 구매율은 0.999배 감소한 것으로 분석되었다. 반면 2015년 돼지고기의 Haz. Ratio는 2010년과는 다르게 1.001로 나타나 오히려 첫 구매율이 증가한 것으로 분석되었다. 소고기의 경우에도 돼지고기와 비슷한 결과가 나타났다. 본 연구는 소비자의 육류소비에 질병 관련 보도가 첫 구매에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지에 대해 원산지별, 육류별로 추정하여 보다 합리적인 생산 및 소비 활동에 필요한 정보를 제공하는 데 의의를 가지고 있다. 또한, 축산 질병 관련 보도가 지속되는 시간을 추정하여 제시함으로써 소비 판촉 등의 홍보에도 반영할 수 있을 것으로 여겨진다.

Clinical Implications According to Diagnostic Methods of Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 Positivity in Breast Cancer: A Retrospective Study

  • Kim, Bong Kyun;Jeong, Joon;Han, Wonshik;Yoon, Tae-In;Seong, Min-Ki;Jung, Jin Hyang;Jung, Sung Hoo;Lee, Jina;Sun, Woo Young;Korean Breast Cancer Society
    • Journal of Breast Disease
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.60-72
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: According to American Society of Clinical Oncology/College of American Pathologists guidelines, breast cancer is human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) positive if there is HER2 protein overexpression at a 3+ level on immunohistochemistry (IHC 3+) or gene amplification (more than six copies per nucleus) on fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH+). However, there have been few reports on whether outcomes differ based on diagnosis by these two techniques. In this study, we compared outcomes based on the two methods in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer. Methods: This study was a retrospective analysis of HER2-positive breast cancer in 18,304 patients, including 14,652 IHC 3+ patients and 3,652 FISH+ patients from the Korean Breast Cancer Society Registry. We compared breast cancer-specific survival and overall survival based on IHC 3+ and FISH+ status with or without trastuzumab. Results: Breast cancer-specific survival was significantly different between the IHC 3+ and FISH+ groups, with 5-year cumulative survival rates of 95.0% for IHC 3+ and 98.5% for FISH+ patients who did not receive trastuzumab (p=0.001) in Kaplan-Meier methods. However, there were no significant differences in breast cancer-specific survival and overall survival between IHC 3+ and FISH+ groups regardless of trastuzumab treatment in Cox proportional hazards models. Conclusion: The survival outcomes were not affected by the different two diagnostic methods of HER2-positive breast cancer. Further research to evaluate differences in prognosis and other characteristics according to the diagnostic methods of HER2 positivity is needed in the future.

양극성 장애 환자에서 불안이 질병 경과에 미치는 영향 : 전향적 추적관찰에 대한 중간분석 (Anxiety Hastened Depressive Recurrence in Bipolar Disorder : An Interim Analysis of Prospective Follow-Up Study)

  • 김수정;김소정;송혜현;이원혜;전명욱;남윤영;박동연
    • 생물정신의학
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2021
  • Objectives Despite growing attention to anxiety in bipolar disorder (BD), little research has assessed anxiety symptoms in the course of BD. The current prospective follow-up study examines the influence of subjectively and objectively measured anxiety symptoms on the course of BD. Methods A total of 49 patients with BD were followed-up prospectively for average of one year at an average of four months interval. The Korean version of the Beck Anxiety Inventory (K-BAI), the Hamilton Anxiety Rating Scale, heart rate variability (HRV) were used to measure anxiety subjectively, objectively and physiologically. Participants were divided into high and low anxiety groups based on their K-BAI scores. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to compare the recurrence of mood episode, suicide attempt, emergency room visit, and psychiatric hospitalization between two groups. Mediators were investigated with Cox proportional hazards models. Results Compared to the low anxiety group, the high anxiety group reported significantly higher impulsiveness (p = 0.016) and lower high frequency component on HRV (p = 0.007) after controlling for severity of BD. Regarding survival analysis, the high anxiety group showed hastened depressive episode recurrence (p = 0.048) and suicidal ideation was the mediator of the hazard ratio (HR) 1.089 (p = 0.029) in the Cox model. Moreover, the high anxiety group showed a tendency of accelerated suicide attempt (p = 0.12) and impulsivity was the risk factor of suicide attempt (HR = 1.089, p = 0.036). Conclusions This interim analysis of prospective study suggests that high anxiety level in BD may anticipate unfavorable course. Further studies are needed to understand the multifactorial mechanism of anxious bipolar patients.

