• Title/Summary/Keyword: Projected effects

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Current Status and Future Tasks of Clean Coal Technologies in the Asia Pacific Region

  • Son, Jae-Ek
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1996
  • Coal consumption in Asia is projected to increase by about 1.3 billion tons over the 1993-2010 period. The expansion in coal consumption for electricity generation is the dominant factor in the large increase in coal consumption. Without effective control measures, the projected increase in coal consumption will have a serious impact on environmental effects of increased coal use in Asia. Thus, the introduction of appropriate CCTs is considered essential to achieving the twin goals of expanded use of coal decreased environmental impacts.

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Basic Experimental Study on Room Lighting Effects using Artificial Light Source (인공 광원을 이용한 실내 조명 효과에 대한 기초 실험 연구)

  • Kim, Jeongbae
    • Journal of Institute of Convergence Technology
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.29-33
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    • 2011
  • This study is performed to investigate the effect of the artificial light for room lightening. To do that, the experiments were done using the black room with 1m3 and performed to show the effect of the length between the room and light source and light intensities as LUX. The LUX of 18 sites in the room was measured using LUX meter. The length between the room and the light source was chosen as 500mm, 1000mm, and 1500mm and the light intensities was 3 levels. The results were shown the distinct difference between the part directly projected through the light path and non-directly projected. So, the light delivery path have to be modified for next step research. The results were very sensitive for the part directly projected through the light path. This study showed the basic results for room lightening using light source to simulate the solar lightening and was worth in a strict sense as fundamental study.

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The Analysis of Breakdown Voltage for the Double-gate MOSFET Using the Gaussian Doping Distribution

  • Jung, Hak-Kee
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.200-204
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    • 2012
  • This study has presented the analysis of breakdown voltage for a double-gate metal-oxide semiconductor field-effect transistor (MOSFET) based on the doping distribution of the Gaussian function. The double-gate MOSFET is a next generation transistor that shrinks the short channel effects of the nano-scaled CMOSFET. The degradation of breakdown voltage is a highly important short channel effect with threshold voltage roll-off and an increase in subthreshold swings. The analytical potential distribution derived from Poisson's equation and the Fulop's avalanche breakdown condition have been used to calculate the breakdown voltage of a double-gate MOSFET for the shape of the Gaussian doping distribution. This analytical potential model is in good agreement with the numerical model. Using this model, the breakdown voltage has been analyzed for channel length and doping concentration with parameters such as projected range and standard projected deviation of Gaussian function. As a result, since the breakdown voltage is greatly changed for the shape of the Gaussian function, the channel doping distribution of a double-gate MOSFET has to be carefully designed.

Korea's Demographic Transition and Long-Term Growth Projection Based on an Overlapping Generations Model

  • KWON, KYOOHO
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.25-51
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    • 2017
  • This paper employs an Overlapping Generations Model to quantify the impacts of Korea's demographic transition toward an older population on the total output growth rate. The model incorporates the projected population through 2060 according by Statistics Korea. The effects of the low fertility and increased life expectancy rates are studied. The model is considered suitable for analyzing the effects of demographic changes on the Korean economy. Under the assumption that the TFP growth rate will not slow considerably in the future, remaining at 1.3% per annum, the gross output growth rate of the Korean economy is projected to slow to 1.1% per annum in the 2050s, from 4.0% in the 2000s. The shrinking workforce due to the decline in fertility plays a significant role in the deceleration of the Korean economy. The increased life expectancy rate is expected to mitigate the negative effect, but the magnitude of its effect is found to be limited.

A Model Calculation of Solar Microwave Burst Structure

  • Choi, Yong-Seok
    • Bulletin of the Korean Space Science Society
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    • 1995.04a
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    • pp.21-21
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    • 1995
  • The structures of 17GHz microwave burst for bipolar sunspots have investigated. which included the effects of the projected shapes of radio sources as they traverse across the solar disk using a magnetic loop employing a model of solenoid coils. An ensemble of high-energy electrons confined in the loop be assumed. The projected brightnesls distributions of gyrosynchrotron emission in x- and o-modes are computed and converted into total intensity and circular polarization difference at 17GHz for various heliocentric distances using numerical integration of the transfer equation along the line of sight. The results of computations at 17GHz for optical thin case will be presented. and the effects of the orientation of the loop will be discussed in detail, as well as the effect of size, position, Structure, and polarization of the emission. Also the results of the various physical P8lrameters such as the strength of magnetic field. high and low energy cut-off of accelerated electrons. spectral index and density of electrons will be preslmted. After comparing the results of model calculation with observations. we found that the observations can be well explained in terms of a loop model and its projection effect.effect.