Risk factors for cancer-specific survival in elderly gastric cancer patients after curative gastrectomy

  • Liu, Xiao;Xue, Zhigang;Yu, Jianchun;Ma, Zhiqiang;Kang, Weiming;Ye, Xin;Li, Zijian
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.604-615
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    • 2022
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to investigate cancer-specific survival (CSS) and associated risk factors in elderly gastric cancer (EGC) patients. SUBJECTS/METHODS: EGC patients (≥ 70 yrs) who underwent curative gastrectomy between January 2013 and December 2017 at our hospital were included. Clinicopathologic characteristics and survival data were collected. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to extract the best cutoff point for body mass index (BMI). A Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the risk factors for CSS. RESULTS: In total, 290 EGC patients were included, with a median age of 74.7 yrs. The median follow-up time was 31 (1-77) mon. The postoperative 1-yr, 3-yr and 5-yr CSS rates were 93.7%, 75.9% and 65.1%, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed risk factors for CSS, including age (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.15), intensive care unit (ICU) admission (HR = 1.73; 95% CI, 1.08-2.79), nutritional risk screening (NRS 2002) score ≥ 5 (HR = 2.33; 95% CI, 1.49-3.75), and preoperative prognostic nutrition index score < 45 (HR = 2.06; 95% CI, 1.27-3.33). The ROC curve showed that the best BMI cutoff value was 20.6 kg/m2. Multivariate analysis indicated that a BMI ≤ 20.6 kg/m2 (HR = 2.30; 95% CI, 1.36-3.87), ICU admission (HR = 1.97; 95% CI, 1.17-3.30) and TNM stage (stage II: HR = 5.56; 95% CI, 1.59-19.43; stage III: HR = 16.20; 95% CI, 4.99-52.59) were significantly associated with CSS. CONCLUSIONS: Low BMI (≤ 20.6 kg/m2), ICU admission and advanced pathological TNM stages (II and III) are independent risk factors for CSS in EGC patients after curative gastrectomy. Nutrition support, better perioperative management and early diagnosis would be helpful for better survival.

Liver-to-Spleen Volume Ratio Automatically Measured on CT Predicts Decompensation in Patients with B Viral Compensated Cirrhosis

  • Ji Hye Kwon;Seung Soo Lee;Jee Seok Yoon;Heung-Il Suk;Yu Sub Sung;Ho Sung Kim;Chul-min Lee;Kang Mo Kim;So Jung Lee;So Yeon Kim
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제22권12호
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    • pp.1985-1995
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    • 2021
  • Objective: Although the liver-to-spleen volume ratio (LSVR) based on CT reflects portal hypertension, its prognostic role in cirrhotic patients has not been proven. We evaluated the utility of LSVR, automatically measured from CT images using a deep learning algorithm, as a predictor of hepatic decompensation and transplantation-free survival in patients with hepatitis B viral (HBV)-compensated cirrhosis. Materials and Methods: A deep learning algorithm was used to measure the LSVR in a cohort of 1027 consecutive patients (mean age, 50.5 years; 675 male and 352 female) with HBV-compensated cirrhosis who underwent liver CT (2007-2010). Associations of LSVR with hepatic decompensation and transplantation-free survival were evaluated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards and competing risk analyses, accounting for either the Child-Pugh score (CPS) or Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and other variables. The risk of the liver-related events was estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the Aalen-Johansen estimator. Results: After adjustment for either CPS or MELD and other variables, LSVR was identified as a significant independent predictor of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio for LSVR increase by 1, 0.71 and 0.68 for CPS and MELD models, respectively; p < 0.001) and transplantation-free survival (hazard ratio for LSVR increase by 1, 0.8 and 0.77, respectively; p < 0.001). Patients with an LSVR of < 2.9 (n = 381) had significantly higher 3-year risks of hepatic decompensation (16.7% vs. 2.5%, p < 0.001) and liver-related death or transplantation (10.0% vs. 1.1%, p < 0.001) than those with an LSVR ≥ 2.9 (n = 646). When patients were stratified according to CPS (Child-Pugh A vs. B-C) and MELD (< 10 vs. ≥ 10), an LSVR of < 2.9 was still associated with a higher risk of liver-related events than an LSVR of ≥ 2.9 for all Child-Pugh (p ≤ 0.045) and MELD (p ≤ 0.009) stratifications. Conclusion: The LSVR measured on CT can predict hepatic decompensation and transplantation-free survival in patients with HBV-compensated cirrhosis.

신경망 내 잔여 블록을 활용한 콕스 모델 개선: 자궁경부암 사망률 예측모형 연구 (Cox Model Improvement Using Residual Blocks in Neural Networks: A Study on the Predictive Model of Cervical Cancer Mortality)

  • 이낭경;김주영;탁지수;이형록;전현지;양지명;이승원
    • 정보처리학회 논문지
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.260-268
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    • 2024
  • 자궁경부암은 전 세계적으로 여성에게 발생하는 암 중 네 번째로 흔한 암이며, 2020년 한 해 동안 60만 4천 건 이상의 신규 케이스가 보고되었고 이로 인한 사망자 수는 약 34만 1천 831명에 달했다. 콕스 회귀 모델은 암 연구에서 널리 채택되고 있는 주요 모델이지만, 비선형 연관성의 존재를 고려하면 선형 가정으로 인해 한계에 부딪힌다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해, 본 논문에서는 ResNet의 잔여 학습 프레임워크를 활용하여 자궁경부암 사망률 예측의 정확성을 개선한 새로운 모델인 ResSurvNet을 제안한다. 이 모델은 본 연구에서 비교한 DNN, CPH, CoxLasso, Cox Gradient Boost, RSF 모델들을 능가하는 정확도를 보여주었기에 이러한 우수한 예측 성능은 자궁경부암 환자 관리에 있어 조기 진단 및 치료 전략 수립에 기여할 수 있고 임상적으로 적용할 때 큰 가치가 있음을 입증하며, 생존 분석 분야에서도 의미 있는 진전을 나타낸다.

Prognostic Prediction Based on Dynamic Contrast-Enhanced MRI and Dynamic Susceptibility Contrast-Enhanced MRI Parameters from Non-Enhancing, T2-High-Signal-Intensity Lesions in Patients with Glioblastoma

  • Sang Won Jo;Seung Hong Choi;Eun Jung Lee;Roh-Eul Yoo;Koung Mi Kang;Tae Jin Yun;Ji-Hoon Kim;Chul-Ho Sohn
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제22권8호
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    • pp.1369-1378
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    • 2021
  • Objective: Few attempts have been made to investigate the prognostic value of dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) MRI or dynamic susceptibility contrast (DSC) MRI of non-enhancing, T2-high-signal-intensity (T2-HSI) lesions of glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) in newly diagnosed patients. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic values of DCE MRI and DSC MRI parameters from non-enhancing, T2-HSI lesions of GBM. Materials and Methods: A total of 76 patients with GBM who underwent preoperative DCE MRI and DSC MRI and standard treatment were retrospectively included. Six months after surgery, the patients were categorized into early progression (n = 15) and non-early progression (n = 61) groups. We extracted and analyzed the permeability and perfusion parameters of both modalities for the non-enhancing, T2-HSI lesions of the tumors. The optimal percentiles of the respective parameters obtained from cumulative histograms were determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and univariable Cox regression analyses. The results were compared using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis of progression-free survival. Results: The 95th percentile value (PV) of Ktrans, mean Ktrans, and median Ve were significant predictors of early progression as identified by the ROC curve analysis (area under the ROC curve [AUC] = 0.704, p = 0.005; AUC = 0.684, p = 0.021; and AUC = 0.670, p = 0.0325, respectively). Univariable Cox regression analysis of the above three parametric values showed that the 95th PV of Ktrans and the mean Ktrans were significant predictors of early progression (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.06, p = 0.009; HR = 1.25, p = 0.017, respectively). Multivariable Cox regression analysis, which also incorporated clinical parameters, revealed that the 95th PV of Ktrans was the sole significant independent predictor of early progression (HR = 1.062, p < 0.009). Conclusion: The 95th PV of Ktrans from the non-enhancing, T2-HSI lesions of GBM is a potential prognostic marker for disease progression.

Prognostic Implication of Right Ventricle Parameters Measured on Preoperative Cardiac MRI in Patients with Functional Tricuspid Regurgitation

  • Yura Ahn;Hyun Jung Koo;Joon-Won Kang;Won Jin Choi;Dae-Hee Kim;Jong-Min Song;Duk-Hyun Kang;Jae-Kwan Song;Joon Bum Kim;Sung-Ho Jung;Suk Jung Choo;Cheol Hyun Chung;Jae Won Lee;Dong Hyun Yang
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제22권8호
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    • pp.1253-1265
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    • 2021
  • Objective: To investigate the prognostic value of preoperative cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for long-term major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) in patients undergoing tricuspid valve (TV) surgery for functional tricuspid regurgitation (TR). Materials and Methods: The preoperative cardiac MR images, New York Heart Association functional class, comorbidities, and clinical events of 78 patients (median [interquartile range], 59 [51-66.3] years, 28.2% male) who underwent TV surgery for functional TR were comprehensively reviewed. Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to assess the associations of clinical and imaging parameters with MACCEs and all-cause mortality. Results: For the median follow-up duration of 5.4 years (interquartile range, 1.2-6.6), MACCEs and all-cause mortality were 51.3% and 23.1%, respectively. The right ventricular (RV) end-systolic volume index (ESVI) and the systolic RV mass index (RVMI) were higher in patients with MACCEs than those without them (77 vs. 68 mL/m2, p = 0.048; 23.5 vs. 18.0%, p = 0.011, respectively). A high RV ESVI was associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] per value of 10 higher ESVI = 1.10, p = 0.03). A high RVMI was also associated with all-cause mortality (HR per increase of 5 mL/m2 RVMI = 1.75, p < 0.001). After adjusting for age and sex, only RVMI remained a significant predictor of MACCEs and all-cause mortality (p < 0.05 for both). After adjusting for multiple clinical variables, RVMI remained significantly associated with all-cause mortality (p = 0.005). Conclusion: RVMI measured on preoperative cardiac MRI was an independent predictor of long-term outcomes in patients who underwent TV surgery for functional TR.