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Trends in the effects of climate change on terrestrial ecosystems in the Republic of Korea

  • Choi, Sei-Woong;Kong, Woo-Seok;Hwang, Ga-Young;Koo, Kyung Ah
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.117-129
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    • 2021
  • In this review, we aimed to synthesize the current knowledge on the observed and projected effects of climate change on the ecosystems of Korea (i.e., the Republic of Korea (ROK) or South Korea), as well as the main causes of vulnerability and options for adaptation in these ecosystems based on a range of ecological and biogeographical data. To this end, we compiled a set of peer-reviewed papers published since 2014. We found that publication of climate-related studies on plants has decreased in the field of plant phenology and physiology, whereas such publication has rapidly increased in plant and animal community ecology, reflecting the range shifts and abundance change that are occurring under climate change. Plant phenology studies showed that climate change has increased growing seasons by advancing the timing of flowering and budburst while delaying the timing of leafing out. Community ecology studies indicated that the future ranges of cold-adapted plants and animals could shrink or shift toward northern and high-elevation areas, whereas the ranges of warm-adapted organisms could expand and/or shift toward the areas that the aforementioned cold-adapted biota previously occupied. This review provides useful information and new insights that will improve understanding of climate change effects on the ecosystems of Korea. Moreover, it will serve as a reference for policy-makers seeking to establish future sectoral adaptation options for protection against climate change.

Projection of Paddy Rice Consumptive Use in the Major Plains of the Korean Peninsula under the RCP Scenarios (대표농도경로 시나리오에 의한 한반도 주요 평야지역 논벼 소비수량 추정)

  • Chung, Sang-Ok
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2012
  • The paddy rice consumptive use in the six plains of the Korean peninsula was projected with changing climate under the representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios. High resolution climate data for the baseline (1961-1990) was obtained from the International water management institute (IWMI) and future high resolution climate projection was obtained from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Reference evapotranspiration (ET) was calculated by using Hargreaves equation. The results of this study showed that the average annual mean temperature would increase persistently in the future. Temperatures were projected to increase more in RCP8.5 than those in RCP4.5 scenario. The rice consumptive use during the growing period was projected to increase slightly in the 2020s and then more significantly in the 2050s and 2080s. It showed higher values for RCP8.5 than for RCP4.5. The rice consumptive use after transplanting in the study areas would increase by 2.2 %, 5.1 % and 7.2 % for RCP4.5 and 3.0 %, 7.6 %, and 13.3 % for RCP8.5, in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s, respectively, from the baseline value of 534 mm. The results demonstrated the effects of climate change on rice consumptive use quite well, and can be used in the future agricultural water planning in the Korean peninsula.

Projected lifetime cancer risk from cone-beam computed tomography for orthodontic treatment

  • Jha, Nayansi;Kim, Yoon-Ji;Lee, Youngjun;Lee, Ju Young;Lee, Won Jin;Sung, Sang-Jin
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.189-198
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    • 2021
  • Objective: To estimate the projected cancer risk attributable to diagnostic cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) performed under different exposure settings for orthodontic purposes in children and adults. Methods: We collected a list of CBCT machines and their specifications from 38 orthodontists. Organ doses were estimated using median and maximum exposure settings of 105 kVp/156.8 mAs and 130 kVp/200 mAs, respectively. The projected cancer risk attributable to CBCT procedures performed 1-3 times within 2 years was calculated for children (aged 5 and 10 years) and adult (aged 20, 30, and 40 years) male and female patients. Results: For maximum exposure settings, the mean lifetime fractional ratio (LFR) was 14.28% for children and 0.91% for adults; this indicated that the risk to children was 16 times the risk to adults. For median exposure settings, the mean LFR was 5.25% and 0.58% for children and adults, respectively. The risk of cancer decreased with increasing age. For both median and maximum exposure settings, females showed a higher risk of cancer than did males in all age groups. Cancer risk increased with an increase in the frequency of CBCT procedures within a given period. Conclusions: The projected dental CBCT-associated cancer risk spans over a wide range depending on the machine parameters and image acquisition settings. Children and female patients are at a higher risk of developing cancer associated with diagnostic CBCT. Therefore, the use of diagnostic CBCT should be justified, and protective measures should be taken to minimize the harmful biological effects of radiation.

Influence of Mammographic Screening on Breast Cancer Incidence Trends in South Australia

  • Beckmann, Kerri Rose;Roder, David Murray;Hiller, Janet Esther;Farshid, Gelareh;Lynch, John William
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.7
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    • pp.3105-3112
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: To examine breast cancer (BC) incidence trends in relation to mammographic screening and risk factor prevalence in South Australia (SA). Materials and Methods: Trends in annual BC incidence rates were calculated using direct standardisation and compared with projected incidence derived from Poisson regression analysis of pre-screening rates. Annual percentage change and change time points were estimated using Joinpoint software. Biennial mammography screening participation rates were calculated using data from BreastScreen SA. Trends in overweight/obesity, alcohol use and hormone replacement therapy (HRT) use were examined using 1991-2009 Health Omnibus Survey data. Trends in total fertility were examined using data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Results: BC incidence increased around the time BreastScreen commenced and then stabilised in the mid-1990s. However rates have remained higher than projected, even though the proportion and age distribution of first time screening attendees stabilised around 1998. A decrease in BC incidence was observed among women aged 50-59yrs from the late-1990's but not among older women. Obesity and alcohol use have increased steadily in all age groups, while HRT use declined sharply from the late-1990s. Conclusions: BC incidence has remained higher than projected since mammography screening began. The sustained elevation is likely to be due to lead time effects, though over-diagnosis cannot be excluded. Declining HRT use has also impacted incidence trends. Implications: Studies using individual level data, which can account for changes in risk factor prevalence and lead time effects, are required to evaluate 'over-diagnosis' due to screening.