The Prognostic Value of 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT in the Initial Assessment of Primary Tracheal Malignant Tumor: A Retrospective Study

  • Dan Shao;Qiang Gao;You Cheng;Dong-Yang Du;Si-Yun Wang;Shu-Xia Wang
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.425-434
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    • 2021
  • Objective: To investigate the potential value of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT in predicting the survival of patients with primary tracheal malignant tumors. Materials and Methods: An analysis of FDG PET/CT findings in 37 primary tracheal malignant tumor patients with a median follow-up period of 43.2 months (range, 10.8-143.2 months) was performed. Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to assess the associations between quantitative 18F-FDG PET/CT parameters, other clinic-pathological factors, and overall survival (OS). A risk prognosis model was established according to the independent prognostic factors identified on multivariate analysis. A survival curve determined by the Kaplan-Meier method was used to assess whether the prognosis prediction model could effectively stratify patients with different risks factors. Results: The median survival time of the 37 patients with tracheal tumors was 38.0 months, with a 95% confidence interval of 10.8 to 65.2 months. The 3-year, 5-year and 10-year survival rate were 54.1%, 43.2%, and 16.2%, respectively. The metabolic tumor volume (MTV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), maximum standardized uptake value, age, pathological type, extension categories, and lymph node stage were included in multivariate analyses. Multivariate analysis showed MTV (p = 0.011), TLG (p = 0.020), pathological type (p = 0.037), and extension categories (p = 0.038) were independent prognostic factors for OS. Additionally, assessment of the survival curve using the Kaplan-Meier method showed that our prognosis prediction model can effectively stratify patients with different risks factors (p < 0.001). Conclusion: This study shows that 18F-FDG PET/CT can predict the survival of patients with primary tracheal malignant tumors. Patients with an MTV > 5.19, a TLG > 16.94 on PET/CT scans, squamous cell carcinoma, and non-E1 were more likely to have a reduced OS.

Comparison of Veno-arterial Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Configurations for Patients Listed for Heart Transplantation

  • Jung Ae Hong;Ah-Ram Kim;Min-Ju Kim;Dayoung Pack;Junho Hyun;Sang Eun Lee;Jae-Joong Kim;Pil Je Kang;Sung-Ho Jung;Min-Seok Kim
    • Korean Circulation Journal
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    • 제53권8호
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    • pp.535-547
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    • 2023
  • Background and Objectives: Veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VAECMO) as a bridge to eventual heart transplantation (HT) is increasingly used worldwide. However, the effect of different VA-ECMO types on HT outcomes remains unclear. Methods: This was a retrospective observational study of 111 patients receiving VA-ECMO and awaiting HT. We assessed 3 ECMO configuration groups: peripheral (n=76), central (n=12), and peripheral to central ECMO conversion (n=23). Cox proportional hazards regression and landmark analysis were conducted to analyze the effect of the ECMO configuration on HT and in-hospital mortality rates. We also evaluated adverse events during ECMO support. Results: HT was performed in the peripheral (n=48, 63.2%), central (n=10, 83.3%), and conversion (n=11, 47.8%) ECMO groups (p=0.133) with a median interval of 10.5, 16, and 30 days, respectively (p<0.001). The cumulative incidence of HT was significantly lower in the conversion group (hazard ratio, 0.292, 95% confidence interval, 0.145-0.586, p=0.001). However, there was no difference in in-hospital mortality (log-rank p=0.433). In the landmark analysis, in-hospital mortality did not differ significantly among the 3 groups. Although we did note a trend toward lower HT in the conversion group, the difference was not statistically significant. Surgical site bleeding occurred mainly in the central, while limb ischemia occurred mainly in the peripheral groups. Conclusions: We suggest that if patients are being stably supported with their initial ECMO configuration, whether it is central or peripheral, it should be maintained, and ECMO conversion should only be cautiously performed when necessary.